The DOI matches its Crossref record; 19 of the 19 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Global variations in droughts and wet spells: 1900–1995
Abstract
The Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) was calculated globally using gridded monthly air temperature and precipitation. From 1900 to 1995, there are large multi‐year to decadal variations in the percentage areas in severe drought (PDSI < −3.0) and severe moisture surplus (PDSI > +3.0) over many land areas while secular trends are small. Since the late 1970s, however, there have been some increases in the combined percentage areas in severe drought and severe moisture surplus, resulting from increases in either the drought area (e.g., over the Sahel, eastern Asia and southern Africa) or both the drought and wet areas (e.g., over the U.S. and Europe). Although the high percentages of the dry and wet areas in the recent decades are not unprecedented during this century (except the Sahel), the recent changes are closely relate to the shift in El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) towards more warm events since the late 1970s and coincide with record high global mean temperatures. Moreover, for any given value of ENSO indices, the PDSI anomalies tend to be larger than would be expected from previous records. These changes are qualitatively consistent with those expected from increased green‐house gases in the atmosphere.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Decadal atmosphere-ocean variations in the Pacific
Trenberth, K. E., & Hurrell, J. W. (1994) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/bf00204745 · Cited by 2,281
Self-citationClimate change 1995: The Science of Climate Change
Unwin, D. (1997) · Applied Geography · doi:10.1016/s0143-6228(97)83235-3 · Cited by 1,674
The Palmer Drought Severity Index: Limitations and Assumptions
Alley, W. M. (1984) · Journal of Climate and Applied Meteorology · doi:10.1175/1520-0450(1984)023<1100:tpdsil>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 1,372
Secular Trends of Precipitation Amount, Frequency, and Intensity in the United States
Karl, T. R., & Knight, R. W. (1998) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1998)079<0231:stopaf>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 1,319
Self-citationGlobal Climatic Anomalies Associated with Extremes in the Southern Oscillation
Kiladis, G. N., & Diaz, H. F. (1989) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1989)002<1069:gcaawe>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 1,035
Global trends of measured surface air temperature
Hansen, J., & Lebedeff, S. (1987) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/jd092id11p13345 · Cited by 1,027
Observed climate variability and change
Folland, C. K., Karl, T. R., & Jim Salinger, M. (2002) · Weather · doi:10.1256/004316502320517353 · Cited by 920
Self-citationThe 1990–1995 El Niño‐Southern Oscillation Event: Longest on Record
Trenberth, K. E., & Hoar, T. J. (1996) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/95gl03602 · Cited by 749
Self-citationIndices of Climate Change for the United States
Karl, T. R., Knight, R. W., Easterling, D. R., & Quayle, R. G. (1996) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077<0279:ioccft>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 581
Self-citationTrenberth, K. E., & Hoar, T. J. (1997) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/97gl03092 · Cited by 507
Self-citation
Cited by
Climate Extremes: Observations, Modeling, and Impacts
Easterling, D. R., Meehl, G. A., Parmesan, C., Changnon, S. A., Karl, T. R., & Mearns, L. O. (2000) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.289.5487.2068 · Cited by 4,867
Self-citationDrought under global warming: a review
Dai, A. (2011) · WIREs Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.81 · Cited by 3,523
Self-citationThe Changing Character of Precipitation
Trenberth, K. E., Dai, A., Rasmussen, R. M., & Parsons, D. B. (2003) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-84-9-1205 · Cited by 3,196
Self-citationConstraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle
Allen, M. R., & Ingram, W. J. (2002) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature01092 · Cited by 3,009
Evidence for intensification of the global water cycle: Review and synthesis
Huntington, T. G. (2006) · Journal of Hydrology · doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.07.003 · Cited by 2,374
Metadata
- Authors
- Dai, A., Trenberth, K. E., & Karl, T. R.
- Venue
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 1998-09
- Volume
- 25
- Issue
- 17
- Pages
- 3367-3370
- ISSN
- 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-8007
- OpenAlex
- W2107972343
- Cited by
- 414
- References
- 19
- FWCI
- 12.07
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Global variations in droughts and wet spells: 1900–1995. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1029/98gl52511
- The paper
- Dai, A., Trenberth, K. E., & Karl, T. R. (1998). Global variations in droughts and wet spells: 1900–1995. Geophysical Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1029/98gl52511
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.