Co-extinctions annihilate planetary life during extreme environmental change
Open accessAbstract
Climate change and human activity are dooming species at an unprecedented rate via a plethora of direct and indirect, often synergic, mechanisms. Among these, primary extinctions driven by environmental change could be just the tip of an enormous extinction iceberg. As our understanding of the importance of ecological interactions in shaping ecosystem identity advances, it is becoming clearer how the disappearance of consumers following the depletion of their resources — a process known as ‘co-extinction’ — is more likely the major driver of biodiversity loss. Although the general relevance of co-extinctions is supported by a sound and robust theoretical background, the challenges in obtaining empirical information about ongoing (and past) co-extinction events complicate the assessment of their relative contributions to the rapid decline of species diversity even in well-known systems, let alone at the global scale. By subjecting a large set of virtual Earths to different trajectories of extreme environmental change (global heating and cooling), and by tracking species loss up to the complete annihilation of all life either accounting or not for co-extinction processes, we show how ecological dependencies amplify the direct effects of environmental change on the collapse of planetary diversity by up to ten times.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Projections omit interconnections among species, which may cause domino effects that amplify the loss of diversity.
“Projections also omit interconnections among species, which may cause domino effects that amplify the loss of diversity ( 88 ).”
From Pervasive human-driven decline of life on Earth points to the need for transformative change (2019) · cites this paper as [88]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas
Hijmans, R. J., Cameron, S. E., Parra, J. L., Jones, P. G., & Jarvis, A. (2005) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.1276 · Cited by 19,860 · see citing works
Has the Earth’s sixth mass extinction already arrived?
Barnosky, A. D., Matzke, N., Tomiya, S., Wogan, G. O. U., Swartz, B., Quental, T. B., Marshall, C., McGuire, J. L., Lindsey, E. L., Maguire, K. C., et al. (2011) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature09678 · Cited by 4,400 · see citing works
Impacts of climate warming on terrestrial ectotherms across latitude
Deutsch, C. A., Tewksbury, J. J., Huey, R. B., Sheldon, K. S., Ghalambor, C. K., Haak, D. C., & Martin, P. R. (2008) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0709472105 · Cited by 3,840 · see citing works
How Many Species Are There on Earth and in the Ocean?
Mora, C., Tittensor, D. P., Adl, S., Simpson, A. G. B., & Worm, B. (2011) · PLoS Biology · doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.1001127 · Cited by 3,045 · see citing works
Biotic homogenization: a few winners replacing many losers in the next mass extinction
McKinney, M. L., & Lockwood, J. L. (1999) · Trends in Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1016/s0169-5347(99)01679-1 · Cited by 2,712 · see citing works
Ceballos, G., Ehrlich, P. R., & Dirzo, R. (2017) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1704949114 · Cited by 2,663 · see citing works
Recent Arctic amplification and extreme mid-latitude weather
Cohen, J. L., Screen, J. A., Furtado, J. C., Barlow, M. A., Whittleston, D. P., Coumou, D., Francis, J. A., Dethloff, K., Entekhabi, D., Overland, J. E., et al. (2014) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/ngeo2234 · Cited by 2,498 · see citing works
Rothschild, L. J., & Mancinelli, R. L. (2001) · Nature · doi:10.1038/35059215 · Cited by 2,245 · see citing works
Resistance ofBacillusEndospores to Extreme Terrestrial and Extraterrestrial Environments
Nicholson, W. L., Munakata, N., Horneck, G., Melosh, H. J., & Setlow, P. (2000) · Microbiology and Molecular Biology Reviews · doi:10.1128/mmbr.64.3.548-572.2000 · Cited by 2,041 · see citing works
Synergies among extinction drivers under global change
BROOK, B., SODHI, N., & BRADSHAW, C. (2008) · Trends in Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1016/j.tree.2008.03.011 · Cited by 2,031 · see citing works
Self-citationNetwork structure and biodiversity loss in food webs: robustness increases with connectance
Dunne, J., Williams, R. J., & Martinez, N. D. (2002) · Ecology Letters · doi:10.1046/j.1461-0248.2002.00354.x · Cited by 1,728 · see citing works
Global analysis of thermal tolerance and latitude in ectotherms
Sunday, J. M., Bates, A. E., & Dulvy, N. K. (2011) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2010.1295 · Cited by 1,300 · see citing works
Frankham, R., Bradshaw, C. J. A., & Brook, B. W. (2014) · Biological Conservation · doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2013.12.036 · Cited by 1,162 · see citing works
Self-citationBeyond species loss: the extinction of ecological interactions in a changing world
Valiente‐Banuet, A., Aizen, M. A., Alcántara, J. M., Arroyo, J., Cocucci, A. A., Galetti, M., Garcia, M. B., Garcı́a, D., Gómez, J. M., Jordano, P., et al. (2014) · Functional Ecology · doi:10.1111/1365-2435.12356 · Cited by 966 · see citing works
Nuclear Winter: Global Consequences of Multiple Nuclear Explosions
TURCO, R. P., Toon, O. B., Ackerman, T. P., Pollack, J. B., & Sagan, C. (1983) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.222.4630.1283 · Cited by 826 · see citing works
The Robustness and Restoration of a Network of Ecological Networks
Pocock, M. J. O., Evans, D. M., & Memmott, J. (2012) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1214915 · Cited by 634 · see citing works
How to kill (almost) all life: the end-Permian extinction event
Benton, M. J., & Twitchett, R. J. (2003) · Trends in Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1016/s0169-5347(03)00093-4 · Cited by 502 · see citing works
Global variation in thermal tolerances and vulnerability of endotherms to climate change
Khaliq, I., Hof, C., Prinzinger, R., Böhning‐Gaese, K., & Pfenninger, M. (2014) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2014.1097 · Cited by 350 · see citing works
Abrupt warming events drove Late Pleistocene Holarctic megafaunal turnover
Cooper, A., TURNEY, C. S. M., Hughen, K. A., Brook, B. W., McDonald, H. G., & Bradshaw, C. J. A. (2015) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aac4315 · Cited by 324 · see citing works
Self-citationLimits to Trophic Levels and Omnivory in Complex Food Webs: Theory and Data
Williams, R. J., & Martinez, N. D. (2004) · The American Naturalist · doi:10.1086/381964 · Cited by 314 · see citing works
Ecological networks are more sensitive to plant than to animal extinction under climate change
Schleuning, M., Fründ, J., Schweiger, O., Welk, E., Albrecht, J., Albrecht, M., Beil, M., Benadi, G., Blüthgen, N., Bruelheide, H., et al. (2016) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/ncomms13965 · Cited by 261 · see citing works
Thompson, J. N. (2013) · University of Chicago Press eBooks · doi:10.7208/chicago/9780226018898.001.0001 · Cited by 226 · see citing works
High frequency of functional extinctions in ecological networks
Säterberg, T., Sellman, S., & Ebenman, B. (2013) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature12277 · Cited by 226 · see citing works
Natural selection on thermal performance in a novel thermal environment
Logan, M. L., Cox, R. M., & Calsbeek, R. G. (2014) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1404885111 · Cited by 194 · see citing works
Evidence for mesothermy in dinosaurs
Grady, J. M., Enquist, B. J., Dettweiler‐Robinson, E., Wright, N. A., & Smith, F. A. (2014) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1253143 · Cited by 169 · see citing works
Rapid thermal adaptation during field temperature variations in Drosophila melanogaster
Overgaard, J., & Sørensen, J. G. (2008) · Cryobiology · doi:10.1016/j.cryobiol.2008.01.001 · Cited by 169 · see citing works
Metcalf, J. L., TURNEY, C. S. M., Barnett, R., Martin, F. M., Bray, S. C. E., Vilstrup, J. T., Orlando, L., Salas‐Gismondi, R., Loponte, D., Medina, M. E., et al. (2016) · Science Advances · doi:10.1126/sciadv.1501682 · Cited by 155 · see citing works
Self-citationCurrent Status of the Tardigrada: Evolution and Ecology
Nelson, D. R. (2002) · Integrative and Comparative Biology · doi:10.1093/icb/42.3.652 · Cited by 150 · see citing works
On transient climate change at the Cretaceous−Paleogene boundary due to atmospheric soot injections
Bardeen, C., García, R. R., Toon, O. B., & Conley, A. (2017) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1708980114 · Cited by 144 · see citing works
High‐Temperature Tolerance in Anhydrobiotic Tardigrades Is Limited by Glass Transition
Hengherr, S., WORLAND, M. R., Reuner, A., Brümmer, F., & Schill, R. O. (2009) · Physiological and Biochemical Zoology · doi:10.1086/605954 · Cited by 136 · see citing works
Past, present and future of host–parasite co-extinctions
Strona, G. (2015) · International Journal for Parasitology Parasites and Wildlife · doi:10.1016/j.ijppaw.2015.08.007 · Cited by 87 · see citing works
Self-citationEnvironmental change makes robust ecological networks fragile
Strona, G., & Lafferty, K. D. (2016) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/ncomms12462 · Cited by 87 · see citing works
Self-citationAnhydrobiosis and cold tolerance in tardigrades
Sømme, L. (2013) · European Journal of Entomology · Cited by 85 · see citing works
Adaptive rewiring aggravates the effects of species loss in ecosystems
Gilljam, D., Curtsdotter, A., & Ebenman, B. (2015) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/ncomms9412 · Cited by 79 · see citing works
Co-extinction in a host-parasite network: identifying key hosts for network stability
Dallas, T., & Cornelius, E. A. (2015) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/srep13185 · Cited by 65 · see citing works
The Resilience of Life to Astrophysical Events
Sloan, D., Batista, R. A., & Loeb, A. (2017) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-017-05796-x · Cited by 42 · see citing works
Robustness Trade-Offs in Model Food Webs
Romanuk, T. N., Zhou, Y., Valdovinos, F. S., & Martinez, N. D. (2017) · Advances in ecological research/Advances in Ecological Research · doi:10.1016/bs.aecr.2016.11.001 · Cited by 37 · see citing works
Sanders, D., Kehoe, R., & van Veen, F. J. F. (2015) · Current Biology · doi:10.1016/j.cub.2015.10.017 · Cited by 32 · see citing works
ECOWeB 1.1: Ecologists' Cooperative Web Bank
Cohen, J. E. (2010) · Digital Commons - RU (Rockefeller University) · Cited by 6 · see citing works
User, G. O. (2017) · Global Biodiversity Information Facility · doi:10.15468/dl.eisrd7 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
2 of the 42 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Pervasive human-driven decline of life on Earth points to the need for transformative change
Díaz, S., Settele, J., Brondízio, E. S., Ngo, H. T., Agard, J., Arneth, A., Balvanera, P., Brauman, K. A., Butchart, S. H. M., Chan, K. M. A., et al. (2019) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aax3100 · Cited by 2,773 · see citing works
The Impact of Climate Change on Mental Health: A Systematic Descriptive Review
Cianconi, P., Betrò, S., & Janiri, L. (2020) · Frontiers in Psychiatry · doi:10.3389/fpsyt.2020.00074 · Cited by 1,320 · see citing works
“Moreover, our ecosystem will face plant and animal extinction due to failure to adapt or migrate (30) leading to an increased risk of an “extinction domino effect” (31).”
BackgroundInfluentialScientists' warning to humanity on insect extinctions
Cardoso, P., Barton, P. S., Birkhofer, K., Chichorro, F., Deacon, C., Fartmann, T., Fukushima, C. S., Gaigher, R., Habel, J. C., Hallmann, C. A., et al. (2020) · Biological Conservation · doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2020.108426 · Cited by 860 · see citing works
Underestimating the Challenges of Avoiding a Ghastly Future
Bradshaw, C. J. A., Ehrlich, P. R., Beattie, A. J., Ceballos, G., Crist, E. L., Diamond, J., Dirzo, R., Ehrlich, A. H., Harte, J., Harte, M. E., et al. (2021) · Frontiers in Conservation Science · doi:10.3389/fcosc.2020.615419 · Cited by 544 · see citing works
Self-citationRecent Anthropogenic Plant Extinctions Differ in Biodiversity Hotspots and Coldspots
Roux, J. J. L., Hui, C., Castillo, M. L., Iriondo, J. M., Keet, J., Khapugin, A. A., Mèdail, F., Rejmánek, M., Theron, G. L., Yannelli, F. A., et al. (2019) · Current Biology · doi:10.1016/j.cub.2019.07.063 · Cited by 167 · see citing works
Shabani, F., Ahmadi, M., Kumar, L., Solhjouy‐Fard, S., Tehrany, M. S., Shabani, F., Kalantar, B., & Esmaeili, A. (2020) · Ecological Indicators · doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2020.106436 · Cited by 116 · see citing works
Stochastic models support rapid peopling of Late Pleistocene Sahul
Bradshaw, C. J. A., Norman, K., Ulm, S., Williams, A. N., Clarkson, C., Chadœuf, J., Lin, S. C. H., Jacobs, Z. L., Roberts, R. G., Bird, M. I., et al. (2021) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-021-21551-3 · Cited by 104 · see citing works
Self-citationReddin, C. J., Aberhan, M., Raja, N. B., & Kocsis, Á. T. (2022) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.16333 · Cited by 90 · see citing works
Bogoni, J. A., Peres, C. A., & Ferraz, K. M. P. M. D. B. (2020) · Ecosystem Services · doi:10.1016/j.ecoser.2020.101173 · Cited by 81 · see citing works
Coextinctions dominate future vertebrate losses from climate and land use change
Strona, G., & Bradshaw, C. J. A. (2022) · Science Advances · doi:10.1126/sciadv.abn4345 · Cited by 73 · see citing works
Self-citationParncutt, R. (2019) · Frontiers in Psychology · doi:10.3389/fpsyg.2019.02323 · Cited by 57 · see citing works
Ecological adaptability of invasive weeds under environmental pollutants: A review
Sun, J., Khattak, W. A., Abbas, A., Nawaz, M., Hameed, R., Javed, Q., Bo, Y., Khan, K. A., & Du, D. (2023) · Environmental and Experimental Botany · doi:10.1016/j.envexpbot.2023.105492 · Cited by 50 · see citing works
Li, H., Yang, Y., Wang, H., Liu, S., Jia, F., Su, Y., Li, S., He, F., Feng, C., Niu, M., et al. (2021) · International Journal of Molecular Sciences · doi:10.3390/ijms22147245 · Cited by 49 · see citing works
Assisted tree migration can reduce but not avert the decline of forest ecosystem services in Europe
Mauri, A., Girardello, M., Forzieri, G., Manca, F., Beck, P. S. A., Cescatti, A., & Strona, G. (2023) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102676 · Cited by 43 · see citing works
Self-citationGlobal tropical reef fish richness could decline by around half if corals are lost
Strona, G., Lafferty, K. D., Fattorini, S., Beck, P. S. A., Guilhaumon, F., Arrigoni, R., Montano, S., Seveso, D., Galli, P., Planes, S., et al. (2021) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2021.0274 · Cited by 43 · see citing works
Self-citationDong, L., & Huang, Z. (2023) · Journal of Cleaner Production · doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.139667 · Cited by 41 · see citing works
Host repertoires and changing insect–plant interactions
Braga, M. P., & Janz, N. (2021) · Ecological Entomology · doi:10.1111/een.13073 · Cited by 38 · see citing works
Dharmarajan, G., Gupta, P., Vishnudas, C. K., & Robin, V. V. (2021) · Ecology Letters · doi:10.1111/ele.13818 · Cited by 32 · see citing works
Statistical Language Backs Conservatism in Climate-Change Assessments
Herrando‐Pérez, S., Bradshaw, C. J. A., Lewandowsky, S., & Vieites, D. R. (2019) · BioScience · doi:10.1093/biosci/biz004 · Cited by 31 · see citing works
Self-citationShabani, F., Ahmadi, M., Peters, K. J., Haberle, S. G., Champreux, A., Saltré, F., & Bradshaw, C. J. A. (2019) · Ecography · doi:10.1111/ecog.04530 · Cited by 29 · see citing works
Self-citationGuthrie, D. (2023) · Perspectives on Psychological Science · doi:10.1177/17456916221093613 · Cited by 26 · see citing works
Ecological dependencies make remote reef fish communities most vulnerable to coral loss
Strona, G., Beck, P. S. A., Cabeza, M., Fattorini, S., Guilhaumon, F., Micheli, F., Montano, S., Ovaskainen, O., Planes, S., Veech, J. A., et al. (2021) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-021-27440-z · Cited by 28 · see citing works
Self-citationCongruent trophic pathways underpin global coral reef food webs
Pozas‐Schacre, C., Casey, J. M., Brandl, S. J., Kulbicki, M., Harmelin‐Vivien, M., Strona, G., & Parravicini, V. (2021) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.2100966118 · Cited by 25 · see citing works
Self-citationÁvila‐Thieme, M. I., Corcoran, D., Kusch, E., Castillo, S. P., Valdovinos, F. S., Navarrete, S. A., & Marquet, P. A. (2023) · Methods in Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.1111/2041-210x.14126 · Cited by 24 · see citing works
Environmental change and floods: the long-ignored effects of displacement on mental health
Akram, S., & Mushtaq, S. (2024) · Frontiers in Public Health · doi:10.3389/fpubh.2024.1434123 · Cited by 24 · see citing works
Manca, F., Mulà, C., Gustafsson, C., Mauri, A., Roslin, T. V., Thomas, D. N., Benedetti‐Cecchi, L., Norkko, A. M., & Strona, G. (2022) · Biological reviews/Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · doi:10.1111/brv.12842 · Cited by 23 · see citing works
Self-citationPredicting predator–prey interactions in terrestrial endotherms using random forest
Llewelyn, J., Strona, G., Dickman, C. R., Greenville, A. C., Wardle, G. M., Lee, M. S. Y., Doherty, S., Shabani, F., Saltré, F., & Bradshaw, C. J. A. (2023) · Ecography · doi:10.1111/ecog.06619 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
Self-citationTesting for top‐down cascading effects in a biomass‐driven ecological network of soil invertebrates
Conti, E., Mauro, L. S. D., Pluchino, A., & Mulder, C. (2020) · Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.1002/ece3.6408 · Cited by 21 · see citing works
Relative demographic susceptibility does not explain the extinction chronology of Sahul’s megafauna
Bradshaw, C. J. A., Johnson, C. N., Llewelyn, J., Weisbecker, V., Strona, G., & Saltré, F. (2021) · eLife · doi:10.7554/elife.63870 · Cited by 21 · see citing works
Self-citationMacroevolutionary perspectives on Anthropocene extinction
Pyron, R. A., & Pennell, M. (2022) · Biological Conservation · doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2022.109733 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Synthesising the Relationships Between Food Web Structure and Robustness.
Keyes, A. A., Barner, A., & Dee, L. (2024) · Ecology Letters · doi:10.1111/ele.14533 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Estimating co‐extinction threats in terrestrial ecosystems
Doherty, S., Saltré, F., Llewelyn, J., Strona, G., Williams, S. E., & Bradshaw, C. J. A. (2023) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.16836 · Cited by 21 · see citing works
Self-citationBello‐Bravo, J., & Lutomia, A. N. (2022) · Trees Forests and People · doi:10.1016/j.tfp.2022.100253 · Cited by 17 · see citing works
Habitat in flames: How climate change will affect fire risk across koala forests
Shabani, F., Tehrany, M. S., Ahmadi, M., Kalantar, B., Özener, H., Clancy, K., Esmaeili, A., da Silva, R. S., Beaumont, L. J., Llewelyn, J., et al. (2023) · Environmental Technology & Innovation · doi:10.1016/j.eti.2023.103331 · Cited by 15 · see citing works
Koerich, G., Costa, G. B., Sissini, M. N., Ortiz, C. L., Canever, B. F., Oliveira, W. D. S., Tonkin, J. D., & Horta, P. A. (2021) · Marine Environmental Research · doi:10.1016/j.marenvres.2021.105394 · Cited by 14 · see citing works
Climate Change and Dispersal Ability Jointly Affects the Future Distribution of Crocodile Lizards
Zhang, X., Alvarez, F., Whiting, M. J., Qin, X., Chen, Z., & Wu, Z. (2022) · Animals · doi:10.3390/ani12202731 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
Natural and anthropogenic climate variability shape assemblages of range‐extending coral‐reef fishes
Monaco, C. J., Booth, D. J., Figueira, W. F., Gillanders, B. M., Schoeman, D. S., Bradshaw, C. J. A., & Nagelkerken, I. (2021) · Journal of Biogeography · doi:10.1111/jbi.14058 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
Self-citationFortune, S. M. E., Trites, A. W., LeMay, V., Baumgartner, M. F., & Ferguson, S. H. (2023) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2022.853525 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Vulnerability of terrestrial vertebrate food webs to anthropogenic threats in Europe
O’Connor, L. M. J., Cosentino, F., Harfoot, M., Maiorano, L., Mancino, C., Pollock, L. J., & Thuiller, W. (2024) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.17253 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Revisiting extinction debt through the lens of multitrophic networks and meta‐ecosystems
Blanchard, G., & Munoz, F. (2022) · Oikos · doi:10.1111/oik.09435 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Mintrone, C., Rindi, L., & Benedetti‐Cecchi, L. (2024) · Ecology · doi:10.1002/ecy.4246 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Barrows, C. W., Sweet, L. C., Rangitsch, J. S., Lalumiere, K., Green, T., Heacox, S. A., Davis, M. J., Vamstad, M. S., Heintz, J., & Rodgers, J. E. (2020) · Biological Conservation · doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2020.108667 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
The commonly overlooked environmental tipping points
McPherson, G. R., Sırmaçek, B., Massa, J. R., Kallfelz, W. M., & Vinuesa, R. (2023) · Results in Engineering · doi:10.1016/j.rineng.2023.101118 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Environmental thresholds for mass-extinction events
McPherson, G. R., Sırmaçek, B., & Vinuesa, R. (2022) · Results in Engineering · doi:10.1016/j.rineng.2022.100342 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Earth is in the Midst of Abrupt, Irreversible Climate Change
McPherson, G. R. (2020) · Journal of Earth and Environmental Sciences Research · doi:10.47363/jeesr/2020(2)118 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Becoming hope-free: Parallels between death of individuals and extinction of homo sapiens
McPherson, G. R. (2019) · Clinical Psychology Forum · doi:10.53841/bpscpf.2019.1.317.8 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Time-travelling pathogens and their risk to ecological communities
Strona, G., Bradshaw, C. J. A., Cardoso, P., Gotelli, N. J., Guillaume, F., Manca, F., Mustonen, V., & Zaman, L. (2023) · PLoS Computational Biology · doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011268 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Self-citationOzman, S. K., & SULLIVAN, G. T. (2021) · Acarological Studies · doi:10.47121/acarolstud.973015 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Science-Driven Societal Transformation, Part II: Motivation and Strategy
Boik, J. C. (2020) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su12198047 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Grand Challenges in Global Biodiversity Threats
Bradshaw, C. J. A. (2020) · Frontiers in Conservation Science · doi:10.3389/fcosc.2020.609007 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Self-citationThe role of evolutionary modes for trait-based cascades in mutualistic networks
Bastazini, V. A. G., Debastiani, V. J., Cappelatti, L., Guimarães, P. R., & Pillar, V. D. (2022) · Ecological Modelling · doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2022.109983 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Llewelyn, J., Strona, G., McDowell, M. C., Johnson, C. N., Peters, K. J., Stouffer, D. B., de Visser, S. N., Saltré, F., & Bradshaw, C. J. A. (2021) · bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · doi:10.5167/uzh-213355 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Self-citationScharnagl, K. (2019) · Symbiosis · doi:10.1007/s13199-019-00601-x · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Kamocki, A., Urbańska, M., Biereżnoj‐Bazille, U., & Ożgo, M. (2021) · Aquatic Conservation Marine and Freshwater Ecosystems · doi:10.1002/aqc.3575 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Truter, M., Schaeffner, B. C., & Smit, N. J. (2025) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-83903-0_13 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Charles, M. A., Adams, R. H. J., Anderson, R. S., Bird, K. M., Johnson, L. R., Kelso, N., Kerwien, L. M., Santos, K., Sarver, M. J., Seltzer, C. E., et al. (2025) · Current Biology · doi:10.1016/j.cub.2025.10.079 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Reparations after species extinctions: An account of reparative interspecies justice
Wienhues, A., & Donoso, A. (2024) · Journal of Social Philosophy · doi:10.1111/josp.12584 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
"The Means by Which COVID-19 Could Cause Extinction of All Life on Earth"
McPherson, G. R. (2020) · Environmental Analysis & Ecology Studies · doi:10.31031/eaes.2020.07.000656 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
The 'Doomsday Argument' and Ecological Catastrophe.Preprint
Blaber, R. M. (2022) · doi:10.31235/osf.io/ne2z9 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Ecological Network Resilience & Extinction Proxies - Updating Projections of Ecological NetworksPreprint
Kusch, E., & Ordóñez, A. (2023) · bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · doi:10.1101/2023.08.02.551629 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Major Threats to Rhodolith Beds: Ocean Acidification, Global Warming, and Local Stressors
Koerich, G., Sissini, M. N., & Horta, P. A. (2024) · Brazilian marine biodiversity · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-61449-1_8 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Macrophyte-epifauna associations form structured ecological networks in the Baltic Sea
Manca, F., Norkko, A. M., Cabeza, M., Llewelyn, J., Hervías‐Parejo, S., & Strona, G. (2025) · Marine Ecology Progress Series · doi:10.3354/meps14942 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Self-citationUsing Modern Coexistence Theory to Understand Community Disassembly
Brennan, J., & Schreiber, S. J. (2026) · Ecology Letters · doi:10.1111/ele.70424 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Identifying critical species for multilayer network robustness against biodiversity loss
Hervías‐Parejo, S., & Strona, G. (2026) · Ecological Indicators · doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2026.114867 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Self-citationCo‐Extinctions and Co‐Compensatory Species Responses to Climate Change Moderate Ecosystem Futures
Williams, T. J., Garcia, C., Godbold, J. A., Archambault, P., & Solan, M. (2025) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.70539 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Seiter, M., Friedl, N., & Cozijn, M. A. C. (2020) · Journal of Arachnology · doi:10.1636/0161-8202-48.2.161 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Foster, J. B., Clark, B., Paulino, F. G. D. O., & Costa, F. J. F. (2024) · Cadernos do GPOSSHE On-line · doi:10.33241/cadernosdogposshe.v8i1.13359 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Genetically engineering endangered animal species: a one health emergency application
Pacaol, N. F., Marbibi, J. I. M., Pantin, R. L. M., Llanas, J. F. Q., Almenario, P. V. E., Relevo, J. A. L., Palomar, H. D. C., Adona, C. A. E., Abarca, P. J. N., Caceres, A. C. P., et al. (2024) · Journal of Public Health · doi:10.1093/pubmed/fdae135 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Corporate Carbon Emission Prediction Based on Multi-Source Data Fusion
Shen, J., Fu, X., & Guo, W. (2024) · International Conference on Artificial Intelligence, Robotics, and Communication (ICAIRC) · doi:10.1109/icairc64177.2024.10900027 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
What is a ‘mass extinction’ and are we in one now?
Saltré, F., & Bradshaw, C. J. A. (2019) · doi:10.64628/aa.9s33yex4n · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Self-citationTrees Cannot Sequester Enough Carbon to Slow Abrupt Climate Change
McPherson, G. R. (2020) · Modern Concepts & Developments in Agronomy · doi:10.31031/mcda.2020.06.000641
Bellanca, N., & Pardi, L. A. (2020) · Studi e saggi · doi:10.36253/978-88-5518-195-2.07
What scientists dismiss while looking at the thresholds of temperature change for mass extinctionsPreprint
McPherson, G. R., Sırmaçek, B., & Vinuesa, R. (2021) · arXiv (Cornell University)
Strona, G. (2022) · Fascinating life sciences · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-86764-5_6
Self-citationStrona, G. (2022) · Fascinating life sciences · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-86764-5_10
Self-citationStrona, G. (2022) · Fascinating life sciences · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-86764-5_5
Self-citationStrona, G. (2022) · Fascinating life sciences · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-86764-5_2
Self-citationStrona, G. (2022) · Fascinating life sciences · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-86764-5_11
Self-citationThe Impact of Recent Climate Change on Plants
Попов, Т. (2023) · Edicija Održivi razvoj i upravljanje prirodnim resursima Republike Srpske. · doi:10.7251/eoru2308131p
Corporate Carbon Emission Prediction: Combining Structured and Unstructured Data
Shen, J., & Guo, W. (2025) · Lecture notes in computer science · doi:10.1007/978-981-96-8298-0_18
Deeply divergent human exposure to food crises across socioeconomic pathways
Strona, G. (2025) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-025-29068-1
Self-citationMa, K., Chen, Y., Li, X., Li, W., Cai, H., & Lv, F. (2026) · Frontiers in Forests and Global Change · doi:10.3389/ffgc.2026.1767810
Kusch, E., & Ordonez, A. (2026) · Ecological Complexity · doi:10.1016/j.ecocom.2026.101176
Bogoni, J. A., Tickner, D., Chaplin‐Kramer, R., Boron, V., & Ornellas, P. D. (2026) · Biodiversity and Conservation · doi:10.1007/s10531-026-03496-5
- Authors
- Strona, G., & Bradshaw, C. J. A.
- Affiliations
- European Commission (BE)
- Flinders University (AU)
- Corresponding author
- Strona, Giovanni
- Venue
- Scientific Reports
- Published
- 2018-11-13
- Volume
- 8
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 16724-16724
- ISSN
- 2045-2322 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC6233172
- OpenAlex
- W2900406271
- Cited by
- 88
- References
- 42
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 6 · 2024: 9 · 2023: 12 · 2022: 18 · 2021: 14 · 2020: 15 · 2019: 8 · 2018: 1
- FWCI
- 7.45
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- Scientific Reports (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Adelaide Research & Scholarship (AR&S) (University of Adelaide) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion)
- Flinders Academic Commons (Flinders University) (submittedVersion)
- Joint Research Centre (European Commission) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- European Commission
- Australian Research Council (CE170100015)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Paleontology › Evolution and Paleontology Studies
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecological Modeling › Species Distribution and Climate Change
- Keywords
- coextinction, biodiversity loss, global warming, global cooling, ecological interactions, consumer-resource interactions, Virtual Earth, species extinction, planetary boundaries, climate change
- MeSH terms
- Environment, Earth, Planet, Food Chain, Biodiversity, Extinction, Biological, Climate Change
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review