The DOI matches its Crossref record; 67 of the 67 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Rapid emergence of climate change in environmental drivers of marine ecosystems
Open accessAbstract
Climate change is expected to modify ecological responses in the ocean, with the potential for important effects on the ecosystem services provided to humankind. Here we address the question of how rapidly multiple drivers of marine ecosystem change develop in the future ocean. By analysing an ensemble of models we find that, within the next 15 years, the climate change-driven trends in multiple ecosystem drivers emerge from the background of natural variability in 55% of the ocean and propagate rapidly to encompass 86% of the ocean by 2050 under a ‘business-as-usual’ scenario. However, we also demonstrate that the exposure of marine ecosystems to climate change-induced stress can be drastically reduced via climate mitigation measures; with mitigation, the proportion of ocean susceptible to multiple drivers within the next 15 years is reduced to 34%. Mitigation slows the pace at which multiple drivers emerge, allowing an additional 20 years for adaptation in marine ecological and socio-economic systems alike.
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Cites
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Extinction risk from climate change
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Climate change impacts on marine ecosystems
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Novel climates, no‐analog communities, and ecological surprises
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Cited by
Climate, ecosystems, and planetary futures: The challenge to predict life in Earth system models
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Manifestation, Drivers, and Emergence of Open Ocean Deoxygenation
Levin, L. A. (2018) · Annual Review of Marine Science · doi:10.1146/annurev-marine-121916-063359 · Cited by 283
Metadata
- Authors
- Henson, S. A., Beaulieu, C., Ilyina, T., John, J. G., Long, M., Séférian, R., Tjiputra, J., & Sarmiento, J. L.
- Venue
- Nature Communications
- Published
- 2017-03-07
- Volume
- 8
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 14682-14682
- ISSN
- 2041-1723 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2591991872
- Cited by
- 320
- References
- 67
- FWCI
- 23.53
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
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- Henson, S. A., Beaulieu, C., Ilyina, T., John, J. G., Long, M., Séférian, R., Tjiputra, J., & Sarmiento, J. L. (2017). Rapid emergence of climate change in environmental drivers of marine ecosystems. Nature Communications. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms14682
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
