Cited by 2,878Fire effects on ecosystemsPlant Water Relations and Carbon DynamicsForest Insect Ecology and Management

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Forest disturbances under climate change

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Seidl, Rupert, Thom, Dominik, Kautz, Markus, Martin-Benito, Dario, Peltoniemi, Mikko, Vacchiano, Giorgio, Wild, Jan, Ascoli, Davide, Petr, Michal, Honkaniemi, Juha, Lexer, Manfred J., Trotsiuk, Volodymyr, Mairota, Paola, Svoboda, Miroslav, Fabrika, Marek, Nagel, Thomas A., Reyer, Christopher P. O.·2017·Nature Climate Change

DOI 10.1038/nclimate3303PMC PMC5572641

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Abstract

Forest disturbances are sensitive to climate. However, our understanding of disturbance dynamics in response to climatic changes remains incomplete, particularly regarding large-scale patterns, interaction effects and dampening feedbacks. Here we provide a global synthesis of climate change effects on important abiotic (fire, drought, wind, snow and ice) and biotic (insects and pathogens) disturbance agents. Warmer and drier conditions particularly facilitate fire, drought and insect disturbances, while warmer and wetter conditions increase disturbances from wind and pathogens. Widespread interactions between agents are likely to amplify disturbances, while indirect climate effects such as vegetation changes can dampen long-term disturbance sensitivities to climate. Future changes in disturbance are likely to be most pronounced in coniferous forests and the boreal biome. We conclude that both ecosystems and society should be prepared for an increasingly disturbed future of forests.

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Authors: Seidl, R., Thom, D., Kautz, M., Martin-Benito, D., Peltoniemi, M., Vacchiano, G., Wild, J., Ascoli, D., Petr, M., Honkaniemi, J., Lexer, M. J., Trotsiuk, V., Mairota, P., Svoboda, M., Fabrika, M., Nagel, T. A., & Reyer, C. P. O.
Affiliations: BOKU University (AT)
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (DE)
Natural Resources Institute Finland (FI)
University of Turin (IT)
Czech Academy of Sciences (CZ)
University of Naples Federico II (IT)
Forestry Commission England (GB)
Czech University of Life Sciences Prague (CZ)
University of Bari Aldo Moro (IT)
Technická univerzita vo Zvolene (SK)
University of Ljubljana (SI)
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (DE)
Corresponding author: Seidl, Rupert
ORCID: Seidl, Rupert
Thom, Dominik
Kautz, Markus
Martin-Benito, Dario
Peltoniemi, Mikko
Vacchiano, Giorgio
Wild, Jan
Ascoli, Davide
Petr, Michal
Honkaniemi, Juha
Lexer, Manfred J.
Trotsiuk, Volodymyr
Mairota, Paola
Svoboda, Miroslav
Fabrika, Marek
Nagel, Thomas A.
Reyer, Christopher P. O.
Venue: Nature Climate Change
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Published: 2017-05-31
Volume: 7
Issue: 6
Pages: 395-402
ISSN: 1758-678X (ISSN-L)
1758-6798
DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3303
PMC: PMC5572641
OpenAlex: W2618708155
Cited by: 2,878
References: 101
Citations by year: 2026: 459 · 2025: 410 · 2024: 380 · 2023: 379 · 2022: 335 · 2021: 350 · 2020: 281 · 2019: 174 · 2018: 88 · 2017: 21
FWCI: 106.91
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: green
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Licence: www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
Locations: Nature Climate Change (publishedVersion)
PubMed (publishedVersion)
PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
Archivio Istituzionale della Ricerca (Universita Degli Studi Di Milano) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
Institutional Research Information System University of Turin (University of Turin) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
ASEP (submittedVersion, public-domain)
DIGITAL.CSIC (Spanish National Research Council (CSIC)) (submittedVersion)
Jukuri (Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke)) (submittedVersion)
Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)) (submittedVersion)
CINECA IRIS Institutional Research Information System (University of Bari Aldo Moro) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
Funders: Grantová Agentura České Republiky (RVO 67,985,939)
Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (01LS1201A1)
Austrian Science Fund
Akademie Věd České Republiky (RVO [67985939], 67985939)
Natural Environment Research Council (NE/M008541/1)
Topics: Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Fire effects on ecosystems
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Forest Insect Ecology and Management
Keywords: forest disturbance, climate change, forest fires, drought, wind disturbance, forest insects, forest pathogens, disturbance interactions, feedback, coniferous forest, boreal forest, vegetation change, disturbance sensitivity

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