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Thrifty genes for obesity, an attractive but flawed idea, and an alternative perspective: the ‘drifty gene’ hypothesis
Abstract
Almost 50 years ago Neel proposed a hypothesis to explain the prevalence of obesity and diabetes in modern society--the 'thrifty gene' hypothesis. The fundamental basis of the hypothesis was that, in our early evolutionary history, genes, that promoted efficient fat deposition would have been advantageous because they allowed their holders to survive at periods of famine. In modern society, such genes are disadvantageous because they promote fat deposition in preparation for a famine that never comes, and the result is widespread obesity and diabetes. In recent years I, and others, have questioned some of the fundamental assumptions of this hypothesis--particularly focusing on whether differential survival of lean against obese in famines provides sufficient selective pressure for the spread of so-called 'thrifty genes'. These arguments have been criticized because famines not only affect survival but also fecundity, and obese people would be expected to sustain fecundity longer in the face of food shortages. In this paper, I show that the reduced fecundity argument is flawed because famines are almost universally followed by periods of enhanced fecundity, which offsets the decline observed during the famine itself. The net effect of famines on fecundity is consequently insufficient to rescue the thrifty gene idea. Elsewhere, I have suggested an alternative scenario that subsections of the population have a genetic predisposition to obesity due to an absence of selection, combined with genetic drift. The scenario presented earlier was based on evidence from prehistory concerning the release of our ancestors from heavy predation pressure around 2 million years ago. I suggest here that this is one of a number of potential scenarios based on random genetic drift that may explain the specific aetiology of the obesity epidemic. Together, these alternatives, based on central notion that genetic drift rather than positive selection was a dominant factor, may be called the 'drifty gene' hypothesis.
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“Biological traits like strong attraction to food and food cues, slow satiety mechanisms, and high metabolic efficiency, advantageous for survival in a scarce environment, seem now to be our worst enemies when it comes to resisting an abundance of food”
From Food reward, hyperphagia, and obesity (2011) · cites this paper as [169]
In the citing paper
“the current obesity epidemic is best explained as a mismatch between the modern environment/lifestyle and biological response patterns that evolved in a scarce environment.”
From Food reward, hyperphagia, and obesity (2011) · cites this paper as [169]
In the citing paper
“Biological traits like strong attraction to food and food cues, slow satiety mechanisms, and high metabolic efficiency, advantageous for survival in a scarce environment, seem now to be our worst enemies when it comes to resisting an abundance of food”
From Food reward, hyperphagia, and obesity (2011) · cites this paper as [169]
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Metadata
- Authors
- Speakman, J. R.
- Affiliations
- University of Aberdeen (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Speakman, J R
- ORCID
- Speakman, J R
- Venue
- International Journal of Obesity
- Published
- 2008-10-14
- Volume
- 32
- Issue
- 11
- Pages
- 1611-1617
- ISSN
- 0307-0565 (ISSN-L)
- 1476-5497
- OpenAlex
- W2110693856
- Cited by
- 361
- References
- 150
- Citations by year
- 2026: 16 · 2025: 10 · 2024: 18 · 2023: 14 · 2022: 12 · 2021: 16 · 2020: 15 · 2019: 54 · 2018: 22 · 2017: 20 · 2016: 18 · 2015: 25 · 2014: 27 · 2013: 19 · 2012: 22
- FWCI
- 10.07
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- International Journal of Obesity (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Evolution and Genetic Dynamics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Obesity, Physical Activity, Diet
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic Associations and Epidemiology
- Keywords
- thrifty gene hypothesis, obesity, diabetes mellitus, famine, fecundity, genetic drift, positive selection, predation pressure, human evolution
- MeSH terms
- Body Composition, Fertility, Humans, Obesity, Selection, Genetic, Starvation, Genetic Predisposition to Disease, Genetic Drift, Adiposity
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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