Cited by 278Pharmaceutical Economics and PolicyPharmaceutical industry and healthcareStatistical Methods in Clinical Trials

Trends in clinical success rates

Smietana, Katarzyna, Siatkowski, Marcin, Møller, Martin·2016·Nature Reviews Drug Discovery

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1038/nrd.2016.85

Cites

Statistics

Recomputing p-values needs the paper’s full text.

Claims the paper makes

We couldn’t retrieve this paper’s full text, so its claims and self-check weren’t run. The registry and citation checks still apply.

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Over 80% of anticancer drug candidates fail during clinical screening due to weak efficacy or adverse events.

    “However, the success rate of anticancer drugs in clinical trials is very low, with over 80% of drug candidates failing during clinical screening due to weak efficacy or adverse events4–7.”

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Authors
Smietana, K., Siatkowski, M., & Møller, M.
Affiliations
McKinsey & Company (United States) (US)
Venue
Nature Reviews Drug Discovery
Published
2016-05-20
Volume
15
Issue
6
Pages
379-380
ISSN
  • 1474-1776 (ISSN-L)
  • 1474-1784
OpenAlex
W2396649694
Cited by
277
References
0
Citations by year
2026: 18 · 2025: 31 · 2024: 27 · 2023: 21 · 2022: 20 · 2021: 34 · 2020: 40 · 2019: 28 · 2018: 29 · 2017: 25 · 2016: 4
Type
other
Language
en
Open access
closed
Locations
  • Nature Reviews Drug Discovery (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Pharmaceutical Economics and Policy
  • Life Sciences › Pharmacology, Toxicology and Pharmaceutics › Pharmacology › Pharmaceutical industry and healthcare
  • Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
Keywords
clinical success rate, late-stage clinical trials, biologics, industry partnerships, drug development trends, portfolio size
MeSH terms
Biological Products, Clinical Trials as Topic, Humans, Research Design

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

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