Global analysis of thermal tolerance and latitude in ectotherms
Open accessAbstract
A tenet of macroecology is that physiological processes of organisms are linked to large-scale geographical patterns in environmental conditions. Species at higher latitudes experience greater seasonal temperature variation and are consequently predicted to withstand greater temperature extremes. We tested for relationships between breadths of thermal tolerance in ectothermic animals and the latitude of specimen location using all available data, while accounting for habitat, hemisphere, methodological differences and taxonomic affinity. We found that thermal tolerance breadths generally increase with latitude, and do so at a greater rate in the Northern Hemisphere. In terrestrial ectotherms, upper thermal limits vary little while lower thermal limits decrease with latitude. By contrast, marine species display a coherent poleward decrease in both upper and lower thermal limits. Our findings provide comprehensive global support for hypotheses generated from studies at smaller taxonomic subsets and geographical scales. Our results further indicate differences between terrestrial and marine ectotherms in how thermal physiology varies with latitude that may relate to the degree of temperature variability experienced on land and in the ocean.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Predictions of tropical ectotherm vulnerability have been verified in a variety of tropical reptiles, amphibians, and invertebrates.
“These predictions have been verified in a variety of tropical reptiles, amphibians, and invertebrates (4–8).”
From Climate-driven declines in arthropod abundance restructure a rainforest food web (2018) · cites this paper as [8]
The analyses are in keeping with predictions of Deutsch et al. that tropical insects should be especially vulnerable to climate warming.
“Fourth, our analyses are in keeping with predictions of Deutsch et al. (5) that tropical insects should be especially vulnerable to climate warming, adding to field and laboratory studies over the past several years that have consistently supported the predicted sensitivity (8, 48–53).”
From Climate-driven declines in arthropod abundance restructure a rainforest food web (2018) · cites this paper as [8]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Mixed effects models and extensions in ecology with R
Zuur, A. F., Ieno, E. N., Walker, N., Saveliev, A. A., & Smith, G. M. (2009) · Statistics for Biology and Health · doi:10.1007/978-0-387-87458-6 · Cited by 17,963 · see citing works
nlme : Linear and nonlinear mixed effects models
DebRoy, S. (2006) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 10,009 · see citing works
nlme: Linear and Nonlinear Mixed Effects Models
Pinheiro, J., R Core Team, & Bates, D. (1999) · doi:10.32614/cran.package.nlme · Cited by 6,867 · see citing works
The comparative method in evolutionary biology
Harvey, P., & Pagel, M. (1991) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.29-5104 · Cited by 4,778 · see citing works
The Comparative Method in Evolutionary Biology
Harvey, P. H., & Pagel, M. D. (1991) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198546412.001.0001 · Cited by 4,337 · see citing works
Impacts of climate warming on terrestrial ectotherms across latitude
Deutsch, C. A., Tewksbury, J. J., Huey, R. B., Sheldon, K. S., Ghalambor, C. K., Haak, D. C., & Martin, P. R. (2008) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0709472105 · Cited by 3,840 · see citing works
Why Mountain Passes are Higher in the Tropics
Janzen, D. H. (1967) · The American Naturalist · doi:10.1086/282487 · Cited by 2,056 · see citing works
Are There General Laws in Ecology?
Lawton, J. H. (1999) · Oikos · doi:10.2307/3546712 · Cited by 1,574 · see citing works
Surface air temperature and its changes over the past 150 years
Jones, P. D., New, M. G., Parker, D. E., Martin, S., & Rigor, I. G. (1999) · Reviews of Geophysics · doi:10.1029/1999rg900002 · Cited by 1,487 · see citing works
Pörtner, H. (2002) · Comparative Biochemistry and Physiology Part A Molecular & Integrative Physiology · doi:10.1016/s1095-6433(02)00045-4 · Cited by 1,439 · see citing works
A new generation of climate change experiments: events, not trends
Jentsch, A., Kreyling, J., & Beierkuhnlein, C. (2007) · Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment · doi:10.1890/1540-9295(2007)5[365:angoce]2.0.co;2 · Cited by 1,164 · see citing works
Kearney, M., Shine, R., & Porter, W. P. (2009) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0808913106 · Cited by 1,149 · see citing works
Thermal tolerance, climatic variability and latitude
Addo‐Bediako, A., Chown, S. L., & Gaston, K. J. (2000) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2000.1065 · Cited by 1,117 · see citing works
Putting the Heat on Tropical Animals
Tewksbury, J. J., Huey, R. B., & Deutsch, C. A. (2008) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1159328 · Cited by 983 · see citing works
Why tropical forest lizards are vulnerable to climate warming
Huey, R. B., Deutsch, C. A., Tewksbury, J. J., Vitt, L. J., Hertz, P. E., Álvarez Pérez, H. J., & Garland, T. (2009) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2008.1957 · Cited by 962 · see citing works
The critical thermal maximum: history and critique
Lutterschmidt, W. I., & Hutchison, V. H. (1997) · Canadian Journal of Zoology · doi:10.1139/z97-783 · Cited by 919 · see citing works
Are mountain passes higher in the tropics? janzen's hypothesis revisited
Ghalambor, C. K. (2006) · Integrative and Comparative Biology · doi:10.1093/icb/icj003 · Cited by 846 · see citing works
Evolutionary Response to Rapid Climate Change
Bradshaw, W. E., & Holzapfel, C. M. (2006) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1127000 · Cited by 811 · see citing works
Rayner, N. A., Brohan, P., Parker, D. E., Folland, C. K., Kennedy, J., Vanicek, M., Ansell, T. J., & Tett, S. F. B. (2006) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli3637.1 · Cited by 793 · see citing works
Climate change and deepening of the North Sea fish assemblage: a biotic indicator of warming seas
Dulvy, N. K., Rogers, S. I., Jennings, S., Stelzenmüller, V., Dye, S. R., & Skjoldal, H. R. (2008) · Journal of Applied Ecology · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2664.2008.01488.x · Cited by 782 · see citing works
Self-citationCowles, R. B., & Bogert, C. M. (1944) · Cited by 769 · see citing works
Dobzhansky, T. (1950) · Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Institutional Repository (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · doi:10.5281/zenodo.10742745 · Cited by 668 · see citing works
THERMOREGULATION IN REPTILES, A FACTOR IN EVOLUTION
Bogert, C. M. (1949) · Evolution · doi:10.1111/j.1558-5646.1949.tb00021.x · Cited by 565 · see citing works
BIOPHYSICS, PHYSIOLOGICAL ECOLOGY, AND CLIMATE CHANGE: Does Mechanism Matter?
Helmuth, B. S. T., Kingsolver, J. G., & Carrington, E. (2004) · Annual Review of Physiology · doi:10.1146/annurev.physiol.67.040403.105027 · Cited by 462 · see citing works
Empirical perspectives on species borders: from traditional biogeography to global change
Parmesan, C., Gaines, S. D., González, L. M. B., Kaufman, D. M., Kingsolver, J. G., Peterson, A. T., & Sagarin, R. (2004) · Oikos · doi:10.1111/j.0030-1299.2005.13150.x · Cited by 373 · see citing works
Macrophysiology: A Conceptual Reunification
Gaston, K. J., Chown, S. L., Calosi, P., Bernardo, J., Bilton, D. T., Clarke, A., Clusella‐Trullas, S., Ghalambor, C. K., Konarzewski, M., Peck, L. S., et al. (2009) · The American Naturalist · doi:10.1086/605982 · Cited by 371 · see citing works
Determinants of establishment success in introduced birds
Blackburn, T. M., & Duncan, R. P. (2001) · Nature · doi:10.1038/35102557 · Cited by 347 · see citing works
The seven deadly sins of comparative analysis
FRECKLETON, R. P. (2009) · Journal of Evolutionary Biology · doi:10.1111/j.1420-9101.2009.01757.x · Cited by 339 · see citing works
Effects of Temperature on Ectothermic Organisms
(1973) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-642-65703-0 · Cited by 316 · see citing works
Macrophysiology: large‐scale patterns in physiological traits and their ecological implications
Chown, S. L., Gaston, K. J., & Robinson, D. (2004) · Functional Ecology · doi:10.1111/j.0269-8463.2004.00825.x · Cited by 290 · see citing works
Global patterns in local number of insect galling species
Price, P. W., Fernandes, G. W., Lara, A. C. F., et al. (1998) · Journal of Biogeography · doi:10.1046/j.1365-2699.1998.2530581.x · Cited by 280 · see citing works
Thermoregulation in Reptiles, A Factor in Evolution
Bogert, C. M. (1949) · Evolution · doi:10.2307/2405558 · Cited by 271 · see citing works
Temperature Tolerance of the Sheepshead Minnow, Cyprinodon variegatus
Bennett, W. A., & Beitinger, T. L. (1997) · Copeia · doi:10.2307/1447842 · Cited by 216 · see citing works
Gaston, K., & Blackburn, T. (1999) · Oikos · doi:10.2307/3546417 · Cited by 215 · see citing works
Compton, T. J., Rijkenberg, M. J. A., Drent, J., & Piersma, T. (2007) · Journal of Experimental Marine Biology and Ecology · doi:10.1016/j.jembe.2007.07.010 · Cited by 194 · see citing works
Cruz, F. B., Fitzgerald, L. A., Espinoza, R. E., & Schulte, J. A. (2005) · Journal of Evolutionary Biology · doi:10.1111/j.1420-9101.2005.00936.x · Cited by 194 · see citing works
Some Methodological Issues in Macroecology
Blackburn, T. M., & Gaston, K. J. (1998) · The American Naturalist · doi:10.1086/286103 · Cited by 185 · see citing works
Macroecology: Progress and Prospect
Brown, J. H. (1999) · Oikos · doi:10.2307/3546991 · Cited by 185 · see citing works
Why Rapoport's Rule Does Not Generalise
Gaston, K. J., & Chown, S. L. (1999) · Oikos · doi:10.2307/3546727 · Cited by 174 · see citing works
Terblanche, J. S., Clusella‐Trullas, S., Deere, J. A., et al. (2007) · Journal of Insect Physiology · doi:10.1016/j.jinsphys.2007.08.007 · Cited by 158 · see citing works
Latitudinal Patterns of the Thermal Sensitivity of Sprint Speed in Lizards
van Berkum, F. H. (1988) · The American Naturalist · doi:10.1086/284856 · Cited by 145 · see citing works
Temperature Adaptations in Amphibians
Snyder, G. K., & Weathers, W. W. (1975) · The American Naturalist · doi:10.1086/282976 · Cited by 124 · see citing works
Franklin, C. E., & Seebacher, F. (2009) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.323.5916.876b · Cited by 88 · see citing works
Bennett, W. A., & Judd, F. W. (1992) · Copeia · doi:10.2307/1446638 · Cited by 62 · see citing works
Marine Ecology. Vol 1. Environmental Factors
Cushing, D. H., & Kinne, O. (1971) · Journal of Animal Ecology · doi:10.2307/3452 · Cited by 59 · see citing works
Life history mediates large-scale population ecology in marine benthic taxa
Webb, T. J., Tyler, E., & Somerfield, P. J. (2009) · Marine Ecology Progress Series · doi:10.3354/meps08253 · Cited by 55 · see citing works
Paine, R. (2010) · American Naturalist · doi:10.1086/656273 · Cited by 37 · see citing works
Adapting to Climate Change - Response
Pörtner, H., Farrell, A. P., Knust, R., et al. (2009) · Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar-und Meeresforschung (Alfred-Wegener-Institut) · Cited by 27 · see citing works
Temperature and Marine Macroecology
Clarke, A. (2009) · University of Chicago Press eBooks · doi:10.7208/chicago/9780226904146.003.0010 · Cited by 24 · see citing works
Critical Minimum Temperatures of Reptiles
Spellerberg, I. F. (1973) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-642-65703-0_22 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Paine, R. T. (2006) · Integrative and Comparative Biology · doi:10.1093/icb/icj022 · Cited by 14 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 2
- [28]Cowles R. B., Bogert C. M. 1944. A preliminary study of the thermal requirements of desert reptiles. B. Am. Mus. Nat. Hist. 83, 263–296 [Google Scholar]
- [41]Nilsson T. 1983. The Pleistocene. Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Reidel [Google Scholar]
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Plasticity in thermal tolerance has limited potential to buffer ectotherms from global warming
Gunderson, A. R., & Stillman, J. H. (2015) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2015.0401 · Cited by 792 · see citing works
Climate-driven declines in arthropod abundance restructure a rainforest food web
Lister, B. C., & Garcia, A. (2018) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1722477115 · Cited by 730 · see citing works
Tolerance landscapes in thermal ecology
Rezende, E. L., Castañeda, L. E., & Santos, M. (2014) · Functional Ecology · doi:10.1111/1365-2435.12268 · Cited by 429 · see citing works
Diamond, S. E., Sorger, D. M., Hulcr, J., Pelini, S. L., Toro, I. D., Hirsch, C., Oberg, E., & Dunn, R. R. (2012) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02542.x · Cited by 259 · see citing works
Sheldon, K. S., Yang, S., & Tewksbury, J. J. (2011) · Ecology Letters · doi:10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01689.x · Cited by 200 · see citing works
Shocket, M. S., Verwillow, A. B., Numazu, M. G., Slamani, H., Cohen, J. M., El Moustaid, F., Rohr, J., Johnson, L. R., & Mordecai, E. A. (2020) · eLife · doi:10.7554/elife.58511 · Cited by 192 · see citing works
Co-extinctions annihilate planetary life during extreme environmental change
Strona, G., & Bradshaw, C. J. A. (2018) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-018-35068-1 · Cited by 88 · see citing works
Castañeda, L. E., Rezende, E. L., & Santos, M. (2015) · Evolution · doi:10.1111/evo.12757 · Cited by 78 · see citing works
Koopman, K. R., Collas, F. P. L., van der Velde, G., & Verberk, W. C. E. P. (2016) · Hydrobiologia · doi:10.1007/s10750-015-2386-y · Cited by 47 · see citing works
Morley, S., Nguyen, K., Peck, L. S., Lai, C.-H., & Tan, K. (2017) · Journal of Thermal Biology · doi:10.1016/j.jtherbio.2016.09.007 · Cited by 25 · see citing works
Richards, S. P., Hesselbarth, M. H. K., & Allgeier, J. E. (2026) · Journal of Animal Ecology · doi:10.1111/1365-2656.70255
- Authors
- Sunday, J. M., Bates, A. E., & Dulvy, N. K.
- Affiliations
- Simon Fraser University (CA)
- Deakin University (AU)
- Venue
- Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
- Publisher
- The Royal Society
- Published
- 2010-11-24
- Volume
- 278
- Issue
- 1713
- Pages
- 1823-1830
- ISSN
- 0080-4649 (ISSN-L)
- 0962-8452
- 1471-2954
- PMC
- PMC3097822
- OpenAlex
- W2125270554
- Cited by
- 1,300
- References
- 51
- Citations by year
- 2026: 79 · 2025: 105 · 2024: 88 · 2023: 87 · 2022: 107 · 2021: 130 · 2020: 106 · 2019: 124 · 2018: 84 · 2017: 66 · 2016: 89 · 2015: 70 · 2014: 49 · 2013: 53 · 2012: 42
- FWCI
- 33.14
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- eCite Digital Repository (University of Tasmania) (submittedVersion)
- ePrints Soton (University of Southampton) (submittedVersion)
- Figshare (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Physiological and biochemical adaptations
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecological Modeling › Species Distribution and Climate Change
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Amphibian and Reptile Biology
- Keywords
- heat tolerance, latitudinal gradient, ectotherms, thermal limits, seasonal temperature variation, marine ectotherms, Northern Hemisphere, macroecology, temperature extremes, thermal physiology
- MeSH terms
- Adaptation, Physiological, Animals, Arthropods, Climate, Environment, Geography, Models, Biological, Mollusca, Species Specificity, Temperature, Vertebrates, Ecosystem
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review