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Influence of the intertropical convergence zone on the East Asian monsoon
Open accessAbstract
The Asian-Australian monsoon is an important component of the Earth's climate system that influences the societal and economic activity of roughly half the world's population. The past strength of the rain-bearing East Asian summer monsoon can be reconstructed with archives such as cave deposits, but the winter monsoon has no such signature in the hydrological cycle and has thus proved difficult to reconstruct. Here we present high-resolution records of the magnetic properties and the titanium content of the sediments of Lake Huguang Maar in coastal southeast China over the past 16,000 years, which we use as proxies for the strength of the winter monsoon winds. We find evidence for stronger winter monsoon winds before the Bølling-Allerød warming, during the Younger Dryas episode and during the middle and late Holocene, when cave stalagmites suggest weaker summer monsoons. We conclude that this anticorrelation is best explained by migrations in the intertropical convergence zone. Similar migrations of the intertropical convergence zone have been observed in Central America for the period ad 700 to 900 (refs 4-6), suggesting global climatic changes at that time. From the coincidence in timing, we suggest that these migrations in the tropical rain belt could have contributed to the declines of both the Tang dynasty in China and the Classic Maya in Central America.
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In the citing paper
“Third, it may not be possible to assess the intensity of winter monsoons through titanium concentrations.”
From Climate change and Chinese history: a review of trends, topics, and methods (2015) · cites this paper as [26]
In the citing paper
“First, the suggestion that the climate in China became colder in the mid-eighth century is not novel.”
From Climate change and Chinese history: a review of trends, topics, and methods (2015) · cites this paper as [26]
In the citing paper
“Fourth, Yancheva et al. appear to have thought, wrongly, that the war with the Arabs contributed to the collapse of the Tang dynasty.25,26”
From Climate change and Chinese history: a review of trends, topics, and methods (2015) · cites this paper as [26]
In the citing paper
“Second, the idea that droughts occurred in the summer because of more powerful winter and weaker summer monsoons does not correspond with historical records.”
From Climate change and Chinese history: a review of trends, topics, and methods (2015) · cites this paper as [26]
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“The trend corresponds approximately to the curve for the East Asian winter monsoon (Yancheva et al., 2007; Zhou et al., 2007).”
BackgroundImpact of ENSO on East Asian winter monsoon during interglacial periods: effect of orbital forcing
An, S., Kim, H.-J., Park, W., & Schneider, B. (2017) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3506-8 · Cited by 14
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“Both temperature and humidity show millennial-scale fluctuations prior to c. 4000 cal. yr BP, primarily modulated by large-scale ocean–atmosphere interactions in the tropical Pacific (Moy et al., 2002; Stott et al., 2002; Yancheva et al., 2007).”
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Du, S., Xiang, R., Liu, J., Yan, H., Sha, L., Liu, P., Chen, Z., Islam, G. M. A., & Herath, D. B. (2020) · Palaeogeography Palaeoclimatology Palaeoecology · doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2020.110093 · Cited by 13
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“Otherwise, the relation to grain size indicates that MS also reflects changes in the AWM strength in this paper (Li and Morrill, 2015; Yancheva et al., 2007).”
BackgroundApplication of XRF Scanning to Different Geological Archives
Guo, F., Clemens, S. C., Liu, X., Long, Y., Li, D., Tan, L., Liu, C., Yan, H., & Sun, Y. (2021) · Earth and Space Science · doi:10.1029/2020ea001589 · Cited by 13
“Due to its convenient, fast and nondestructive advantages, high-resolution XRF core scanning has gradually been utilized to study the geochemical characteristics of lake sediments, loess, peat, and stalagmites as well (Finné et al., 2015; Francus et al., 2009; Kasper et al., 2012; Kylander et al., 2011; Liang et al.,…”
BackgroundZheng, X., Li, A., Wan, S., Jiang, F., Yin, X., & Lu, J. (2015) · Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology · doi:10.1007/s00343-015-4089-7 · Cited by 13
“…in the early Holocene is similar to proxies of the East Asian winter monsoon, including magnetic susceptibility of sediment in Huguangyan maar lake of Zhanjiang and median loess grain size in Duowa village, Qinghai Province (Maher and Hu, 2006;Yancheva et al., 2007; Zheng et al., 2014a) (Fig.6).”
BackgroundInfluentialGao, Y., Li, Z., & Zhu, R. (2022) · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2021jd035815 · Cited by 13
“Investigating the processes and mechanisms of ASM based on geologic records (Cai et al., 2012; Chen et al., 2016a; Jiang & Ding, 2008; Yancheva et al., 2007) is essential to reveal the relationship between multi-scale monsoon evolution and global climate change related to the interactions of the land, ocean, and atmos…”
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The possible climate impact on the collapse of an ancient urban city in Mu Us Desert, China
Cui, J., & Chang, H. (2012) · Regional Environmental Change · doi:10.1007/s10113-012-0345-y · Cited by 13
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“The East Asian summer monsoon was strong during the mid-Holocene (Wang et al., 2005), and the strengthened monsoon would have led to a more northerly position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) (Yancheva et al., 2007).”
BackgroundDynamics of the ITCZ Boundary Layer
Gonzalez, A. O., Slocum, C. J., Taft, R. K., & Schubert, W. H. (2015) · Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences · doi:10.1175/jas-d-15-0298.1 · Cited by 13
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Self-citationLarge-scale vegetation response to the 8.2 ka BP cooling event in East Asia
Zhao, W., Li, H., Chen, C., & Renssen, H. (2022) · Palaeogeography Palaeoclimatology Palaeoecology · doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2022.111303 · Cited by 13
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“This severe climatic interval can be correlated to the substantial decay of the Asian summer monsoon (Wang et al. 2005; Yancheva et al. 2007), which ultimately pushed China’s Neolithic civilization into the dynastic period.”
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“Asia over long temporal and large spatial scales (Wang et al. 2001; Yancheva et al. 2007; Cook et al. 2010).”
BackgroundUpper Water Structure and Paleo-Monsoon5
Jian, Z., Tian, J., & Sun, X. (2009) · Developments in paleoenvironmental research · doi:10.1007/978-1-4020-9745-4_5 · Cited by 13
Fishes and fisheries of Asian inland lacustrine waters
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Wet season rainfall onset and flash drought: The case of the northern Australian wet season
Lisonbee, J., Ribbe, J., Otkin, J. A., & Pudmenzky, C. (2022) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.7609 · Cited by 12
Ma, P., Ma, C., Yang, S., & Fernandez, A. R. (2023) · Global and Planetary Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2023.104072 · Cited by 12
Liang, D., Xu, G., Gao, F., Wen, L., Jia, L., Liu, L., Jiao, D., Yang, C., & Wu, S. (2023) · Frontiers in Earth Science · doi:10.3389/feart.2023.1192206 · Cited by 12
The spatio-temporal evolution of the Chongzhen drought (1627–1644) in China and its impact on famine
Chen, S., Su, Y., Chen, X., & Yang, L. E. (2024) · Climate of the past · doi:10.5194/cp-20-2287-2024 · Cited by 12
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“, 2011), which is in contrast to the East Asian Monsoon system that shows an asynchronous relationship between summer and winter monsoon strength at the millennial scale (Yancheva et al., 2007).”
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High-frequency shifts in the Indian summer monsoon following termination of the YD event
Gupta, A. K., Singh, R. K., Dutt, S., Cheng, H., Clemens, S. C., & Kathayat, G. (2021) · Quaternary Science Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2021.106888 · Cited by 12
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“The same fate befell the Ming dynasty [18,19,28,29].”
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“This method, while still considered novel, has been used to create reconstructions of past environmental change from lake sediment deposits (e.g. Giguet-Covex et al., 2011; Metcalfe et al., 2010; Moreno et al., 2008; Yancheva et al., 2007).”
MethodSilicon isotope composition of diatoms as a paleoenvironmental proxy in Lake Huguangyan, South China
Chen, J., Li, J., Tian, S., Калугин, И. А., Darin, A. V., & Xu, S. (2011) · Journal of Asian Earth Sciences · doi:10.1016/j.jseaes.2011.11.010 · Cited by 12
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“Conversely, the multi-centennial warm and humid climate potentially promoted the thriving of powerful dynasties (such as Han, Tang, and Ming) in Chinese history (Yancheva et al., 2007; Zhang et al., 2008).”
BackgroundThe significance of maar volcanoes for palaeoclimatic studies in China
Wu, J., Zhu, Z., Sun, C., Rioual, P., Chu, G., & Liu, J. (2018) · Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research · doi:10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2018.09.004 · Cited by 12
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Magnetic response to pedogenesis in aerobic soils of different weathering degree
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“Similarly, a strong positive correlation of summer monsoon wind strength and ITCZ activity is also revealed in the Asian region (e.g. Yancheva et al. 2007).”
BackgroundKempf, M., Depaermentier, M. L. C., Spengler, R. N., Frachetti, M. D., Chen, F., Luterbacher, J., Xoplaki, E., & Büntgen, U. (2025) · Communications Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43247-025-03038-x · Cited by 10
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Self-citationA Persistent Coast Mode of Precipitation in Southeast China Over the Last Millennium
Cao, J., Chen, F., Chu, G., & Jia, G. (2024) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2024gl109379 · Cited by 11
“And that increased precipitation would increase chemical weathering (Yancheva et al., 2007).”
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“ice core in Greenland (Grootes et al. 1993) and Chinese stalagmites ( Wang et al. 2008 ).”
BackgroundZhang, X., Zhou, A., Huang, Z., An, C., Zhao, Y., Yin, L., & Russell, J. M. (2020) · Quaternary Research · doi:10.1017/qua.2020.94 · Cited by 11
“3d and f), detrended clr-transformed Ti (used as a proxy of aeolian inputs; Yancheva et al., 2007; Yu et al., 2016b), and the sand dune dust records from the Balikun Basin (Ji et al., 2019) exhibit consistent variations during the last 8000 years (Fig.”
MethodMakwana, N., Prizomwala, S. P., Das, A., Phartiyal, B., Sodhi, A., & Vedpathak, C. (2021) · Frontiers in Earth Science · doi:10.3389/feart.2021.679689 · Cited by 11
“Major elemental concentration in sediments, mineral magnetics, and grain size often reflects the source of the origin, which were being used as effective proxies to demonstrate the intensity of chemical weathering, climate changes, and precipitation variations in the region (Staubwasser and Sirocko 2002; Yancheva et a…”
BackgroundZhang, J., Tomczak, M., Witkowski, A., Zhen, X., & Li, C. (2022) · Oceanologia · doi:10.1016/j.oceano.2022.05.004 · Cited by 11
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“The winter monsoon was weaker, whereas the summer monsoon was stronger along with strengthening summer insolation (Figures 10l–10n; Dykoski et al., 2005; Yancheva et al., 2007).”
BackgroundInfluentialHao, Z., Sun, D., & Zheng, J. (2015) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0131159 · Cited by 11
“[6] and Zhang and Lu [7] disputed whether the collapse of the Tang Dynasty was associated with the development of an anti-phase relationship between the EAWM and EASM; since then, the development of long-term high-resolution reconstructions of intensity changes of the EAWM and EASM has become an urgent priority.”
BackgroundHuang, J., Wang, S., Wen, X., & Yang, B. S. (2008) · Progress in Natural Science Materials International · doi:10.1016/j.pnsc.2008.05.011 · Cited by 11
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Self-citationBuried Ancient Forest and Implications for Paleoclimate Since the Mid-Holocene in South China
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“It was mostly noted in the low-latitude areas (Haug et al. 2001; Yancheva et al. 2007) and corresponded to the final stage of the Maya collapse (Hodell et al.”
BackgroundInfluentialSun, H., Li, T., Liu, C., Chang, F., Sun, R., Xiong, Z., & An, B. (2017) · Palaeogeography Palaeoclimatology Palaeoecology · doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2017.07.008 · Cited by 11
Raja, P., Achyuthan, H., Farooqui, A., Ramesh, R., Kumar, P., & Chopra, S. (2018) · Quaternary Research · doi:10.1017/qua.2018.58 · Cited by 11
“Higher summer insolation in India with an increase in the Indian Ocean Sea Surface Temperature (SST) shifted the ITCZ to northern latitudes (Peterson and Haug, 2006; Yancheva et al., 2007; Roy and Singhvi, 2016), bringing in more summer precipitation during latest Pleistocene and Pleistocene–Holocene transition.”
BackgroundWang, L., Li, G., Xu, J., Liu, Y., Qiao, L., Ding, D., Yang, J., Dada, O. A., & Li, Q. (2019) · Quaternary Research · doi:10.1017/qua.2019.29 · Cited by 11
“1a; Yancheva et al., 2007), which has made a great contribution to the local circulation development (Fig.”
BackgroundA detailed East Asian monsoon history of Greenland Interstadial 21 in southeastern China
Zhang, X., Xiao, H., Chou, Y.-C., Cai, B., Lone, M. A., Shen, C., & Jiang, X. (2020) · Palaeogeography Palaeoclimatology Palaeoecology · doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2020.109752 · Cited by 11
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“, 2001; Maher and Possolo, 2013) and winter monsoon strength (Yancheva et al., 2007).”
BackgroundInfluentialUchikawa, J., Popp, B. N., Schoonmaker, J. E., Timmermann, A., & Lorenz, S. J. (2010) · Quaternary Science Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2010.07.014 · Cited by 11
“A southward shift of the ITCZ results in weakened southeasterly cross-equatorial trade winds south of the equator, and thus results in awarming of the cold tongue in the EEP via reduced upwelling and wind-evaporation.”
BackgroundInfluentialYancheva, G., Nowaczyk, N. R., Mingram, J., Dulski, P., Schettler, G., Negendank, J. F. W., Liu, J., Sigman, D. M., Peterson, L. C., & Haug, G. H. (2007) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature06339 · Cited by 10
Self-citationLiu, H., Jiang, M., Yu, Z., Kang, W., Shen, Z., Dong, H., Chen, S., Yan, X., & Liu, J. (2023) · Quaternary Science Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2023.108465 · Cited by 10
Self-citationZhong, Y., Liu, Y., Du, X., Shi, X., Xu, X., Lu, Z., Kaboth‐Bahr, S., Dekkers, M. J., Larrasoaña, J. C., Horikawa, K., et al. (2024) · Global and Planetary Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104676 · Cited by 10
Self-citationCombined µ-XRF and Microfacies Techniques for Lake Sediment Analyses
Dulski, P., Brauer, A., & Mangili, C. (2015) · Developments in paleoenvironmental research · doi:10.1007/978-94-017-9849-5_12 · Cited by 10
Self-citationTang, L., Zhou, W., Wang, X., Xian, F., Du, Y., Zhou, J., Chu, G., Zhao, G., & Zhang, L. (2019) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2019gl082863 · Cited by 10
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“During the past three decades, EASM changes have been revealed by climate proxy records from lake sediments (F. H. Chen et al., 2015; J. Liu et al., 2021; Yancheva et al., 2007), caves (speleothem oxygen isotopes) (Cheng et al.”
BackgroundLi, B., Feng, Q., Wang, F., Li, Z., Wang, X., Li, R., & Chen, W. (2023) · Palaeogeography Palaeoclimatology Palaeoecology · doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2023.111523 · Cited by 10
Basin-wide Holocene environmental changes in the marginal area of the Asian monsoon, northwest China
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“In recent years many papers have been published about Holocene environmental and climatic changes in the Asian monsoon domain (e.g. Thompson et al. 1997; Wang et al. 1999, 2005a, b; Fleitmann et al. 2003; Yuan et al. 2004; Yancheva et al. 2007).”
BackgroundA framework of numerical simulation on moraine-dammed glacial lake outburst floods
Zhang, X., & Liu, S. (2015) · Journal of Arid Land · doi:10.1007/s40333-015-0133-x · Cited by 10
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Self-citationHolocene surface hydroclimate changes in the Indo-Pacific warm pool
Li, Z., Chen, M., Lin, D.-C., Wang, H., Shi, X., Liu, S., Yokoyama, Y., Yamamoto, M., Shen, C., Mii, H., et al. (2018) · Quaternary International · doi:10.1016/j.quaint.2018.04.027 · Cited by 10
Sun, W., Jiang, Q., Liu, E., Chang, J. C., & Zhang, E. (2018) · Journal of Limnology · doi:10.4081/jlimnol.2018.1762 · Cited by 10
Zhou, P., Yan, H., Shi, G., Liu, C., Luo, F., Han, T., Wang, G. Z., Wen, H., Zhao, N., Dodson, J., et al. (2021) · Quaternary Research · doi:10.1017/qua.2021.28 · Cited by 10
“11b) and the magnetic susceptibility of a sediment core from Lake Huguang Maar (Yancheva et al., 2007; Fig.”
BackgroundŞenkul, Ç., Gürboğa, Ş., Doğan, M., & Doğan, T. (2021) · Quaternary International · doi:10.1016/j.quaint.2021.08.010 · Cited by 11
Sheng, M., Wang, X., Dekkers, M. J., Chen, Y., Chu, G., Tang, L., Pei, J., & Yang, Z. (2019) · Geochemistry Geophysics Geosystems · doi:10.1029/2018gc008106 · Cited by 10
“In particular, their cores were retrieved from SWmargin of the lake, where the lake floor is almost steepest, as revealed by previous bathymetric measurements (Yancheva et al., 2007).”
BackgroundInfluentialJafari, M., & Lashkari, H. (2020) · Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics · doi:10.1016/j.jastp.2020.105439 · Cited by 10
Huang, C., Yang, Y., Chen, F., Kong, D., Xu, J., Chen, C., Zhu, Q., & Huang, X. (2022) · Global and Planetary Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2022.104021 · Cited by 9
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Quantitative Analysis of Climate Change and Human Crises in History
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10Be signature of the Matuyama-Brunhes transition from the Heqing paleolake basin
Du, Y., Zhou, W., Xian, F., Qiang, X., Kong, X., Zhao, G., Xie, X., & Fu, Y. (2018) · Quaternary Science Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2018.09.020 · Cited by 9
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“Both temperature and precipitation in the East Asian monsoonal region increased, which promoted and favoured ancient human activities (Yancheva et al., 2007).”
BackgroundMa, C., Wu, L., Zhao, L., Zhang, Y., Deng, Y., & Xu, Z. (2020) · Quaternary International · doi:10.1016/j.quaint.2020.07.041 · Cited by 9
Wang, L., Li, G., Wang, L., Zhang, W., Zhang, Y., Liu, Y., Wang, X., & Wang, H. (2020) · Quaternary Research · doi:10.1017/qua.2020.62 · Cited by 9
“…(ITCZ), and North Atlantic forcing related to the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), have been proposed to drive the EAM’s evolution (Bond et al., 2001; Yancheva et al., 2007; Hoffman and Jeremy, 2012; Shi et al., 2012; Zheng et al., 2014; Böhm et al., 2015; Zhao et al., 2019).”
BackgroundInfluentialLi, Q., Wu, H., Cheng, J., Shuya, Z., Zhang, C., Wu, J., Lin, Y., Li, P., Ren, X., Zhao, D., et al. (2021) · Quaternary Research · doi:10.1017/qua.2020.101 · Cited by 9
“…(e.g., Wang et al., 1999; de Garidel-Thoron et al., 2001; Tian et al., 2005; Steinke et al., 2010; Huang et al., 2011), lake sediments (e.g., Yancheva et al., 2007; Wang et al., 2008, 2012, 2018; Jia et al., 2015; Zhang et al., 2016), and peat sequences (e.g., Yu et al., 2011) and by…”
BackgroundWang, H., Hu, Y. H., Zhang, X., Lv, F., Ma, X., Wu, D., Chen, F., Zhou, A., Hou, J., & Chen, J. (2021) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.7239 · Cited by 9
Metadata
- Authors
- Yancheva, G., Nowaczyk, N. R., Mingram, J., Dulski, P., Schettler, G., Negendank, J. F. W., Liu, J., Sigman, D. M., Peterson, L. C., & Haug, G. H.
- Affiliations
- GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences (DE)
- Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN)
- Princeton University (US)
- University of Miami (US)
- Corresponding author
- Haug, Gerald H.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Nature
- Published
- 2007-01-04
- Volume
- 445
- Issue
- 7123
- Pages
- 74-77
- ISSN
- 0028-0836 (ISSN-L)
- 1476-4687
- OpenAlex
- W2040945899
- Semantic Scholar
- fb1091bd698430b3e144d519cfb7c255993750d9
- Cited by
- 944
- References
- 30
- Citations by year
- 2026: 42 · 2025: 51 · 2024: 52 · 2023: 53 · 2022: 57 · 2021: 57 · 2020: 49 · 2019: 38 · 2018: 53 · 2017: 41 · 2016: 51 · 2015: 62 · 2014: 67 · 2013: 48 · 2012: 43
- FWCI
- 31.11
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- Licence
- Locations
- Nature (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Publication Database GFZ (GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences) (submittedVersion)
- Publication Database GFZ (GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Tree-ring climate responses
- Keywords
- Intertropical Convergence Zone, East Asian winter monsoon, East Asian summer monsoon, ITCZ migration, lake sediments, magnetic properties, titanium content, monsoon strength, Holocene, Younger Dryas, Bølling-Allerød, drought, Cariaco Basin, paleoclimate
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