The DOI matches its Crossref record; 45 of the 45 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The future of extreme climate in Iran
Open accessAbstract
Iran is experiencing unprecedented climate-related problems such as drying of lakes and rivers, dust storms, record-breaking temperatures, droughts, and floods. Here, we use the ensemble of five high-resolution climate models to project maximum and minimum temperatures and rainfall distribution, calculate occurrences of extreme temperatures (temperatures above and below the historical 95th and 5th percentiles, respectively), analyze compound of precipitation and temperature extremes, and determine flooding frequencies across the country. We found that compared to the period of 1980–2004, in the period of 2025–2049, Iran is likely to experience more extended periods of extreme maximum temperatures in the southern part of the country, more extended periods of dry (for ≥120 days: precipitation <2 mm, Tmax ≥30 °C) as well as wet (for ≤3 days: total precipitation ≥110 mm) conditions, and higher frequency of floods. Overall, the combination of these results projects a climate of extended dry periods interrupted by intermittent heavy rainfalls, which is a recipe for increasing the chances of floods. Without thoughtful adaptability measures, some parts of the country may face limited habitability in the future.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design
Taylor, K. E., Stouffer, R. J., & Meehl, G. A. (2012) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-11-00094.1 · Cited by 14,052
Ecological responses to recent climate change.
Walther, G.-R., Post, E., Convey, P., Menzel, A., Parmesan, C., Beebee, T. J. C., Fromentin, J.-M., Hoegh-Guldberg, O., & Bairlein, F. (2002) · Nature · doi:10.1038/416389a · Cited by 9,975
The Changing Character of Precipitation
Trenberth, K. E., Dai, A., Rasmussen, R. M., & Parsons, D. B. (2003) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-84-9-1205 · Cited by 3,196
Global flood risk under climate change
Hirabayashi, Y., Mahendran, R., Koirala, S., Konoshima, L., Yamazaki, D., Watanabe, S., Kim, H., & Kanae, S. (2013) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate1911 · Cited by 3,013
Coumou, D., & Rahmstorf, S. (2012) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate1452 · Cited by 2,289
Indices for monitoring changes in extremes based on daily temperature and precipitation data
Zhang, X., Alexander, L., Hegerl, G. C., Jones, P., Tank, A. K., Peterson, T. C., Trewin, B., & Zwiers, F. W. (2011) · WIREs Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.147 · Cited by 2,250
Vulnerability of Permafrost Carbon to Climate Change: Implications for the Global Carbon Cycle
Schuur, E. A. G., Bockheim, J., Canadell, J. G., Euskirchen, E., Field, C. B., Goryachkin, S. V., Hagemann, S., Kuhry, P., Lafleur, P. M., Lee, H., et al. (2008) · BioScience · doi:10.1641/b580807 · Cited by 1,642
Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
(2018) · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change · doi:10.1002/(issn)1757-7799 · Cited by 1,600
Downscaling general circulation model output: a review of methods and limitations
Wilby, R. L., & Wigley, T. M. L. (1997) · Progress in Physical Geography: Earth and Environment · doi:10.1177/030913339702100403 · Cited by 1,480
A trend-preserving bias correction – the ISI-MIP approach
Hempel, S., Frieler, K., Warszawski, L., Schewe, J., & Piontek, F. (2013) · Earth System Dynamics · doi:10.5194/esd-4-219-2013 · Cited by 1,238
Cited by
Review of approaches for selection and ensembling of GCMs
Raju, K. S., & Kumar, D. N. (2020) · Journal of Water and Climate Change · doi:10.2166/wcc.2020.128 · Cited by 215
Metadata
- Authors
- Vaghefi, S. A., Keykhai, M., Jahanbakhshi, F., Sheikholeslami, J., Ahmadi, A., Yang, H., & Abbaspour, K. C.
- Venue
- Scientific Reports
- Published
- 2019-02-06
- Volume
- 9
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 1464-1464
- ISSN
- 2045-2322 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2921271897
- Cited by
- 313
- References
- 45
- FWCI
- 20.54
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: The future of extreme climate in Iran. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1038/s41598-018-38071-8
- The paper
- Vaghefi, S. A., Keykhai, M., Jahanbakhshi, F., Sheikholeslami, J., Ahmadi, A., Yang, H., & Abbaspour, K. C. (2019). The future of extreme climate in Iran. Scientific Reports. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-38071-8
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
