Probability of relapse after recovery from an episode of depression
Abstract
Examined relapse rates in those individuals who have experienced an episode of unipolar depression as a function of the number of previous episodes, gender, age at onset of the episode (less than 40 vs. greater than 40), time since a previous episode, and depression level at time of interview. From of 6,742 participants, 2,046 were interviewed; of these, 1,130 had at least one, 513 reported a second and 173 reported a third episode. The probability for relapse was positively related to number of previous episodes, being female, depression level at time of interview, but not to age at onset (less than 40 vs. greater than 40). Women were also more likely to have more severe episodes. Participants with elevated depression symptoms reported a greater number of previous episodes. Following the first episode, there was a decline in hazard rate for men but not women; following the second episode, there was no change in vulnerability for men; for women, the results were ambiguous.
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Results of studies on sociodemographic factors (age, gender, socioeconomic status, marital status) as risk factors for recurrence have been inconsistent.
“Many studies showed that sociodemographic factors such as younger age, women, and those who have never been married were at higher risk of recurrence [7, 11–15]; however, results of other studies on these risk factors have been inconsistent.”
From Predictors of recurrence of major depressive disorder (2020) · cites this paper as [17]
In our study, age at onset of first MDE and gender did not predict subsequent episode of MDE.
“In terms of age at onset and gender, the results of our study replicated results of several earlier studies showing that age at onset of first MDE [17, 18, 59–60] and gender [16, 18, 59–61] did not predict subsequent episode of MDE.”
From Predictors of recurrence of major depressive disorder (2020) · cites this paper as [17]
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Self-citation
- Authors
- Lewinsohn, P. M., Zeiss, A. M., & Duncan, E. M.
- Affiliations
- Oregon Research Institute (US)
- ORCID
- Zeiss, Antonette M.
- Venue
- Journal of Abnormal Psychology
- Published
- 1989-05
- Volume
- 98
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 107-116
- ISSN
- 0021-843X (ISSN-L)
- 1939-1846
- OpenAlex
- W2022630246
- Cited by
- 149
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2025: 1 · 2024: 1 · 2023: 2 · 2022: 2 · 2021: 3 · 2020: 2 · 2019: 1 · 2018: 3 · 2017: 4 · 2016: 3 · 2015: 4 · 2014: 5 · 2013: 3 · 2012: 1
- FWCI
- 3.89
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of Abnormal Psychology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institute of Mental Health (MH 35672)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pharmacology › Treatment of Major Depression
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Social Psychology › Mental Health Treatment and Access
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Experimental and Cognitive Psychology › Anxiety, Depression, Psychometrics, Treatment, Cognitive Processes
- Keywords
- relapse, major depressive disorder, recurrent depression, gender differences, age of onset, depression severity, hazard function
- MeSH terms
- Actuarial Analysis, Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Depressive Disorder, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Oregon, Probability, Recurrence, Retrospective Studies, Sex Factors
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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