The DOI matches its Crossref record; 2 of the 2 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Projecting the future of the U.S. carbon sink
Open accessAbstract
Atmospheric and ground-based methods agree on the presence of a carbon sink in the coterminous United States (the United States minus Alaska and Hawaii), and the primary causes for the sink recently have been identified. Projecting the future behavior of the sink is necessary for projecting future net emissions. Here we use two models, the Ecosystem Demography model and a second simpler empirically based model (Miami Land Use History), to estimate the spatio-temporal patterns of ecosystem carbon stocks and fluxes resulting from land-use changes and fire suppression from 1700 to 2100. Our results are compared with other historical reconstructions of ecosystem carbon fluxes and to a detailed carbon budget for the 1980s. Our projections indicate that the ecosystem recovery processes that are primarily responsible for the contemporary U.S. carbon sink will slow over the next century, resulting in a significant reduction of the sink. The projected rate of decrease depends strongly on scenarios of future land use and the long-term effectiveness of fire suppression.
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Cites
The Global Carbon Cycle: A Test of Our Knowledge of Earth as a System
Falkowski, P., Scholes, R. J., Boyle, E., Canadell, J., Canfield, D., Elser, J., Gruber, N., Hibbard, K., Högberg, P., Linder, S., et al. (2000) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.290.5490.291 · Cited by 2,177
Estimating historical changes in global land cover: Croplands from 1700 to 1992
Ramankutty, N., & Foley, J. A. (1999) · Global Biogeochemical Cycles · doi:10.1029/1999gb900046 · Cited by 2,074
Cited by
The representative concentration pathways: an overview
van Vuuren, D. P., Edmonds, J., Kainuma, M., Riahi, K., Thomson, A., Hibbard, K., Hurtt, G. C., Kram, T., Krey, V., Lamarque, J.-F., et al. (2011) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0148-z · Cited by 7,741
Self-citationHurtt, G. C., Chini, L. P., Frolking, S., Betts, R. A., Feddema, J., Fischer, G., Fisk, J. P., Hibbard, K., Houghton, R. A., Janetos, A., et al. (2011) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0153-2 · Cited by 1,284
Self-citationAn atmospheric perspective on North American carbon dioxide exchange: CarbonTracker
Peters, W., Jacobson, A. R., Sweeney, C., Andrews, A. E., Conway, T. J., Masarie, K., Miller, J. B., Bruhwiler, L. M. P., Pétron, G., Hirsch, A. I., et al. (2007) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0708986104 · Cited by 1,051
HURTT, G. C., FROLKING, S., FEARON, M. G., MOORE, B., SHEVLIAKOVA, E., MALYSHEV, S., PACALA, S. W., & HOUGHTON, R. A. (2006) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01150.x · Cited by 531
Self-citationLiu, S., Bond-Lamberty, B., Hicke, J. A., Vargas, R., Zhao, S., Chen, J., Edburg, S. L., Hu, Y., Liu, J., McGuire, A. D., et al. (2011) · Journal of Geophysical Research · doi:10.1029/2010jg001585 · Cited by 466
Metadata
- Authors
- Hurtt, G. C., Pacala, S. W., Moorcroft, P. R., Caspersen, J., Shevliakova, E., Houghton, R. A., & Moore, B.
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2002-02-05
- Volume
- 99
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 1389-1394
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- OpenAlex
- W2080481328
- Cited by
- 265
- References
- 2
- FWCI
- 9.54
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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