Cited by 302Treatment of Major DepressionTranscranial Magnetic Stimulation StudiesNeural and Behavioral Psychology Studies

An electroencephalographic signature predicts antidepressant response in major depression

Open access
Wu, Wei, Zhang, Yu, Jiang, Jing, Lucas, Molly V., Fonzo, Gregory A., Rolle, Camarin E., Cooper, Crystal, Chin-Fatt, Cherise +19 more·2020·Nature Biotechnology

Abstract

Antidepressants are widely prescribed, but their efficacy relative to placebo is modest, in part because the clinical diagnosis of major depression encompasses biologically heterogeneous conditions. Here, we sought to identify a neurobiological signature of response to antidepressant treatment as compared to placebo. We designed a latent-space machine-learning algorithm tailored for resting-state electroencephalography (EEG) and applied it to data from the largest imaging-coupled, placebo-controlled antidepressant study (n = 309). Symptom improvement was robustly predicted in a manner both specific for the antidepressant sertraline (versus placebo) and generalizable across different study sites and EEG equipment. This sertraline-predictive EEG signature generalized to two depression samples, wherein it reflected general antidepressant medication responsivity and related differentially to a repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation treatment outcome. Furthermore, we found that the sertraline resting-state EEG signature indexed prefrontal neural responsivity, as measured by concurrent transcranial magnetic stimulation and EEG. Our findings advance the neurobiological understanding of antidepressant treatment through an EEG-tailored computational model and provide a clinical avenue for personalized treatment of depression.

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1038/s41587-019-0397-3

Cites

11 of 11 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • AI agents show significant potential in personalized treatment by leveraging patient-specific data to tailor individualized treatment plans that optimize therapeutic outcomes.

    “AI agents show significant potential in the realm of personalized treatment by leveraging a variety of patient-specific data, including genetic information, medical history, lifestyle factors, and treatment responses.77,88,89,90,91,92”

    From A foundational architecture for AI agents in healthcare (2025) · cites this paper as [92]

    The Discussion (page unavailable) says that an individual-level EEG signature may support personalized treatment selection for depression. The Online Methods and Results (pages unavailable) describe predicting antidepressant response primarily from EEG data, not AI agents combining genetic information, medical history, lifestyle factors, and treatment responses to tailor plans. (LLM, conf=0.88)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 57

  1. [4]Khan A & Brown WA Antidepressants versus placebo in major depression: an overview. World Psychiatry 14, 294– 300 (2015). 26407778 PMC4592645
  2. [7]Wade EC & Iosifescu DV Using electroencephalography for treatment guidance in major depressive disorder. Biological Psychiatry: Cognitive Neuroscience and Neuroimaging 1, 411– 422 (2016). 29560870
  3. [8]Widge AS Electroencephalographic Biomarkers for Treatment Response Prediction in Major Depressive Illness: A Meta-Analysis. American Journal of Psychiatry, appi. ajp. 2018.17121358 (2018). PMC6312739 30278789
  4. [9]Olbrich S & Arns M EEG biomarkers in major depressive disorder: discriminative power and prediction of treatment response. International Review of Psychiatry 25, 604– 618 (2013). 24151805
  5. [10]Jaworska N, de la Salle S, Ibrahim M-H, Blier P & Knott V Leveraging machine learning approaches for predicting antidepressant treatment response using electroencephalography (EEG) and clinical data. Frontiers in psychiatry 9, 768 (2019). 30692945 PMC6339954
  6. [12]Korb AS, Hunter AM, Cook IA & Leuchter AF Rostral anterior cingulate cortex theta current density and response to antidepressants and placebo in major depression. Clinical Neurophysiology 120, 1313– 1319 (2009). 19539524 PMC2710394
  7. [13]Leuchter AF, Cook IA, Witte EA, Morgan M & Abrams M Changes in brain function of depressed subjects during treatment with placebo. American Journal of Psychiatry 159, 122– 129 (2002). 11772700
  8. [14]Nunez PL & Srinivasan R Electric fields of the brain: the neurophysics of EEG. (Oxford University Press, USA, 2006).
  9. [15]Müller K-R Machine learning for real-time single-trial EEG-analysis: from brain–computer interfacing to mental state monitoring. Journal of neuroscience methods 167, 82– 90 (2008). 18031824
  10. [16]Wu W, Nagarajan S & Chen Z Bayesian Machine Learning: EEG/MEG signal processing measurements. IEEE Signal Processing Magazine 33, 14– 36 (2016).
  11. [18]Haufe S On the interpretation of weight vectors of linear models in multivariate neuroimaging. Neuroimage 87, 96– 110 (2014). 24239590
  12. [19]Boyd S & Vandenberghe L Convex optimization. (Cambridge university press, 2004).
  13. [21]Trivedi MH Establishing moderators and biosignatures of antidepressant response in clinical care (EMBARC): Rationale and design. J Psychiatr Res 78, 11– 23 (2016). 27038550 PMC6100771
  14. [22]Fonzo GA, Etkin A, Zhang Y, Wu W, Cooper C, Chin-Fatt C, Jha MK, Trombello J, Deckersbach T, Adams P, McInnis M, McGrath PJ, Weissman MM, Fava M, Trivedi MH Brain Regulation of Emotional Conflict Differentiates Response to Antidepressants Versus Placebo in Depression. Nature Human Behaviour (2019). PMC6908746 31548678
  15. [23]Bruder GE Electroencephalographic alpha measures predict therapeutic response to a selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor antidepressant: pre-and post-treatment findings. Biological psychiatry 63, 1171– 1177 (2008). 18061147 PMC2652474
  16. [24]Tipping ME Sparse Bayesian learning and the relevance vector machine. Journal of machine learning research 1, 211– 244 (2001).
  17. [25]Grin-Yatsenko VA, Baas I, Ponomarev VA & Kropotov JD Independent component approach to the analysis of EEG recordings at early stages of depressive disorders. Clinical Neurophysiology 121, 281– 289 (2010). 20006545
  18. [26]Pozzi D, Golimstock A, Petracchi M, García H & Starkstein S Quantified electroencephalographic changes in depressed patients with and without dementia. Biological psychiatry 38, 677– 683 (1995). 8555379
  19. [27]Iosifescu DV Frontal EEG predictors of treatment outcome in major depressive disorder. European Neuropsychopharmacology 19, 772– 777 (2009). 19574030
  20. [28]Arns M, Drinkenburg WH, Fitzgerald PB & Kenemans JL Neurophysiological predictors of non-response to rTMS in depression. Brain stimulation 5, 569– 576 (2012). 22410477
  21. [29]Tipping ME & Bishop CM Probabilistic principal component analysis. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology) 61, 611– 622 (1999).
  22. [30]Trivedi MH Comprehensive phenotyping of depression disease trajectory and risk: Rationale and design of Texas Resilience Against Depression study (T-RAD). Journal of Psychiatric Research (In Press). 31918350
  23. [31]Hill AT, Rogasch NC, Fitzgerald PB & Hoy KE TMS-EEG: A window into the neurophysiological effects of transcranial electrical stimulation in non-motor brain regions. Neuroscience & Biobehavioral Reviews 64, 175– 184 (2016). 26959337
  24. [32]Chen AC Causal interactions between fronto-parietal central executive and default-mode networks in humans. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 110, 19944– 19949 (2013). PMC3856839 24248372
  25. [34]Krepel N Non-replication of neurophysiological predictors of non-response to rTMS in depression and neurophysiological data-sharing proposal. Brain Stimulation: Basic, Translational, and Clinical Research in Neuromodulation 11, 639– 641 (2018). 29433985
  26. [35]Leuchter AF Comparative effectiveness of biomarkers and clinical indicators for predicting outcomes of SSRI treatment in Major Depressive Disorder: results of the BRITE-MD study. Psychiatry Research 169, 124– 131 (2009). 19712979
  27. [36]Klimesch W, Sauseng P & Hanslmayr S EEG alpha oscillations: the inhibition–timing hypothesis. Brain research reviews 53, 63– 88 (2007). 16887192
  28. [37]Jensen O & Mazaheri A Shaping functional architecture by oscillatory alpha activity: gating by inhibition. Frontiers in human neuroscience 4, 186 (2010). 21119777 PMC2990626
  29. [38]Arns M EEG alpha asymmetry as a gender-specific predictor of outcome to acute treatment with different antidepressant medications in the randomized iSPOT-D study. Clinical Neurophysiology 127, 509– 519 (2016). 26189209
  30. [39]Lehtonen J & Lehtinen I Alpha rhythm and uniform visual field in man. Electroencephalography and clinical neurophysiology 32, 139– 147 (1972). 4109341
  31. [40]Hari R & Salmelin R Human cortical oscillations: a neuromagnetic view through the skull. Trends in neurosciences 20, 44– 49 (1997). 9004419
  32. [41]Ramoser H, Muller-Gerking J & Pfurtscheller G Optimal spatial filtering of single trial EEG during imagined hand movement. IEEE transactions on rehabilitation engineering 8, 441– 446 (2000). 11204034
  33. [42]Kraemer HC Messages for Clinicians: Moderators and Mediators of Treatment Outcome in Randomized Clinical Trials. Am J Psychiatry 173, 672– 679 (2016). 26988629
  34. [43]Nguyen KH & Gordon LG Cost-Effectiveness of Repetitive Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation versus Antidepressant Therapy for Treatment-Resistant Depression. Value Health 18, 597– 604 (2015). 26297087
  35. [44]Voigt J, Carpenter L & Leuchter A Cost effectiveness analysis comparing repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation to antidepressant medications after a first treatment failure for major depressive disorder in newly diagnosed patients - A lifetime analysis. PLoS One 12, e0186950 (2017). 29073256 PMC5658110
  36. [45]O’Reardon JP Efficacy and safety of transcranial magnetic stimulation in the acute treatment of major depression: a multisite randomized controlled trial. Biological psychiatry 62, 1208– 1216 (2007). 17573044
  37. [46]George MS Daily left prefrontal transcranial magnetic stimulation therapy for major depressive disorder: a sham-controlled randomized trial. Archives of general psychiatry 67, 507– 516 (2010). 20439832
  38. [47]Williams LM, Debattista C, Duchemin A, Schatzberg A & Nemeroff C Childhood trauma predicts antidepressant response in adults with major depression: data from the randomized international study to predict optimized treatment for depression. Translational psychiatry 6, e799 (2016). 27138798 PMC5070060
  39. [48]Liston C Default mode network mechanisms of transcranial magnetic stimulation in depression. Biological psychiatry 76, 517– 526 (2014). 24629537 PMC4209727
  40. [49]Sani OG Mood variations decoded from multi-site intracranial human brain activity. Nature biotechnology 36, 954 (2018). 30199076
  41. [51]Etkin A, Egner T, Peraza DM, Kandel ER & Hirsch J Resolving emotional conflict: a role for the rostral anterior cingulate cortex in modulating activity in the amygdala. Neuron 51, 871– 882 (2006). 16982430
  42. [52]Etkin A, Buchel C & Gross JJ The neural bases of emotion regulation. Nat Rev Neurosci 16, 693– 700 (2015). 26481098
  43. [53]Egner T & Hirsch J Cognitive control mechanisms resolve conflict through cortical amplification of task-relevant information. Nat Neurosci 8, 1784– 1790 (2005). 16286928
  44. [54]Jenkinson M, Beckmann CF, Behrens TE, Woolrich MW & Smith SM FSL. Neuroimage 62, 782– 790 (2012). 21979382
  45. [56]Wu W ARTIST: A fully automated artifact rejection algorithm for single-pulse TMS-EEG data. Human brain mapping 39, 1607– 1625 (2018). 29331054 PMC6866546
  46. [58]Tomioka R & Müller K-R A regularized discriminative framework for EEG analysis with application to brain–computer interface. NeuroImage 49, 415– 432 (2010). 19646534
  47. [59]Srebro N & Jaakkola T in Proceedings of the 20th International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML-03) 720– 727 (2003).
  48. [60]Candès EJ, Li X, Ma Y & Wright J Robust principal component analysis? Journal of the ACM (JACM) 58, 11 (2011).
  49. [62]Gramfort A, Papadopoulo T, Olivi E & Clerc M OpenMEEG: opensource software for quasistatic bioelectromagnetics. Biomedical engineering online 9, 45 (2010). 20819204 PMC2949879
  50. [63]Fischl B FreeSurfer. Neuroimage 62, 774– 781 (2012). 22248573 PMC3685476
  51. [64]Pascual-Marqui RD Standardized low-resolution brain electromagnetic tomography (sLORETA): technical details. Methods Find Exp Clin Pharmacol 24, 5– 12 (2002). 12575463
  52. [65]Hunter AM, Leuchter AF, Morgan ML & Cook IA Changes in brain function (quantitative EEG cordance) during placebo lead-in and treatment outcomes in clinical trials for major depression. American Journal of Psychiatry 163, 1426– 1432 (2006). 16877657
  53. [66]Makeig S, Bell AJ, Jung T-P & Sejnowski TJ in Advances in neural information processing systems 145– 151 (1996).
  54. [67]Ghosh-Dastidar S, Adeli H & Dadmehr N Principal component analysis-enhanced cosine radial basis function neural network for robust epilepsy and seizure detection. IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering 55, 512– 518 (2008). 18269986
  55. [68]Cichocki A & Amari S.-i. Adaptive blind signal and image processing: learning algorithms and applications, Vol. 1 (John Wiley & Sons, 2002).
  56. [69]Witten IH, Frank E, Hall MA & Pal CJ Data Mining: Practical machine learning tools and techniques. (Morgan Kaufmann, 2016).
  57. [70]Schaefer A Local-Global Parcellation of the Human Cerebral Cortex from Intrinsic Functional Connectivity MRI. Cereb Cortex, 1– 20 (2017). 28981612 PMC6095216

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Wu, W., Zhang, Y., Jiang, J., Lucas, M. V., Fonzo, G. A., Rolle, C. E., Cooper, C., Chin-Fatt, C., Krepel, N., Cornelssen, C. A., Wright, R., Toll, R. T., Trivedi, H. M., Monuszko, K., Caudle, T. L., Sarhadi, K., Jha, M. K., Trombello, J. M., Deckersbach, T., Adams, P., McGrath, P. J., Weissman, M. M., Fava, M., Pizzagalli, D. A., Arns, M., Trivedi, M. H., & Etkin, A.
Affiliations
  • VA Palo Alto Health Care System (US)
  • The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center (US)
  • Maastricht University (NL)
  • Harvard University (US)
  • New York State Psychiatric Institute (US)
  • Utrecht University (NL)
Corresponding author
Etkin, Amit
Venue
Nature Biotechnology
Published
2020-02-10
Volume
38
Issue
4
Pages
439-447
ISSN
  • 0733-222X (ISSN-L)
  • 1087-0156
  • 1546-1696
OpenAlex
W3005405338
Cited by
302
References
11
Citations by year
2026: 37 · 2025: 49 · 2024: 61 · 2023: 46 · 2022: 31 · 2021: 45 · 2020: 33
FWCI
23.23
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Nature Biotechnology (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • Research Publications (Maastricht University) (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
  • eScholarship (California Digital Library) (submittedVersion)
  • Research Publications (Maastricht University) (submittedVersion)
Funders
  • National Natural Science Foundation of China (61876063, 61836003)
  • U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | National Institute of Mental Health (DP1MH116506, U01MH092221, U01MH092250, R01MH103324)
  • Stanford Neurosciences Institute
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Pharmacology › Treatment of Major Depression
  • Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Neurology › Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation Studies
  • Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Neural and Behavioral Psychology Studies
Keywords
major depressive disorder, antidepressant response prediction, resting-state EEG, sertraline, placebo response, transcranial magnetic stimulation, personalized treatment, treatment response biomarkers
MeSH terms
Machine Learning, Antidepressive Agents, Depressive Disorder, Major, Major Depressive Disorder, Double-Blind Method, Electroencephalography, Humans, Membrane Potentials, Models, Neurological, Predictive Value of Tests, Reproducibility of Results, Treatment Outcome, Prefrontal Cortex, Sertraline, Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review