The Importance of Land-Cover Change in Simulating Future Climates
Abstract
Adding the effects of changes in land cover to the A2 and B1 transient climate simulations described in the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change leads to significantly different regional climates in 2100 as compared with climates resulting from atmospheric SRES forcings alone. Agricultural expansion in the A2 scenario results in significant additional warming over the Amazon and cooling of the upper air column and nearby oceans. These and other influences on the Hadley and monsoon circulations affect extratropical climates. Agricultural expansion in the mid-latitudes produces cooling and decreases in the mean daily temperature range over many areas. The A2 scenario results in more significant change, often of opposite sign, than does the B1 scenario.
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A strong interaction between land cover and climate is a major reason why land-use history is significant to understanding anthropogenic global change processes.
“A major reason why land-use history is significant to understanding anthropogenic global change processes is the strong interaction between land cover and climate (8).”
From Used planet: a global history (2013) · cites this paper as [8]
Although projected increases in greenhouse gas concentrations caused by fossil fuel combustion are expected to dominate 21st century climate change, some studies suggest that anthropogenic land use may yet be at least as important and may remain so in the near future.
“Although projected increases in greenhouse gas concentrations caused by fossil fuel combustion are expected to dominate 21st century climate change, some studies suggest that anthropogenic land use may yet be at least as important and may remain so in the near future (8).”
From Used planet: a global history (2013) · cites this paper as [8]
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- Authors
- Feddema, J. J., Oleson, K. W., Bonan, G. B., Mearns, L. O., Buja, L. E., Meehl, G. A., & Washington, W. M.
- Affiliations
- NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research (US)
- Corresponding author
- Feddema, Johannes J.
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2005-12-09
- Volume
- 310
- Issue
- 5754
- Pages
- 1674-1678
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W2097054682
- Cited by
- 1,115
- References
- 30
- Citations by year
- 2026: 23 · 2025: 37 · 2024: 44 · 2023: 51 · 2022: 80 · 2021: 76 · 2020: 59 · 2019: 49 · 2018: 61 · 2017: 50 · 2016: 54 · 2015: 64 · 2014: 56 · 2013: 65 · 2012: 76
- FWCI
- 36.71
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Science (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Environmental Impact
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Land Use and Ecosystem Services
- Keywords
- land cover change, climate change projections, SRES scenarios, agricultural expansion, Hadley circulation, monsoon circulation, temperature range, A2 scenario, B1 scenario, regional climate change
- MeSH terms
- Africa, Agriculture, Asia, Atmosphere, Australia, Climate, Computer Simulation, Forecasting, Humans, Oceans and Seas, South America, Temperature, Trees, Tropical Climate, United States, Weather
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