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UKESM1: Description and Evaluation of the U.K. Earth System Model

Open access
Sellar, Alistair A., Jones, Colin G., Mulcahy, Jane P., Tang, Yongming, Yool, Andrew, Wiltshire, Andy, O'Connor, Fiona M., Stringer, Marc, Hill, Richard, Palmieri, Julien, Woodward, Stephanie, de Mora, Lee, Kuhlbrodt, Till, Rumbold, Steven T., Kelley, Douglas I., Ellis, Rich, Johnson, Colin E., Walton, Jeremy, Abraham, Nathan Luke, Andrews, Martin B., Andrews, Timothy, Archibald, Alex T., Berthou, Ségolène, Burke, Eleanor, Blockley, Ed, Carslaw, Ken, Dalvi, Mohit, Edwards, John, Folberth, Gerd A., Gedney, Nicola, Griffiths, Paul T., Harper, Anna B., Hendry, Maggie A., Hewitt, Alan J., Johnson, Ben, Jones, Andy, Jones, Chris D., Keeble, James, Liddicoat, Spencer, Morgenstern, Olaf, Parker, Robert J., Predoi, Valeriu, Robertson, Eddy, Siahaan, Antony, Smith, Robin S., Swaminathan, Ranjini, Woodhouse, Matthew T., Zeng, Guang, Zerroukat, Mohamed·2019·Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Abstract

We document the development of the first version of the U.K. Earth System Model UKESM1. The model represents a major advance on its predecessor HadGEM2‐ES, with enhancements to all component models and new feedback mechanisms. These include a new core physical model with a well‐resolved stratosphere; terrestrial biogeochemistry with coupled carbon and nitrogen cycles and enhanced land management; tropospheric‐stratospheric chemistry allowing the holistic simulation of radiative forcing from ozone, methane, and nitrous oxide; two‐moment, five‐species, modal aerosol; and ocean biogeochemistry with two‐way coupling to the carbon cycle and atmospheric aerosols. The complexity of coupling between the ocean, land, and atmosphere physical climate and biogeochemical cycles in UKESM1 is unprecedented for an Earth system model. We describe in detail the process by which the coupled model was developed and tuned to achieve acceptable performance in key physical and Earth system quantities and discuss the challenges involved in mitigating biases in a model with complex connections between its components. Overall, the model performs well, with a stable pre‐industrial state and good agreement with observations in the latter period of its historical simulations. However, global mean surface temperature exhibits stronger‐than‐observed cooling from 1950 to 1970, followed by rapid warming from 1980 to 2014. Metrics from idealized simulations show a high climate sensitivity relative to previous generations of models: Equilibrium climate sensitivity is 5.4 K, transient climate response ranges from 2.68 to 2.85 K, and transient climate response to cumulative emissions is 2.49 to 2.66 K TtC−1.

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Authors
Sellar, A. A., Jones, C. G., Mulcahy, J. P., Tang, Y., Yool, A., Wiltshire, A., O'Connor, F. M., Stringer, M., Hill, R., Palmieri, J., Woodward, S., de Mora, L., Kuhlbrodt, T., Rumbold, S. T., Kelley, D. I., Ellis, R., Johnson, C. E., Walton, J., Abraham, N. L., Andrews, M. B., Andrews, T., Archibald, A. T., Berthou, S., Burke, E., Blockley, E., Carslaw, K., Dalvi, M., Edwards, J., Folberth, G. A., Gedney, N., Griffiths, P. T., Harper, A. B., Hendry, M. A., Hewitt, A. J., Johnson, B., Jones, A., Jones, C. D., Keeble, J., Liddicoat, S., Morgenstern, O., Parker, R. J., Predoi, V., Robertson, E., Siahaan, A., Smith, R. S., Swaminathan, R., Woodhouse, M. T., Zeng, G., & Zerroukat, M.
Venue
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
Published
2019-12
Volume
11
Issue
12
Pages
4513-4558
ISSN
1942-2466 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2982338710
Cited by
1,335
References
10
FWCI
64.40
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
gold

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: UKESM1: Description and Evaluation of the U.K. Earth System Model. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1029/2019ms001739
The paper
Sellar, A. A., Jones, C. G., Mulcahy, J. P., Tang, Y., Yool, A., Wiltshire, A., O'Connor, F. M., Stringer, M., Hill, R., Palmieri, J., Woodward, S., de Mora, L., Kuhlbrodt, T., Rumbold, S. T., Kelley, D. I., Ellis, R., Johnson, C. E., Walton, J., Abraham, N. L., . . . Zerroukat, M. (2019). UKESM1: Description and Evaluation of the U.K. Earth System Model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019ms001739

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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.