Five-year outcomes of the Danish Cardiovascular Screening (DANCAVAS) trial
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: Limited data suggest a benefit of population-based screening for cardiovascular disease with respect to the risk of death. METHODS: We performed a population-based, parallel-group, randomized, controlled trial involving men 65 to 74 years of age living in 15 Danish municipalities. The participants were randomly assigned in a 1:2 ratio to undergo screening (the invited group) or not to undergo screening (the control group) for subclinical cardiovascular disease. Randomization was based on computer-generated random numbers and stratified according to municipality. Only the control group was unaware of the trial-group assignments. Screening included noncontrast electrocardiography-gated computed tomography to determine the coronary-artery calcium score and to detect aneurysms and atrial fibrillation, ankle-brachial blood-pressure measurements to detect peripheral artery disease and hypertension, and a blood sample to detect diabetes mellitus and hypercholesterolemia. The primary outcome was death from any cause. RESULTS: A total of 46,611 participants underwent randomization. After exclusion of 85 men who had died or emigrated before being invited to undergo screening, there were 16,736 men in the invited group and 29,790 men in the control group; 10,471 of the men in the invited group underwent screening (62.6%). In intention-to-treat analyses, after a median follow-up of 5.6 years, 2106 men (12.6%) in the invited group and 3915 men (13.1%) in the control group had died (hazard ratio, 0.95; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.90 to 1.00; P = 0.06). The hazard ratio for stroke in the invited group, as compared with the control group, was 0.93 (95% CI, 0.86 to 0.99); for myocardial infarction, 0.91 (95% CI, 0.81 to 1.03); for aortic dissection, 0.95 (95% CI, 0.61 to 1.49); and for aortic rupture, 0.81 (95% CI, 0.49 to 1.35). There were no significant between-group differences in safety outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: After more than 5 years, the invitation to undergo comprehensive cardiovascular screening did not significantly reduce the incidence of death from any cause among men 65 to 74 years of age. (Funded by the Southern Region of Denmark and others; DANCAVAS ISRCTN Registry number, ISRCTN12157806.).
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Earlier onset of metabolic risk factors is associated with increased risk for CVD and mortality, motivating the timely identification and treatment of risk factors.
“Earlier onset of metabolic risk factors is associated with increased risk for CVD and mortality, motivating the timely identification and treatment of risk factors.47–49”
From 2026 AHA/ACC/ADA/ASN Guideline for the Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Management of Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Syndrome (2026) · cites this paper as [49]
The introduction (pp. 2–3) presents early detection and preventive intervention as ways to reduce cardiovascular events, and the screening methods (p. 3) include tests for diabetes and high cholesterol. The paper does not establish the claimed association between earlier onset of metabolic risk factors and increased cardiovascular disease or mortality risk; its age comparison in the Discussion (p. 7) concerns age at screening, not age at risk-factor onset. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe ICER for GLP-1-based therapies varied widely based on the cost of therapy and the comparator chosen.
“However, the ICER varied widely based on the cost of therapy and the comparator chosen.49”
From 2026 AHA/ACC/ADA/ASN Guideline for the Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Management of Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Syndrome (2026) · cites this paper as [49]
The Outcomes section (p. 5) says cost-effectiveness was not reported in this paper. Searches for GLP-1 therapies, ICERs, therapy costs, and comparators found no passage addressing the claimed variation. (LLM, conf=0.78)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredBoth SGLT2i and GLP-1-based therapy improve kidney outcomes, with GLP-1-based therapy additionally promoting significant weight reduction and glycemic control (especially semaglutide and tirzepatide) and reducing liver fibrosis in MASH.
“Both SGLT2i and GLP-1–based therapy improve kidney outcomes,49–51 with GLP-1–based therapy additionally promoting significant weight reduction and glycemic control (especially semaglutide and tirzepatide)19–25 and reducing liver fibrosis in MASH”
From 2026 AHA/ACC/ADA/ASN Guideline for the Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Management of Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Syndrome (2026) · cites this paper as [49]
The Outcomes section (p. 5) describes cardiovascular-screening endpoints and medication use, not kidney outcomes from SGLT2 inhibitors or GLP-1–based therapy. Searches for those therapies, semaglutide, tirzepatide, and MASH found no passage addressing the attributed treatment effects. (LLM, conf=0.77)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredSedentary behavior is an independent predictor of MASLD and is associated with a high risk for MASLD progression.
“Finally, sedentary behavior is an independent predictor of MASLD and is associated with a high risk for MASLD progression.49,50”
From 2026 AHA/ACC/ADA/ASN Guideline for the Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Management of Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Syndrome (2026) · cites this paper as [49]
The Participants section (p. 6) lists cardiovascular screening findings, and the Discussion (p. 7) addresses mortality after screening. Neither addresses sedentary behavior as a predictor of MASLD or its progression; additional searches for MASLD, sedentary behavior, and fatty liver found no relevant passage. (LLM, conf=0.78)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredIn a recently published RCT involving men aged 65-74 years, routine CVD screening did not significantly reduce the incidence of death from any cause after a median follow-up of 5.6 years, also in a pre-specified diabetes sub-group.
“Moreover, in a recently published RCT involving men aged 65-74 years, routine CVD screening did not significantly reduce the incidence of death from any cause after a median follow-up of 5.6 years, also in a pre-specified diabetes sub-group.296”
From 2023 ESC guidelines for the management of cardiovascular disease in patients with diabetes. (2023) · cites this paper as [296]
Routine screening for coronary artery disease in asymptomatic individuals has not been beneficial.
“Routine screening for coronary artery disease in asymptomatic individuals has not been beneficial and should not be considered in TS.485”
From Clinical practice guidelines for the care of girls and women with Turner syndrome. (2024) · cites this paper as [485]
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Identifying Patients With Peripheral Artery Disease Using the Electronic Health Record
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Abdominal aortic aneurysm progression: A review of preclinical and clinical data
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Coronary and Extra-coronary Subclinical Atherosclerosis to Guide Lipid-Lowering Therapy
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The CHIP-clinic as the catalyst of preventive medicine
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Self-citationLong-Term Road Traffic Noise, Air Pollution, and Cardiovascular Disease
Mayntz, S. P., Mohamed, R. A., Mejldal, A., Møller, J. K., Lindholt, J. S., Diederichsen, A. C. P., Frohn, L. M., Brandt, J. G., Ketzel, M., Khan, J., et al. (2025) · JACC Advances · doi:10.1016/j.jacadv.2025.101787 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
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Cardiac positron emission tomography/Computed tomography (PET/CT) in current cardiology guidelines
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Integrating gender medicine into modern healthcare: Progress and barriers
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The impact of population screening for cardiovascular disease on quality of life
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Recomendaciones preventivas vasculares. Actualización PAPPS 2024
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Selecting the optimal candidates for percutaneous mitral valvuloplasty using multi-modality imaging
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Self-citationInterventions for the prevention and management of cardiometabolic multiple long-term conditions
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What evidence is required to justify the NHS Health Check programme?
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Mayntz, S. P., Mohamed, R. A., Mejldal, A., Møller, J. K., Lindholt, J. S., Diederichsen, A., Frohn, L. M., & Lambrechtsen, J. (2024) · Cardiology · doi:10.1159/000539459 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
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Future Trends in CT for Coronary Artery Disease: From Diagnosis to Prevention
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Subclinical Coronary Atherosclerosis and Risk for Myocardial Infarction in a Danish Cohort
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Understanding the risks and benefits of policy action in NAFLD
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Liisberg, M., Lindholt, J. S., Larsen, K. L., Diederichsen, A. C. P., Hallas, J., Gerke, O., Lasota, A. N., Jensen, H. K., Benhassen, L. L., Mørkved, A. L., et al. (2025) · Journal of the American Heart Association · doi:10.1161/jaha.124.040149 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
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Sudden Cardiac Death and its Relation to Previously Diagnosed or Occult Cardiac Disease at Autopsy
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Screening for cardiovascular risk in the general population: The SPICES implementation survey
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Arabic‐speaking male immigrants' perceptions of preventive initiatives: An interview study
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Is a Picture Worth a Thousand Words?
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Self-citationCoronary artery calcium scoring in 2026: strengths, limitations, and optimized clinical use
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- Authors
- Lindholt, J. S., Søgaard, R., Rasmussen, L. M., Mejldal, A., Lambrechtsen, J., Steffensen, F. H., Frost, L., Egstrup, K., Urbonaviciene, G., Busk, M., & Diederichsen, A. C. P.
- Affiliations
- University of Southern Denmark (DK)
- From the Departments of Cardiac, Thoracic, and Vascular Surgery (J.S.L., R.S.), Clinical Biochemistry and Pharmacology (L.M.R.), and Cardiology (A.C.P.D.), Elite Research Center for Individualized Medicine in Arterial Diseases, and the Open Patient Data Explorative Network (A.M.), Odense University Hospital, Clinical Institute, University of Southern Denmark (R.S.), Odense, the Department of Cardiology, Odense University Hospital, Svendborg (J.L., K.E.), the Department of Cardiology, Lillebaelt Hospital, Vejle (F.H.S., M.B.), and the Department of Cardiology, Diagnostic Center, Regional Hospital Silkeborg, Silkeborg (L.F., G.U.) — all in Denmark.
- ORCID
- Venue
- New England Journal of Medicine
- Publisher
- Massachusetts Medical Society
- Published
- 2022-10-13
- Volume
- 387
- Issue
- 15
- Pages
- 1385-1394
- ISSN
- 0028-4793 (ISSN-L)
- 1533-4406
- OpenAlex
- W4293872316
- Semantic Scholar
- e45554186343dbbd4336d0fe7a98a8b8783cffbe
- Cited by
- 182
- References
- 13
- Citations by year
- 2026: 34 · 2025: 53 · 2024: 39 · 2023: 42 · 2022: 12 · 2021: 1
- FWCI
- 32.23
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- New England Journal of Medicine (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- University of Southern Denmark Research Portal (University of Southern Denmark) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Funders
- Hjerteforeningen
- Danish Independent Research Councils
- Helsefonden
- Odense Universitetshospital
- Region of Southern Denmark
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Health Promotion and Cardiovascular Prevention
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and Imaging › Cardiac Imaging and Diagnostics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Healthcare Systems and Public Health
- Keywords
- cardiovascular screening, coronary artery calcium score, aortic aneurysm, atrial fibrillation, peripheral arterial disease, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, hypercholesterolemia, all-cause mortality, stroke, myocardial infarction, aortic dissection, aortic rupture
- MeSH terms
- Aged, Calcium, Cardiovascular Diseases, Denmark, Humans, Male, Mass Screening, Incidence, Cardiac-Gated Imaging Techniques, Peripheral Arterial Disease
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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