The DOI matches its Crossref record; 38 of the 38 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Life expectancy changes since COVID-19
Open accessAbstract
The COVID-19 pandemic triggered an unprecedented rise in mortality that translated into life expectancy losses around the world, with only a few exceptions. We estimate life expectancy changes in 29 countries since 2020 (including most of Europe, the United States and Chile), attribute them to mortality changes by age group and compare them with historic life expectancy shocks. Our results show divergence in mortality impacts of the pandemic in 2021. While countries in western Europe experienced bounce backs from life expectancy losses of 2020, eastern Europe and the United States witnessed sustained and substantial life expectancy deficits. Life expectancy deficits during fall/winter 2021 among people ages 60+ and <60 were negatively correlated with measures of vaccination uptake across countries ( r 60+ = −0.86; two-tailed P < 0.001; 95% confidence interval, −0.94 to −0.69; r <60 = −0.74; two-tailed P < 0.001; 95% confidence interval, −0.88 to −0.46). In contrast to 2020, the age profile of excess mortality in 2021 was younger, with those in under-80 age groups contributing more to life expectancy losses. However, even in 2021, registered COVID-19 deaths continued to account for most life expectancy losses.
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Cites
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Aburto, J. M., Schöley, J., Kashnitsky, I., Zhang, L., Rahal, C., Missov, T. I., Mills, M. C., Dowd, J. B., & Kashyap, R. (2022) · International Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/ije/dyab207 · Cited by 531
Self-citationAndrasfay, T., & Goldman, N. (2021) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.2014746118 · Cited by 496
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Woolf, S. H. (2023) · American Journal of Public Health · doi:10.2105/ajph.2023.307310 · Cited by 78
O'Keefe, J. H., Franco, W. G., & O'Keefe, E. L. (2025) · Progress in Cardiovascular Diseases · doi:10.1016/j.pcad.2024.12.010 · Cited by 42
Progress Stalled? The Uncertain Future of Mortality in High‐Income Countries
Dowd, J. B., Polizzi, A., & Tilstra, A. M. (2025) · Population and Development Review · doi:10.1111/padr.12687 · Cited by 21
Self-citationImproving Older Adults’ Health by Reducing Administrative Burden
HERD, P. (2023) · The Milbank Quarterly · doi:10.1111/1468-0009.12629 · Cited by 19
Polizzi, A., Zhang, L., Timonin, S., Gupta, A., Dowd, J. B., Leon, D. A., & Aburto, J. M. (2024) · PNAS Nexus · doi:10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae508 · Cited by 15
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Metadata
- Authors
- Schöley, J., Aburto, J. M., Kashnitsky, I., Kniffka, M. S., Zhang, L., Jaadla, H., Dowd, J. B., & Kashyap, R.
- Venue
- Nature Human Behaviour
- Published
- 2022-10-17
- Volume
- 6
- Issue
- 12
- Pages
- 1649-1659
- ISSN
- 2397-3374 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W4306411823
- Cited by
- 282
- References
- 38
- FWCI
- 98.92
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
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