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A model of antibiotic-resistant bacterial epidemics in hospitals
Open accessAbstract
The emergence of drug-resistant strains of bacteria is an increasing threat to society, especially in hospital settings. Many antibiotics that were formerly effective in combating bacterial infections in hospital patients are no longer effective because of the evolution of resistant strains, which compromises medical care worldwide. In this article, we formulate a two-level population model to quantify key elements in nosocomial (hospital-acquired) infections. At the bacteria level, patients infected with these strains generate both nonresistant and resistant bacteria. At the patient level, susceptible patients are infected by infected patients at rates proportional to the total bacteria load of each strain present in the hospital. The objectives of this paper are to analyze the dynamic elements of nonresistant and resistant bacteria strains in epidemic populations in hospital environments and to provide understanding of measures to avoid the endemicity of resistant antibiotic strains.
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Citations
Cites
The crisis in antibiotic resistance
Neu, H. C. (1992) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.257.5073.1064 · Cited by 2,834
Antimicrobial Use and Antimicrobial Resistance: A Population Perspective
Lipsitch, M., & Samore, M. H. (2002) · Emerging Infectious Diseases · doi:10.3201/eid0804.010312 · Cited by 497
Cited by
Rai, M. K., Deshmukh, S. D., Ingle, A. P., & Gade, A. K. (2012) · Journal of Applied Microbiology · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2672.2012.05253.x · Cited by 1,524
Wellington, E. M., Boxall, A. B., Cross, P., Feil, E. J., Gaze, W. H., Hawkey, P. M., Johnson-Rollings, A. S., Jones, D. L., Lee, N. M., Otten, W., et al. (2013) · The Lancet Infectious Diseases · doi:10.1016/s1473-3099(12)70317-1 · Cited by 1,122
Mathematical modeling of infectious disease dynamics
Siettos, C. I., & Russo, L. (2013) · Virulence · doi:10.4161/viru.24041 · Cited by 466
Allahverdiyev, A. M., Abamor, E. S., Bagirova, M., & Rafailovich, M. (2011) · Future Microbiology · doi:10.2217/fmb.11.78 · Cited by 396
Wang, L., & Ruan, S. (2017) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-017-00261-1 · Cited by 63
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Metadata
- Authors
- Webb, G. F., D'Agata, E. M. C., Magal, P., & Ruan, S.
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2005-09-02
- Volume
- 102
- Issue
- 37
- Pages
- 13343-13348
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- OpenAlex
- W2097764864
- Cited by
- 167
- References
- 2
- FWCI
- 2.26
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
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- Webb, G. F., D'Agata, E. M. C., Magal, P., & Ruan, S. (2005). A model of antibiotic-resistant bacterial epidemics in hospitals. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0504053102
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
