The DOI matches its Crossref record; 26 of the 26 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Adverse weather conditions for European wheat production will become more frequent with climate change
Open accessAbstract
Europe is the largest producer of wheat, the second most widely grown cereal crop after rice. The increased occurrence and magnitude of adverse and extreme agroclimatic events are considered a major threat for wheat production. We present an analysis that accounts for a range of adverse weather events that might significantly affect wheat yield in Europe. For this purpose we analysed changes in the frequency of the occurrence of 11 adverse weather events. Using climate scenarios based on the most recent ensemble of climate models and greenhouse gases emission estimates, we assessed the probability of single and multiple adverse events occurring within one season. We showed that the occurrence of adverse conditions for 14 sites representing the main European wheat-growing areas might substantially increase by 2060 compared to the present (1981–2010). This is likely to result in more frequent crop failure across Europe. This study provides essential information for developing adaptation strategies. Studies into the effects of climate change on crop yields have tended to focus on the average state of the climate. Now, research into the effects of adverse weather events on wheat yields in Europe suggests that the probability of single and multiple adverse events occurring within a season is expected to increase substantially by the year 2060.
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Cites
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Cited by
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Abiotic Stress in Crop Production
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Improving grain yield, stress resilience and quality of bread wheat using large-scale genomics
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Self-citation
Metadata
- Authors
- Trnka, M., Rötter, R. P., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Kersebaum, K. C., Olesen, J. E., Žalud, Z., & Semenov, M. A.
- Venue
- Nature Climate Change
- Published
- 2014-05-25
- Volume
- 4
- Issue
- 7
- Pages
- 637-643
- ISSN
- 1758-678X (ISSN-L)
- 1758-6798
- OpenAlex
- W2015886781
- Cited by
- 677
- References
- 26
- FWCI
- 40.89
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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- Trnka, M., Rötter, R. P., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Kersebaum, K. C., Olesen, J. E., Žalud, Z., & Semenov, M. A. (2014). Adverse weather conditions for European wheat production will become more frequent with climate change. Nature Climate Change. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2242
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