Role of forest regrowth in global carbon sink dynamics
Open accessAbstract
Although the existence of a large carbon sink in terrestrial ecosystems is well-established, the drivers of this sink remain uncertain. It has been suggested that perturbations to forest demography caused by past land-use change, management, and natural disturbances may be causing a large component of current carbon uptake. Here we use a global compilation of forest age observations, combined with a terrestrial biosphere model with explicit modeling of forest regrowth, to partition the global forest carbon sink between old-growth and regrowth stands over the period 1981–2010. For 2001–2010 we find a carbon sink of 0.85 (0.66–0.96) Pg year −1 located in intact old-growth forest, primarily in the moist tropics and boreal Siberia, and 1.30 (1.03–1.96) Pg year −1 located in stands regrowing after past disturbance. Approaching half of the sink in regrowth stands would have occurred from demographic changes alone, in the absence of other environmental changes. These age-constrained results show consistency with those simulated using an ensemble of demographically-enabled terrestrial biosphere models following an independent reconstruction of historical land use and management. We estimate that forests will accumulate an additional 69 (44–131) Pg C in live biomass from changes in demography alone if natural disturbances, wood harvest, and reforestation continue at rates comparable to those during 1981–2010. Our results confirm that it is not possible to understand the current global terrestrial carbon sink without accounting for the sizeable sink due to forest demography. They also imply that a large portion of the current terrestrial carbon sink is strictly transient in nature.
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Less than 40% of global forest area has been estimated to contain old-growth forest (older than 140 years).
“less than 40% of forest area has been estimated to contain old-growth forest [in Reference 18, forests identified to be older than 140 years].”
From Restoring Degraded Lands (2021) · cites this paper as [18]
Globally, the estimated forest carbon sink for 2001-2010 was approximately 40% in intact old-growth forests and 60% in regrowing forests.
“Globally, the estimated forest carbon sink for 2001-2010 was approximately 40% in intact old-growth forests and 60% in regrowing forests (18).”
From Restoring Degraded Lands (2021) · cites this paper as [18]
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“Globally, the estimated forest carbon sink for 2001–2010 was approximately 40% in intact old-growth forests and 60% in regrowing forests (18).”
BackgroundSelf-citation(2022) · Climate Change and Land · doi:10.1017/9781009157988.003 · Cited by 23 · see citing works
- Authors
- Pugh, T. A. M., Lindeskog, M., Smith, B., Poulter, B., Arneth, A., Haverd, V., & Calle, L.
- Affiliations
- Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (DE)
- Lund University (SE)
- Montana State University (US)
- ORCID
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Publisher
- National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2019-02-19
- Volume
- 116
- Issue
- 10
- Pages
- 4382-4387
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- PMC
- PMC6410874
- OpenAlex
- W2916069439
- Cited by
- 731
- References
- 3
- Citations by year
- 2026: 78 · 2025: 97 · 2024: 124 · 2023: 102 · 2022: 117 · 2021: 121 · 2020: 70 · 2019: 20
- FWCI
- 58.71
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Lund University Publications (Lund University) (submittedVersion)
- University of Birmingham Research Portal (University of Birmingham) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Funders
- European Commission (603542, 758873)
- National Aeronautics and Space Administration (#NNX16AP86H)
- Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft (ATMO)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Forest ecology and management
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Forest Management and Policy
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics
- Keywords
- forest carbon sink, forest regeneration, forest demography, old-growth forest, stand age, terrestrial carbon uptake, land use change, natural disturbance, reforestation, logging, terrestrial biosphere modeling
- MeSH terms
- Carbon, Models, Biological, Trees, Biomass, Carbon Sequestration, Forests
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