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Influence of the intertropical convergence zone on the East Asian monsoon
Open accessAbstract
The Asian-Australian monsoon is an important component of the Earth's climate system that influences the societal and economic activity of roughly half the world's population. The past strength of the rain-bearing East Asian summer monsoon can be reconstructed with archives such as cave deposits, but the winter monsoon has no such signature in the hydrological cycle and has thus proved difficult to reconstruct. Here we present high-resolution records of the magnetic properties and the titanium content of the sediments of Lake Huguang Maar in coastal southeast China over the past 16,000 years, which we use as proxies for the strength of the winter monsoon winds. We find evidence for stronger winter monsoon winds before the Bølling-Allerød warming, during the Younger Dryas episode and during the middle and late Holocene, when cave stalagmites suggest weaker summer monsoons. We conclude that this anticorrelation is best explained by migrations in the intertropical convergence zone. Similar migrations of the intertropical convergence zone have been observed in Central America for the period ad 700 to 900 (refs 4-6), suggesting global climatic changes at that time. From the coincidence in timing, we suggest that these migrations in the tropical rain belt could have contributed to the declines of both the Tang dynasty in China and the Classic Maya in Central America.
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“Third, it may not be possible to assess the intensity of winter monsoons through titanium concentrations.”
From Climate change and Chinese history: a review of trends, topics, and methods (2015) · cites this paper as [26]
In the citing paper
“First, the suggestion that the climate in China became colder in the mid-eighth century is not novel.”
From Climate change and Chinese history: a review of trends, topics, and methods (2015) · cites this paper as [26]
In the citing paper
“Fourth, Yancheva et al. appear to have thought, wrongly, that the war with the Arabs contributed to the collapse of the Tang dynasty.25,26”
From Climate change and Chinese history: a review of trends, topics, and methods (2015) · cites this paper as [26]
In the citing paper
“Second, the idea that droughts occurred in the summer because of more powerful winter and weaker summer monsoons does not correspond with historical records.”
From Climate change and Chinese history: a review of trends, topics, and methods (2015) · cites this paper as [26]
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BackgroundInterruptions of the ancient Shu Civilization: triggered by climate change or natural disaster?
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“(a) Total content of the three marine biomarkers (SUM) in core ZY1 (ng g, dotted line) and core ZY2 (ng g, solid line); (b) The alkenone/brassicasterol (A/B) ratio in core ZY1 (dotted line) and core ZY2 (solid line); (c) Magnetic susceptibility (10e) record from Huguang Maar Lake sediment core (Yancheva et al., 2007).”
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“Likewise, the southward displacement of the ITCZ resulted in a weaker East Asian (summer) Monsoon [Yancheva et al., 2007], which likely promoted the salinification of western tropical Pacific [Rosenthal et al., 2003] during North Atlantic cold phases of the deglaciation (Figure 3f).”
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“This southward shift of the ITCZ, possibly driven by decreasing summer insolation in the Northern Hemisphere, could also cause a progressive cooling of the western Pacific warm pool (Stott et al., 2004) in line with the d18O record from Greenland (Fig.”
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“, 2007), and of precipitation, wind regimes, and chemical weathering (Maher and Thompson, 1991; Yancheva et al., 2007; Jeong et al., 2011).”
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“Lake sediments can often be dated reliably and at high resolution, they accumulate rapidly, and a wide range of sensitive environmental proxies are available; hence, lake sediments are important archives of information on environmental evolution (Chen et al., 2013a, 2015; Shen et al., 2005; Yancheva et al., 2007).”
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“Furthermore, two recent palaeoclimatic records with time-resolution better than 5 years have shown that the decline of the East Asian summer monsoon, and thus reduced rainfall, was simply, but definitely, responsible for China’s dynastic transition (Yancheva et al., 2007; Zhang et al., 2008).”
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“Furthermore, this relationship was also confirmed by several records from not only in the ISM region but also in the Eastern Asian summer monsoon (EASM) region, for example, δ18O records of a stalagmite from Tianmen Cave in the Central Tibetan Plateau (Cai et al., 2012) and high-resolution records of the magnetic prop…”
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“In the Asian monsoonal region, there have been numerous studies of moisture changes during the YD period (e.g. An et al., 2012; Chen et al., 2015; Hong et al., 2010; Huang et al., 2012; Liu et al., 2008; Qiang et al., 2013; Russell et al., 2014; Shen et al., 2005; Stebich et al., 2011; Yancheva et al., 2007; Yang et a…”
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“This failure, coupled with a stronger AWM (Yancheva et al. 2007) and weaker Indian Summer Monsoon (Sinha et al.”
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Middle to late Holocene environmental evolution and sea level change on the west coast of Bohai Bay
Wang, S., Li, Y., Fan, B., Cao, Y., You, H., Wang, R., Ge, Y., Da, S., She, Z., Zhang, Z., et al. (2023) · Quaternary International · doi:10.1016/j.quaint.2023.06.009 · Cited by 15
Chen, S., Liu, J., Ma, S., Fan, Y., Jia, J., Chen, J., & Chen, F. (2024) · Global and Planetary Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104524 · Cited by 15
Self-citationCovarying Hydroclimate Patterns between Monsoonal Asia and North America over the Past 600 Years
Fang, K., Chen, D., Li, J., & Seppä, H. (2014) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-13-00364.1 · Cited by 15
Climate in Sundaland and Asian monsoon variability during the last deglaciation
Chabangborn, A., Yamoah, K. A., Phantuwongraj, S., & Choowong, M. (2017) · Quaternary International · doi:10.1016/j.quaint.2017.04.017 · Cited by 15
Sun, C., Wang, L., Plunkett, G., Zhang, E., & Liu, J. (2021) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2020gl090582 · Cited by 16
Self-citationApplication of Avaatech X-ray fluorescence core-scanning in Sr/Ca analysis of speleothems
Li, D., Tan, L., Guo, F., Cai, Y., Sun, Y., Xue, G., Cheng, X., Yan, H., Cheng, H., Edwards, R. L., et al. (2019) · Science China Earth Sciences · doi:10.1007/s11430-018-9344-2 · Cited by 15
Shukla, T., Mehta, M., Dobhal, D. P., Bohra, A. K., Pratap, B., & Kumar, A. (2020) · The Holocene · doi:10.1177/0959683620908654 · Cited by 15
“…precipitation during summer months via northward migration of the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ; Chao and Chen, 2001; Gadgil et al., 2003; Yancheva et al., 2007), whereas the MLW bring moisture from the Mediterranean, Black and Caspian seas and deliver over the northwestern (NW) Himalaya…”
BackgroundEvidence and modeling study of droughts in China during 4-2 ka BP
Wang, S., Huang, J., Wen, X., & Zhu, J. (2008) · 中国科学通报:英文版 · doi:10.1007/s11434-008-0303-8 · Cited by 15
Hu, N., Huang, P., Zhang, H., Zhang, Y., Shi, X., Liu, J., & Fan, X. (2020) · Continental Shelf Research · doi:10.1016/j.csr.2020.104277 · Cited by 14
Self-citationLi, Y., Wu, D., Wang, T., Chen, L., Zhang, C., & Guo, S. (2022) · Palaeogeography Palaeoclimatology Palaeoecology · doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2023.111442 · Cited by 13
Liang, D., Wu, S., Xu, G., Xia, C., Gao, F., Lin, Y., Du, J., & Jia, L. (2023) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-023-40721-5 · Cited by 14
“8b) ratios align with climate records during certain periods (such as YD and Bond events 2 and 5) 24,60,62 , but an inverse correlation has been observed during other cold periods, such as Bond events 0, 1, 3, 4, and 6-8-7.”
BackgroundLi, Y., Wang, N., Morrill, C., Anderson, D. M., Li, Z., Zhang, C., & Zhou, X. (2012) · Palaeogeography Palaeoclimatology Palaeoecology · doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2012.09.032 · Cited by 14
Yamamoto, N., Kitamura, A., Irino, T., Kase, T., & Ohashi, S.-I. (2010) · Global and Planetary Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.01.025 · Cited by 14
“As noted above, a weak summer monsoon and strong winter monsoon occur during times of weak solar activity (Neff et al., 2001; Fleitmann et al., 2003; Lim et al., 2005; Wang et al., 2005; Xiao et al., 2006; Yancheva et al., 2007).”
BackgroundInfluentialRits, D. S., Beets, C. J., Prins, M. A., van Balen, R. T., Troelstra, S. R., Luo, C., Wang, B., Li, X., Zhou, J., & Zheng, H. (2017) · Palaeogeography Palaeoclimatology Palaeoecology · doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2017.05.030 · Cited by 14
Jiang, W., Yu, K., Song, Y., Zhao, J., Feng, Y., Wang, Y., Xu, S., & Han, T. (2018) · Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology · doi:10.1002/2017pa003267 · Cited by 14
“…marine sediments (Huang et al., 2011; Nagashima et al., 2007; Steinke et al., 2010; Tian et al., 2010), and lacustrine sequences (Wang et al., 2012; Yancheva et al., 2007) and the δ18O values of stalagmites from the Japanese Islands (Sone et al., 2013) have been used to evaluate the intensity of…”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialHamilton, R. J., Penny, D., & Hua, Q. (2018) · Global and Planetary Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2018.12.009 · Cited by 14
Abrupt change in Vietnam coastal upwelling as a response to global warming
Xu, L., Ji, C., Kong, D., & Guo, M. (2021) · Journal of Quaternary Science · doi:10.1002/jqs.3292 · Cited by 15
Projected Changes in the East Asian Hydrological Cycle for Different Levels of Future Global Warming
Chevuturi, A., Klingaman, N. P., Turner, A. G., Guo, L., & Vidale, P. L. (2022) · Atmosphere · doi:10.3390/atmos13030405 · Cited by 14
Lee, J. G., Yi, S., & Lim, J. (2024) · CATENA · doi:10.1016/j.catena.2024.108032 · Cited by 14
Zhao, M., Ding, L., Xing, L., Qiao, S., & Yang, Z. (2014) · Journal of Ocean University of China · doi:10.1007/s11802-014-2641-2 · Cited by 14
“Because it is well established that the East Asia summer and winter monsoons have an anti-phase relationship (Yancheva et al., 2007), it could be inferred from these summer monsoon records that the winter monsoon intensity increased significantly during the mid-late Holocene.”
BackgroundYue, L., & Sun, H. (2013) · Journal of Systematics and Evolution · doi:10.1111/jse.12038 · Cited by 14
“Thus, populations of S. ramalana could have experienced several expansion events during the Quaternary, mainly caused by climate oscillation as described in another study (Yang et al., 2008).”
BackgroundInfluentialCharacteristics of the East Asian summer monsoon in the South Sea of Korea during the Little Ice Age
Kong, G. S., Kim, K.-O., & Kim, S.-P. (2012) · Quaternary International · doi:10.1016/j.quaint.2012.07.022 · Cited by 14
A ∼ 3000 years-old sequence of extreme events revealed by marine and shore deposits east of Taiwan
Lallemand, S., Lehu, R., Rétif, F., Hsu, S., Babonneau, N., Ratzov, G., Bassetti, M., Dézileau, L., Hsieh, M.-L., & Dominguez, S. (2015) · Tectonophysics · doi:10.1016/j.tecto.2015.11.001 · Cited by 16
“Such trend in the monsoon precipitation has been observed elsewhere in China or even Oman and considered as a global phenomenon (Yancheva et al., 2007).”
BackgroundYamada, K., Masuma, T., Sakai, S., Seto, K., Ogusa, H., & Irizuki, T. (2016) · Geology · doi:10.1130/g37535.1 · Cited by 14
Metadata
- Authors
- Yancheva, G., Nowaczyk, N. R., Mingram, J., Dulski, P., Schettler, G., Negendank, J. F. W., Liu, J., Sigman, D. M., Peterson, L. C., & Haug, G. H.
- Affiliations
- GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences (DE)
- Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN)
- Princeton University (US)
- University of Miami (US)
- Corresponding author
- Haug, Gerald H.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Nature
- Published
- 2007-01-04
- Volume
- 445
- Issue
- 7123
- Pages
- 74-77
- ISSN
- 0028-0836 (ISSN-L)
- 1476-4687
- OpenAlex
- W2040945899
- Semantic Scholar
- fb1091bd698430b3e144d519cfb7c255993750d9
- Cited by
- 944
- References
- 30
- Citations by year
- 2026: 42 · 2025: 51 · 2024: 52 · 2023: 53 · 2022: 57 · 2021: 57 · 2020: 49 · 2019: 38 · 2018: 53 · 2017: 41 · 2016: 51 · 2015: 62 · 2014: 67 · 2013: 48 · 2012: 43
- FWCI
- 31.11
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- Licence
- Locations
- Nature (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Publication Database GFZ (GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences) (submittedVersion)
- Publication Database GFZ (GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Tree-ring climate responses
- Keywords
- Intertropical Convergence Zone, East Asian winter monsoon, East Asian summer monsoon, ITCZ migration, lake sediments, magnetic properties, titanium content, monsoon strength, Holocene, Younger Dryas, Bølling-Allerød, drought, Cariaco Basin, paleoclimate
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