Cited by 947Geology and Paleoclimatology ResearchClimate variability and modelsTree-ring climate responses

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Influence of the intertropical convergence zone on the East Asian monsoon

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Yancheva, Gergana, Nowaczyk, Norbert R., Mingram, Jens, Dulski, Peter, Schettler, Georg, Negendank, Jörg F. W., Liu, Jiaqi, Sigman, Daniel M., Peterson, Larry C., Haug, Gerald H.·2007·Nature

DOI 10.1038/nature05431

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Abstract

The Asian-Australian monsoon is an important component of the Earth's climate system that influences the societal and economic activity of roughly half the world's population. The past strength of the rain-bearing East Asian summer monsoon can be reconstructed with archives such as cave deposits, but the winter monsoon has no such signature in the hydrological cycle and has thus proved difficult to reconstruct. Here we present high-resolution records of the magnetic properties and the titanium content of the sediments of Lake Huguang Maar in coastal southeast China over the past 16,000 years, which we use as proxies for the strength of the winter monsoon winds. We find evidence for stronger winter monsoon winds before the Bølling-Allerød warming, during the Younger Dryas episode and during the middle and late Holocene, when cave stalagmites suggest weaker summer monsoons. We conclude that this anticorrelation is best explained by migrations in the intertropical convergence zone. Similar migrations of the intertropical convergence zone have been observed in Central America for the period ad 700 to 900 (refs 4-6), suggesting global climatic changes at that time. From the coincidence in timing, we suggest that these migrations in the tropical rain belt could have contributed to the declines of both the Tang dynasty in China and the Classic Maya in Central America.

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Background
Past dynamics of the East Asian monsoon: No inverse behaviour between the summer and winter monsoon during the Holocene
Steinke, S., Glatz, C., Mohtadi, M., Groeneveld, J., Li, Q., & Jian, Z. (2011) · Global and Planetary Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.06.006 · Cited by 143
Synchronous environmental and cultural change in the prehistory of the northeastern United States
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Coordinated hydrological regimes in the Indo-Pacific region during the past two millennia
Tierney, J. E., Oppo, D. W., Rosenthal, Y., Russell, J. M., & Linsley, B. K. (2010) · Paleoceanography · doi:10.1029/2009pa001871 · Cited by 143
“…EASM would shift the tropical rain belt away from Indonesia on a mean annual basis, weaken convection during the winter monsoon season [e.g., Yancheva et al., 2007], and transport more depleted moisture from the IPWP to southeast China, leaving an enriched mass behind [e.g., LeGrande and…”
Background
Millennial-scale dynamics of the winter cold tongue in the southern South China Sea over the past 26 ka and the East Asian winter monsoon
Huang, E., Tian, J., & Steinke, S. (2010) · Quaternary Research · doi:10.1016/j.yqres.2010.08.014 · Cited by 143
“Zhou et al. (2009) have shown that insteadof being transported by winds, as suggested by Yancheva et al. (2007), the titanium most likely come from the catchment area of Lake Huguang Maar.”
BackgroundMethodInfluential
Productivity collapses in the Arabian Sea during glacial cold phases
Singh, A., Jung, S. J. A., Darling, K., Ganeshram, R., Ivanochko, T., & Kroon, D. (2011) · Paleoceanography · doi:10.1029/2009pa001923 · Cited by 182
“Aided by the control of wind flow exerted by the Himalayas, the relocated Westerly airflow would have “separated” the West Asian monsoon system from that in the East, allowing a strengthened winter monsoon to develop in East Asia [An, 2000; Lu et al., 2000; Porter and An, 1995; Yancheva et al., 2007 ], whereas it was…”
Background
Influence of the Indian monsoon and the subtropical jet on climate change on the Tibetan Plateau since the late Pleistocene
Hou, J., D'Andrea, W. J., Wang, M., He, Y. L., & Liang, J. (2017) · Quaternary Science Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2017.03.013 · Cited by 141
North Atlantic forcing of millennial-scale Indo-Australian monsoon dynamics during the Last Glacial period
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“Anti-phasing of the East Asian summer and winter monsoons has been suggested (Yancheva et al., 2007), and if correct, then the strengthened EASM occurring during D/O interstadials (and between Heinrich stadials) would have coincided with a weakened cross-equatorial flow, diminishing IASM rainfall in the Australian tro…”
Background
Reconstruction of Last Glacial to early Holocene monsoon variability from relict lake sediments of the Higher Central Himalaya, Uttrakhand, India
Juyal, N., Pant, R. K., Basavaiah, N., Bhushan, R., Jain, M., Saini, N. K., Yadava, M. G., & Singhvi, A. K. (2008) · Journal of Asian Earth Sciences · doi:10.1016/j.jseaes.2008.07.007 · Cited by 135
Environmental change and social conflict: the northeast Atlantic mackerel dispute
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“That environmental change can lead to social conflict has been witnessed many times during human history (Cullen et al. 2000; Zhang et al. 2007; Haug et al. 2003; Yancheva et al. 2007; Burke et al. 2015).”
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Increases of population and expansion of rice agriculture in Asia, and anthropogenic methane emissions since 5000BP
Li, X., Dodson, J., Zhou, J., & Zhou, X. (2008) · Quaternary International · doi:10.1016/j.quaint.2008.02.009 · Cited by 129
Exploring How Changing Monsoonal Dynamics and Human Pressures Challenge Multireservoir Management for Flood Protection, Hydropower Production, and Agricultural Water Supply
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“This hypothesis is supported by paleodata from sediment records in the South China Sea, which show an inverse correlation in the strengths of the winter and summer monsoon in Southeast Asia (Wang et al., 1999; Yancheva et al., 2007).”
Background
Holocene marine14C reservoir age variability: Evidence from230Th-dated corals in the South China Sea
Yu, K., Hua, Q., Zhao, J., Hodge, E., Fink, D. W., & Barbetti, M. (2010) · Paleoceanography · doi:10.1029/2009pa001831 · Cited by 136
Interhemispheric symmetry of the tropical African rainbelt over the past 23,000 years
Collins, J. A., Schefuß, E., Heslop, D., Mulitza, S., Prange, M., Zabel, M., Tjallingii, R., Dokken, T., Huang, E., Mackensen, A., et al. (2010) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/ngeo1039 · Cited by 128
The early Holocene optimum inferred from a high-resolution pollen record of Huguangyan Maar Lake in southern China
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Self-citation
Mapping of the spatial and temporal distribution of archaeological sites of northern China during the Neolithic and Bronze Age
Wagner, M., Tarasov, P. E., Hosner, D., Fleck, A., Ehrich, R., Chen, X., & Leipe, C. (2012) · Quaternary International · doi:10.1016/j.quaint.2012.06.039 · Cited by 122
Quantitative Holocene climatic reconstructions for the lower Yangtze region of China
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The Ti/Al molar ratio as a new proxy for tracing sediment transportation processes and its application in aeolian events and sea level change in East Asia
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“These heat and moisture, crucial in the social processes in the agriculture era (Yancheva et al. 2007; Zhang et al. 2008; Cook et al. 2010), have attracted great attentions in climate studies in past decades (e.”
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Periodic climate cooling enhanced natural disasters and wars in China during AD 10–1900
Zhang, Z., Tian, H., Cazelles, B., Kausrud, K. L., Bräuning, A., Guo, F., & Stenseth, N. C. (2010) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2010.0890 · Cited by 116
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“Trend in magnetic susceptibility and titanium content, which were derived from the same core and interpreted as proxy records for aeolian input [Yancheva et al., 2007], will be compared to our diatom data.”
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Water vapour source impacts on oxygen isotope variability in tropical precipitation during Heinrich events
Lewis, S. C., LeGrande, A. N., Kelley, M., & Schmidt, G. A. (2010) · Climate of the past · doi:10.5194/cp-6-325-2010 · Cited by 114
Large discrepancy between observed and simulated precipitation trends in the ascending and descending branches of the tropical circulation
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“[2] Past changes in precipitation are thought to have profoundly affected past human societies [e.g., Yancheva et al., 2007] and projected increases in the total area affected by drought and the flood risk associated with increased frequency of heavy precipitation events are expected to exert an…”
Background
Millennial-scale Asian summer monsoon variations in South China since the last deglaciation
Wang, X., Chu, G., Sheng, M., Zhang, S., Li, J., Chen, Y., Tang, L., Su, Y., Pei, J., & Yang, Z. (2016) · Earth and Planetary Science Letters · doi:10.1016/j.epsl.2016.07.006 · Cited by 110
A 2000‐year dust storm record from Lake Sugan in the dust source area of arid China
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“…sources of information on the long-term history of dust emission and eolian activity in dust source areas [De Deckker et al., 1991; Jin et al., 2000; Street-Perrott et al., 2000] and on dust falls at remote dust deposition sites [Xiao et al., 1997; Lim et al., 2005; Yancheva et al., 2007].”
Background
X‐ray fluorescence core scanning records of chemical weathering and monsoon evolution over the past 5 Myr in the southern South China Sea
Tian, J., Xie, X., Ma, W., Jin, H., & Wang, P. (2011) · Paleoceanography · doi:10.1029/2010pa002045 · Cited by 106
Climatic change and dynastic cycles in Chinese history: a review essay
Fan, K. (2009) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-009-9702-3 · Cited by 105
Late glacial vegetation and climate oscillations on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau inferred from the Lake Naleng pollen profile
Kramer, A., Herzschuh, U., Mischke, S., & Zhang, C. (2010) · Quaternary Research · doi:10.1016/j.yqres.2009.12.003 · Cited by 107
“However, the information about climatic conditions in monsoonal Asia points to relatively low moisture availability in monsoonal Asia and a strong winter monsoon between the LGM and 14,800 cal yr BP (Herzschuh, 2006; Yancheva et al., 2007).”
BackgroundInfluential
The seventh facet of uncertainty: wrong assumptions, unknowns and surprises in the dynamics of human–water systems
Baldassarre, G. D., Brandimarte, L., & Beven, K. J. (2015) · Hydrological Sciences Journal · doi:10.1080/02626667.2015.1091460 · Cited by 112
“4), while the proxies used for dating historical droughts are affected by significant uncertainties (Aimers and Hodell 2011; see also Yancheva et al. 2007, related discussion).”
Background
Reconstructing the southern South China Sea upper water column structure since the Last Glacial Maximum: Implications for the East Asian winter monsoon development
Steinke, S., Mohtadi, M., Groeneveld, J., Lin, L.-C., Löwemark, L., Chen, M., & Rendle-Bühring, R. (2010) · Paleoceanography · doi:10.1029/2009pa001850 · Cited by 105
“obliquiloculata ‐ G. ruber s.l.) (blue); (b) DT(Alkenone‐T ‐ Mg/Ca‐T P. obliquiloculata); (c) Chinese loess grain size records [Stevens et al., 2007]; (d) Sulu Sea primary productivity [de Garidel‐Thoron et al., 2001]; (e) Lake Huguang Maar Ti (cps) record [ Yancheva et al., 2007 ]; and (f) stalagmite d 18 O records f…”
BackgroundResultInfluential
Miocene vegetation and climatic changes reconstructed from a sporopollen record of the Tianshui Basin, NE Tibetan Plateau
Hui, Z., Li, J., Xu, Q., Song, C., Zhang, J., Wu, F., & Zhao, Z. (2011) · Palaeogeography Palaeoclimatology Palaeoecology · doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2011.05.043 · Cited by 104
A 13,000-year peatland palaeohydrological response to the ENSO-related Asian monsoon precipitation changes in the middle Yangtze Valley
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Weak monsoon event at 4.2 ka recorded in sediment from Lake Rara, Himalayas
Nakamura, A., Yokoyama, Y., Maemoku, H., Yagi, H., Okamura, M., Matsuoka, H., Miyake, N., Osada, T., Adhikari, D. P., Dangol, V., et al. (2015) · Quaternary International · doi:10.1016/j.quaint.2015.05.053 · Cited by 104
Millennial-scale East Asian monsoon variability of the last glacial deduced from annually laminated sediments from Lake Sihailongwan, N.E. China
Mingram, J., Stebich, M., Schettler, G., Hu, Y., Rioual, P., Nowaczyk, N. R., Dulski, P., You, H., Opitz, S., Liu, Q., et al. (2018) · Quaternary Science Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2018.09.023 · Cited by 104
Self-citation
Juxtaposition of Western Pacific Subtropical High on Asian Summer Monsoon Shapes Subtropical East Asian Precipitation
Xu, H., Goldsmith, Y., Lan, J., Tan, L., Wang, X., Zhou, X., Cheng, J., Lang, Y., & Liu, C. (2020) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2019gl084705 · Cited by 101
“However, the late Holocene HGY Ti contents deviate from the LC lake level trend, this is not surprising as the sedimentation rate nearly tripled during the late Holocene (Yancheva et al., 2007), which may be ascribed to strong anthropogenic impacts on the HGY sedimentary Ti contents.”
BackgroundInfluential
A high-resolved record of the Asian Summer Monsoon from Dongge Cave, China for the past 1200 years
Zhao, K., Wang, Y., Edwards, R. L., Cheng, H., Liu, D., & Kong, X. (2015) · Quaternary Science Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.05.030 · Cited by 101
Proxy benchmarks for intercomparison of 8.2 ka simulations
Morrill, C., Anderson, D. M., Bauer, B. A., Buckner, R., Gille, E. P., Gross, W. S., Hartman, M., & Shah, A. (2013) · Climate of the past · doi:10.5194/cp-9-423-2013 · Cited by 98
“Of particular interest are indications of reduced AMOC (Arz et al., 2001; Ellison et al., 2006), glacier advances in Europe and North America (Menounos et al., 2004; Matthews et al., 2000; Nesje et al., 2001) and strengthening of the Asian winter monsoon (Yancheva et al., 2007).”
Background
Vegetation and climate history reconstructed from an alpine lake in central Tienshan Mountains since 8.5 ka BP
Huang, X., Chen, C.-Z., Jia, W.-N., An, C., Zhou, A., Zhang, J., Jin, M., Xia, D., Chen, F., & Grimm, E. C. (2015) · Palaeogeography Palaeoclimatology Palaeoecology · doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2015.04.027 · Cited by 99
Holocene dust storm variations over northern China: transition from a natural forcing to an anthropogenic forcing
Chen, S., Liu, J., Wang, X., Zhao, S., Chen, J., Qiang, M., Liu, B., Xu, Q., Xia, D., & Chen, F. (2021) · 中国科学通报：英文版 · doi:10.1016/j.scib.2021.08.008 · Cited by 97
Self-citation
See–saw relationship of the Holocene East Asian–Australian summer monsoon
Eroglu, D., McRobie, F. H., Ozken, I., Stemler, T., Wyrwoll, K., Breitenbach, S. F. M., Marwan, N., & Kurths, J. (2016) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/ncomms12929 · Cited by 93
Oxygen isotope signatures preserved in tree ring cellulose as a proxy for April–September precipitation in Fujian, the subtropical region of southeast China
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“[3] Although long-term lake sediment [Yancheva et al., 2007] and stalagmite records [Jiang et al., 2012; Wang et al., 2008] exist in southern China, these relatively lowresolution records are difficult to compare directly with annual meteorological data.”
Background
Asian summer monsoonal variations during the Holocene revealed by Huguangyan maar lake sediment record
Wu, X., Zhaohui Zhang, A., Xu, X., & Shen, J. (2012) · Palaeogeography Palaeoclimatology Palaeoecology · doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2012.01.020 · Cited by 95
ITCZ and ENSO pacing on East Asian winter monsoon variation during the Holocene: Sedimentological evidence from the Okinawa Trough
Zheng, X., Li, A., Wan, S., Jiang, F., Kao, S.-J., & Johnson, C. L. (2014) · Journal of Geophysical Research Oceans · doi:10.1002/2013jc009603 · Cited by 96

Authors: Yancheva, G., Nowaczyk, N. R., Mingram, J., Dulski, P., Schettler, G., Negendank, J. F. W., Liu, J., Sigman, D. M., Peterson, L. C., & Haug, G. H.
Affiliations: GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences (DE)
Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN)
Princeton University (US)
University of Miami (US)
Corresponding author: Haug, Gerald H.
ORCID: Yancheva, Gergana
Nowaczyk, Norbert R.
Mingram, Jens
Liu, Jiaqi
Sigman, Daniel M.
Peterson, Larry C.
Haug, Gerald H.
Venue: Nature
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Published: 2007-01-04
Volume: 445
Issue: 7123
Pages: 74-77
ISSN: 0028-0836 (ISSN-L)
1476-4687
DOI: 10.1038/nature05431
OpenAlex: W2040945899
Semantic Scholar: fb1091bd698430b3e144d519cfb7c255993750d9
Cited by: 944
References: 30
Citations by year: 2026: 42 · 2025: 51 · 2024: 52 · 2023: 53 · 2022: 57 · 2021: 57 · 2020: 49 · 2019: 38 · 2018: 53 · 2017: 41 · 2016: 51 · 2015: 62 · 2014: 67 · 2013: 48 · 2012: 43
FWCI: 31.11
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: green
gfzpublic.gfz-potsdam.de
Licence: other-oa
www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
www.springer.com/tdm (vor)
Locations: Nature (publishedVersion)
PubMed (publishedVersion)
RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
Publication Database GFZ (GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences) (submittedVersion)
Publication Database GFZ (GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
Topics: Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Tree-ring climate responses
Keywords: Intertropical Convergence Zone, East Asian winter monsoon, East Asian summer monsoon, ITCZ migration, lake sediments, magnetic properties, titanium content, monsoon strength, Holocene, Younger Dryas, Bølling-Allerød, drought, Cariaco Basin, paleoclimate

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Influence of the intertropical convergence zone on the East Asian monsoon

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