The DOI matches its Crossref record; 32 of the 34 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
A negative feedback mechanism for the long‐term stabilization of Earth's surface temperature
Abstract
We suggest that the partial pressure of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is buffered, over geological time scales, by a negative feedback mechanism in which the rate of weathering of silicate minerals (followed by deposition of carbonate minerals) depends on surface temperature, and surface temperature, in turn, depends on carbon dioxide partial pressure through the greenhouse effect. Although the quantitative details of this mechanism are speculative, it appears able partially to stabilize earth's surface temperature against the steady increase of solar luminosity believed to have occurred since the origin of the solar system.
Overview
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“First, the net consumption of CO2 in acid weathering of continents or the seafloor ends up making carbonates (174)”
From The Archean atmosphere (2020) · cites this paper as [174]
In the citing paper
“Potentially, two negative feedbacks control long-term pCO2.”
From The Archean atmosphere (2020) · cites this paper as [174]
In the citing paper
“We would expect Archean pCO2 to have been high because of Earth’s carbonate-silicate cycle thermostat (Eq. 2) (174).”
From The Archean atmosphere (2020) · cites this paper as [174]
Citations
Cites
Evolution of Sedimentary Rocks
Veizer, J., & Mackenzie, F. T. (2014) · Treatise on Geochemistry · doi:10.1016/b978-0-08-095975-7.00715-4 · Cited by 1,592
The chemistry of the atmosphere and oceans
Sibley, D. F. (1979) · Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta · doi:10.1016/0016-7037(79)90059-0 · Cited by 1,141
Sensitivity of a global climate model to an increase of CO2concentration in the atmosphere
Manabe, S., & Stouffer, R. J. (1980) · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/jc085ic10p05529 · Cited by 1,077
(1978) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 1,073
Earth and Mars: evolution of atmospheres and surface temperatures
Sagan, C., & Mullen, G. (1972) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.177.4043.52 · Cited by 942
A Scoring System for Probability Forecasts of Ranked Categories
Epstein, E. S. (1969) · Journal of applied meteorology · doi:10.1175/1520-0450(1969)008 · Cited by 566
Mechanism of feldspar weathering—I. Experimental studies
Holdren, G. R., & Berner, R. A. (1979) · Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta · doi:10.1016/0016-7037(79)90109-1 · Cited by 447
Dissolution kinetics of magnesium silicates
Luce, R. W., Bartlett, R. W., & Parks, G. A. (1972) · Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta · doi:10.1016/0016-7037(72)90119-6 · Cited by 384
The dissolution kinetics of feldspars at 25°C and 1 atm CO2 partial pressure
Busenberg, E., & Clemency, C. V. (1976) · Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta · doi:10.1016/0016-7037(76)90192-7 · Cited by 330
Mechanism of feldspar weathering—II. Observations of feldspars from soils
Berner, R. A., & Holdren, G. R. (1979) · Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta · doi:10.1016/0016-7037(79)90110-8 · Cited by 307
Research works printed but not linked: 5
- Goody R. M., 1972, Atmospheres
- Meybeck M., 1979, Concentrations des eaux fluviales en éléments majeurs et apports en solution aux océans, Rev. Géol. Dyn. Géogr. Phys., 21, 215
- Sellers W. D., 1965, Physical Climatology
- Walker J. C. G., 1977, Evolution of the Atmosphere
- 10.1175/1520-0469(1975)032<2044:TEOCTS>2.0.CO;2 · DOI
Cited by
Sorted by citations
An early Cenozoic perspective on greenhouse warming and carbon-cycle dynamics
Zachos, J. C., Dickens, G. R., & Zeebe, R. E. (2008) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature06588 · Cited by 3,550
Westerhold, T., Marwan, N., Drury, A. J., Liebrand, D., Agnini, C., Anagnostou, E., Barnet, J. S. K., Bohaty, S. M., Vleeschouwer, D. D., Florindo, F., et al. (2020) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aba6853 · Cited by 2,256
Kasting, J. F. (1993) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.11536547 · Cited by 1,374
Self-citationAlley, R. B., Marotzke, J., Nordhaus, W. D., Overpeck, J. T., Peteet, D. M., Pielke, R. A., Pierrehumbert, R. T., Rhines, P. B., Stocker, T. F., Talley, L. D., et al. (2003) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1081056 · Cited by 1,357
The snowball Earth hypothesis: testing the limits of global change
Hoffman, P. F., & Schrag, D. P. (2002) · Terra Nova · doi:10.1046/j.1365-3121.2002.00408.x · Cited by 1,585
Metadata
- Authors
- Walker, J. C. G., Hays, P. B., & Kasting, J. F.
- Affiliations
- University of Michigan (US)
- NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research (US)
- ORCID
- Kasting, J. F.
- Venue
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 1981-10-20
- Volume
- 86
- Issue
- C10
- Pages
- 9776-9782
- ISSN
- 0148-0227 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2097828895
- Cited by
- 2,310
- References
- 34
- Citations by year
- 2026: 119 · 2025: 148 · 2024: 141 · 2023: 159 · 2022: 116 · 2021: 128 · 2020: 146 · 2019: 124 · 2018: 99 · 2017: 75 · 2016: 71 · 2015: 82 · 2014: 77 · 2013: 76 · 2012: 57
- FWCI
- 10.64
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Earth Systems and Cosmic Evolution
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Keywords
- negative feedback loop, silicate weathering, carbonate sedimentation, greenhouse effect, carbon cycle
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
