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Will a Large Complex System be Stable?

MAY, ROBERT M.·1972·Nature

DOI 10.1038/238413a0

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Wigner, E. P., Proc. Fourth Canad. Math. Cong., Toronto, 174 (1959).
Mehta, M. L., Random Matrices, 12 (Academic Press, New York, 1967).
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Authors: MAY, R. M.
Affiliations: The University of Sydney (AU)
Corresponding author: MAY, ROBERT M.
Venue: Nature
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Published: 1972-08
Volume: 238
Issue: 5364
Pages: 413-414
ISSN: 0028-0836 (ISSN-L)
1476-4687
DOI: 10.1038/238413a0
OpenAlex: W2049546703
Cited by: 2,869
References: 4
Citations by year: 2026: 149 · 2025: 175 · 2024: 191 · 2023: 172 · 2022: 206 · 2021: 152 · 2020: 162 · 2019: 131 · 2018: 132 · 2017: 123 · 2016: 114 · 2015: 104 · 2014: 89 · 2013: 87 · 2012: 66
FWCI: 12.97
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: closed
Licence: www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
Locations: Nature (publishedVersion)
PubMed (publishedVersion)
Topics: Physical Sciences › Physics and Astronomy › Statistical and Nonlinear Physics › Complex Systems and Dynamics
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Ecosystem dynamics and resilience
Physical Sciences › Physics and Astronomy › Statistical and Nonlinear Physics › Complex Network Analysis Techniques
Keywords: complex systems, stability, connectance, random connectivity, system instability
MeSH terms: Ecology, Models, Theoretical

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Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

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Will a Large Complex System be Stable?

Overview

Integrity signals

Verification

Claims the paper makes

Claims other papers make about this one

Citations

Cites

Cited by

Related

Metadata

Record

About these checks