Effect of Aspirin on Cardiovascular Events and Bleeding in the Healthy Elderly
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: Aspirin is a well-established therapy for the secondary prevention of cardiovascular events. However, its role in the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease is unclear, especially in older persons, who have an increased risk. METHODS: From 2010 through 2014, we enrolled community-dwelling men and women in Australia and the United States who were 70 years of age or older (or ≥65 years of age among blacks and Hispanics in the United States) and did not have cardiovascular disease, dementia, or disability. Participants were randomly assigned to receive 100 mg of enteric-coated aspirin or placebo. The primary end point was a composite of death, dementia, or persistent physical disability; results for this end point are reported in another article in the Journal. Secondary end points included major hemorrhage and cardiovascular disease (defined as fatal coronary heart disease, nonfatal myocardial infarction, fatal or nonfatal stroke, or hospitalization for heart failure). RESULTS: Of the 19,114 persons who were enrolled in the trial, 9525 were assigned to receive aspirin and 9589 to receive placebo. After a median of 4.7 years of follow-up, the rate of cardiovascular disease was 10.7 events per 1000 person-years in the aspirin group and 11.3 events per 1000 person-years in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 0.95; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.83 to 1.08). The rate of major hemorrhage was 8.6 events per 1000 person-years and 6.2 events per 1000 person-years, respectively (hazard ratio, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.18 to 1.62; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The use of low-dose aspirin as a primary prevention strategy in older adults resulted in a significantly higher risk of major hemorrhage and did not result in a significantly lower risk of cardiovascular disease than placebo. (Funded by the National Institute on Aging and others; ASPREE ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01038583 .).
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For people >70 years of age (with or without diabetes), the balance of aspirin appears to have greater risk than benefit.
“For people >70 years of age (with or without diabetes), the balance appears to have greater risk than benefit (179,181).”
From 10. Cardiovascular Disease and Risk Management: Standards of Care in Diabetes—2025 (2025) · cites this paper as [181]
The Abstract Conclusions report that, for primary prevention in older adults, aspirin increased major hemorrhage without significantly reducing cardiovascular disease. The Methods and Results include diabetes as a subgroup and report no evidence of a differential cardiovascular effect. The claim omits the trial’s important limitation to generally healthy people without established cardiovascular disease; it should not be extended to everyone over 70. (LLM, conf=0.85)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredTwo other large randomized trials of aspirin for primary prevention, ARRIVE (in people without diabetes) and ASPREE (in the elderly, 11% with diabetes), found no benefit of aspirin on the primary efficacy end point and an increased risk of bleeding.
“Two other large, randomized trials of aspirin for primary prevention, in people without diabetes (ARRIVE [Aspirin to Reduce Risk of Initial Vascular Events]) (180) and in the elderly (ASPREE [Aspirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly]) (181), in which 11% of participants had diabetes, found no benefit of aspirin on the primary efficacy end point and an increased risk of bleeding.”
From 10. Cardiovascular Disease and Risk Management: Standards of Care in Diabetes—2025 (2025) · cites this paper as [181]
Split into 2 atoms — 1 confirmed, 1 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredTwo other large randomized trials of aspirin for primary prevention, ARRIVE in people without diabetes and ASPREE in the elderly (11% with diabetes), found no benefit of aspirin on the primary efficacy end point and an increased risk of bleeding.
“Two other large, randomized trials of aspirin for primary prevention, in people without diabetes (ARRIVE [Aspirin to Reduce Risk of Initial Vascular Events]) (174) and in the elderly (ASPREE [Aspirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly]) (175), in which 11% of participants had diabetes, found no benefit of aspirin on the primary efficacy end point and an increased risk of bleeding.”
From 10. Cardiovascular Disease and Risk Management: Standards of Care in Diabetes—2026 (2026) · cites this paper as [175]
Split into 2 atoms — 0 confirmed, 2 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredFor people >70 years of age (with or without diabetes), the balance of aspirin appears to have greater risk than benefit.
“For people >70 years of age (with or without diabetes), the balance appears to have greater risk than benefit (173,175).”
From 10. Cardiovascular Disease and Risk Management: Standards of Care in Diabetes—2026 (2026) · cites this paper as [175]
The Conclusions report more major hemorrhage without a significant reduction in cardiovascular disease, and the Results report no evidence that the cardiovascular or bleeding effects differed by diabetes subgroup (page not provided). But the trial studied aspirin for primary prevention in largely healthy older adults, not all people over 70; the paper notes that aspirin’s benefits can outweigh hemorrhage risk in secondary prevention. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredIn ASPREE, the rate of major hemorrhage per 1,000 person-years was 8.6 events versus 6.2 events (HR 1.38 [95% CI 1.18-1.62]; P < 0.001).
“The rate of major hemorrhage per 1,000 person-years was 8.6 events versus 6.2 events, respectively (HR 1.38 [95% CI 1.18-1.62];P < 0.001).”
From 10. Cardiovascular Disease and Risk Management: Standards of Care in Diabetes—2025 (2025) · cites this paper as [181]
In ASPREE, for cardiovascular disease (fatal CHD, MI, stroke, or hospitalization for heart failure) after a median of 4.7 years of follow-up, the rates per 1,000 person-years were 10.7 vs 11.3 events in aspirin vs placebo groups (HR 0.95 [95% CI 0.83-1.08]).
“In ASPREE, which included 19,114 individuals, for cardiovascular disease (fatal CHD, MI, stroke, or hospitalization for heart failure) after a median of 4.7 years of follow-up, the rates per 1,000 person-years were 10.7 vs. 11.3 events in aspirin vs. placebo groups (HR 0.95 [95% CI 0.83-1.08]).”
From 10. Cardiovascular Disease and Risk Management: Standards of Care in Diabetes—2025 (2025) · cites this paper as [181]
In ASPREE, the rate of major hemorrhage per 1,000 person-years was 8.6 events versus 6.2 events (HR 1.38 [95% CI 1.18-1.62]; P < 0.001).
“The rate of major hemorrhage per 1,000 person-years was 8.6 events versus 6.2 events, respectively (HR 1.38 [95% CI 1.18–1.62]; P < 0.001).”
From 10. Cardiovascular Disease and Risk Management: Standards of Care in Diabetes—2026 (2026) · cites this paper as [175]
In ASPREE, for CVD after a median of 4.7 years of follow-up, the rates per 1,000 person-years were 10.7 vs 11.3 events in aspirin vs placebo groups (HR 0.95 [95% CI 0.83-1.08]).
“In ASPREE, which included 19,114 individuals, for CVD (fatal CHD, MI, stroke, or hospitalization for heart failure) after a median of 4.7 years of follow-up, the rates per 1,000 person-years were 10.7 vs. 11.3 events in aspirin vs. placebo groups (HR 0.95 [95% CI 0.83–1.08]).”
From 10. Cardiovascular Disease and Risk Management: Standards of Care in Diabetes—2026 (2026) · cites this paper as [175]
In ASPREE, major hemorrhage rate was higher with aspirin (8.6 vs 6.2 per 1000 person-years; HR 1.38, 95% CI 1.18-1.62; P<0.001).
“The rate of major hemorrhage per 1,000 person-years was 8.6 events vs. 6.2 events, respectively (HR 1.38 [95% CI 1.18 -1.62]; P < 0.001).”
From 10. Cardiovascular Disease and Risk Management: <i>Standards of Care in Diabetes—2023</i> (2023) · cites this paper as [146]
Among individuals older than 70 years, with or without diabetes, aspirin's risk-benefit balance appears unfavorable.
“For people > 70 years of age (with or without diabetes), the balance appears to have greater risk than bene fi t (144,146).”
From 10. Cardiovascular Disease and Risk Management: <i>Standards of Care in Diabetes—2023</i> (2023) · cites this paper as [146]
In ASPREE, aspirin did not reduce cardiovascular disease versus placebo (10.7 vs 11.3 per 1000 person-years; HR 0.95, 95% CI 0.83-1.08).
“In ASPREE, including 19,114 individuals, for cardiovascular disease (fatal CHD, MI, stroke, or hospitalization for heart failure) after a median of 4.7 years of follow-up, the rates per 1,000 personyears were 10.7 vs. 11.3 events in aspirin vs. placebo groups (HR 0.95 [95% CI 0.83 -1.08]).”
From 10. Cardiovascular Disease and Risk Management: <i>Standards of Care in Diabetes—2023</i> (2023) · cites this paper as [146]
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Espinoza, S. E., Woods, R. L., Ekram, A. R. M. S., Ernst, M. E., Polekhina, G., Wolfe, R., Shah, R. C., Ward, S. A., Storey, E., Nelson, M. R., et al. (2022) · The Journals of Gerontology: Series A · doi:10.1093/gerona/glab340 · Cited by 39 · see citing works
Self-citationMyocardial Infarction in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction
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- Authors
- McNeil, J. J., Wolfe, R., Woods, R. L., Tonkin, A. M., Donnan, G. A., Nelson, M. R., Reid, C. M., Lockery, J. E., Kirpach, B., Storey, E., Shah, R. C., Williamson, J. D., Margolis, K. L., Ernst, M. E., Abhayaratna, W. P., Stocks, N., Fitzgerald, S. M., Orchard, S. G., Trevaks, R. E., Beilin, L. J., Johnston, C. I., Ryan, J., Radziszewska, B., Jelinek, M., Malik, M., Eaton, C. B., Brauer, D., Cloud, G., Wood, E. M., Mahady, S. E., Satterfield, S., Grimm, R., & Murray, A. M.
- Affiliations
- Baker Heart and Diabetes Institute (AU)
- University of Tasmania (AU)
- Rush University Medical Center (US)
- University of Iowa (US)
- Australian National University (AU)
- National Institutes of Health (US)
- Cleveland Clinic (US)
- From the Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Monash University (J.J.M., R.W., R.L.W., A.M.T., M.R.N., C.M.R., J.E.L., E.S., S.M.F., S.G.O., R.E.T., C.I.J., J.R., E.M.W., S.E.M.), Baker Heart and Diabetes Institute (C.I.J.), the Department of Cardiology, St. Vincent’s Hospital (M.J.), and the Department of Clinical Neurosciences, Central Clinical School, Monash University and Alfred Hospital (G.C.), Melbourne, and Florey Institute of Neuroscience and Mental Health, University of...
- University of Minnesota (US)
- ORCID
- McNeil, John J.
- Wolfe, Rory
- Woods, Robyn L.
- Tonkin, Andrew M.
- Donnan, Geoffrey A.
- Nelson, Mark R.
- Reid, Christopher M.
- Lockery, Jessica E.
- Kirpach, Brenda
- Storey, Elsdon
- Shah, Raj C.
- Williamson, Jeff D.
- Margolis, Karen L.
- Ernst, Michael E.
- Abhayaratna, Walter P.
- Stocks, Nigel
- Fitzgerald, Sharyn M.
- Orchard, Suzanne G.
- Trevaks, Ruth E.
- Beilin, Lawrence J.
- Ryan, Joanne
- Jelinek, Michael
- Malik, Mobin
- Eaton, Charles B.
- Wood, Erica M.
- Mahady, Suzanne E.
- Satterfield, Suzanne
- Murray, Anne M.
- Venue
- New England Journal of Medicine
- Publisher
- Massachusetts Medical Society
- Published
- 2018-10-18
- Volume
- 379
- Issue
- 16
- Pages
- 1509-1518
- ISSN
- 0028-4793 (ISSN-L)
- 1533-4406
- PMC
- PMC6289056
- OpenAlex
- W2892288854
- Cited by
- 1,139
- References
- 42
- Citations by year
- 2026: 77 · 2025: 122 · 2024: 112 · 2023: 131 · 2022: 145 · 2021: 169 · 2020: 170 · 2019: 181 · 2018: 31 · 2017: 1
- FWCI
- 104.23
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- New England Journal of Medicine (publishedVersion)
- UWA Profiles and Research Repository (UWA) (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- UTAS Research Repository (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- eCite Digital Repository (University of Tasmania) (submittedVersion)
- eSpace (Curtin University) (submittedVersion)
- Figshare (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- ANU Open Research (Australian National University) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Health and Medical Research Council (1127060, 334047)
- Victorian Cancer Agency
- National Institute on Aging and National Cancer Institute at the National Institutes of Health (U01AG029824)
- Monash University
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Antiplatelet Therapy and Cardiovascular Diseases
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pharmacology › Inflammatory mediators and NSAID effects
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Surgery › Lipoproteins and Cardiovascular Health
- Keywords
- aspirin, primary prevention, cardiovascular disease, major bleeding, bleeding risk, older adults, healthy older adults, cardiovascular events, ASPREE trial, enteric-coated aspirin
- MeSH terms
- Administration, Oral, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Aspirin, Australia, Cardiovascular Diseases, Double-Blind Method, Female, Hemorrhage, Humans, Male, Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors, United States, Treatment Failure, Independent Living
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