The DOI matches its Crossref record; 42 of the 43 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Amphibian and reptile declines over 35 years at La Selva, Costa Rica
Open accessAbstract
Amphibians stand at the forefront of a global biodiversity crisis. More than one-third of amphibian species are globally threatened, and over 120 species have likely suffered global extinction since 1980. Most alarmingly, many rapid declines and extinctions are occurring in pristine sites lacking obvious adverse effects of human activities. The causes of these “enigmatic” declines remain highly contested. Still, lack of long-term data on amphibian populations severely limits our understanding of the distribution of amphibian declines, and therefore the ultimate causes of these declines. Here, we identify a systematic community-wide decline in populations of terrestrial amphibians at La Selva Biological Station, a protected old-growth lowland rainforest in lower Central America. We use data collected over 35 years to show that population density of all species of terrestrial amphibians has declined by ≈75% since 1970, and we show identical trends for all species of common reptiles. The trends we identify are neither consistent with recent emergence of chytridiomycosis nor the climate-linked epidemic hypothesis, two leading putative causes of enigmatic amphibian declines. Instead, our data suggest that declines are due to climate-driven reductions in the quantity of standing leaf litter, a critical microhabitat for amphibians and reptiles in this assemblage. Our results raise further concerns about the global persistence of amphibian populations by identifying widespread declines in species and habitats that are not currently recognized as susceptible to such risks.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“These predictions have been verified in a variety of tropical reptiles, amphibians, and invertebrates (4–8).”
From Climate-driven declines in arthropod abundance restructure a rainforest food web (2018) · cites this paper as [4]
In the citing paper
“Long-term abundance data taken by Pounds et al. (63), Whitfield et al. (4), and Stapley et al. (20) indicate that Anolis populations in other tropical forests have declined in parallel with anoles at Luquillo.”
From Climate-driven declines in arthropod abundance restructure a rainforest food web (2018) · cites this paper as [4]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
(2005) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/0-387-27255-0_9 · Cited by 20,333
McCullagh, P., & Nelder, J. A. (1989) · doi:10.1007/978-1-4899-3242-6 · Cited by 16,836
Status and Trends of Amphibian Declines and Extinctions Worldwide
Stuart, S. N., Chanson, J. S., Cox, N. A., Young, B. E., Rodrigues, A. S. L., Fischman, D. L., & Waller, R. W. (2004) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1103538 · Cited by 4,508
Schuenemeyer, J. H., McCullagh, P. J., & Nelder, J. A. (1992) · Technometrics · doi:10.2307/1269238 · Cited by 2,702
Berger, L., Speare, R., Daszak, P., Green, D. E., Cunningham, A. A., Goggin, C. L., Slocombe, R. F., Ragan, M. A., Hyatt, A. D., McDonald, K., et al. (1998) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.95.15.9031 · Cited by 2,011
Widespread amphibian extinctions from epidemic disease driven by global warming
Alan Pounds, J., Bustamante, M. R., Coloma, L. A., Consuegra, J. A., Fogden, M. P. L., Foster, P. N., La Marca, E., Masters, K. L., Merino-Viteri, A., Puschendorf, R., et al. (2006) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature04246 · Cited by 1,960
Aerts, R. (1997) · Oikos · doi:10.2307/3546886 · Cited by 1,786
Biological response to climate change on a tropical mountain
Pounds, J. A., Fogden, M. P. L., & Campbell, J. H. (1999) · Nature · doi:10.1038/19297 · Cited by 1,429
Measuring and Monitoring Biological Diversity: Standard Methods for Amphibians.
Parmelee, J. R., Heyer, W. R., Donnelly, M. A., McDiarmid, R. W., Hayek, L. C., & Foster, M. S. (1995) · Systematic Biology · doi:10.2307/2413714 · Cited by 1,279
Self-citationFrankie, G. W., Baker, H. G., & Opler, P. A. (1974) · Journal of Ecology · doi:10.2307/2258961 · Cited by 1,270
Flagged first, then by citations
1 of the 43 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.
Research works printed but not linked: 4
- SS Lieberman Acta Zool Mex (ns) 15, 1–72 (1986).
- 10.1046/j.1523-1739.2001.00218.x · DOI
- DA Clark, SC Piper, CD Keeling, DB Clark Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 100, 5282–5857 (2003).
- RL Sanford, P Paaby, JC Luvall, E Phillips La Selva: Ecology and Natural History of a Neotropical Rain Forest, eds LA McDade, KS Bawa, HA Hespenheide, GS Hartshorn (Univ of Chicago Press, Chicago), pp. 19–33 (1994).
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Items 301–354 of 354
Jimenez, A., & Miguel, B. (2010) · Americanae (AECID Library) · Cited by 1
Acosta-Chaves, V. J., Araya-Yannarella, F., Spínola, R. M., Bolaños, F., & Cháves, G. (2025) · Research Square · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-8390205/v1 · Cited by 1
Self-citationDeluen, M. (2022) · theses.fr (ABES) · doi:10.70675/1ec824f6z4e38z491azaf9fz6fc6849fcc44 · Cited by 1
Salazar, A. P. R., Alvarado‐Rodríguez, O., & RODRÍGUEZ-ARRIETA, J. A. (2014) · Americanae (AECID Library)
Connectivity of fragmented amphibian populations in a Neotropical landscape
Nowakowski, A. J. (2014) · doi:10.25148/etd.fi14071193
Habitat contributions to biodiversity trends at a subcontinental extent
Napoletano, B. M. (2011) · ProQuest Demo Repository
First report of the karyotype of Bufo dhufarensis from Saudi Arabia
., A. H. A.-S., & Al-Saleh, A. A. (2010) · Journal of King Saud University - Science · doi:10.1016/j.jksus.2010.02.003
Hetmański, T., & Jarosiewicz, A. (2010) · Fragmenta Faunistica · doi:10.3161/00159301ff2010.53.2.151
Venenos de serpiente: de la investigación al tratamiento Snake venoms: from research to treatment
Lomonte, B., & José, S. (2012) · DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)
Wilson, F. M. (2015) · Americanae (AECID Library)
Vocal and visual communication in an explosively breeding Neotropical toad
Rehberg-Besler, N. (2015) · Scholarship at UWindsor (University of Windsor)
Climate Change and Wildlife Health: Direct and Indirect Effects
River, O., Bay, T., Sudbury, G., & Sudbury, G. (2012)
Simpson, J. F. (2013) · UTC Scholar (University of Tennessee at Chattanooga)
An Ecological Study of the Anurans in Tea Plantations in a Biodiversity Hotspot
Eluvathingal, L. M. (2016) · doi:10.25148/etd.fidc001204 · Cited by 1
Distribution and Status of the Northern Leopard Frog, Rana pipiens, in West Virginia
Spriggs, A. N. (2009)
The ecological costs and benefits of urban stormwater wetlands to frogs
Sievers, M. (2018) · Minerva Access (University of Melbourne)
Coates, M. I. (2018) · University of Salford Institutional Repository (University of Salford)
Adams, A. J. (2017) · eScholarship (California Digital Library)
Harmon, K., & Arbor, A. (2019) · Deep Blue (University of Michigan) · doi:10.13140/rg.2.2.15492.74888
Thermoregulation in the dry forest anole, Norops cupreus
Cunha, O. D., Spies, J., Hudman, S. P., & Montgomery, C. E. (2020) · Caribbean Journal of Science · doi:10.18475/cjos.v50i1.a5
Harper, J. R. M. (2020) · Open University of Cape Town (University of Cape Town)
(2009) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-374346-6.00027-4
(2013) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-386919-7.16001-0
Bowles, P. (2023) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108758826.008
Palita, S. K., Das, A. K., & Mahata, A. (2023) · Proceedings of the Zoological Society · doi:10.1007/s12595-023-00499-w
Factors influencing tropical lizard reproduction vary by microhabitat but not forest type
Swartwout, M. C., & Willson, J. D. (2023) · Journal of Tropical Ecology · doi:10.1017/s0266467423000135
Chaudhary, S., Parab, T., & Lyngdoh, S. (2023) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4648151
Cantini, J. P., & Mejía, E. C. (2024) · Revista de la Academia Colombiana de Ciencias Exactas Físicas y Naturales · doi:10.18257/raccefyn.2655
Weber, E. (2024) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-662-69345-2_18
Perez–Martinez, C. A., Ogilvy, J., LaMartina, M. G., Cocroft, R. B., & Leal, M. (2025) · Oecologia · doi:10.1007/s00442-025-05784-3 · Cited by 1
Herpetofaunal Diversity in Papikonda National Park, Eastern Ghats, Andhra Pradesh, India
Bhupathi, B., Mohapatra, P. P., Narayana, B. L., KUNTE, K. B., Jaiswal, D., & Kar, N. B. (2025) · Records of the Zoological Survey of India · doi:10.26515/rzsi/v125/i2s/2025/172983 · Cited by 1
Conservation beyond protected areas: what is known about amphibians in agroforests?
Volkmer, G., Biasotto, L. D., Brum, F. T., & Martins, M. B. (2025) · Biodiversity and Conservation · doi:10.1007/s10531-025-03184-w
Kim, H., Kim, H.-T., Kim, N., Lee, S.-D., & Wolfe, J. D. (2025) · Global Ecology and Conservation · doi:10.1016/j.gecco.2025.e04027
Species responses to climate change and landscape fragmentation : the central role of dispersal
Pellerin, F. (2019) · theses.fr (ABES) · doi:10.70675/c0147cd3z66c4z45b2z9226zc4c50f8e9b03
Comparative evaluation of funnel, box, and camera traps for reptile and amphibian inventory
DeVos, T. B., Koon, A., Damm, E. E., Hilt, M., Dunlop, D. M., NeSmith, C., & Price, F. D. (2026) · Wildlife Society Bulletin · doi:10.1002/wsb.70042
Survival and Behavior of Amphibians in a Seasonally Flooded Tropical Forest
Lewis, T. R., Grant, P. B. C., Griffin, R. K., Figueroa, A., David, G., Bailey, H. T., Ryall, C., & LaDuke, T. C. (2026) · Biotropica · doi:10.1111/btp.70246
Gunderson, R. (2026) · Journal for Nature Conservation · doi:10.1016/j.jnc.2026.127470
Clostio, R. W. (2010) · ScholarWorks @ The University of New Orleans (The University of New Orleans)
Metadata
- Authors
- Whitfield, S. M., Bell, K. E., Philippi, T., Sasa, M., Bolaños, F., Chaves, G., Savage, J. M., & Donnelly, M. A.
- Affiliations
- Florida International University (US)
- *Department of Biological Sciences, Florida International University, University Park Campus, OE 167, Miami, FL 33199;
- Universidad de Costa Rica (CR)
- Escuela de Biología, Universidad de Costa Rica, San Pedro, Costa Rica; and
- San Diego State University (US)
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Publisher
- National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2007-05-15
- Volume
- 104
- Issue
- 20
- Pages
- 8352-8356
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- PMC
- PMC1895953
- OpenAlex
- W1990549687
- Cited by
- 355
- References
- 43
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 9 · 2024: 15 · 2023: 15 · 2022: 12 · 2021: 15 · 2020: 19 · 2019: 26 · 2018: 15 · 2017: 10 · 2016: 19 · 2015: 17 · 2014: 23 · 2013: 31 · 2012: 26
- FWCI
- 20.29
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation (9200081)
- U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
- Florida International University
- Universidad de Costa Rica
- Division of Environmental Biology
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics › Amphibian and Reptile Biology
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Freshwater macroinvertebrate diversity and ecology
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies
- Keywords
- amphibian decline, terrestrial amphibians, reptiles, leaf litter, climate change, chytridiomycosis, lowland rainforest, La Selva Biological Station, long-term population monitoring
- MeSH terms
- Amphibians, Animals, Climate, Costa Rica, Reptiles, Plant Leaves, Extinction, Biological
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review