The DOI matches its Crossref record; 40 of the 40 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Climate forcings in the Industrial era
Open accessAbstract
The forcings that drive long-term climate change are not known with an accuracy sufficient to define future climate change. Anthropogenic greenhouse gases (GHGs), which are well measured, cause a strong positive (warming) forcing. But other, poorly measured, anthropogenic forcings, especially changes of atmospheric aerosols, clouds, and land-use patterns, cause a negative forcing that tends to offset greenhouse warming. One consequence of this partial balance is that the natural forcing due to solar irradiance changes may play a larger role in long-term climate change than inferred from comparison with GHGs alone. Current trends in GHG climate forcings are smaller than in popular “business as usual” or 1% per year CO 2 growth scenarios. The summary implication is a paradigm change for long-term climate projections: uncertainties in climate forcings have supplanted global climate sensitivity as the predominant issue.
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Cites
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Cited by
Organic aerosol and global climate modelling: a review
Kanakidou, M., Seinfeld, J. H., Pandis, S. N., Barnes, I., Dentener, F. J., Facchini, M. C., Van Dingenen, R., Ervens, B., Nenes, A., Nielsen, C. J., et al. (2005) · Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics · doi:10.5194/acp-5-1053-2005 · Cited by 3,244
Estimates of the direct and indirect radiative forcing due to tropospheric aerosols: A review
Haywood, J., & Boucher, O. (2000) · Reviews of Geophysics · doi:10.1029/1999rg000078 · Cited by 2,097
Black carbon or brown carbon? The nature of light-absorbing carbonaceous aerosols
Andreae, M. O., & Gelencsér, A. (2006) · Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics · doi:10.5194/acp-6-3131-2006 · Cited by 2,006
The Importance of Land-Cover Change in Simulating Future Climates
Feddema, J. J., Oleson, K. W., Bonan, G. B., Mearns, L. O., Buja, L. E., Meehl, G. A., & Washington, W. M. (2005) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1118160 · Cited by 1,115
GISS analysis of surface temperature change
(1999) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/1999jd900835 · Cited by 699
Metadata
- Authors
- Hansen, J. E., Sato, M., Lacis, A., Ruedy, R., Tegen, I., & Matthews, E.
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 1998-10-27
- Volume
- 95
- Issue
- 22
- Pages
- 12753-12758
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- OpenAlex
- W2164297548
- Cited by
- 417
- References
- 40
- FWCI
- 32.20
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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- Hansen, J. E., Sato, M., Lacis, A., Ruedy, R., Tegen, I., & Matthews, E. (1998). Climate forcings in the Industrial era. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.95.22.12753
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
