The DOI matches its Crossref record; 56 of the 56 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Evaluating the economic impact of water scarcity in a changing world
Open accessAbstract
Water scarcity is dynamic and complex, emerging from the combined influences of climate change, basin-level water resources, and managed systems’ adaptive capacities. Beyond geophysical stressors and responses, it is critical to also consider how multi-sector, multi-scale economic teleconnections mitigate or exacerbate water shortages. Here, we contribute a global-to-basin-scale exploratory analysis of potential water scarcity impacts by linking a global human-Earth system model, a global hydrologic model, and a metric for the loss of economic surplus due to resource shortages. We find that, dependent on scenario assumptions, major hydrologic basins can experience strongly positive or strongly negative economic impacts due to global trade dynamics and market adaptations to regional scarcity. In many cases, market adaptation profoundly magnifies economic uncertainty relative to hydrologic uncertainty. Our analysis finds that impactful scenarios are often combinations of standard scenarios, showcasing that planners cannot presume drivers of uncertainty in complex adaptive systems.
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Self-citationFour billion people facing severe water scarcity
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Cited by
Circular Economy of Water: Definition, Strategies and Challenges
Morseletto, P., Mooren, C. E., & Munaretto, S. (2022) · Circular Economy and Sustainability · doi:10.1007/s43615-022-00165-x · Cited by 161
Zisopoulou, K., & Panagoulia, D. (2021) · Water · doi:10.3390/w13121693 · Cited by 45
Win Together or Lose Alone: Circular Economy and Hybrid Governance for Natural Resource Commons
Becchetti, L., Bova, D. M., & Raffaele, L. (2024) · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4880178 · Cited by 16
Metadata
- Authors
- Dolan, F., Lamontagne, J., Link, R., Hejazi, M., Reed, P., & Edmonds, J.
- Venue
- Nature Communications
- Published
- 2021-03-26
- Volume
- 12
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 1915-1915
- ISSN
- 2041-1723 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W3138842059
- Cited by
- 574
- References
- 56
- FWCI
- 42.93
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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