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Surrogate climate‐change scenarios for regional climate models
Abstract
A methodology is presented for generating surrogate climate‐change scenarios with a regional climate model. The procedure is simple to implement and dynamically consistent. It entails (i) adopting a realized or simulated atmospheric flow evolution and (ii) prescribing specific thermodynamic modifications of this realization to a regional model's initial fields and externally‐specified time‐dependent lateral boundaries fields. The resulting scenarios can be used for process and parameterization studies, to calibrate the regional response to a putative global climate change, and to intercompare different models. The approach is illustrated with two month‐long regional climate model simulations. The experiment is designed to explore the response within Europe to a pseudo‐global warming of 2 K with an accompanying increase in atmospheric water vapor content. Analysis reveals that there is a spatially‐differentiated preciptation increase consonant with the domain‐averaged increase of about 16% in the water vapor content.
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Cited by
Trends in Intense Precipitation in the Climate Record
Groisman, P. Y., Knight, R. W., Easterling, D. R., Karl, T. R., Hegerl, G. C., & Razuvaev, V. N. (2005) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli3339.1 · Cited by 1,334
Anthropogenic influences on major tropical cyclone events
Patricola-DiRosario, C. M., & Wehner, M. F. (2018) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-018-0673-2 · Cited by 480
Storyline approach to the construction of regional climate change information
Shepherd, T. G. (2019) · Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspa.2019.0013 · Cited by 331
Metadata
- Authors
- Schär, C., Frei, C., Lüthi, D., & Davies, H. C.
- Venue
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 1996-03-15
- Volume
- 23
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- 669-672
- ISSN
- 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-8007
- OpenAlex
- W2119031233
- Cited by
- 465
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 6.84
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- Schär, C., Frei, C., Lüthi, D., & Davies, H. C. (1996). Surrogate climate‐change scenarios for regional climate models. Geophysical Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1029/96gl00265
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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