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Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C
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“Despite these substantial negative consequences, concerted action to halt GHG emissions has been inadequate (Rogelj et al 2018, den Elzen et al 2019).”
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Metadata
- Authors
- Rogelj, J., Popp, A., Calvin, K. V., Luderer, G., Emmerling, J., Gernaat, D., Fujimori, S., Strefler, J., Hasegawa, T., Marangoni, G., Krey, V., Kriegler, E., Riahi, K., van Vuuren, D. P., Doelman, J., Drouet, L., Edmonds, J., Fricko, O., Harmsen, M., Havlík, P., Humpenöder, F., Stehfest, E., & Tavoni, M.
- Affiliations
- International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (AT)
- Leibniz Association (DE)
- Joint Global Change Research Institute (US)
- CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (IT)
- Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (NL)
- Corresponding author
- Rogelj, Joeri
- ORCID
- Rogelj, Joeri
- Popp, Alexander
- Calvin, Katherine V.
- Luderer, Gunnar
- Emmerling, Johannes
- Gernaat, David
- Fujimori, Shinichiro
- Strefler, Jessica
- Hasegawa, Tomoko
- Marangoni, Giacomo
- Krey, Volker
- Kriegler, Elmar
- Riahi, Keywan
- van Vuuren, Detlef P.
- Doelman, Jonathan
- Drouet, Laurent
- Edmonds, Jae
- Fricko, Oliver
- Harmsen, Mathijs
- Humpenöder, Florian
- Stehfest, Elke
- Tavoni, Massimo
- Venue
- Nature Climate Change
- Published
- 2018-03-05
- Volume
- 8
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 325-332
- ISSN
- 1758-678X (ISSN-L)
- 1758-6798
- OpenAlex
- W2789575745
- Cited by
- 1,341
- References
- 58
- Citations by year
- 2026: 120 · 2025: 171 · 2024: 177 · 2023: 185 · 2022: 191 · 2021: 201 · 2020: 113 · 2019: 111 · 2018: 69
- FWCI
- 187.76
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Nature Climate Change (publishedVersion)
- IIASA PURE (International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis) (submittedVersion)
- Virtual Community of Pathological Anatomy (University of Castilla La Mancha) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Utrecht University Repository (Utrecht University) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- European Commission (308329, 641816, HORIZON2020, 642147)
- Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (SPP ED 178/3-1)
- Ministry of Environment
- International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
- Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (16K18177)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Geoengineering
- Keywords
- 1.5 °C warming target, global mean temperature increase, radiative forcing, Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, low-carbon energy, carbon dioxide removal, energy consumption reduction, fossil fuel consumption, climate policy, integrated assessment models, Paris Agreement
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Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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