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Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans
Open accessAbstract
Aging biomarkers can potentially allow researchers to rapidly monitor the impact of an aging intervention without the need for decade-spanning trials. However, before the use of aging biomarkers, such as epigenetic clocks, as surrogate endpoints, their responsiveness to interventions that target aging must be tested. Here we curate TranslAGE, a harmonized database of 51 public and private longitudinal interventional studies, and calculate a consistent set of 16 prominent epigenetic clocks for each study, along with 94 other DNA methylation (DNAm) biomarkers that can help explain the changes observed for each clock. Using this database, we discover patterns of responsiveness across a variety of interventions and DNAm biomarkers. For example, clocks trained to predict mortality or pace of aging show the strongest responses across all interventions and show consistent results with one another; pharmacological and lifestyle interventions drive the strongest responses from DNAm biomarkers; and the characteristics of the study population and study duration are key factors in determining the responsiveness of DNAm biomarkers to an intervention. Moreover, clocks with multiple subscores (that is ‘explainable clocks’) provide specificity and greater mechanistic insight into the responsiveness of interventions than single-score clocks. These findings can help to design future clinical trials by guiding the choice of interventions and of specific subsets of DNAm biomarkers to minimize multiple testing, study duration, study population and sample size, with the eventual aim of uncovering DNAm biomarkers that can be used as surrogate aging endpoints.
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TL;DR
The paper curates TranslAGE, a harmonized database of 51 longitudinal human longevity intervention studies (3,128 samples), and calculates 16 epigenetic clocks plus 94 other DNAm biomarkers to test responsiveness. It finds that reliable second-generation clocks, especially DunedinPACE and PCGrimAge, are most responsive, with pharmacological and lifestyle interventions and disease populations showing stronger effects.
Key findings
- Across 51 interventions, 19 significantly decreased epigenetic age across the 16 biomarkers (13 after multiple-testing correction), 5 significantly increased it (3 after correction), and 26 had no significant effects. Pharmacological interventions had a mean effect size of −0.09307 (t = 4.948) and lifestyle interventions −0.0393 (t = 7.579); pharmacological effects were larger than lifestyle (P = 0.0063), supplements (P = 0.0009) and medical procedures (P = 0.0517).
- Reliable generation 2+ biomarkers were most responsive. DunedinPACE decreased significantly in 16 interventions and increased in only 1, with pooled mean effect size −0.0891 (P = 0.0012). Other significant decreases were GrimAgeV2 (−0.0814, P = 0.0075), PCPhenoAge (−0.08876, P = 0.003), PCGrimAge (−0.07843, P = 0.0003) and SystemsAge (−0.05859, P = 0.0043). Only PCHorvath1 among generation 1 clocks significantly decreased (mean −0.06674, P = 0.029), and PhenoAge decreased (mean −0.06735, P = 0.0408) but was not significant after multiple-testing correction.
- Disease populations showed larger biomarker responses than healthy populations: PCPhenoAge mean −0.32 (P = 0.0057), PCGrimAge −0.22 (P = 0.0022) and SystemsAge −0.213 (P = 0.0105), all significant after correction. In healthy groups, only DunedinPACE (−0.074, P = 0.0143) and PCGrimAge (−0.043, P = 0.0191) were responsive, neither significant after correction; DunedinPACE responded similarly in both populations (mean difference 0.07, P = 0.25).
- Explainable GenX biomarkers provided mechanistic detail: 39 biomarkers changed significantly across all interventions, including PCGrimAge components PCPACKYRS (−0.05824, t = 4.636), PCCystatinC (−0.1404, t = 3.630) and PCTIMP1 (−0.08526, t = 3.666); SystemsAge components kidney (−0.1021, t = 3.753), lung (−0.08812, t = 4.615) and musculoskeletal (−0.07132, t = 3.729). Horvath1 correlated with its stochastic component (R = 0.50), whereas PhenoAge did not (R = −0.06); DamAge and AdaptAge changes were strongly inversely related (R = −0.89).
Methods
- The authors curated 51 public and private longitudinal interventional studies with pre- and post-intervention blood DNAm data (total 3,128 samples), standardized study metadata, and calculated more than 110 DNAm biomarkers using MethylCIPHER 2.0, including 16 prominent epigenetic clocks and 94 other biomarkers.
- Biomarkers were age-residualized within each dataset, standardized using the Health and Retirement Study reference standard deviation, and analyzed with paired t-tests for pre–post changes, one-sample t-tests for deviations from zero effect size, and univariate linear regressions for study-level covariates. Multiple-testing correction used a PCA-based effective number of independent tests.
- Interventions were categorized as lifestyle, pharmacological, supplements or medical procedures; the database also included 4 control datasets and 9 pro-aging event datasets. Analyses were conducted in GraphPad Prism 9.4.0. The secondary analysis was approved by the Yale IRB (study number 2000040453).
Limitations
- Stated: the study pooled heterogeneous interventional studies differing in participant age ranges, intervention modalities, durations and designs, limiting biological specificity and precluding causal interpretation; the intent was descriptive. It also notes variability in study quality, sample size and intervention relevance, lack of harmonized preprocessing and batch correction across studies, and caution that generation 2+ clocks may reflect intermediate health or inflammatory states rather than direct aging biology.
- Stated: no empirically defined minimal clinically important difference exists for DNAm clocks, a key barrier to surrogate endpoint use. The authors also note that standardized effect sizes may appear modest, but for widely used clocks with epigenetic age deviation SD of ~4–6 years, an effect size of ~0.2 corresponds to an approximate 1-year shift.
- Evident from the text: many reported effects are based on nominal P < 0.05, and several key findings are not significant after multiple-testing correction; the database also includes privately held TruDiagnostic datasets alongside public repositories, which may affect representativeness.
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Claims the paper makes
4 of 19 cited sources checked · 4 supported · 0 flagged
Every source the paper cites for this claim was checked and supports it.
In the paper
“Importantly, we found that second-generation (generation 2+) DNAm biomarkers, such as PCGrimAge12, SystemsAge11 and DunedinPACE10, showed the strongest and most consistent responsiveness.”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Discussion
What the sources say
- Supportedcites [12] Higgins-Chen, A. T. et al. A computational solution for bolstering reliability of epigenetic clocks: implications for clinical trials and longitudinal tracking. Nat. Aging 2, 644 (2022). source
The citation attached to PCGrimAge identifies the biomarker, rather than attributing the citing authors’ finding about responsiveness to this paper. The Results section, “PC clocks for clinical trials and in vitro assays,” explicitly discusses GrimAge/PCGrimAge. SystemsAge and DunedinPACE have separate citations in the citing sentence. (LLM, conf=0.92)
- Supportedcites [11] Sehgal, R. et al. Systems Age: a single blood methylation test to quantify aging heterogeneity across 11 physiological systems. Nat. Aging 5, 1880–1896 (2025). source
The citation identifies SystemsAge as one of the biomarkers in the citing authors’ analysis; the responsiveness finding is explicitly their own. The source paper’s Discussion describes its Systems Age blood-DNAm test, and its Results compare Systems Age with other epigenetic clocks. (LLM, conf=0.92)
- Supportedcites [10] Belsky, D. W. et al. DunedinPACE, a DNA methylation biomarker of the pace of aging. eLife https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.73420 (2022). source
The citation attached to DunedinPACE identifies the biomarker; the paper’s Discussion describes DunedinPACE as a DNA-methylation measure of aging. The statement about which biomarkers were most responsive is introduced as the citing authors’ own finding, not a finding attributed to this source. (LLM, conf=0.91)
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In the paper
“Meanwhile, most generation 1 biomarkers, such as Horvath1, Horvath2 and Hannum, sporadically increased or decreased in a handful of different interventions, lacking any clear trend.”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Reliable generation 2+ biomarkers demonstrate the highest responsiveness
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In the paper
“pharmacological and lifestyle interventions drive the strongest responses from DNAm biomarkers”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Abstract
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In the paper
“We also regressed out DNAm imputed cell fractions and observed that nearly all biomarkers that were responsive before cell fraction regression remained responsive even after accounting for cell fractions (Extended Data Fig. 1b).”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Reliable generation 2+ biomarkers demonstrate the highest responsiveness
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In the paper
“A paired t-test revealed that the pharmacological category had significantly more biomarkers showing effects compared with any other category, suggesting that pharmacological interventions may elicit stronger responses from DNAm biomarkers.”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Certain longevity intervention categories elicit stronger responses from DNAm biomarkers
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In the paper
“The top 4 biomarkers with largest decrease in effect size in the one-way t-test analysis (Fig. 4g and Supplementary Table 12) were DunedinPoAm38 (mean of −0.2394, P = 0.0442), GrimAgeV1 (−0.2332, 0.0151), GrimAgeV2 (−0.2092, 0.0058) and PCGrimAge (−0.1575, 0.0095) (only GrimAgeV2 and PCGrimAge significant after multiple-testing correction).”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Different DNAm biomarkers are sensitive to different intervention categories
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesA result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“First, generation 1 biomarkers had less agreement with other biomarkers (Horvath1 of 0.66, Horvath2 of 0.5 and Hannum of 0.55) as compared with their generation 2+ counterparts (DNAmEMRAge of 0.75, OMICmAge of 0.75, GrimAgeV1 of 0.63, PhenoAge of 0.83 and DunedinPoAm38 of 0.77).”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Reliable generation 2+ biomarkers align most with other biomarkers
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In the paper
“Several biomarkers, including PCPhenoAge (mean difference of 0.28, P < 0.0001), SystemsAge (mean difference of 0.21, P < 0.0001) and GrimAgeV2 (mean difference of 0.14, P = 0.02), showed significantly larger decreases in disease populations.”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Study population health status is critical to DNAm biomarker response
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In the paper
“Population health status showed the strongest association with highly responsive biomarkers (PCPhenoAge Z of 4.83; PCGrimAge of 4.07; SystemsAge of 4.65).”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Study population health status is critical to DNAm biomarker response
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In the paper
“the characteristics of the study population and study duration are key factors in determining the responsiveness of DNAm biomarkers to an intervention”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Abstract
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- Probably not a substantial claim. 5
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Every source the paper cites for this claim was checked and supports it.
In the paper
“We used the independent testing framework proposed by Li et al. (2011)44, which replaces the raw number of tests with an effective number of independent tests derived from the correlation structure among variables.”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Methods > Multiple-testing correction
What the sources say
- Supportedcites [44] Li, M.-X., Yeung, J. M. Y., Cherny, S. S. & Sham, P. C. Evaluating the effective numbers of independent tests and significant p-value thresholds in commercial genotyping arrays and public imputation reference datasets. Hum. Genet. 131, 747–756 (2011). source
The Introduction describes replacing the actual number of tested markers with a smaller effective number of independent markers. The Methods section explains that this number is estimated from eigenvalues of the correlation matrix of association-test p-values, matching the attributed framework in the paper’s genetic-association setting. (LLM, conf=0.91)
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- Rests on an assumption: Interventions of similar categories frequently elicit correlated physiological responses.
- Supported
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“DNAmEMRAge and OMICmAge changed in many interventions, though interestingly, they were a mix of increases and decreases, which may reflect the complexity of the multi-omic and phenotypic data on which they were trained.”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Reliable generation 2+ biomarkers demonstrate the highest responsiveness
Strength:hedged· not yet calibratedCausal:conditional· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Here we curate TranslAGE, a harmonized database of 51 public and private longitudinal interventional studies, and calculate a consistent set of 16 prominent epigenetic clocks for each study, along with 94 other DNA methylation (DNAm) biomarkers that can help explain the changes observed for each clock.”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Abstract
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“significantly decreasing epigenetic age in only a handful of generation 2 reliable clocks (smoking cessation—SystemsAge; umbilical cord blood transfusion—DunedinPACE and GrimAgeV2; metformin—SystemsAge, PCGrimAge and PCPhenoAge; hyperbaric oxygen therapy—DunedinPACE; Vegan Diet—DunedinPACE and SystemsAge; TruLacta supplement—DunedinPACE)”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > GenX DNAm biomarkers offer mechanistic insights into responsiveness
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In the paper
“By contrast, we see an example of two SRW supplement studies which change the same biomarkers (satisfying rule 2), but there is no consistent change in direction across those biomarkers (not satisfying rule 1—PCHorvath1 and PhenoAge decrease, whereas PCHorvath2, PCHannum and DNAmEMRAge increase).”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Consistency between biomarkers and studies supports bona fide effects of longevity interventions
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
- Rests on an assumption: It is unlikely that multiple clocks and multiple studies would repeatedly yield the same false positives.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Among all the biomarkers, DunedinPACE was the most responsive to a deflection in biological age, significantly decreasing in 16 interventions and increasing in only 1.”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Reliable generation 2+ biomarkers demonstrate the highest responsiveness
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“By contrast, only a single generation 1 (reliable) clock significantly decreased across all interventions (PCHorvath1 mean of −0.06674, P = 0.029), and a single generation 2 nonreliable DNAm biomarker decreased (PhenoAge mean of −0.06735, P= 0.0408) (not significant after multiple-testing correction).”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Reliable generation 2+ biomarkers demonstrate the highest responsiveness
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
- Rests on an assumption: All interventions in the dataset are targeted at ameliorating pathological aging potentially by reducing biological age.
- Rests on an assumption: If DNAm biomarkers are responsive, they should show a significant decrease when all effect sizes are pooled together.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“This analysis showed that only Pharmacological (mean effect size of −0.09307 and t-value of 4.948) and lifestyle interventions (mean effect size of −0.0393 and t-value of 7.579) significantly reduced epigenetic age, with pharmacological interventions demonstrating a larger effect.”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Certain longevity intervention categories elicit stronger responses from DNAm biomarkers
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The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Similarly, two different types of Mediterranean diets, performed in healthy cohorts, decrease similar subsets of generation 2+ DNAm biomarkers, satisfying both rule 1 and rule 2.”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Consistency between biomarkers and studies supports bona fide effects of longevity interventions
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
- Rests on an assumption: It is unlikely that multiple clocks and multiple studies would repeatedly yield the same false positives.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Second, reliable versions showed greater agreement compared with their original versions (Horvath2 0.5 versus PCHorvath2 0.77; Hannum 0.55 versus PCHannum 0.9; GrimAge 0.6 versus PCGrimAge 0.9; PhenoAge 0.83 versus PCPhenoAge 1; and DunedinPoAm38 0.76 versus DunedinPACE 0.82) with one exception (Horvath1 0.66 versus PCHorvath1 0.44).”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Reliable generation 2+ biomarkers align most with other biomarkers
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“In total, 19 interventions significantly decreased epigenetic age across the 16 biomarkers (13 after multiple-testing correction), 5 significantly increased epigenetic age across the 16 biomarkers (3 after multiple-testing correction) and the remaining 26 had no significant effects.”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Longevity interventions have varying effects on DNAm biomarkers
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Meanwhile, GrimAgeV2 was the most sensitive to pharmacological interventions, but only changed in a single lifestyle intervention.”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Different DNAm biomarkers are sensitive to different intervention categories
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The results revealed that only aging events and interventions showed significant effects, with effect sizes of 0.14 (increase) and −0.06 (decrease) in the one-sample t-test (P < 0.0001). In addition, all paired t-test comparisons yielded significant results (P < 0.001).”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Assessing longevity interventions: evidence for decreased epigenetic age across translAGE
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In the paper
“In comparison, after pharmacological interventions (Fig. 4f and Supplementary Table 11), GrimAgeV2 reported the highest number of significant decreases (8 out of 14) followed by PCGrimAge and OMICmAge (6).”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Different DNAm biomarkers are sensitive to different intervention categories
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Most notably, DunedinPACE was altered by fewer pharmacological interventions than other second-generation reliable biomarkers, despite its high responsiveness in lifestyle (Fig. 4d) and in uncategorized interventions (Fig. 4a).”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Different DNAm biomarkers are sensitive to different intervention categories
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“For example, clocks trained to predict mortality or pace of aging show the strongest responses across all interventions and show consistent results with one another”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Abstract
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“However, there is one notable exception: DunedinPACE, which was unique in that it never disagreed with other clocks, yet it was the only significant clock in 17.6% of the interventions where it was significant.”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Reliable generation 2+ biomarkers align most with other biomarkers
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Anti-TNF therapies in patients from multiple studies (arthritis and IBD) modify nearly all generation 2+ biomarkers (both reliable and otherwise) to very similar magnitude, fulfilling both rules and supporting anti-TNF therapies as a potential method to prevent pathological aging in individuals with autoimmune disorders.”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Consistency between biomarkers and studies supports bona fide effects of longevity interventions
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
- Rests on an assumption: It is unlikely that multiple clocks and multiple studies would repeatedly yield the same false positives.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Most generation 2+ reliable biomarkers such as SystemsAge, GrimAgeV2, PCGrimAge, PCPhenoAge and DunedinPACE, decreased significantly in multiple interventions and increased in none or few interventions.”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Reliable generation 2+ biomarkers demonstrate the highest responsiveness
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Similarly, the five different senolytics studies have multiple biomarkers changing in different direction within a study (GrimAgeV1 and V2 versus others, not satisfying rule 1) and sometimes the same biomarker changing in opposite direction across studies (PCHorvath2, not satisfying rule 2).”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Consistency between biomarkers and studies supports bona fide effects of longevity interventions
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
- Rests on an assumption: It is unlikely that multiple clocks and multiple studies would repeatedly yield the same false positives.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“One-way t-tests revealed (Fig. 4e and Supplementary Table 10) that DunedinPoAm38 reported the largest decrease in effect size (mean of −0.1048, P = 0.0001), followed by DunedinPACE (−0.08887, 0.0037) and GrimAgeV2 (−0.07904, 0.0004) (all significant after multiple-testing corrections).”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Different DNAm biomarkers are sensitive to different intervention categories
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None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“Our data support prior claims that generation 1 clocks such as Horvath1 largely reflect stochastic epigenetic noise, whereas generation 2+ biomarkers capture more structured, biologically meaningful change19.”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Discussion
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites [19] Tong, H. et al. Quantifying the stochastic component of epigenetic aging. Nat. Aging 4, 886–901 (2024). source
Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.
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- Not checked yet
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“In the vegan diet, the largest decrease was seen in inflammation (0.23) and musculoskeletal (0.17).”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > GenX DNAm biomarkers offer mechanistic insights into responsiveness
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:direct· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Among these, DunedinPACE showed the largest effect sizes, whereas PCGrimAge yielded the most statistically significant results.”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Discussion
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“hyperbaric oxygen therapy in lung (0.27)”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > GenX DNAm biomarkers offer mechanistic insights into responsiveness
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:direct· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesThe quote only partly states this claim.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“metformin with inflammation (0.80), brain (0.70) and metabolic (0.70) decreasing the most”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > GenX DNAm biomarkers offer mechanistic insights into responsiveness
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:direct· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“We also validated prior findings that effective interventions reduce damaging causal signals (DamAge) and, in some cases, increase adaptive ones (AdaptAge).”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Discussion
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In the paper
“despite responsiveness being a prerequisite for surrogate endpoint qualification17”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Main
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites [17] Moqri, M. et al. Validation of biomarkers of aging. Nat. Med. 30, 360–372 (2024). source
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“clocks with multiple subscores (that is ‘explainable clocks’) provide specificity and greater mechanistic insight into the responsiveness of interventions than single-score clocks”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Abstract
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“This suggests potentially two criteria for a biomarker to be responsive: (1) it needs to be reliable, and (2) it needs to be a mortality or rate of aging predictor.”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Reliable generation 2+ biomarkers demonstrate the highest responsiveness
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Only DunedinPACE responded similarly in both populations (mean difference of 0.07, P = 0.25), suggesting it may be the most robust across varying health contexts.”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Study population health status is critical to DNAm biomarker response
Load-bearingStrength:hedged· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Overall, both analyses converged on the same insight: reliable second-generation biomarkers are responsive to interventions, with DunedinPACE showing the largest effect size and PCGrimAge exhibiting the strongest statistical significance.”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Results > Reliable generation 2+ biomarkers demonstrate the highest responsiveness
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
- Rests on an assumption: All interventions in the dataset are targeted at ameliorating pathological aging potentially by reducing biological age.
- Rests on an assumption: If DNAm biomarkers are responsive, they should show a significant decrease when all effect sizes are pooled together.
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“Epigenetic age deviations consistently predict morbidity, mortality and other aging-related outcomes7–11.”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Main
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [7] Chervova, O. et al. Breaking new ground on human health and well-being with epigenetic clocks: a systematic review and meta-analysis of epigenetic age acceleration associations. Ageing Res. Rev. 102, 102552 (2024). source
- Not checked yetcites [8] Lu, A. T. et al. DNA methylation GrimAge strongly predicts lifespan and healthspan. Aging 11, 303–327 (2019). source
- Not checked yetcites [9] Levine, M. E. et al. An epigenetic biomarker of aging for lifespan and healthspan. Aging 10, 573–591 (2018). source
- Not checked yetcites [10] Belsky, D. W. et al. DunedinPACE, a DNA methylation biomarker of the pace of aging. eLife https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.73420 (2022). source
- Not checked yetcites [11] Sehgal, R. et al. Systems Age: a single blood methylation test to quantify aging heterogeneity across 11 physiological systems. Nat. Aging 5, 1880–1896 (2025). source
Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“we performed paired t-tests to evaluate the effect of the intervention on the calculated DNAm biomarkers”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Methods > Analysis pipeline
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Age-residualization was performed to control for the natural variation in DNAm biomarkers due to chronological age.”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Methods > Analysis pipeline
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim.
In the paper
“We thus divided the age residuals for each DNAm biomarker in all datasets by the standard deviation for that biomarker calculated in the reference datasets”
§ Responsiveness of epigenetic aging biomarkers to longevity interventions in humans > Methods > Analysis pipeline
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites [43] Crimmins, E. M., Thyagarajan, B., Levine, M. E., Weir, D. R. & Faul, J. Associations of age, sex, race/ethnicity, and education with 13 epigenetic clocks in a nationally representative U.S. sample: the health and Retirement Study. J. Gerontol. A Biol. Sci. Med. Sci. 76, 1117–1123 (2021). source
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim.
The paper relies on this without support.
It is unlikely that multiple clocks and multiple studies would repeatedly yield the same false positives.
“Although false positives for a given clock/intervention combination are likely to occur, it is unlikely that multiple clocks and multiple studies would repeatedly yield the same false positives.”
The paper relies on this without support.
All interventions in the dataset are targeted at ameliorating pathological aging potentially by reducing biological age.
“We reasoned that because all interventions in our dataset are targeted at ameliorating pathological aging potentially by reducing biological age, then if the DNAm biomarkers are indeed responsive they should show a significant decrease when all effect sizes were pooled together”
The paper relies on this without support.
If DNAm biomarkers are responsive, they should show a significant decrease when all effect sizes are pooled together.
“if the DNAm biomarkers are indeed responsive they should show a significant decrease when all effect sizes were pooled together”
The paper relies on this without support.
Comparatively little is known about biomarker responsiveness to interventions.
“whereas comparatively little is known about biomarker responsiveness to interventions”
The paper relies on this without support.
Fragmented literature and inconsistent clock panels make it difficult to compare studies, identify consistently responsive biomarkers or determine whether discordant findings reflect biological differences, methodological variation, inconsistent biomarker testing or publication bias.
“Fragmented literature and the calculation of inconsistent clock panels make it difficult to compare studies, identify consistently responsive biomarkers or determine whether discordant findings reflect biological differences, methodological variation, inconsistent biomarker testing or publication bias.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Investigators designing new clinical trials have limited evidence to guide biomarker selection.
“Consequently, investigators designing new clinical trials have limited evidence to guide biomarker selection.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The data are normally distributed for the one-sample t-tests.
“The normality of the data was assumed, and Prism automatically performed the test using the standard t-test formula.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Interventions of similar categories frequently elicit correlated physiological responses.
“interventions of similar categories (for example, diets, exercise regimens and pharmacological agents) frequently elicit correlated physiological responses.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The standard deviation of epigenetic age deviation is typically on the order of ~4–6 years for widely used clocks such as Horvath, Hannum, PhenoAge and GrimAge.
“where the standard deviation of epigenetic age deviation is typically on the order of ~4–6 years”
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Intervention outcome counts total 50, not 51
MinorThe reported groups contain 19 + 5 + 26 = 50 interventions, but the analysis says it covers all 51 interventions. One intervention is unaccounted for.
Reported 51 · recomputed 50
“In total, 19 interventions significantly decreased epigenetic age across the 16 biomarkers (13 after multiple-testing correction), 5 significantly increased epigenetic age across the 16 biomarkers (3 after multiple-testing correction) and the remaining 26 had no significant effects.”
One listed intervention is later described as two
MinorThe category of interventions that did not decrease any general generation 2 reliable clock lists only gastric bypass. The following paragraph refers to two interventions in that category.
“or (2) not significantly decreasing epigenetic age in any generation 2 reliable clocks (gastric bypass)”
“For example, the two interventions that did not modify any general Gen 2 reliable clock do show significant decreases in epigenetic age of specific systems (gastric bypass decreases metabolic score with effect size 0.43).”
Biomarker totals disagree
MinorThe stated panel of 16 clocks and 94 other biomarkers totals 110, whereas the pipeline says it calculated more than 110 biomarkers for each dataset.
“calculate a consistent set of 16 prominent epigenetic clocks for each study, along with 94 other DNA methylation (DNAm) biomarkers”
“Third, we calculated more than 110 DNAm biomarkers for each of these datasets.”
Citations
Cites
Genome-wide methylation profiles reveal quantitative views of human aging rates
Hannum, G., Guinney, J., Zhao, L., Zhang, L., Hughes, G., Sadda, S., Klotzle, B., Bibikova, M., Fan, J.-B., Gao, Y., et al. (2013) · Molecular Cell · doi:10.1016/j.molcel.2012.10.016 · Cited by 4,270
An epigenetic biomarker of aging for lifespan and healthspan
Levine, M. E., Lu, A. T., Quach, A., Chen, B. H., Assimes, T. L., Bandinelli, S., Hou, L., Baccarelli, A. A., Stewart, J. D., Li, Y., et al. (2018) · Aging · doi:10.18632/aging.101414 · Cited by 3,675
DNA methylation-based biomarkers and the epigenetic clock theory of ageing
Horvath, S., & Raj, K. (2018) · Nature Reviews Genetics · doi:10.1038/s41576-018-0004-3 · Cited by 3,095
DNA methylation GrimAge strongly predicts lifespan and healthspan
Lu, A. T., Quach, A., Wilson, J. G., Reiner, A. P., Aviv, A., Raj, K., Hou, L., Baccarelli, A. A., Li, Y., Stewart, J. D., et al. (2019) · Aging · doi:10.18632/aging.101684 · Cited by 2,540
Limb proportions show developmental plasticity in response to embryo movement
Pollard, A. S., Charlton, B., Hutchinson, J. R., Gustafsson, T. P., McGonnell, I. M., Timmons, J. A., & Pitsillides, A. A. (2017) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/srep41926 · Cited by 2,377
Jylhävä, J., Pedersen, N. L., & Hägg, S. (2017) · EBioMedicine · doi:10.1016/j.ebiom.2017.03.046 · Cited by 1,240
Harnessing protein folding neural networks for peptide–protein docking
Tsaban, T., Varga, J. K., Avraham, O., Ben-Aharon, Z., Khramushin, A., & Schueler-Furman, O. (2022) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-021-27838-9 · Cited by 1,205
DunedinPACE, a DNA methylation biomarker of the pace of aging
Belsky, D. W., Caspi, A., Corcoran, D. L., Sugden, K., Poulton, R., Arseneault, L., Baccarelli, A., Chamarti, K., Gao, X., Hannon, E., et al. (2022) · eLife · doi:10.7554/elife.73420 · Cited by 1,083
Li, M.-X., Yeung, J. M. Y., Cherny, S. S., & Sham, P. C. (2012) · Human Genetics · doi:10.1007/s00439-011-1118-2 · Cited by 962
Horvath, S., Oshima, J., Martin, G. M., Lu, A. T., Quach, A., Cohen, H., Felton, S., Matsuyama, M., Lowe, D., Kabacik, S., et al. (2018) · Aging · doi:10.18632/aging.101508 · Cited by 815
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 2
- Schork, N. J., Beaulieu-Jones, B., Liang, W., Smalley, S. & Goetz, L. H. Does modulation of an epigenetic clock define a geroprotector? Adv. Geriatr. Med. Res. 4, e220002 (2022).
- Parashar, S. Role of DNA Methylation in Skeletal Metastasis and Bone Remodeling: Diagnostic, Prognostic and Therapeutic Implications. PhD thesis, McGill University (2016).
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Biomarkers of aging: from molecules and surrogates to physiology and function
Furrer, R., & Handschin, C. (2025) · Physiological Reviews · doi:10.1152/physrev.00045.2024 · Cited by 68
Whitman, E. T., Elliott, M. L., Knodt, A. R., Abraham, W. C., Anderson, T. J., Cutfield, N. J., Hogan, S., Ireland, D., Melzer, T. R., Ramrakha, S., et al. (2025) · Nature Aging · doi:10.1038/s43587-025-00897-z · Cited by 37
LI, S., Hamaya, R., Zhu, H., Chen, B. H., Pereira, A. C., Ivey, K. L., Rist, P. M., Manson, J. E., Dong, Y., & Sesso, H. D. (2026) · Nature Medicine · doi:10.1038/s41591-026-04239-3 · Cited by 27
Accelerated Epigenetic Aging and Prospective Morbidity and Mortality Among U.S. Veterans
Bourassa, K. J., Anderson, L., Woolson, S., Dennis, P. A., Garrett, M. E., Hair, L. P., Dennis, M. F., Sugden, K., Williams, B. S., Houts, R., et al. (2025) · The Journals of Gerontology Series A · doi:10.1093/gerona/glaf088 · Cited by 20
Cytosolic DNA crosstalk in senescence: a new axis of inflammatory signaling?
Dou, Z., Kreiling, J. A., Heynen‐Genel, S., Jurk, D., Neretti, N., Adams, P. D., Sedivy, J. M., & Passos, J. F. (2025) · The EMBO Journal · doi:10.1038/s44318-025-00531-z · Cited by 17
Metadata
- Authors
- Sehgal, R., Borrus, D., Armstrong, J. F., Gonzalez, J., Kasamoto, J., Markov, Y., Priyanka, A., Smith, R., Carreras-Gallo, N., Lasky-Su, J., Dwaraka, V. B., Corley, M. J., & Higgins-Chen, A.
- Affiliations
- Yale University (US)
- Brigham and Women's Hospital (US)
- University of California San Diego (US)
- ORCID
- Venue
- Nature Medicine
- Published
- 2026-08-21
- Volume
- 32
- Issue
- 9
- Pages
- 3477-3490
- ISSN
- 1078-8956 (ISSN-L)
- 1546-170X
- PMC
- PMC13577923
- OpenAlex
- W7203885907
- Semantic Scholar
- ff8c0662ad3ca2fb7a1d6e01619862b24938c53a
- Cited by
- 31
- References
- 60
- Citations by year
- 2026: 16
- FWCI
- 23.64
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Locations
- Nature Medicine (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Yale University
- University of Pennsylvania
- University of Washington
- Johns Hopkins University
- National Institutes of Health
- National Institute on Aging (RC2AG036495, RC4AG039029, R01AG065403, U24AG041689, U01AG009740)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Epigenetics and DNA Methylation
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Aging › Genetics, Aging, and Longevity in Model Organisms
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Cell Biology › Telomeres, Telomerase, and Senescence
- Keywords
- epigenetic clocks, DNA methylation, aging biomarkers, surrogate endpoints, aging interventions, pharmacological interventions, lifestyle intervention, senolytics, TNF-alpha inhibitors, mortality prediction, pace of aging
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
A language model drew the claims from the paper on 2026-11-10, under version 3 of the claim definition (model deepseek-v4.1-flash, prompt extract-v3).
A second model labelled each claim on 2026-11-10 (model jev-1.13-20260917, definition revision gold-guideline-v0.2).
Cited sources are checked with a language model’s help (gpt-6-sol).
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
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