Human influence has intensified extreme precipitation in North America
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Significance: Extreme precipitation is relevant to many interests, and observations show an increasing trend that is expected to continue under future projections. Although previous work has identified an anthropogenic influence on extreme precipitation at hemispheric scales, this study finds robust results for a continental scale. We establish that anthropogenic climate change has contributed to the intensification of continental and regional extreme precipitation. Furthermore, we also show that the anthropogenic influence on North American regional precipitation will lead to more frequent and intense precipitation extremes in the future.
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Storms will increase in severity and frequency as a result of climate change.
“Storms will increase in severity and frequency as a result of climate change [42–44].”
From Climate Change, Migration, and Civil Strife. (2020) · cites this paper as [42]
The Discussion and Conclusions report that extreme precipitation in North America has intensified and that its intensity and likelihood are expected to increase with further warming. That supports more frequent and intense precipitation extremes, but the paper does not establish that storms generally will become more severe or frequent. (LLM, conf=0.87)
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- Authors
- Kirchmeier-Young, M. C., & Zhang, X.
- Affiliations
- Climate Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Toronto, ONT M3H 5T4, Canada
- Environment and Climate Change Canada (CA)
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Publisher
- National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2020-06
- Volume
- 117
- Issue
- 24
- Pages
- 13308-13313
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- PMC
- PMC7306817
- OpenAlex
- W3032529621
- Cited by
- 288
- References
- 38
- Citations by year
- 2026: 26 · 2025: 47 · 2024: 52 · 2023: 60 · 2022: 47 · 2021: 48 · 2020: 8
- FWCI
- 15.17
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Environmental Impact
- Keywords
- heavy rainfall, anthropogenic climate change attribution, North America, annual maximum precipitation, climate change detection, regional climate model, Earth system models, external forcing
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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