Review of approaches for selection and ensembling of GCMs
Abstract
Global climate models (GCMs) are developed to simulate past climate and produce projections of climate in future. Their roles in ascertaining regional issues and possible solutions in water resources planning/management are appreciated across the world. However, there is substantial uncertainty in the future projections of GCM(s) for practical and regional implementation which has attracted criticism by the water resources planners. The present paper aims at reviewing the selection of GCMs and focusing on performance indicators, ranking of GCMs and ensembling of GCMs and covering different geographical regions. In addition, this paper also proposes future research directions.
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The 50% top-performing GCMs are optimum for climate change impact studies to reduce uncertainty in model projections.
“It is suggested that the 50% top-performing GCMs are optimum for the climate change impact studies to reduce the uncertainty in the model projections (Ahmed et al. 2020;Raju & Nagesh Kumar 2020).”
From Catchment response to climate change under CMIP6 scenarios: a case study of the Krishna River Basin (2024) · cites this paper as Raju & Nagesh Kumar 2020
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The use of the multi-model ensemble in probabilistic climate projections
Tebaldi, C., & Knutti, R. (2007) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences · doi:10.1098/rsta.2007.2076 · Cited by 1,862 · see citing works
Climate projections: Past performance no guarantee of future skill?
Reifen, C., & Toumi, R. (2009) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2009gl038082 · Cited by 144 · see citing works
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Cited by
Sorted by citations
Catchment response to climate change under CMIP6 scenarios: a case study of the Krishna River Basin
Anil, S., P, A. R., & Vema, V. K. (2024) · Journal of Water and Climate Change · doi:10.2166/wcc.2024.442 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
- Authors
- Raju, K. S., & Kumar, D. N.
- Affiliations
- Department of Civil Engineering, BITS Pilani, Hyderabad Campus, Hyderabad 500 078, India
- Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore 560 012, India; Divecha Centre for Climate Change, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore 560 012, India and Interdisciplinary Centre for Water Research, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore 560 012, India
- Venue
- Journal of Water and Climate Change
- Publisher
- IWA Publishing
- Published
- 2020-05-13
- Volume
- 11
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 577-599
- ISSN
- 2040-2244
- 2408-9354
- Cited by
- 200
- References
- 2
- Language
- en
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