Autonomous artificial intelligence for diabetic eye disease increases access and health equity in underserved populations
Open accessPublished version of a preprint
Abstract
Diabetic eye disease (DED) is a leading cause of blindness in the world. Annual DED testing is recommended for adults with diabetes, but adherence to this guideline has historically been low. In 2020, Johns Hopkins Medicine (JHM) began deploying autonomous AI for DED testing. In this study, we aimed to determine whether autonomous AI implementation was associated with increased adherence to annual DED testing, and how this differed across patient populations. JHM primary care sites were categorized as “non-AI” (no autonomous AI deployment) or “AI-switched” (autonomous AI deployment by 2021). We conducted a propensity score weighting analysis to compare change in adherence rates from 2019 to 2021 between non-AI and AI-switched sites. Our study included all adult patients with diabetes (>17,000) managed within JHM and has three major findings. First, AI-switched sites experienced a 7.6 percentage point greater increase in DED testing than non-AI sites from 2019 to 2021 ( p < 0.001). Second, the adherence rate for Black/African Americans increased by 12.2 percentage points within AI-switched sites but decreased by 0.6% points within non-AI sites ( p < 0.001), suggesting that autonomous AI deployment improved access to retinal evaluation for historically disadvantaged populations. Third, autonomous AI is associated with improved health equity, e.g. the adherence rate gap between Asian Americans and Black/African Americans shrank from 15.6% in 2019 to 3.5% in 2021. In summary, our results from real-world deployment in a large integrated healthcare system suggest that autonomous AI is associated with improvement in overall DED testing adherence, patient access, and health equity.
AI snapshot
Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
In a real-world retrospective study at Johns Hopkins Medicine, deployment of autonomous AI for diabetic eye disease testing was associated with a 7.6 percentage point greater increase in annual DED testing adherence at AI-switched primary care sites than at non-AI sites from 2019 to 2021. The improvement was largest among historically disadvantaged groups, including Black/African American patients and Medicaid-insured patients, and narrowed some adherence gaps.
Key findings
- AI-switched sites had a 7.6 percentage point greater increase in DED testing adherence than non-AI sites from 2019 to 2021 (95% CI 5.2–10.1, p < 0.001); in propensity score weighting, AI-switched sites increased by 7.4 percentage points (95% CI 5.2–9.5, p < 0.001) while non-AI sites decreased by 0.3 percentage points (95% CI −1.5–0.9, p = 0.653).
- Overall adherence at AI-switched sites rose from 46.1% in 2019 to 54.5% in 2021 (+8.8 percentage points), while non-AI sites remained stable at 40.4% to 40.3% (+0.3 percentage points; p < 0.001).
- Black/African American patients at AI-switched sites increased adherence by 12.2 percentage points, compared with a 0.6 percentage point decrease at non-AI sites (p < 0.001); Medicaid-insured patients increased by 13.7 percentage points and patients in the 2nd ADI quartile by 11.7 percentage points at AI-switched sites.
- The adherence gap between Asian American and Black/African American patients at AI-switched sites shrank from 15.6% in 2019 to 3.5% in 2021.
Methods
- Retrospective study approved by the Johns Hopkins School of Medicine IRB, including all patients with diabetes mellitus managed at Johns Hopkins Medicine primary care sites in 2019 and 2021; sites were categorized as “AI-switched” (no autonomous AI in 2019, deployed by 2021) or “non-AI.”
- Primary outcome was adherence to annual DED testing, defined as receiving an autonomous AI exam or a dilated eye exam with an ophthalmologist.
- Propensity score weighting with an inverse-probability-weighted regression adjustment model estimated average treatment effects across four site-year groups, adjusting for age, gender, race, ethnicity, preferred language, insurance, ADI quartile, family income, and geographic region; subgroup changes used Poisson regression with generalized estimating equations.
Limitations
- Stated in the paper: the study is retrospective; nearly all patients lived in a metropolitan area, so findings may not generalize to micropolitan, small town, or rural populations; treatment heterogeneity was observed and its causes were not evaluated; a prospective randomized trial is needed to assess causality.
- Evident from the text: the observational pre-post design may leave residual confounding despite propensity score weighting, and baseline differences existed between AI-switched and non-AI sites (e.g., income, ADI distribution, insurance, race), with the COVID pandemic also noted as a context for adherence trends.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
13 of 27 cited sources checked · 6 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
Subsequent studies have further validated the accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of this autonomous AI technology using ophthalmologists' reads as the reference standard.
“Subsequent studies have further validated the accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of this autonomous AI technology, using ophthalmologists’ reads as the reference standard9–11.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim3 of 3 sources checked- cites [9] Grzybowski A. et al. Diagnostic accuracy of Automated Diabetic Retinopathy Image Assessment Softwares: IDx-DR and MediosAI. Ophthalmic Res. https://doi.org/10.1159/000534098 (2023). source
- cites [10] Shah A. et al. Validation of Automated Screening for Referable Diabetic Retinopathy With an Autonomous Diagnostic Artificial Intelligence System in a Spanish. Popul. J. Diabetes Sci. Technol. 15, 655–663 (2021). source
- cites [11] van der Heijden, A. A. et al. Validation of automated screening for referable diabetic retinopathy with the IDx‐DR device in the Hoorn Diabetes Care System. Acta Ophthalmol. (Copenh.) 96, 63–68 (2018). source
- Premisecitation
Previous qualitative investigations identified misinformation about the importance of regular testing, logistic challenges with scheduling appointments, and anxiety as key barriers to annual eye exams.
“Previous qualitative investigations have identified misinformation about the importance of regular testing, logistic challenges with scheduling appointments, and anxiety as key barriers to annual eye exams7.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [7] Kashim, R., Newton, P. & Ojo, O. Diabetic Retinopathy Screening: A Systematic Review on Patients’ Non-Attendance. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public. Health 15, 157 (2018). source
The Results (§3.3; page not provided) identify misinformation about screening and anxiety as barriers, and report late screening invitations as a system-level reason for non-attendance. The review also describes annual screening in the Introduction, but it does not specifically identify difficulty scheduling appointments as a barrier. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
The autonomous AI system can autonomously analyze retinal images at the point of care with a sensitivity of 87.2% and specificity of 90.7% in a pivotal clinical trial against a prognostic standard.
“This system can autonomously analyze images of the retina at the point of care, such as at primary care clinics, with a sensitivity of 87.2% and specificity of 90.7% in a pivotal clinical trial against a prognostic standard, i.e. patient outcome8.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [8] Abràmoff, M. D., Lavin, P. T., Birch, M., Shah, N. & Folk, J. C. Pivotal trial of an autonomous AI-based diagnostic system for detection of diabetic retinopathy in primary care offices. Npj Digit. Med. 1, 39 (2018). source
The Discussion reports 87.2% sensitivity and 90.7% specificity for the autonomous AI system in a primary-care setting. But the Abstract says the trial compared its results with graded retinal photographs and OCT images, not with patient outcomes; the claimed prognostic standard is unsupported. (LLM, conf=0.92)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
In 2018, the FDA De Novo authorized the use of an autonomous artificial intelligence system (LumineticsCore, formerly IDx-DR) to diagnose diabetic eye disease.
“In 2018, the FDA De Novo authorized the use of an autonomous artificial intelligence (AI) system (LumineticsCore® formerly known as IDx-DR, Digital Diagnostics, Coralville, IA) to diagnose DED.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [8] Abràmoff, M. D., Lavin, P. T., Birch, M., Shah, N. & Folk, J. C. Pivotal trial of an autonomous AI-based diagnostic system for detection of diabetic retinopathy in primary care offices. Npj Digit. Med. 1, 39 (2018). source
The Discussion states that FDA authorized the autonomous IDx-DR system to detect more-than-mild diabetic retinopathy in adults with diabetes who had not previously been diagnosed with diabetic retinopathy. Our copy does not identify the authorization as De Novo or say that IDx-DR was later renamed LumineticsCore; its stated diagnostic indication is also narrower than diabetic eye disease generally. (LLM, conf=0.87)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
The African American population uses eye care services at much lower rates than White patients.
“Prior studies have found that the African American population uses eye care services at much lower rates than White patients, even though Black patients with type 2 diabetes are significantly more likely to develop retinopathy than White patients13–16.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 3 sources checked- cites [13] Sloan, F. A., Brown, D. S., Carlisle, E. S., Picone, G. A. & Lee, P. P. Monitoring Visual Status: Why Patients Do or Do Not Comply with Practice Guidelines. Health Serv. Res. 39, 1429–1448 (2004). source
- cites [14] Harris, E. L., Sherman, S. H. & Georgopoulos, A. Black-white differences in risk of developing retinopathy among individuals with type 2 diabetes. Diabetes Care 22, 779–783 (1999). source
- cites [15] Leske M. C. et al. Diabetic retinopathy in a black population. Ophthalmology 106, 1893–1899 (1999). source
- Findingown data
Among AI-switched sites, non-English speaking patients experienced +2.8% improvement in adherence rate from 2019 to 2021.
“non-English speaking patients ( + 2.8%)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For the race category, the largest initial gap in 2019 between American Indian or Alaska Native patients and Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander patients shrank from 37.3% to 20.5% by 2021.
“For the race category, the largest initial gap in 2019 was between American Indian or Alaska Native patients and Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander patients. This gap shrank from 37.3% in 2019 to 20.5% in 2021.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The adherence rate for Black/African Americans decreased by 0.6 percentage points within non-AI sites from 2019 to 2021.
“Second, the adherence rate for Black/African Americans increased by 12.2 percentage points within AI-switched sites but decreased by 0.6% points within non-AI sites (p < 0.001), suggesting that autonomous AI deployment improved access to retinal evaluation for historically disadvantaged populations.”
- Also stated in: § Subgroup changes in DED adherence rate from 2019 to 2021 · plain
“| Black or African American | 45.5% | 40.9% | 57.4% | 39.7% | +12.2% [+9.7%, +14.7%] | −0.6% [−2.5%, +1.3%] | <0.001 |”
- Also stated in: § Discussion · plain
“the adherence rates for these two patient groups actually decreased by 0.6% and 1%, respectively, among non-AI sites”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The propensity score weighting and measured covariates account for all differences between AI-switched and non-AI sites that affect adherence, i.e. there is no unmeasured confounding.
- Rests on an assumption: In the absence of autonomous AI deployment, adherence trends at AI-switched and non-AI sites would have been parallel.
- Also stated in: § Subgroup changes in DED adherence rate from 2019 to 2021 · plain
- Findingown data
The adherence rate for Black/African Americans increased by 12.2 percentage points within AI-switched sites from 2019 to 2021.
“Second, the adherence rate for Black/African Americans increased by 12.2 percentage points within AI-switched sites but decreased by 0.6% points within non-AI sites (p < 0.001), suggesting that autonomous AI deployment improved access to retinal evaluation for historically disadvantaged populations.”
- Also stated in: § Subgroup changes in DED adherence rate from 2019 to 2021 · plain
“| Black or African American | 45.5% | 40.9% | 57.4% | 39.7% | +12.2% [+9.7%, +14.7%] | −0.6% [−2.5%, +1.3%] | <0.001 |”
- Also stated in: § Subgroup changes in DED adherence rate from 2019 to 2021 · plain
“+12.2% in Black or African American patients”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The propensity score weighting and measured covariates account for all differences between AI-switched and non-AI sites that affect adherence, i.e. there is no unmeasured confounding.
- Rests on an assumption: In the absence of autonomous AI deployment, adherence trends at AI-switched and non-AI sites would have been parallel.
- Also stated in: § Subgroup changes in DED adherence rate from 2019 to 2021 · plain
- Findingown data
In 2019, the overall adherence rate across all sites was 42.2%.
“In 2019, the overall adherence rate across all sites was 42.2%.”
- Also stated in: § Discussion · plain
“First, the overall adherence rate across all sites was 42.2% in 2019, which was lower than the nationwide average of 58.3%12, but higher than the 34% seen in other low-income metropolitan populations in the United States3.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Also stated in: § Discussion · plain
- Findingown data
For the insurance category, the largest initial gap in 2019 between patients with military insurance and those covered by Medicaid shrank from 32.9% to 21.1% by 2021.
“For the insurance category, the largest initial gap in 2019 was between patients with military insurance and those covered by Medicaid. This gap shrank from 32.9% in 2019 to 21.1% in 2021.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In 2021, the adherence rate at AI-switched sites was 54.5%.
“Of note, the adherence rate increased to 54.5% at AI-switched sites and remained stable at 40.3% at non-AI sites.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Among AI-switched sites, patients with military insurance coverage experienced +2.8% improvement in adherence rate from 2019 to 2021.
“military insurance coverage ( + 2.8%)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Diabetic eye disease testing adherence among AI-switched sites increased by 7.4 percentage points (95% CI [5.2, 9.5], p < 0.001) from 2019 to 2021.
“The analysis showed that DED testing adherence among AI-switched sites increased by 7.4 percentage points (95% CI: [5.2, 9.5], p < 0.001) from 2019 to 2021.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The propensity score weighting and measured covariates account for all differences between AI-switched and non-AI sites that affect adherence, i.e. there is no unmeasured confounding.
- Rests on an assumption: In the absence of autonomous AI deployment, adherence trends at AI-switched and non-AI sites would have been parallel.
- Findingown data
For the ADI category, the largest initial gap in 2019 between the 1st and 2nd ADI quartiles shrank from 8.8% to −2.5% by 2021.
“For the ADI category, the largest initial gap in 2019 was between the 1st and 2nd ADI quartiles. This gap shrank from 8.8% in 2019 to −2.5% in 2021.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The adherence rate among non-AI sites decreased by 0.3 percentage points (95% CI [−1.5, 0.9], p < 0.653) from 2019 to 2021.
“On the other hand, the adherence rate among non-AI sites decreased by 0.3 percentage points (95% CI: [−1.5, 0.9], p < 0.653).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The propensity score weighting and measured covariates account for all differences between AI-switched and non-AI sites that affect adherence, i.e. there is no unmeasured confounding.
- Rests on an assumption: In the absence of autonomous AI deployment, adherence trends at AI-switched and non-AI sites would have been parallel.
- Findingown data
Among AI-switched sites, the adherence rate for Medicaid-insured patients improved by 13.7 percentage points from 2019 to 2021.
“+13.7% in Medicaid-insured patients”
- Also stated in: § Subgroup changes in DED adherence rate from 2019 to 2021 · plain
“| Medicaid | 30.2% | 36.2% | 43.8% | 31.6% | +13.7% [+6.7%, +20.7%] | −4.9% [−10.7%, +1.0%] | <0.001 |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Subgroup changes in DED adherence rate from 2019 to 2021 · plain
- Findingown data
Among AI-switched sites, Asian patients experienced +0.4% improvement in adherence rate from 2019 to 2021.
“Asian ( + 0.4%)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
AI-switched sites experienced a 7.6 percentage point greater increase in diabetic eye disease testing than non-AI sites from 2019 to 2021 (p < 0.001).
“First, AI-switched sites experienced a 7.6 percentage point greater increase in DED testing than non-AI sites from 2019 to 2021 (p < 0.001).”
- Also stated in: § Propensity score weighting analysis · hedged
“The change in adherence rate at AI-switched sites was 7.6 percentage points (95% CI [5.2, 10.1], p < 0.001) higher than that at non-AI sites, suggesting that there was a significantly higher increase in DED testing between 2019 and 2021 at AI-switched sites than at non-AI sites.”
- Also stated in: § Discussion · plain
“This improvement in AI-switched sites over non-AI sites, 7.6 percentage points, remained statistically significant after adjustment by propensity score weighting methods.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The propensity score weighting and measured covariates account for all differences between AI-switched and non-AI sites that affect adherence, i.e. there is no unmeasured confounding.
- Rests on an assumption: In the absence of autonomous AI deployment, adherence trends at AI-switched and non-AI sites would have been parallel.
- Also stated in: § Propensity score weighting analysis · hedged
- Findingown data
Among AI-switched sites, the adherence rate for patients in the 2nd ADI quartile improved by 11.7 percentage points from 2019 to 2021.
“+11.7% in the 2nd ADI quartile”
- Also stated in: § Subgroup changes in DED adherence rate from 2019 to 2021 · plain
“| 2nd Quartile (26–50) | 44.9% | 40.3% | 56.2% | 40.8% | +11.7% [+7.6%, +15.8%] | +0.8% [-1.2%, +2.8%] | <0.001 |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Subgroup changes in DED adherence rate from 2019 to 2021 · plain
- Findingown data
In 2021, the overall adherence rate across all sites increased to 44.8%.
“In 2021, the overall adherence rate across all sites increased to 44.8%.”
- Also stated in: § Discussion · plain
“The overall adherence rate in 2021 increased slightly to 44.8%.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Discussion · plain
- Findingown data
By 2021, the adherence rate gap between patients from all 4 ADI quartiles had closed.
“By 2021, the adherence rate gap between patients from all 4 quartiles had closed.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Among AI-switched sites, American Indian or Alaska Native patients experienced +2.3% improvement in adherence rate from 2019 to 2021.
“American Indian or Alaska Native ( + 2.3%)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Among non-AI sites, the adherence rate for Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander patients decreased by 1% from 2019 to 2021.
“the adherence rates for these two patient groups actually decreased by 0.6% and 1%, respectively, among non-AI sites”
- Also stated in: § Subgroup changes in DED adherence rate from 2019 to 2021 · plain
“| Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander | 26.7% | 50.0% | 46.2% | 48.3% | +19.0% [−17.9%, +55.9%] | −1.0% [-16.0%, +13.9%] | 0.324 |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Subgroup changes in DED adherence rate from 2019 to 2021 · plain
- Findingown data
Among AI-switched sites, the adherence rate for Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander patients improved by 19.0 percentage points from 2019 to 2021.
“+19.0% in Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander patients”
- Also stated in: § Discussion · plain
“Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander ( + 19%) patient populations from 2019 to 2021”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Discussion · plain
- Findingown data
In 2021, the adherence rate at non-AI sites was 40.3%.
“Of note, the adherence rate increased to 54.5% at AI-switched sites and remained stable at 40.3% at non-AI sites.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The adherence rate gap between Asian Americans and Black/African Americans at AI-switched sites shrank from 15.6% in 2019 to 3.5% in 2021.
“the adherence rate gap between Asian Americans and Black/African Americans shrank from 15.6% in 2019 to 3.5% in 2021.”
- Also stated in: § Discussion · plain
“This 15.6% gap shrank to 3.5% by 2021.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The propensity score weighting and measured covariates account for all differences between AI-switched and non-AI sites that affect adherence, i.e. there is no unmeasured confounding.
- Rests on an assumption: In the absence of autonomous AI deployment, adherence trends at AI-switched and non-AI sites would have been parallel.
- Also stated in: § Discussion · plain
- Findingown data
Among AI-switched sites and before AI deployment in 2019, an adherence rate gap of 8.4% existed between the most socioeconomically advantaged (ADI 1st quartile) and the most socioeconomically disadvantaged (ADI 4th quartile).
“Lastly, among AI-switched sites and before AI deployment in 2019, an adherence rate gap of 8.4% existed between the most socioeconomically advantaged (ADI 1st quartile) and the most socioeconomically disadvantaged (ADI 4th quartile).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In 2019, the adherence rate at non-AI sites was 40.4%.
“The baseline adherence rate was 46.1% at AI-switched sites and 40.4% at non-AI sites.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In 2019, the adherence rate at AI-switched sites was 46.1%.
“The baseline adherence rate was 46.1% at AI-switched sites and 40.4% at non-AI sites.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductown data
The four groups were matched based on all relevant covariates: age, gender, race, ethnicity, preferred language, insurance, ADI quartile, family income, and geographical region.
“These four groups were matched based on all the relevant covariates (age, gender, race, ethnicity, preferred language, insurance, ADI quartile, family income, and geographical region), as well as an adjusted Poisson regression with the covariates for the outcome model to estimate the difference in adherence rates.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The propensity score weighting and measured covariates account for all differences between AI-switched and non-AI sites that affect adherence, i.e. there is no unmeasured confounding.
- Interpretationown data
Our analyses showed a significant impact of autonomous AI on diabetic eye disease testing adherence rates.
“We employed propensity score weighting methods to address the inherent limitations of an observational study and are reassured that our analyses showed a significant impact of autonomous AI on DED testing adherence rates.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The propensity score weighting and measured covariates account for all differences between AI-switched and non-AI sites that affect adherence, i.e. there is no unmeasured confounding.
- Rests on an assumption: In the absence of autonomous AI deployment, adherence trends at AI-switched and non-AI sites would have been parallel.
- Interpretationown data
Autonomous AI is associated with improved health equity.
“Third, autonomous AI is associated with improved health equity, e.g. the adherence rate gap between Asian Americans and Black/African Americans shrank from 15.6% in 2019 to 3.5% in 2021.”
- Also stated in: § Discussion · hedged
“Third, our data also suggests that autonomous AI was associated with improved health equity and smaller care gaps between patient groups.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The propensity score weighting and measured covariates account for all differences between AI-switched and non-AI sites that affect adherence, i.e. there is no unmeasured confounding.
- Rests on an assumption: In the absence of autonomous AI deployment, adherence trends at AI-switched and non-AI sites would have been parallel.
- Also stated in: § Discussion · hedged
- Interpretationown data
The largest adherence gaps at AI-switched sites in 2019 had significantly decreased by 2021 after AI implementation.
“The largest adherence gaps at AI-switched sites in 2019 had significantly decreased by 2021 after AI implementation.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The propensity score weighting and measured covariates account for all differences between AI-switched and non-AI sites that affect adherence, i.e. there is no unmeasured confounding.
- Rests on an assumption: In the absence of autonomous AI deployment, adherence trends at AI-switched and non-AI sites would have been parallel.
- Interpretationown data
Autonomous AI deployment improved access to retinal evaluation for historically disadvantaged populations.
“suggesting that autonomous AI deployment improved access to retinal evaluation for historically disadvantaged populations.”
- Also stated in: § Discussion · hedged
“These data suggest that the deployment of autonomous AI improved access when it comes to DED management, particularly for historically disadvantaged populations.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The propensity score weighting and measured covariates account for all differences between AI-switched and non-AI sites that affect adherence, i.e. there is no unmeasured confounding.
- Rests on an assumption: In the absence of autonomous AI deployment, adherence trends at AI-switched and non-AI sites would have been parallel.
- Also stated in: § Discussion · hedged
- Premisecitation
The adherence rate in other low-income metropolitan populations in the United States was 34%.
“but higher than the 34% seen in other low-income metropolitan populations in the United States3”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [3] Kuo J. et al. Factors associated with adherence to screening guidelines for diabetic retinopathy among low-income metropolitan patients. Mo Med. 117, 258–264 (2020).
- Study design and conductown data
Propensity score weighting methods were employed to address the inherent limitations of an observational study.
“We employed propensity score weighting methods to address the inherent limitations of an observational study and are reassured that our analyses showed a significant impact of autonomous AI on DED testing adherence rates.”
- Also stated in: § Statistical analyses · plain
“To compare the primary outcome between AI-switched sites and non-AI sites, we used propensity score weighting methods to ensure comparability across sites and years.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The propensity score weighting and measured covariates account for all differences between AI-switched and non-AI sites that affect adherence, i.e. there is no unmeasured confounding.
- Also stated in: § Statistical analyses · plain
- Premisecitation
Adherence to annual diabetic eye disease testing guidelines has historically been low.
“Unfortunately, adherence to these annual DED testing guidelines has historically been low.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [5] Lee, P. P., Feldman, Z. W., Ostermann, J., Brown, D. S. & Sloan, F. A. Longitudinal rates of annual eye examinations of persons with diabetes and chronic eye diseases. Ophthalmology 110, 1952–1959 (2003). source
- Interpretationown data
By extrapolation of our data, large scale deployment of this technology across the entire health system could substantially increase overall adherence rate.
“By extrapolation of our data, large scale deployment of this technology across the entire health system could substantially increase overall adherence rate, which in turn could improve HEDIS metrics, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) Merit-based Incentive Payment System (MIPS) rating, and payer reimbursement.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The propensity score weighting and measured covariates account for all differences between AI-switched and non-AI sites that affect adherence, i.e. there is no unmeasured confounding.
- Rests on an assumption: In the absence of autonomous AI deployment, adherence trends at AI-switched and non-AI sites would have been parallel.
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 17
- May combine two claims. 6
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationMinority populations overall have consistently lower unadjusted eye examination rates than White populations.
“In fact, minority populations overall have consistently lower unadjusted eye examination rates than White populations17.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [17] Shi, Q., Zhao, Y., Fonseca, V., Krousel-Wood, M. & Shi, L. Racial Disparity of Eye Examinations Among the U.S. Working-Age Population With Diabetes: 2002–2009. Diabetes Care 37, 1321–1328 (2014). source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe national ADI score is a 100-point scale that measures socioeconomic disadvantage based on data like a geographic region's housing quality, education, income, and employment.
“The national ADI score is a 100-point scale that measures socioeconomic disadvantage based on data like a geographic region’s housing quality, education, income, and employment23.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [23] Hu, J., Kind, A. J. H. & Nerenz, D. Area Deprivation Index Predicts Readmission Risk at an Urban Teaching Hospital. Am. J. Med. Qual. 33, 493–501 (2018). source
The Introduction describes ADI as a measure of neighborhood disadvantage, refined to the census-block-group level. But the Results report a national ADI range of 2.1–129.3, contrary to the claimed 100-point scale. The cited passages do not identify housing quality, education, income, and employment as its component data. Page numbers are unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.90)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationA higher national ADI score correlates with increased overall socioeconomic disadvantage.
“A higher national ADI score correlates with increased overall socioeconomic disadvantage.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [23] Hu, J., Kind, A. J. H. & Nerenz, D. Area Deprivation Index Predicts Readmission Risk at an Urban Teaching Hospital. Am. J. Med. Qual. 33, 493–501 (2018). source
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationCurrent guidelines recommend that patients with diabetes receive an annual eye examination.
“current guidelines from the American Academy of Ophthalmology and American Diabetes Association recommend that patients with diabetes receive an annual eye examination2,3.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked- cites [2] Lin, K., Hsih, W., Lin, Y., Wen, C. & Chang, T. Update in the epidemiology, risk factors, screening, and treatment of diabetic retinopathy. J. Diabetes Investig. 12, 1322–1325 (2021). source
The Screening section discusses eye-examination guidelines from the International Council of Ophthalmology and the American Diabetes Association, and describes routine annual screening for type 1 diabetes as a comparator. It does not say that those guidelines recommend annual examinations for all patients with diabetes, or identify the American Academy of Ophthalmology as a guideline source. Page numbers are unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.85)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [3] Kuo J. et al. Factors associated with adherence to screening guidelines for diabetic retinopathy among low-income metropolitan patients. Mo Med. 117, 258–264 (2020).
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationBlack patients with type 2 diabetes are significantly more likely to develop retinopathy than White patients.
“Prior studies have found that the African American population uses eye care services at much lower rates than White patients, even though Black patients with type 2 diabetes are significantly more likely to develop retinopathy than White patients13–16.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 3 sources checked- cites [13] Sloan, F. A., Brown, D. S., Carlisle, E. S., Picone, G. A. & Lee, P. P. Monitoring Visual Status: Why Patients Do or Do Not Comply with Practice Guidelines. Health Serv. Res. 39, 1429–1448 (2004). source
The Discussion and Conclusions (page unavailable) report that African Americans used eye care services at much lower rates than whites, supporting the first part of the citing sentence. Neither that section nor the other retrieved passages report that Black patients with type 2 diabetes are significantly more likely to develop retinopathy than White patients; the paper examines eye-exam use, not that comparative risk. (LLM, conf=0.85)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [14] Harris, E. L., Sherman, S. H. & Georgopoulos, A. Black-white differences in risk of developing retinopathy among individuals with type 2 diabetes. Diabetes Care 22, 779–783 (1999). source
- cites [15] Leske M. C. et al. Diabetic retinopathy in a black population. Ophthalmology 106, 1893–1899 (1999). source
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationThe adherence rate is even lower (30-40%) in smaller health systems and low-income metropolitan patient populations.
“This adherence rate is even lower (30–40%) in smaller health systems and low-income metropolitan patient populations3,6.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked- cites [3] Kuo J. et al. Factors associated with adherence to screening guidelines for diabetic retinopathy among low-income metropolitan patients. Mo Med. 117, 258–264 (2020).
- cites [6] Lock L. J. et al. Analysis of Health System Size and Variability in Diabetic Eye Disease Screening in Wisconsin. JAMA Netw. Open 5, e2143937 (2022). source
The Results (page unavailable) report less screening in smaller health systems and an overall range of 31.8%–73.0%, but do not establish a 30%–40% rate specifically for smaller systems. The paper does not report screening rates for low-income metropolitan patients; its Discussion (page unavailable) instead identifies rural primary care clinics as having lower screening. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataWe observed treatment heterogeneity with improvement in adherence rate even after autonomous AI deployment.
“Fourth, we observed treatment heterogeneity with improvement in adherence rate even after autonomous AI deployment.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationDiabetic eye disease is a leading cause of blindness in the world.
“Diabetic eye disease (DED) is a leading cause of blindness in the world.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [1] Cheung, N., Mitchell, P. & Wong, T. Y. Diabetic retinopathy. Lancet 376, 124–136 (2010). source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationDiabetic eye disease affects a third of people with diabetes mellitus and is a leading cause of blindness and visual impairment in working-aged adults in the developed world.
“Diabetic eye disease (DED) affects a third of people with diabetes mellitus (DM) and is a leading cause of blindness and visual impairment in working-aged adults in the developed world1.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [1] Cheung, N., Mitchell, P. & Wong, T. Y. Diabetic retinopathy. Lancet 376, 124–136 (2010). source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe nationwide average adherence rate was 58.3%.
“which was lower than the nationwide average of 58.3%12”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [12] U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Healthy People 2030. https://health.gov/healthypeople/objectives-and-data/browse-objectives/diabetes/increase-proportion-adults-diabetes-who-have-yearly-eye-exam-d-04/data (2020).
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationAnnual screenings allow for early diagnosis and treatment that can help prevent severe vision loss.
“These annual screenings allow for early diagnosis and treatment that can help prevent severe vision loss4.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [4] Bragge P. Screening for Presence or Absence of Diabetic Retinopathy: A Meta-analysis. Arch. Ophthalmol. 129, 435–444 (2011). source
May combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataAmong AI-switched sites, the patient populations that experienced substantial improvement in adherence rate included Black or African American patients, patients with Medicaid insurance coverage, and patients with high ADI scores.
“Among the AI-switched sites, the patient populations that experienced substantial improvement in adherence rate included Black or African American patients, patients with Medicaid insurance coverage, and patients with high ADI scores.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductown dataThe study was retrospective.
“This was a retrospective study approved by the Institutional Review Board of the Johns Hopkins School of Medicine.”
- Also stated in: § Discussion · plain
“Our study is limited by its retrospective nature”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Also stated in: § Discussion · plain
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationA previous study in the United States found that only 50-60% of Medicare beneficiaries with diabetes mellitus received annual eye exams.
“A previous study in the United States found that only 50–60% of Medicare beneficiaries with DM received annual eye exams5.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [5] Lee, P. P., Feldman, Z. W., Ostermann, J., Brown, D. S. & Sloan, F. A. Longitudinal rates of annual eye examinations of persons with diabetes and chronic eye diseases. Ophthalmology 110, 1952–1959 (2003). source
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenRobust standard errors estimate clustering on participants was used to account for patients who were seen in both 2019 and 2021.
“Robust standard errors estimate clustering on participants was used to account for patients who were seen in both 2019 and 2021.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataThough autonomous AI improved access to retinal evaluation for the most disadvantaged patient groups and reduced care gaps, such improvement was not universal.
“Though autonomous AI improved access to retinal evaluation for the most disadvantaged patient groups and reduced care gaps, such improvement was not universal.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenCovariates balance was checked after inverse probability weighting to ensure appropriate balance on all covariates among the four groups.
“The covariates balance was checked after the inverse probability weighting to ensure appropriate balance on all covariates among the four groups.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The propensity score weighting and measured covariates account for all differences between AI-switched and non-AI sites that affect adherence, i.e. there is no unmeasured confounding.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataNearly all patients included in the study live in a metropolitan area, so the observations may not generalize to patient populations living in micropolitan, small town, and rural residences.
“Our study is limited by its retrospective nature and the fact that nearly all patients included in our study live in a metropolitan area, so our observations may not generalize to patient populations living in micropolitan, small town, and rural residences.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationA previous focus group found that for many African American patients, transportation, lack of free time, and inconvenience of eye exam served as main barriers for annual diabetic eye disease screening.
“A previous focus group found that for many African American patients, transportation, lack of free time, and inconvenience of eye exam served as main barriers for annual DED screening16.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [16] Fathy, C., Patel, S., Sternberg, P. & Kohanim, S. Disparities in Adherence to Screening Guidelines for Diabetic Retinopathy in the United States: a Comprehensive Review and Guide for Future Directions. Semin. Ophthalmol. 31, 364–377 (2016). source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenThis was a retrospective study approved by the Institutional Review Board of the Johns Hopkins School of Medicine.
“This was a retrospective study approved by the Institutional Review Board of the Johns Hopkins School of Medicine.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenAll research adhered to the tenets of the Declaration of Helsinki.
“All research adhered to the tenets of the Declaration of Helsinki.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
The paper relies on this without support.
The propensity score weighting and measured covariates account for all differences between AI-switched and non-AI sites that affect adherence, i.e. there is no unmeasured confounding.
“we used inverse probability to assign weights to patients based on social determinants of health to ensure comparability across the different types of sites and years.”
“We employed propensity score weighting methods to address the inherent limitations of an observational study and are reassured that our analyses showed a significant impact of autonomous AI on DED testing adherence rates.”
The paper relies on this without support.
In the absence of autonomous AI deployment, adherence trends at AI-switched and non-AI sites would have been parallel.
“The difference-in-difference was also estimated from this model.”
“From 2019 to 2021, i.e. coming out of the COVID pandemic, which caused widespread adherence issues, we observed a substantial increase in adherence rate among AI-switched sites, while the adherence rate among non-AI sites remained unchanged.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The COVID pandemic caused widespread adherence issues.
“From 2019 to 2021, i.e. coming out of the COVID pandemic, which caused widespread adherence issues, we observed a substantial increase in adherence rate among AI-switched sites, while the adherence rate among non-AI sites remained unchanged.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In a previous study, deployment of autonomous AI technology was associated with improved adherence to annual DR evaluation on a population level.
“In our previous study28, we demonstrated that the deployment of this autonomous AI technology was associated with improved adherence to annual DR evaluation on a population level.”
From Autonomous AI-assisted diabetic retinopathy screening at primary care is associated with increased presentation to eye care by at risk patients (2026) · cites this paper as [28]
In the previous study's subgroup analysis, the improvement in adherence to annual DR evaluation was particularly prominent in African-Americans and patients covered under Medicaid.
“In our sub-group analysis, the improvement was particularly prominent in African-Americans and patients covered under Medicaid.”
From Autonomous AI-assisted diabetic retinopathy screening at primary care is associated with increased presentation to eye care by at risk patients (2026) · cites this paper as [28]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
2019 AI-switched American Indian or Alaska Native percentage is misrounded
MinorThe reported 25 patients out of 5,505 are 0.454%, which rounds to 0.5% at the table's precision, not 0.4%.
Reported 0.4 · recomputed 0.454133
“| American Indian or Alaska Native | 25 (0.4) | 64 (0.5) | | 27 (0.5) | 67 (0.6) | |”
2021 insurance percentages do not match Table 1
MinorTable 1 gives 9,385 commercial/other patients and 4,966 pure Medicare patients out of 17,590 in 2021. These are 53.4% and 28.2%, respectively, rather than 53.1% and 28.1%.
“most patients had either commercial/other insurance (53.1%) or Medicare (28.1%).”
“| Commercial and Other | 2823 (51.3) | 5780 (47.5) | | 2977 (53.4) | 6408 (53.4) | | | Pure Medicare | 1738 (31.6) | 3554 (29.2) | | 1630 (29.2) | 3336 (27.8) | |”
2021 non-AI self-pay percentage is misrounded
MinorThe reported 105 self-pay patients out of 12,010 are 0.874%, which rounds to 0.9%, not 0.8%.
Reported 0.8 · recomputed 0.874271
“| Self-Pay | 64 (1.1) | 320 (2.6) | | 76 (1.4) | 105 (0.8) | |”
2021 gender and age percentages do not match Table 1
MinorTable 1 reports 9,029 female patients and 12,562 patients under 65 out of 17,590 in 2021. Those are 51.3% and 71.4%, respectively, rather than the stated 51.1% and 71.1%.
“Again, most patients were female (51.1%) and under 65 years old (71.1%).”
“| Female | 3037 (55.2) | 6334 (52.1) | | 3040 (54.5) | 5989 (49.9) | | | Male | 2468 (44.8) | 5835 (47.9) | | 2540 (45.5) | 6021 (50.1) | | | Age | | | 0.015 | | | 0.929 | | Under 65 years | 3730 (67.8) | 8470 (69.6) | | 3982 (71.4) | 8580 (71.4) | |”
2021 racial percentages do not match Table 1
MinorThe 2021 counts in Table 1 give 8,366 White patients and 6,555 Black or African American patients out of 17,590. These correspond to 47.6% and 37.3%, not 47.9% and 37.1%.
“Most patients were White (47.9%) and Black or African American (37.1%)”
“| Black or African American | 2606 (47.3) | 4563 (37.5) | | 2648 (47.5) | 3907 (32.5) | | | White | 2411 (43.8) | 5581 (45.9) | | 2402 (43.0) | 5964 (49.7) | |”
2019 AI-switched self-pay percentage is misrounded
MinorThe reported 64 self-pay patients out of 5,505 are 1.163%, which rounds to 1.2%, not 1.1%.
Reported 1.1 · recomputed 1.162579
“| Self-Pay | 64 (1.1) | 320 (2.6) | | 76 (1.4) | 105 (0.8) | |”
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“Priorstudieshave foundthattheAfricanAmericanpopulationuseseyecareservicesatmuch lowerratesthanWhitepatients,eventhoughBlackpatientswithtype2 diabetesaresigni fi cantly more likely to develop retinopathy than White patients 13 – 16 .”
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BackgroundDiabetic retinopathy in a black population
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Self-citation
Flagged first, then by citations
1 of the 24 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
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Self-citationAI for screening in healthcare: promise and challenges
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“51”
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Self-citationDid you know eye examination can save life? Read on ...
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Artificial Intelligence and Eye Disease—Bridging Innovation and Clinical Practice
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“Huang and colleagues further demonstrated that autonomous AI systems can improve access to diabetic eye care and promote health equity in underserved populations [6].”
Teleretinal Imaging Enhances Equity in Diabetic Eye Screening at Urban Community Health Clinics
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Self-citationArtificial intelligence in diabetic retinopathy: from automated screening to risk-stratified care
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Clinical warrant in medical LLM evaluation
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“Autonomous screening and surgical support raise analogous questions (30, 33 – 35).”
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- Authors
- Huang, J. J., Channa, R., Wolf, R. M., Dong, Y., Liang, M., Wang, J., Abramoff, M. D., & Liu, T. Y. A.
- Affiliations
- Johns Hopkins University (US)
- University of Wisconsin–Madison (US)
- Corresponding author
- Liu, T. Y. Alvin
- ORCID
- Venue
- npj Digital Medicine
- Published
- 2024-07-22
- Volume
- 7
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 196-196
- ISSN
- 2398-6352 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC11263546
- OpenAlex
- W4400876649
- Semantic Scholar
- 63e389079c0aad489095ed2e90a7c5746b45e0ee
- Cited by
- 39
- References
- 24
- Citations by year
- 2026: 17 · 2025: 16 · 2024: 6
- FWCI
- 8.97
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Update notices
- correction (2024-08-23)
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- npj Digital Medicine (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Research Square (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Research to Prevent Blindness Career Advancement Award
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and Imaging › Retinal Imaging and Analysis
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Health Informatics › Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare and Education
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Ophthalmology › Ophthalmology and Visual Health Research
- Keywords
- diabetic eye disease, AI autonomy, retinal screening, health equity, underserved populations, Black patients, Asian American patients, diabetes mellitus, primary care, integrated health system
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