The DOI matches its Crossref record; 8 of the 8 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Strong claims and weak evidence: Reassessing the predictive validity of the IAT.
Open accessAbstract
The authors reanalyzed data from 2 influential studies-A. R. McConnell and J. M. Leibold and J. C. Ziegert and P. J. Hanges-that explore links between implicit bias and discriminatory behavior and that have been invoked to support strong claims about the predictive validity of the Implicit Association Test. In both of these studies, the inclusion of race Implicit Association Test scores in regression models reduced prediction errors by only tiny amounts, and Implicit Association Test scores did not permit prediction of individual-level behaviors. Furthermore, the results were not robust when the impact of rater reliability, statistical specifications, and/or outliers were taken into account, and reanalysis of A. R. McConnell & J. M. Leibold (2001) revealed a pattern of behavior consistent with a pro-Black behavioral bias, rather than the anti-Black bias suggested in the original study.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
The theory of planned behavior
Ajzen, I. (1991) · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · doi:10.1016/0749-5978(91)90020-t · Cited by 90,587
Attitude-behavior relations: A theoretical analysis and review of empirical research
Ajzen, I., & Fishbein, M. (1977) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/0033-2909.84.5.888 · Cited by 7,611 · cited 2×
“Researchers have long known that such measures are poor predictors of specific behaviors ( Ajzen & Fishbein, 1977 ) and represent outdated and long-ago rejected representations of viable attitude–behavior models.”
Orne, M. T. (1962) · American Psychologist · doi:10.1037/h0043424 · Cited by 4,041
THEORY OF GENERALIZABILITY: A LIBERALIZATION OF RELIABILITY THEORY†
Cronbach, L. J., Rajaratnam, N., & Gleser, G. C. (1963) · British Journal of Statistical Psychology · doi:10.1111/j.2044-8317.1963.tb00206.x · Cited by 737
Lodge, M., & Taber, C. S. (2005) · Political Psychology · doi:10.1111/j.1467-9221.2005.00426.x · Cited by 588
The poor availability of psychological research data for reanalysis.
Wicherts, J. M., Borsboom, D., Kats, J., & Molenaar, D. (2006) · American Psychologist · doi:10.1037/0003-066x.61.7.726 · Cited by 543
Do frequency representations eliminate conjunction effects? An exercise in adversarial collaboration
Mellers, B., Hertwig, R., & Kahneman, D. (2001) · Psychological Science · doi:10.1111/1467-9280.00350 · Cited by 448
Self-citationCharter, R. A. (2003) · The Journal of General Psychology · doi:10.1080/00221300309601160 · Cited by 254 · cited 2×
“Charter (2003) reported a median interjudge reliability coefficient of .90 across a wide range of studies and recommended .70 as a minimal acceptable correlation between judges’ ratings.”
Cited by
Best-practice recommendations for defining, identifying, and handling outliers
Aguinis, H., Gottfredson, R. K., & Joo, H. (2013) · Organizational Research Methods · doi:10.1177/1094428112470848 · Cited by 1,341
Long-term reduction in implicit race bias: A prejudice habit-breaking intervention
Devine, P. G., Forscher, P. S., Austin, A. J., & Cox, W. T. L. (2012) · Journal of Experimental Social Psychology · doi:10.1016/j.jesp.2012.06.003 · Cited by 1,259
Implicit cognition and addiction: a tool for explaining paradoxical behavior
Stacy, A. W., & Wiers, R. W. (2010) · Annual Review of Clinical Psychology · doi:10.1146/annurev.clinpsy.121208.131444 · Cited by 607
Wicherts, J. M., Bakker, M., & Molenaar, D. (2011) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0026828 · Cited by 424
Reflective and Automatic Processes in the Initiation and Maintenance of Dietary Change
Rothman, A. J., Sheeran, P., & Wood, W. (2009) · Annals of Behavioral Medicine · doi:10.1007/s12160-009-9118-3 · Cited by 368
Metadata
- Authors
- Blanton, H., Jaccard, J., Klick, J., Mellers, B., Mitchell, G., & Tetlock, P. E.
- Venue
- Journal of Applied Psychology
- Published
- 2009-05
- Volume
- 94
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 567-582
- ISSN
- 0021-9010 (ISSN-L)
- 1939-1854
- OpenAlex
- W2118161574
- Cited by
- 295
- References
- 8
- FWCI
- 42.33
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Strong claims and weak evidence: Reassessing the predictive validity of the IAT. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1037/a0014665
- The paper
- Blanton, H., Jaccard, J., Klick, J., Mellers, B., Mitchell, G., & Tetlock, P. E. (2009). Strong claims and weak evidence: Reassessing the predictive validity of the IAT. Journal of Applied Psychology. https://doi.org/10.1037/a0014665
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.