New drivers of conflict in Nigeria: an analysis of the clashes between farmers and pastoralists
Open accessAbstract
In the last few years, several African countries have witnessed an increase in conflict between pastoralists and sedentary farmers and among pastoralist groups. While issues such as climate change, desertification, regional conflicts, population expansion, trafficking and terrorism have been highlighted as the reasons for the surge in violence, none of these issues fully explain the increased use of small and light weapons by several pastoralist groups and sedentary farmers. This article explores the changes in the dynamics of cattle ownership, termed neo-pastoralism, as a possible explanation for the increase in armed clashes between the groups. The article explains how traditional pastoralism is gradually giving way to neo-pastoralism, a form of pastoralism which involves larger herds and increased use of arms and ammunitions. Nigeria is used as a case study to explore these new patterns of conflict due to having the largest number of cattle in the sub-Saharan Africa region and the scale of the conflict in the country. This article is based on field research and interviews carried out in Nigeria between 2013 and 2019.
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- Findingreasoning§ From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism
In instances where political office holders own cattle, members of their communities or ethnic groups are often employed to tend the cattle in return for wages in a manner which is painted as local empowerment.
“In instances where political office holders own the cattle, members of their communities or ethnic groups are often employed to tend the cattle in return for wages in a manner which is painted as local empowerment.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data§ Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria
Some pastoralists interviewed stated that they bear arms to protect themselves from rustlers who attack them with the intention of stealing their cattle.
“Some of the pastoralists interviewed stated that they bear arms to protect themselves from rustlers who attack them with the intention of stealing their cattle.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingreasoning§ Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria
This study observed a direct link between neo-pastoralism and increased cattle rustling in Nigeria.
“This study observed a direct link between neo-pastoralism and increased cattle rustling in Nigeria.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingcitation§ Number of attacks fatalities
A key finding of this research is that the weapons purchased by neo-pastoralists to protect their cattle are also used to attack farmers whenever there are disagreements over grazing routes or destruction of farmlands by travelling pastoralists.
“A key finding of this research is that the weapons purchased by the neo-pastoralists to protect their cattle are also used to attack farmers whenever there are disagreements over grazing routes or destruction of farmlands by travelling pastoralists.65”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [65] 65. Matthew Luizza. "African herders have been pushed into destitution and crime" The Economist, 9 November 2017. https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and- africa/2017/11/09/african-herders-have-been-pushed-into-destitution-and-crime (Accessed 17 July 2018)
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Findingnone given§ Conclusion
Empirical research in Nigeria shows that the need of some individuals to conceal illicit wealth, coupled with an upward trend in cattle prices, has redefined the century-long established system of pastoralism.
“Empirical research carried out in Nigeria reveals that the need to conceal illicit wealth by some individuals coupled with an upward trend in cattle prices has redefined the century-long established system of pastoralism.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- Findingcitation§ Farmer/ Pastoralist conflicts: New dynamics
Surpassing fatalities resulting from terrorism, farmer/pastoralist clashes accounted for the largest number of conflict related deaths in 2017 in Nigeria.
“Surpassing fatalities resulting from terrorism, they accounted for the largest number of conflict related deaths in 2017 in the country.56”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [56] 56. Kubkomawa, H. I. "Indigenous Breeds of Cattle, their Productivity, Economic and Cultural Values in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Review. International Journal of Research Studies in Agricultural Sciences (IJRSAS) 3, no. 1 (2017): 27-43
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Findingreasoning§ Number of attacks fatalities
Some of the attacks on farmers are reprisals for the killings of cattle by farmers.
“Furthermore, some of the attacks on farmers are reprisals for the killings of cattle by farmers.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation§ Introduction
Conflicts between pastoralists and farmers were often due to competition for water, land and in some instances grazing routes.
“Conflicts between pastoralists and farmers on the other hand were often as a result of competition for water, land and in some instance grazing routes.7”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [7] 7. Azeez and Aliyu "Cows, Bandits, and Violent Conflicts: Understanding Cattle Rustling in Northern Nigeria" 40 Triche, "Pastoral Conflict in Kenya" 41 Ibid
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisecitation§ Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria
Since 2011, tens of thousands of small arms have found their way from Libya into many countries in the Sahel Sahara as well as Sub-Saharan Africa.
“For instance, since 2011, tens of thousands of small arms have found their way from Libya into many countries in the Sahel Sahara as well as Sub-Saharan Africa.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [46] 46. Homer-Dixton, T.F. Environment, scarcity, and violence. Princeton: University Press, 1999.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationcitation§ From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism
Cattle ownership in Nigeria is increasingly deemed a lucrative investment because of the upward trend in the price of cattle.
“First, cattle ownership is increasingly deemed a lucrative investment because of the upward trend in the price of cattle.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [23] 23. Adetoro Adenrele. "Boko Haram Insurgency in Nigeria as a symptom of poverty and political alienation" IOSR Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences 3, no. 5 (2012): 20-26.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning§ Introduction
It is difficult to argue that climate change is the main cause of the surge in violence between pastoralists and farmers because the affected regions have experienced climate change since the 1970s.
“It is however difficult to argue that this is the main cause because the regions affected have experienced climate change since the 1970s.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationnone given§ Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria
One key consequence of neo-pastoralism in Nigeria is the increased incidents and changes in the dynamics of cattle rustling, especially in rural areas.
“One of the key consequences of neo-pastoralism in Nigeria is the increased incidents and changes in the dynamics of cattle rustling especially in rural areas.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning§ From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism
The price of cattle coupled with the difficulty in identifying cattle ownership makes cattle an attractive venture for non-traditional pastoralists.
“The price of cattle coupled with the difficulty in identifying cattle ownership makes it an attractive venture for non-traditional pastoralists.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation§ From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism
Under neo-pastoralism, increasing poverty in the pastoralist community, which has seen traditional pastoralists priced out of the business, makes them available to absentee owners as cheap sources of labour.
“Under neo-pastoralism, the increasing poverty in the pastoralist community which has seen traditional pastoralists priced out of the business makes them available to the absentee owners as cheap sources of labour.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning§ From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism
For those at the bottom of the pastoral ladder, working for large herd owners is becoming the only option.
“For those at the bottom of the pastoral ladder, working for large herd owners is becoming the only option.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation§ From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism
Although previously commonplace in the Sahel where such herds are sometimes accompanied by armed soldiers, cattle ownership is increasingly seen as a means of concealing illicit wealth by corrupt politicians.
“Although previously commonplace in the Sahel where such herds are sometimes accompanied by armed soldiers, 21 cattle ownership is increasingly seen as a means of concealing illicit wealth by corrupt politicians.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [21] 21. Adekola Olalekan. "Nigeria's conflict is a result of environmental devastation across West Africa". The Conversation, February 22 2018.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationcitation§ From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism
Neo-pastoralism explains the new pattern of neo-patrimonial relationship in the pastoralist community due to increased levels of poverty.
“Third, neo-pastoralism explains the new pattern of neo-patrimonial relationship in the pastoralist community due to increased levels of poverty.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationnone given§ Farmer/ Pastoralist conflicts: New dynamics
Changes in precipitation have altered the pattern of pastoralists' migration, resulting in pastoralists moving further southward to areas where they would normally not graze in previous decades.
“Changes in precipitation has altered the pattern of pastoralists' migration resulting in pastoralists moving further southward to areas where they would normally not graze in previous decades.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning§ Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria
Arms acquired to prevent cattle rustling are also freely used when there is conflict between pastoralists and farmers.
“The complication is that arms acquired in these cases to prevent cattle rustling are also freely used when there is conflict between the pastoralists and farmers.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning§ Number of attacks fatalities
Rather than address the reasons why pastoralism is becoming increasingly militarised, the Nigerian government has focused on the ethnic and religious dimensions of the conflict.
“Rather than address the reasons why pastoralism is becoming increasingly militarised, the government has focused on the ethnic and religious dimensions of the conflict.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationnone given§ Farmer/ Pastoralist conflicts: New dynamics
Another consequence of neo-pastoralism in Nigeria is the increase in violent clashes between farmers and pastoralists.
“Another consequence of neo-pastoralism in Nigeria is the increase in violent clashes between farmers and pastoralists.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisereasoning§ Farmer/ Pastoralist conflicts: New dynamics
Before colonisation, pastoralists and farmers often co-existed in a symbiotic relationship due to the mode of agriculture and the size of the herds.
“Before the era of colonisation, pastoralists and farmers often co-existed in a symbiotic relationship due to the mode of agriculture and the size of the herds.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning§ Conclusion
The changing dynamics in cattle ownership has led to changes in the modes of cattle rustling, especially in rural areas.
“This changing dynamics in cattle ownership has several significant consequences such as changes in the modes of cattle rustling especially in rural areas, increased conflicts between pastoralists and sedentary farmers and infighting between pastoralist groups, all resulting in an arms race in pastoral and farming communities.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning§ Number of attacks fatalities
This is further testament that more hired pastoralists are replacing the traditional pastoralists.
“This is further testament that more hired pastoralists are replacing the traditional pastoralists.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning§ Conclusion
The changing dynamics in cattle ownership has resulted in an arms race in pastoral and farming communities.
“This changing dynamics in cattle ownership has several significant consequences such as changes in the modes of cattle rustling especially in rural areas, increased conflicts between pastoralists and sedentary farmers and infighting between pastoralist groups, all resulting in an arms race in pastoral and farming communities.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning§ Conclusion
The changing dynamics in cattle ownership has led to increased conflicts between pastoralists and sedentary farmers.
“This changing dynamics in cattle ownership has several significant consequences such as changes in the modes of cattle rustling especially in rural areas, increased conflicts between pastoralists and sedentary farmers and infighting between pastoralist groups, all resulting in an arms race in pastoral and farming communities.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning§ Number of attacks fatalities
If the neo-pastoralist dimension of the conflict is not identified and addressed coherently, the situation is likely to persist in Nigeria.
“If the neo-pastoralist dimension of the conflict is not identified and addressed coherently, the situation is likely to persist in the country.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning§ Conclusion
The changing dynamics in cattle ownership has led to infighting between pastoralist groups.
“This changing dynamics in cattle ownership has several significant consequences such as changes in the modes of cattle rustling especially in rural areas, increased conflicts between pastoralists and sedentary farmers and infighting between pastoralist groups, all resulting in an arms race in pastoral and farming communities.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data§ Conclusion
The changing nature of pastoralism in Nigeria resulting from new patterns of cattle ownership and management is a significant factor responsible for the increase in pastoralist conflict.
“this article identifies the changing nature of pastoralism in the country resulting from new patterns of cattle ownership and management as a significant factor responsible for the increase in pastoralist conflict.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning§ Number of attacks fatalities
Not all conflicts between pastoralists and farmers in these regions are due to neo-pastoralism.
“It is important to state that not all conflicts between pastoralists and farmers in these regions are due to neo-pastoralism.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning§ Number of attacks fatalities
In many cases, the types of weapons used by attackers suggest that they have external backing, as seen in Taraba state.
“In many cases, the types of weapons used by attackers suggest that they have external backing as seen in Taraba state (North-Eastern Nigeria).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning§ Number of attacks fatalities
The Nigerian government's unwillingness to proscribe groups that have claimed responsibility for or justified attacks on farming communities in retaliation for cattle killings has been linked to the fear of loss of patronage.
“Third, the unwillingness of the Nigerian government to proscribe groups that have claimed responsibility for (or justified) attacks on farming communities in retaliation for the killing of cattle has been linked to the fear of loss of patronage.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationcitation§ Number of attacks fatalities
The second link between the mode and intensity of attack and neo-pastoralism is the identity of the people involved in the attacks, with many of the assailants being hired pastoralists.
“The second link between the mode and intensity of attack and neo-pastoralism is the identity of the people involved in the attacks.There have been several arguments regarding the identity of the pastoralists involved in the attacks against farmers and its being pointed that many of the assailants are hired pastoralists.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 49
- May combine two claims. 66
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingown data§ From pastoralism to neo-pastoralismInterview data revealed that the BVN has made it difficult for political office holders to hide illicit wealth, and several accounts linked to politicians and their cronies with allegedly stolen funds have been frozen since its introduction.
“Interview data revealed that the BVN has made it difficult for political office holders to hide illicit wealth 29 and several accounts linked to politicians and their cronies with allegedly stolen funds have been frozen since its introduction.30”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checked- cites [29] 29. Arriola, Leonardo. "Patronage and Political Stability in Africa" Comparative Political Studies 42, no. 10 (2009): 1339-1362 BBC. "Nigeria's Benue clashes: Mass burial after farmer-Fulani clashes" 11 January 2018. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-42648492 (Accessed 12 December 2018) source
Split into 2 atoms — 0 confirmed, 0 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 2 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [30] 30. Berman, Bruce. "Ethnicity, Patronage and the African State: The Politics of Uncivil Nationalism" African Affairs 97, no. 388 (1998): 305-341 source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Findingnone given§ Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in NigeriaThere has been a significant increase in the numbers of cattle rustled in the last decade, resulting in the death of not only traditional pastoralists but also farmers, security agents and other citizens.
“There has been a significant increase in the numbers of cattle rustled in the last decade resulting in the death of not only traditional pastoralists but also farmers, security agents and other citizens.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingcitation§ Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in NigeriaWhile many traditional pastoralists in Nigeria still herd cattle with sticks, several pastoralists have been seen with SALW and some have been accused of being involved in cattle rustling.
“While many traditional pastoralists could still be seen in Nigeria herding cattle with sticks, several pastoralists have been seen with SALW and some of them have been accused of being involved in cattle rustling.52”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [52] 52. Joseph, Richard. "Class, State, and Prebendal Politics in Nigeria." The Journal of Commonwealth & Comparative Politics 21, no. 3 (1983): 21-38. source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingcitation§ From pastoralism to neo-pastoralismOver 30 million dormant accounts have been identified since the introduction of BVN in Nigeria.
“Over 30 million dormant accounts have been identified since the introduction of BVN in Nigeria. 32”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [32] 32. Charlene, Cabot. "Climate change and Farmer-Herder conflicts in West Africa". In, Climate change, Security risks and conflict reduction in Africa: A study of Farmer-Herder conflicts over natural resources in Cote d Ivoire, Ghana and Burkina Faso 1960-2000. Springer- Berlin, 2017
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Findingcitation§ From pastoralism to neo-pastoralismAn adult cow in Nigeria could cost as much as N350,000 ($1000), making cattle lucrative for potential investors.
“An adult cow in Nigeria could cost as much as N350,000 ($1000) and this makes it lucrative for potential investors.23”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [23] 23. Adetoro Adenrele. "Boko Haram Insurgency in Nigeria as a symptom of poverty and political alienation" IOSR Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences 3, no. 5 (2012): 20-26.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Findingown data§ From pastoralism to neo-pastoralismA security analyst explained that many politicians in Nigeria have resorted to the use of cash to avoid being monitored since the introduction of the BVN, and illegally acquired funds have been channelled into agriculture with a substantive amount used to purchase cattle.
“In another interview with a security analyst in Northern Nigeria, he explained that many politicians in Nigeria have resorted to the use of cash in order to avoid being monitored since the introduction of the BVN.He explained further that illegally acquired funds have been channelled into agriculture with a 'substantive amount' used to purchase cattle.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown data§ From pastoralism to neo-pastoralismExpert interviews revealed that many people who had hidden huge sums of money in Nigerian banks prior to the introduction of BVN hurriedly withdrew these monies to avoid being detected.
“Expert interviews revealed that many people who had hidden huge sums of money in Nigerian banks prior to the introduction of BVN hurriedly withdrew these monies to avoid being detected.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingcitation§ From pastoralism to neo-pastoralismA senior banking officer reported a surge in cash withdrawn from branches before the BVN deadline, with some people preferring to withdraw money rather than apply for a BVN.
“Some weeks before the expiration of the deadline for people to get their BVN, we observed a surge in the amount of cash withdrawn from many of our branches across the country.Rather than apply for a BVN, some people preferred to withdraw their money but I cannot ascertain if these were stolen or illegally acquired money'.33”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted). May combine two claims.
Findingreasoning§ From pastoralism to neo-pastoralismA security expert stated that since the introduction of BVN, there has been an increase in the number of people using stolen wealth to purchase cattle, and that the lack of a mechanism for identifying cattle ownership makes it easy to buy hundreds of cows, leading to an artificial increase in cattle prices and a security risk because herders are often armed.
“Since the introduction of BVN, we have seen an increase in the number of people using stolen wealth to purchase cattle.When you consider the fact that an adult cow sells for between 200,000-400,000 naira ($600-$1100: 2019 prices), and there is no mechanism for identifying cattle ownership, it is easy for people to buy hundreds of cows which translates into millions of naira.This has even led to an”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted), S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingcitation§ Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in NigeriaThe national secretary of Miyetti Allah cattle breeders association of Nigeria stated that if you see a Fulani man handling an AK-47, it is because cattle rustling has become so much that one wonders if there is security in the country.
“The national secretary of Miyetti Allah cattle breeders association of Nigeria (One of the largest pastoralist groups in the country) stated 'If you see a Fulani man handling AK-47, that is because cattle rustling has become so much that one wonders if there is security in the country'.54”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [54] 54. King, Norman. "Conflict Management among the Farmers and Pastoralists in Tanzania"; International SAMANM Journal of Business and Social Science 1, no 2 (2013)
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Findingcitation§ From pastoralism to neo-pastoralismTraditional average herd size ranges from 16 to 69, while herds linked to neo-pastoralism typically range between 50 and 1000 and often involve the use of weapons by hired herdsmen.
“While traditional average herd size ranges from 16-69, 19 herds linked to neo-patrimonialism typically range between 50 and 1000 20 and often involves the use of weapons by the hired herdsmen.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [19] 19. Akpeji, Wantu and Ande Emmanuel, "Fulani leaders ask herdsmen to boycott anti-grazing bill hearing" 87 Erunke, "Why Nigerian Fulani won't accept ranching-Miyetti Allah" 88 Vanguard Newspaper, "Plateau Massacre, retaliation for lost 300 cows-Miyetti Allah" 89 Punch Newspaper, "Miyetti Allah is like Afenifere, Ohanaeze, Presidency says" Bibliography A Carl LeVan. "Reciprocal retaliation and local linkage: Federalism as an instrument of opposition organizing in Nigeria." African Affairs 117, no. 466 (2018): 1-20 source
- cites [20] 20. Abbass Isah mohammed. "No retreat no surrender conflict for survival between Fulani pastoralists and farmers in northern Nigeria." European Scientific Journal 8, no 1 (2012): 331-346
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Findingreasoning§ From pastoralism to neo-pastoralismOther interviewees agree that the steady increase in the value of cattle has opened up the industry to non-traditional pastoralists, with many using it for money laundering.
“Other interviewees agree that the steady increase in the value of cattle has opened up the industry to non-traditional pastoralists with many using it for money laundering.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingreasoning§ Number of attacks fatalitiesMore recently, there have been complaints that the sizes of the herds are larger, the pastoralists are unknown to the farmers, and they are armed with dangerous weapons.
“More recently, there have been complaints that the sizes of the herds are larger, the pastoralists are unknown to the farmers and armed with dangerous weapons.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingreasoning§ Number of attacks fatalitiesThere is strong evidence that sections of the pastoralist communities are fully armed and now operate like militias.
“There is strong evidence that sections of the pastoralist communities are fully armed and now operate like militias, for instance, a leader of the pastoralist community in an interview boasted that his group has successfully carried out attacks in several farming communities in Northern Nigeria.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingcitation§ Number of attacks fatalitiesThe commissioner for police in Kano state explained in an interview that many of the armed pastoralists arrested were from countries such as Senegal, Mali and Chad.
“The commissioner for police in Kano state explained in an interview that many of the armed pastoralists arrested were from countries such as Senegal, Mali and Chad.73”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [73] 73. Olusola Fabiyi, Olaleye Aluko and Charles John. "Benue: Killer herdsmen are sponsored, says military. The Punch Newspaper, 27 April 2019, https://punchng.com/benue-killer- herdsmen-are-sponsored-says-military/ (Accessed 5 July 2020)
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Findingcitation§ Number of attacks fatalitiesThe Berom ethnic group in Plateau state have never hidden their disdain for the pastoralists and have sometimes resorted to killing pastoralists' cattle to prevent them from grazing on their lands; this has led to reprisals by the pastoralists resulting in the killing of hundreds of people in Berom communities.
“For instance, the Berom ethnic group in Plateau state (One of the largest ethnic groups in the region) have never hidden their disdain for the pastoralists and have sometimes resorted to killing pastoralists' cattle to prevent them from grazing on their lands.This has led to reprisals by the pastoralists resulting in the killing of hundreds of people in Berom communities.74”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [74] 74. Onwughalu, Vincent and Obiorah, Collins. "Voluntary policing and the containment of Herders-Farmers conflicts in Nigeria". 5th Annual Conference of Nigerian Political Science Association (NPSA) South East Zone, on State, Security and Economy in Nigeria, April 2018.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Findingnone given§ Number of attacks fatalitiesRecent developments show that many traditional pastoralists now bear weapons too.
“Recent developments show that many traditional pastoralists now bear weapons too.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingcitation§ ConclusionData from the Centre for Democracy and Development indicates that the North Central region of Nigeria witnessed the highest number of clashes (140 clashes and 1,098 fatalities in 2018), while the South West region witnessed the highest number of clashes recorded in the Southern part of the country.
“For instance, data obtained from the Centre for Democracy and Development (CDD) indicates that the North Central region of Nigeria witnessed the highest number of clashes (140 clashes and 1,098 fatalities in 2018) while the South West region witnessed the highest number of clashes recorded in the Southern part of the country.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted).
Findingreasoning§ Number of attacks fatalitiesA military officer argued that poor pastoralists with little herds cannot afford automatic rifles and the type of arms used by the assailants.
“In an interview with a military officer, he argued that poor pastoralists with little herds cannot afford automatic rifles and the type of arms used by the assailants.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingcitation§ Number of attacks fatalitiesThe Nigerian military stated that the pastoralists involved in violent attacks on farmers are 'sponsored' and are not traditional pastoralists.
“This claim was corroborated by the Nigerian military stating that the pastoralists involved in violent attacks on farmers are 'sponsored' and are not traditional pastoralists.72”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [72] 72. Okoli, Al Chukwuma and Atelhe, George. "Nomads against Natives: A Political Ecology of Herder/Farmer Conflicts in Nasarawa State, Nigeria" American International Journal of Contemporary Research 4, no. 2 (2014): 76-88
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Findingnone given§ Number of attacks fatalitiesAfter protracted attacks by pastoralists in Taraba state, the federal government deployed soldiers to affected communities to prevent further attacks; despite the deployment, several attacks were still carried out with sophisticated weapons including machine guns.
“After protracted attacks by pastoralists in the state, the federal government deployed soldiers to the affected communities to prevent further attacks.Despite the deployment of troops in the affected communities, several attacks were still carried out with sophisticated weapons including machine guns.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown data§ Number of attacks fatalitiesAlthough many mainstream media in Nigeria assert that pastoralists are the aggressors in most of the conflicts, research interviews reveal that some of the attacks are revenge for the killings of pastoralists' cattle.
“Although many mainstream media in Nigeria assert that pastoralists are the aggressors in most of the conflicts, research interviews reveal that some of the attacks are revenge for the killings of pastoralists' cattle.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingreasoning§ ConclusionTraditional pastoralism is gradually giving way to more sophisticated, arms-fuelled cattle ownership, labelled neo-pastoralism, which is prevalent in semi-urban areas of Northern Nigeria.
“Traditional pastoralism is gradually giving way to more sophisticated (arms fuelled) cattle ownership which has been labelled neo-pastoralism and is prevalent in semi-urban areas of Northern Nigeria.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingcitation§ Number of attacks fatalitiesIn response to increasing attacks on farmers, several farming communities have either formed vigilantes to prevent attacks on their communities or launched counter-attacks on pastoralist communities, further increasing animosity between the groups.
“In response to increasing attacks on farmers, several farming communities have either formed vigilantes to prevent attacks on their communities or launched counter-attacks on pastoralist communities' further increasing animosity between the groups.75”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [75] 75. Ousman, Tall. "Herders vs Farmers: Resolving deadly conflict in the Sahel and West Africa". Sahel and West Africa Club (SWAC/OECD), 2018 Oxfam Research Reports. "The Human cost of uncontrolled arms in Africa: Cross-national research on seven African countries" March 2017.
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
Findingown data§ Number of attacks fatalitiesAnother respondent stated that traditional pastoralists cannot afford the price of an AK47 which is sold for N400,000-N500,000 ($1,200-$1,500) in the black market in Nigeria.
“Another respondent stated that traditional pastoralists cannot afford the price of an AK47 which is sold for N400,000 -N500,000 ($1,200-$1,500) in the black market in Nigeria.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Findingnone given§ Number of attacks fatalitiesThe Chairman of Ussa Local Government Council of Taraba state, Mr. Rimamsikwe Karma, stated that the pastoralists involved in the attacks on farmers are not the regular pastoralists they had known, and that they are 'strange'.
“The Chairman of Ussa Local Government Council of Taraba state, Mr. Rimamsikwe Karma, stated that the pastoralists involved in the attacks on farmers are not the regular pastoralists they had known, stating that they are 'strange'.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Premisecitation§ IntroductionThere has been an increase in the intensity and frequency of conflicts among pastoral groups and between farmers and pastoralists, resulting in a change in the dynamics of the conflicts.
“Although conflicts among pastoral groups 2 and between farmers and pastoralists are not new and have occurred for centuries 3 with the former being more pronounced 4 , there has been an increase in the intensity and frequency resulting in a change in the dynamics of the conflicts.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [2] 2. IIED, "Farmer-Herder Conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa"; FAOSTAT, Livestock and Livelihood Spotlight: Nigeria-Cattle and Poultry Sectors 10 Although several issues have been identified by many scholars as being responsible for a surge in the violence, issues relating to climate change and desertification top the list. See Medugu et al, " Assessing the vulnerability of farmers, fishermen and herdsmen to climate change"; Reuveny, "Climate change-induced migration and violent conflict"; Podesta and Ogden, "The Security Implications of Climate Change"; Mohammed, "No retreat no surrender"; Adekola,
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [3] 3. De Bruijn M. & van Dijk H. "Changing population mobility in West Africa." 19 Kubkomawa, "Indigenous Breeds of Cattle" 20 FAO. "Livestock and Environment Spotlight Cattle and Poultry Sectors in Nigeria". 21 Luizza, " African herders have been pushed into destitution and crime" 22 Interview with pastoral expert at International Institute for Environment and Development 23
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [4] 4. Ajala, "Why clashes are on the rise between farmers and herdsmen in the Sahel."; Nigerian price, "Prices of cows in Nigeria" 24 The main reason for the higher prices in the south is because of the transportation cost as well as the profit derived by middlemen. Cattle are often purchased directly from pastoralists in Northern Nigeria.
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May combine two claims.
Premisecitation§ IntroductionConflicts among pastoral groups and between farmers and pastoralists are not new and have occurred for centuries, with conflicts among pastoral groups being more pronounced.
“Although conflicts among pastoral groups 2 and between farmers and pastoralists are not new and have occurred for centuries 3 with the former being more pronounced 4 , there has been an increase in the intensity and frequency resulting in a change in the dynamics of the conflicts.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [2] 2. IIED, "Farmer-Herder Conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa"; FAOSTAT, Livestock and Livelihood Spotlight: Nigeria-Cattle and Poultry Sectors 10 Although several issues have been identified by many scholars as being responsible for a surge in the violence, issues relating to climate change and desertification top the list. See Medugu et al, " Assessing the vulnerability of farmers, fishermen and herdsmen to climate change"; Reuveny, "Climate change-induced migration and violent conflict"; Podesta and Ogden, "The Security Implications of Climate Change"; Mohammed, "No retreat no surrender"; Adekola,
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [3] 3. De Bruijn M. & van Dijk H. "Changing population mobility in West Africa." 19 Kubkomawa, "Indigenous Breeds of Cattle" 20 FAO. "Livestock and Environment Spotlight Cattle and Poultry Sectors in Nigeria". 21 Luizza, " African herders have been pushed into destitution and crime" 22 Interview with pastoral expert at International Institute for Environment and Development 23
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [4] 4. Ajala, "Why clashes are on the rise between farmers and herdsmen in the Sahel."; Nigerian price, "Prices of cows in Nigeria" 24 The main reason for the higher prices in the south is because of the transportation cost as well as the profit derived by middlemen. Cattle are often purchased directly from pastoralists in Northern Nigeria.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Premisecitation§ IntroductionCattle rustling was often organised by community leaders who managed the whole process, including compensation to communities where raids had taken place.
“Furthermore, cattle rustling was often organised by community leaders who managed the whole process (often with strict laws of engagement), including compensation to communities where the raids have taken place.6”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [6] 6. Catley and Aklilu, "Moving up or moving out?" 36 Little, " Absentee herd owners and part-time pastoralists" 37 Field interviews carried out in 2017 in Nigeria 38 Triche, "Pastoral Conflict in Kenya" 39 source
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Premisecitation§ IntroductionConflicts between pastoral groups sometimes arise from cattle rustling or raiding and were previously used for specific purposes such as replenishing family herds after prolonged droughts or disease outbreaks, for marriage rites, or to settle scores between pastoral communities.
“Conflicts between pastoral groups sometimes arise as a result of cattle rustling or raiding and were previously used for specific purposes such as replenishing family herds after prolonged droughts or disease outbreaks, for marriage rites or to settle scores between pastoral communities.5”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [5] 5. Pulse Nigeria, "This is why Governor stormed banks with thugs": See also; The Nation Nigeria, "Revealed: How $22.3m hit Jonathan's wife's accounts." 31 Nigeria Communications Week, "Fear of BVN" 32 Ibid ; See also Premium times Nigeria, 'Amidst anti-corruption war, BVN, bank customers reduce across Nigeria' 33 Interview with senior banking officer, Lagos state 34 Interview with security expert in Maiduguri, December 2017; Thousands of cattle in Nigeria are owned by non-pastoralists who arm the herders. See Niyi Akinnaso, 'Who are the cattle owners in Nigeria?' ; See also PM News, 'Most Nige
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Interpretationnone given§ IntroductionThe use of arms by pastoralists has increased, and this increase can be attributed to three main factors: increased conflicts between pastoral groups, increased conflict between pastoralists and sedentary farmers, and increased cattle rustling and the resulting need for protection against rustlers.
“The increase in the use of arms by pastoralists can be attributed to three main factors: First, an increase in conflicts between pastoral groups, second is an increase in conflict between pastoralists and sedentary farmers and third, an increase in cattle rustling and the resultant need for protection against rustlers.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Premisecitation§ Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in NigeriaAs at March 2017, an estimated 100 million SALW were present in crisis zones around the world with Africa hosting a large percentage of these weapons.
“As at March 2017, an estimated 100 million SALW were present in crisis zones around the world with Africa hosting a large percentage of these weapons.50”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [50] 50. International Crises Group. "Herders against Farmers: Nigeria's expanding deadly conflict" Africa/Report No 252, 19 September 2017 International Crises Group. "Herders against farmers: Nigeria's expanding deadly conflict". Report No 252/Africa, 19 September 2017, https://www.crisisgroup.org/africa/west- africa/nigeria/252-herders-against-farmers-nigerias-expanding-deadly-conflict (Accessed 12 December 2018)
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Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Premisecitation§ From pastoralism to neo-pastoralismThe Central Bank of Nigeria stated that some billions of Naira and millions of other foreign currencies are trapped in some banks' accounts which owners suddenly stopped operating.
“The Central Bank of Nigeria stated that 'some billions of Naira and millions of other foreign currencies are trapped in some banks' accounts which owners suddenly stopped operating' 31 .”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [31] 31. Catley, Andy and Aklilu, Yacob "Moving up or moving out? Commercialization, growth and destitution in pastoralists areas. eds, in Andy Catley, Jeremy Lind and Ian Scoones, Pastoralism and Development in Africa: Dynamic Change at the Margins, 2013, Routledge: source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Premisecitation§ Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in NigeriaArms are trafficked to Nigeria and other countries via the Central African Republic (CAR) corridor through a highly diversified range of trafficking dynamics.
“Arms are trafficked to Nigeria and other countries via the Central African Republic (CAR) corridor through a 'highly diversified range of trafficking dynamics'.47”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [47] 47. Hutchinson, R.A. "Stock and Methods of Animal Husbandry." In Agriculture and Land Use in Ghana, edited by B. Wills. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1962.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Premisecitation§ From pastoralism to neo-pastoralismIn 2014, the Nigerian government introduced a Bank Verification Number (BVN) as a measure to curb corruption, especially money laundering.
“In 2014, one of the measures introduced by the government to curb corruption especially money laundering was the introduction of a Bank Verification Number (BVN).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [27] 27. Akinyemi, Temitope and Olaniyan, Azeez. "Nigeria: Climate War and farmer-herder conflicts" Conflict Studies Quarterly, no. 21 (2017): 3-21
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Premisecitation§ Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in NigeriaA key conclusion of the panel is that trafficking from Libya was fuelling conflict, insecurity and terrorism in several countries in Africa.
“A key conclusion of the panel is that trafficking from Libya was fuelling conflict, insecurity and terrorism in several countries in Africa.48”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [48] 48. Ibekwe, Nicholas. "How Nigerian govt. is fuelling conflict between Nigeria's Fulani herdsmen, host communities -Report" Premium Times Nigeria, 21 October 2015
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May combine two claims.
Premisecitation§ IntroductionIn addition to climate change, armed conflicts, trafficking and terrorism have led to increased arms proliferation, increased cattle rustling and decreased grazing areas respectively.
“In addition to climate change, other factors such as armed conflicts, trafficking and terrorism have also led to increased arms proliferations, increased cattle rustling and decreased grazing areas respectively.12”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [12] 12. See King, " Conflict Management among the Farmers and Pastoralists in Tanzania"; Makinta, Hamisu, and Bello, "Influence of Traditional Institutions in Farmer-herder Conflicts Management in Borno State, Nigeria"; These claims were corroborated when I interviewed farmers and pastoralists in the case study areas with one of the farmers stating that some herdsmen even offer payment for grazing on his harvested stocks. 59 Davidheiser and Luna, "From Complementarity to Conflict" 60 Ibid 61 Ibid, 79
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Premisecitation§ IntroductionAccording to the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED), the clashes in Nigeria and the resultant fatalities surpass those of the other countries.
“According to the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED), the clashes in Nigeria and the resultant fatalities surpass those of the other countries.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites ACLED
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
Premisecitation§ Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in NigeriaA United Nations Security Council panel of experts on the Libyan conflict stated that the uprising in Libya has led to unprecedented arms proliferation not only in neighbouring countries but throughout the continent.
“A panel of experts formed by the United Nations Security Council on the Libyan conflict stated that the uprising in Libya has led to unprecedented arms proliferation not only in neighbouring countries but throughout the continent.46”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [46] 46. Homer-Dixton, T.F. Environment, scarcity, and violence. Princeton: University Press, 1999.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone given§ Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in NigeriaThe illicit arms trade industry has blossomed in Africa, where porous borders are common around most countries, with weapons moving freely across the borders.
“The illicit arms trade industry has blossomed in Africa, where porous borders are common around most countries, with weapons moving freely across the borders.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationcitation§ From pastoralism to neo-pastoralismWhile the increase in absentee herd owners is not a new development due to the economic importance of cattle in Africa, what is new is the dynamics of ownership and the resulting neo-patrimonial relationship.
“While the increase in 'absentee herd owners' is not a new development due to the economic importance of cattle in Africa, 36 what is new is the dynamics of ownership and the resulting neo-patrimonial relationship.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [36] 36. Channels TV. "Big Story: Focus on Cattle Rustling in Nigeria Part 1." 1 March 2016. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hYuIfqLJJ4I (Accessed 1 August 2018)
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Interpretationreasoning§ Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in NigeriaThe shift to economically motivated cattle rustling could be partly attributed to the price of cattle, increased demand for meat due to population increase, and the ease of acquiring weapons.
“This could be partly attributed to issues such as the price of cattle, increased demand for meat due to population increase and the ease of acquiring weapons.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Premisecitation§ Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in NigeriaAzeez and Aliyu argued that for decades, cattle rustling was localised, seasonal, and pursued with mostly traditional weapons with a low level of violence.
“Azeez and Aliyu argued that for decades, cattle rustling was 'localised, seasonal, and pursued with mostly traditional weapons' with low level of violence.39”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [39] 39. Emmanuel Terkimbi Akov. "The resource-conflict debate revisited: Untangling the case of farmer-herdsman clashes in the North Central region of Nigeria." African Security Review 26, no.3 (2017), 288-307
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationreasoning§ Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in NigeriaWhile most trafficked weapons fall into the hands of insurgent and terrorist groups, pastoralists have also increasingly used SALW.
“While most of the trafficked weapons fall into the hands of insurgent and terrorist groups, pastoralists have also increasingly used SALW.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationreasoning§ Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in NigeriaMost cattle rustling activities witnessed in the last decade have been motivated by economic profiteering and are market oriented.
“On the contrary, most of the cattle rustling activities witnessed in the last decade have been motivated by economic profiteering and are market oriented.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Premisecitation§ IntroductionNigeria houses the largest number of cattle (about 20 million) and pastoralists in West Africa.
“This is partly because Nigeria houses the largest number of cattle (about 20 million) and pastoralists in West Africa.9”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [9] 9. Kuna and Ibrahim, "Rural Banditory and Conflicts in Northern Nigeria" 53 Kuna and Ibrahim, "Rural Banditory and Conflicts in Northern Nigeria" 54 Ngelzarma, "Fulani National leader" 55 Interview data from Benue, Nassarawa and Kwara (North Central Nigeria)
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Premisecitation§ IntroductionOwing to an increase in the value of cattle, traditional pastoralism is gradually giving way to more sophisticated cattle ownership labelled neo-pastoralism, which is prevalent in semi-urban areas.
“Owing to an increase in the value of cattle, traditional pastoralism is gradually giving way to more sophisticated cattle ownership which has been labelled neo-pastoralism and is prevalent in semi-urban areas.14”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [14] 14. Adeseun, "How Unidentified Helicopter Delivers Supplies To Fulani Herdsmen In Delta Desert' - House Of Assembly Member" 71 Ugwuanyi "Herdsmen now attack us with machine guns-Taraba residence" 72
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone given§ IntroductionThe issues identified by the IIED do not sufficiently explain the increase in conflict in the last decade, nor do they explain the increased use of small and light weapons (SALW) by pastoralist groups and farming communities.
“Although convincing, the issues identified do not sufficiently explain the increase in conflict in the last decade, neither does it explain the increased use of small and light weapons (SALW) by pastoralist groups and farming communities.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Premisecitation§ Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in NigeriaPastoralists in Sudan and South Sudan have openly displayed SALW for over 10 years.
“For instance, pastoralists in Sudan and South Sudan have openly displayed SALW for over 10 years.51”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [51] 51. Jonah, Leff. "Pastoralists at War: Violence and Security in the Kenya-Sudan-Uganda Border Region," International Journal of Conflict and Violence 3, no. 2 (2009) 188-203
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Premisecitation§ Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in NigeriaPreviously, the motive behind cattle rustling was either to replenish lost family stock, pay bride prices for young men, or to settle differences, so it was not market oriented or primarily done for economic purposes.
“Previously, the motive behind cattle rustling was either to replenish lost family stock, pay for bride prices for young men or to settle differences, so, it was not market oriented or primarily done for economic purposes.44”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [44] 44. Halliru Salisu Lawal. "Security Implication of Climate Change Between Farmers and Cattle Rearers in Northern Nigeria: A Case Study of Three Communities in Kura Local Government of Kano State". In: Leal Filho W. (eds) Handbook of Climate Change Adaptation. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg, 2015.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationcitation§ From pastoralism to neo-pastoralismTraditional pastoralists strive to maintain good relationships with farmers to maintain their symbiotic relationship, while hired herders do not have any incentive to invest in social relations with farmers since they possess weapons which could be used to intimidate farmers.
“In addition, while traditional pastoralists strive to maintain good relationships with farmers to maintain their symbiotic relationship, hired herders do not have any incentive to invest in social relations with farmers since they possess weapons which could be used to intimidate the farmers 22 .”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [22] 22. Adeseun, Anuoluwapo. "How Unidentified Helicopter Delivers Supplies to Fulani Herdsmen in Delta Desert -House Of Assembly Member" Nigerian Monitor, 9 March 2017. http://www.nigerianmonitor.com/lawmaker-says-helicopter-delives-supplies-to-fulani- herdsmen-in-delta-desert/ (Accessed 9 August 2018)
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Premisecitation§ Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in NigeriaApart from hired herders who use weapons to engage in rustling, there are also professional bandits who primarily engage in cattle rustling in several parts of Nigeria.
“Apart from the hired herders who use the weapons available to them to engage in rustling, there are also 'professional bandits' who primarily engage in cattle rustling in several parts of Nigeria. 53”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [53] 53. Kazeem, Yomi. "Nigeria now has a bigger internal security threat than Boko Haram" Quartz Africa, 19 January 2017. https://qz.com/africa/886949/fulani-herdsmen-are-now-a-bigger- security-threat-for-nigeria-than-boko-haram/ (Accessed on 1 August 2018)
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Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Premisecitation§ IntroductionThe International Institute for Environment and Development (IIED) identified several causes of the conflict: institutional failure in the management of land and natural resources, lack of infrastructural investment, changes in livestock and cropping system, increasing wealth differentials among pastoralist groups, poor policy structures, and the non-involvement of pastoralists and farmers in决策.
“These include institutional failure in the management of land and natural resources, lack of infrastructural investment, changes in livestock and cropping system, increasing wealth differentials among pastoralist groups, poor policy structures and the non-involvement of pastoralists and farmers in decision making processes.13”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [13] 13. Halliru, " Security Implication of Climate Change Between Farmers and Cattle Rearers in Northern Nigeria" 63 Fasona and Omojola, "Climate Change, Human Security and Communal Clashes in Nigeria" 64 Akinyemi and Olaniyan, "Nigeria: Climate War and farmer-herder conflicts" 65 This was affirmed by several interviewees including farmers, herdsmen and government officials. 66 Ugwuanyi "Herdsmen now attack us with machine guns-Taraba residence" 67 Salkida "Exclusive on Fulani herdsmen" 68 Most interviewees agreed with this argument. 69 Interview with a military officer in Nigeria, September 2016 source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Interpretationreasoning§ IntroductionThe changing nature of pastoralism throughout Africa, resulting in new patterns of cattle ownership and management, is a significant causal factor in the increase in conflict.
“This article argues that the changing nature of pastoralism throughout Africa resulting in new patterns of cattle ownership and management is a significant causal factor worth exploring in greater detail.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Premisecitation§ From pastoralism to neo-pastoralismSeveral studies have identified corruption, especially in the polity, as a key reason for insurgency in Nigeria.
“Several studies 26 have identified corruption especially in the polity as a key reason for insurgency in the country.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [26] 26. Akinnaso, Niyi. "Who are the cattle owners in Nigeria?" Punch Newspaper, 13 March 2018. https://punchng.com/who-are-the-cattle-owners-in-nigeria/ (Accessed 11 December 2018)
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Premisecitation§ From pastoralism to neo-pastoralismThe aim of the BVN was to monitor banking transactions and reduce or eliminate money laundering.
“The aim of the BVN was to monitor banking transactions and reduce or eliminate money laundering.27”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [27] 27. Akinyemi, Temitope and Olaniyan, Azeez. "Nigeria: Climate War and farmer-herder conflicts" Conflict Studies Quarterly, no. 21 (2017): 3-21
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Premisecitation§ Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in NigeriaThe panel gathered information from 14 countries in Africa and concluded that Nigeria is one of the countries affected by arms proliferations from Libya.
“The panel gathered information from 14 countries in Africa and concluded that Nigeria is one of the countries affected by arms proliferations from Libya.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [46] 46. Homer-Dixton, T.F. Environment, scarcity, and violence. Princeton: University Press, 1999.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Premisecitation§ IntroductionKonczacki stated that rapid population growth and vagaries of the climate have negatively impacted pastoralism and agricultural productivity in Sub-Saharan Africa since the early 1970s.
“Konczacki while exploring the economics of pastoralism in the late 1970s stated that 'rapid population growth' and 'vagaries of the climate' have negatively impacted on pastoralism and agricultural productivity in Sub-Saharan Africa since early 1970s.11”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [11] 11. Ajala, "Why clashes are on the rise between farmers and herdsmen in the Sahel."
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Premisecitation§ Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in NigeriaAlthough the Libyan conflict is a major source of arms proliferation in Africa, live conflicts in other countries including South Sudan, Somalia, Mali, Central African Republic, Burundi and the Democratic Republic of Congo have also provided arms to various groups including neo-pastoralists.
“Although the Libyan conflict is a major source of arms proliferation in Africa, there are 'live' conflicts in other countries which have also provided arms to various groups including neopastoralists.These include South Sudan, Somalia, Mali, Central African Republic, Burundi and the Democratic republic of Congo.49”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [49] 49. Idowu Opeyemi Aluko. "Urban Violence Dimension in Nigeria: Farmers and Herders Onslaught" Agathos-An International review of humanities and Social Sciences 8, no. 1 (2017): 187-206 International Institute for Environment and Development. "Farmer-Herder Conflict in Sub- Saharan Africa: An Overview of the issue" International Institute for Environment and Development, January 2018.
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Interpretationreasoning§ From pastoralism to neo-pastoralismNeo-pastoralism differs from traditional pastoralism in terms of cattle ownership, average herd sizes and the use of weapons.
“Neo-pastoralism differs from this in terms of cattle ownership, average herd sizes and the use of weapons.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Premisecitation§ IntroductionPastoralist conflicts previously occurred predominantly in the Horn of Africa due to the high number of pastoralists and the traditional occupational structure, but have now spread to countries in other regions such as Nigeria, Ghana, Mali, Niger, Mauritania, Ivory Coast and Senegal.
“Previously, pastoralist conflicts occurred predominantly in the horn of Africa due to the high number of pastoralists and the traditional occupational structure, 8 however, the conflicts have now spread to countries in other regions such as Nigeria, Ghana, Mali, Niger, Mauritania, Ivory Coast and Senegal.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [8] 8. Toulmin, " Tracking through Drought: Options for Destocking and Restocking" 43 Markakis, "Conflict and the Decline of pastoralism in the horn of Africa". 44 Fleisher, "War is Good for Thieving!" 45 This trend is common in the North Central region of Nigeria based on the accounts of several interviewees. 46 UNSC, "Report of the Panel of Experts reports, 2017" 47 Ibid; See also: Strazzari "Libyan arms and regional instability" 48 Ibid 49 Global Conflict Tracker-1 August 2018 50 Oxfam Research Reports, "The Human cost of uncontrolled arms in Africao" 51 Ibid
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Interpretationcitation§ Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in NigeriaEvents in several African countries have increased arms proliferation in the region, providing weapons to neo-pastoralists for 'herd protection' which are also used for rustling.
“Events in several African countries have increased arms proliferation in the region providing weapons to neo-pastoralists for 'herd protection' which are also used for rustling.45”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [45] 45. Hill, P. "The Occupation of Migrants in Ghana." Anthropological Papers No. 42, Ann Arbor: 1970. The University of Michigan.
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Premisecitation§ From pastoralism to neo-pastoralismCatley and Aklilu found that pastoralist poverty has not decreased despite the increase in cattle prices, and that in the last 30-40 years the number of poor pastoralists has increased sharply.
“Despite the increase in cattle prices in the last few decades especially with an expansion in the export market, Catley and Aklilu found that pastoralist poverty has not decreased.They argued that in the last 30-40 years, the number of poor pastoralists has increased sharply.35”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [35] 35. Clemens, Greiner. "Guns, land, and votes: Cattle rustling and the politics of boundary (re)making in Northern Kenya." African Affairs 112, no. 447 (2013): 216-237
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone given§ Number of attacks fatalitiesAlthough the ruling elite mostly understand the dynamics of this conflict, politics often play a significant role in the reporting or lack of reporting of the conflict, potential solutions, as well as the response of the Nigerian state.
“Although the ruling elite mostly understand the dynamics of this conflict, politics often play a significant role in the reporting/ lack of reporting of the conflict, potential solutions as well as the response of the Nigerian state.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone given§ ConclusionComprehensive data were obtained from the ACLED, the Institute of Governance and Social Research (IGSR) and the Centre for Democracy and Development (CDD) West Africa.
“In addition, comprehensive data were obtained from the ACLED, Institute of Governance and Social Research (IGSR) and Centre for Democracy and Development (CDD) West Africa.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationcitation§ Number of attacks fatalitiesWhile potential solutions such as expansion of grazing lands, disarming of armed pastoralists, compensation for farmers, securitization of farming communities, addressing issues related to climate change and combating cattle rustling have all been discussed, the conflict has been fraught with political calculations which makes it difficult to resolve.
“While potential solutions such as expansion of grazing lands, 76 disarming of armed pastoralists, 77 compensation for farmers, 78 securitization of farming communities, 79 addressing issues related to climate change 80 and combating cattle rustling 81 have all been discussed, the conflict has been fraught with political calculations which makes it difficult to resolve.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [76] 76. PM News. "Most Nigerian cattle not owned by Fulani Herdsmen-Shawulu". 29 April 2016. https://www.pmnewsnigeria.com/2016/04/29/most-nigerian-cattle-not-owned-by-fulani- herdsmen-shawulu/ (Accessed 11 December 2018)
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [77] 77. Podesta, John and Peter, Ogden. "The Security Implications of Climate Change." The Washington Quarterly 31, no. 1 (2008): 115-138 source
- cites [78] 78. Popoola, Nike. "Herdsmen: No Insurance compensation for farmers." Punch Nigeria, 28 January 2018. https://punchng.com/herdsmen-no-insurance-compensation-for-farmers/ (Accessed 12 December 2018) Premium times Nigeria. "Amidst anti-corruption war, BVN, bank customers reduce across Nigeria". Premium times, Nigeria. 18 March 2018, https://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/headlines/262227-amidst-anti-corruption-war-bvn- bank-customers-reduce-across-nigeria.html (Accessed 11 December 2018)
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Interpretationreasoning§ Number of attacks fatalitiesLinking the farmer-pastoralist conflict in Nigeria to ethnicity and religion diverts attention from the core issues and creates division between previously integrated communities.
“First, linking this conflict to ethnicity and religion often diverts attention from the core issues and creates division between previously integrated communities.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Almost all pastoralists in the conflict are of Fulani descent, yet most of the attacks are directed against other ethnic groups.
May combine two claims.
Premisecitation§ Farmer/ Pastoralist conflicts: New dynamicsOccasionally, when grazing activities destroyed farm produce and conflicts arose, there was a conflict resolution mechanism in place between farmers and pastoralists and differences were usually resolved without recourse to violent conflicts.
“Occasionally, when grazing activities destroyed farm produce and conflicts arose, there was a conflict resolution mechanism in place between the farmers and the pastoralists and differences were usually resolved without recourse to violent conflicts.58”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [58] 58. Kuna, Mohammed and Ibrahim, Jibrin. "Rural Banditry and Conflicts in Northern Nigeria" Centre for democracy and development, 2015
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone given§ ConclusionA total of 70 interviews were carried out between 2013 and 2019, with interviewees selected under four categories: farmers, representatives of pastoral groups, government officials and experts on the topic.
“A total of 70 interviews were carried out between 2013 and 2019 with the interviewees selected under four categories: Farmers, representatives of pastoral groups, government officials and experts on the topic.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationnone given§ Number of attacks fatalitiesThe debate on grazing and the provision of ranches in Nigeria is often politicised and painted as either the marginalisation of the Fulanis or the preferential treatment of the Fulanis, depending on who is involved.
“Second, the debate on grazing and the provision of ranches are often politicised and painted in a manner akin to either the marginalisation of the Fulanis or the preferential treatment of the Fulanis, depending on who is involved in the debate.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
Interpretationreasoning§ Number of attacks fatalitiesThe inability of the Nigerian ruling elite to address the impact of the neo-pastoralist dimension of the conflict is problematic.
“In addition, the inability of the ruling elite in Nigeria to address the impact of the neopastoralist dimension of the conflict is problematic.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Premisecitation§ Number of attacks fatalitiesDespite Miyetti Allah justifying the killing of scores of people in Plateau state in 2018 as retaliation for the killing of 300 cows by farming communities, the government refused to act against the group, claiming it is a socio-cultural group representing Fulani interests.
“Despite Miyetti Allah justifying the killing of scores of people in Plateau state in 2018 as a retaliation for the killing of 300 cows by the farming communities, 88 the government refused to take any action on the group claiming that it is a socio-cultural group representing the interests of Fulanis.89”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [88] 88. Tonah, Steve. "Migration and Farmer-Herder Conflicts in Ghana's Volta Basin." Canadian Journal of African Studies 40, No. 1 (2006), pp. 152-178 source
- cites [89] 89. Toulmin, Camilla. "Tracking through Drought: Options for Destocking and Restocking" in Ian Scoones (eds) Living with Uncertainty, new directions in Pastoral Development in Africa.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationreasoning§ Number of attacks fatalitiesThe types of arms and ammunitions involved in these attacks are beyond the reach of traditional pastoralists and point towards neo-pastoralists.
“The types of arms and ammunitions involved in these attacks are beyond the reach of traditional pastoralists and point towards neo-pastoralists.68”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [68] 68. Mkutu, Kennedy Agade. Guns and Governance in the Rift Vally: Pastoralist Conflict and Small arms. Oxford: James Currey, 2008
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone given§ ConclusionThe dynamics of the farmer-pastoralist conflict in Nigeria are more complicated than has been reported and crucial aspects of the conflict have not been addressed.
“The article argues that the dynamics of the conflict are more complicated than has been reported and crucial aspects of the conflict have not been”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Premisecitation§ Farmer/ Pastoralist conflicts: New dynamicsDavidheiser and Luna identified the combination of colonialization and the introduction of capitalism to Africa as one of the principal causes of the conflict between pastoralists and farmers on the continent.
“Davidheiser and Luna identified the combination of colonialization and the introduction of capitalism to Africa as one of the principal causes of the conflict between pastoralists and farmers on the continent.59”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [59] 59. Lamphear, J. "The traditional history of the Jie of Uganda". Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1976.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationreasoning§ Number of attacks fatalitiesMany Nigerians believe that Miyetti Allah has been deliberately shielded by the government because the sitting president, President Buhari, is from the Fulani ethnic group.
“This has led many Nigerians to think that the group has been deliberately shielded by the government as the sitting president (President Buhari) is from the Fulani ethnic group.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The sitting Nigerian president, President Buhari, is from the Fulani ethnic group.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationreasoning§ ConclusionThe failure of the Nigerian state to deal with the conflict stems from a combination of inability to address the neo-pastoral aspect of the conflict and unwillingness to alter the neo-patrimonial balance of the state.
“The article also argues that the failure of the Nigerian state to deal with the issue stems from a combination of inability to address the neo-pastoral aspect of the conflict as well as the unwillingness to alter the neo-patrimonial balance of the state.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Premisenone given§ Farmer/ Pastoralist conflicts: New dynamicsIn the pre-colonial symbiotic relationship, cattle grazed on foliage after harvest in the dry season, and in return for grazing and right of way, cattle droppings were used as manure; this was a period of small holding farms and family owned cattle and both farmers and herdsmen benefitted.
“The cattle grazed on the foliage provided by the farmers after their harvest usually in the dry season when the pastoralists move their cattle further southwards to graze.In return for the grazing and right of way provided by the farmers, the cattle's droppings were used by the farmers as manure to fertilize their farmlands.This was a period of small holding farms and family owned sizes of cattle”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationcitation§ Number of attacks fatalitiesInfluential religious, ethnic and political leaders often engage in political and ethnic manipulations while purportedly addressing the conflict, which often stokes rather than douses tensions.
“Furthermore, influential religious, ethnic and political leaders often engage in political and ethnic manipulations while purportedly addressing the issue which often stokes rather than douse tensions.83”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [83] 83. Sahara Reporters. "APC is a Miyetti Allah Party that values cows over humans, says ex- Benue chieftain" Sahara Reporters, 15 June 2018
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Premisecitation§ Farmer/ Pastoralist conflicts: New dynamicsThe integration of capitalism and modern modes of production resulted in a shift from exchange-based relations between farmers and pastoralists to marketisation and commodification, which increased pressure and demand for natural resources and destabilised the previous symbiotic relationship.
“The analysis offered is that the integration of capitalism and modern modes of production resulted in a shift from 'exchange-based relations' between the farmers and the pastoralists to 'marketisation and commodification' which increased the pressure and demand for natural resources between the pair and destabilised the previous symbiotic relationship.61”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [61] 61. Lewis, Peter. "Endgame in Nigeria? The Politics of failed democratic transition." African Affairs, 93, no. 372 (1994): 323-340 source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Premisecitation§ Farmer/ Pastoralist conflicts: New dynamicsDavidheiser and Luna argued that changes in land tenure laws during the colonial era coupled with changes in farming techniques following the adoption of modern farming methods such as irrigation agriculture and sedentarisation schemes for transhumant pastoralists disrupted the symbiotic relationship between farmers and pastoralists, increasing the likelihood of conflict.
“They argued that changes in land tenure laws during the colonial era coupled with changes in farming techniques following the adoption of modern farming methods such as irrigation agriculture and 'sedentarisation schemes for transhumant pastoralists' disrupted the symbiotic relationship between the farmers and the pastoralists increasing the likelihood of conflict between the groups.60”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [60] 60. Lewis, Peter. "From Prebendalism to Predation: The Political Economy of decline in Nigeria." The Journal of Modern African Studies 34, no. 1 (1996): 79-103 source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Premisecitation§ Farmer/ Pastoralist conflicts: New dynamicsIn a quantitative research carried out in Kano state, Nigeria in 2010, Halliru identifies desert encroachment as a major source of resource struggle leading to conflicts between pastoralists and farmers in Northern Nigeria.
“In a quantitative research carried out in Kano state, Nigeria in 2010, Halliru identifies desert encroachment as a major source of resource struggle leading to conflicts between pastoralists and farmers in Northern Nigeria.62”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [62] 62. Little, Peter. "Absentee herd owners and part-time pastoralists: The political economy of resource use in northern Kenya." Human Ecology 13, (1985) 131-151 source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Premisecitation§ Number of attacks fatalitiesIn June 2018, after several affected states individually established anti-grazing laws, the federal government of Nigeria announced plans to spend N179 billion (about $600 million) to build ranches in 10 states.
“In June 2018, after several states affected by the conflict decided to individually establish anti-grazing laws on their lands, the federal government of Nigeria in an attempt to end the conflict and offer a coherent solution announced plans to spend N179 billion (about $600 million) to build ranches in 10 states.84”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [84] 84. Salkilda, Ahmad. "Exclusive on Fulani herdsmen: "We have machine guns, bombs and military uniforms-Jauro Buba" Salkida, 9 July 2018. http://salkida.com/exclusive-on-fulani- herdsmen-we-have-machine-guns-bombs-and-military-uniforms-ready-for-war-jauro-buba/ (Accessed 9 August 2018)
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationcitation§ Number of attacks fatalitiesRather than address the issues responsible for the conflict, Nigerian politicians often accentuate the ethnic motivations for the conflict in order to increase their own popularity and create patronage, as with other conflicts in Nigeria.
“Rather than address the issues identified as responsible for the conflict, politicians often accentuate the ethnic motivations for the conflict in order to increase their own popularity and to create patronage as with other conflicts in Nigeria.82”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [82] 82. Reuveny, Rafael. "Climate change-induced migration and violent conflict". Political Geography 26, no. 6 (2007): 656-673 source
May combine two claims.
Interpretationcitation§ Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in NigeriaConflicting interests in the pastoralist industry are leading to an arms race and creating a warlike environment as increasing numbers of traditional pastoralists have also resorted to bearing weapons to protect themselves and their cattle.
“These conflicting interests in the pastoralist industry is leading to an arms race and creating a warlike environment as increasing numbers of traditional pastoralists have also resorted to bearing weapons to protect themselves and their cattle.55”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [55] 55. Konczacki, Zbigniew. "The Economics of Pastoralism: A Case study of Sub-Saharan Africa". London: Frank Class and Company, 1978
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationcitation§ Farmer/ Pastoralist conflicts: New dynamicsThis new pattern of migration increases the pressure on land and land resources, resulting in conflicts between farmers and herdsmen.
“This new pattern of migration increases the pressure on land and land resources resulting in conflicts between farmers and herdsmen.64”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [64] 64. Markakis, John. "Conflict and the Decline of Pastoralism in the Horn of Africa." Palgrave: Macmillan, 1993
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationreasoning§ Number of attacks fatalitiesThese changes make traditional conflict management between farmers and pastoralists more difficult and sometimes impossible.
“These changes make traditional conflict management between farmers and pastoralists more difficult and sometimes impossible.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationreasoning§ Number of attacks fatalitiesThese assertions further indicate that the ownership of these cattle is questionable.
“These assertions further indicate that the ownership of these cattle is questionable.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone given§ Number of attacks fatalitiesMany owners of large cattle herds are influential elites with considerable influence, which makes prosecution of crimes difficult.
“Furthermore, many owners of large cattle herds are influential elites with considerable influence which makes prosecution of crimes difficult.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone given§ ConclusionA combination of purposive and snowball sampling was used to identify and select the most suitable people to be interviewed.
“A combination of purposive and snowball sampling was used to identify and select the most suitable people to be interviewed.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Interpretationreasoning§ Number of attacks fatalitiesThe politicisation of the grazing and ranching issue, coupled with the government's lackadaisical approach, makes every move towards resolving the conflict unattractive to the parties involved.
“The politicisation of the issue coupled with the lackadaisical approach of the government makes every move towards resolving the conflict unattractive to the parties involved.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
The paper relies on this without support.
The three regions selected for the research (North Central, North West and South West) are representative of the farmer-pastoralist conflict in Nigeria.
“The three regions selected for the purpose of the research were based on their exposure to the conflict.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Almost all pastoralists in the conflict are of Fulani descent, yet most of the attacks are directed against other ethnic groups.
“While almost all the pastoralists are of Fulani descent, most of the attacks are directed against other ethnic groups.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The sitting Nigerian president, President Buhari, is from the Fulani ethnic group.
“the sitting president (President Buhari) is from the Fulani ethnic group”
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Exchange rate is reversed in the cattle-price table
MinorThe table says one naira equals $350, but the paper's example of N350,000 equaling $1,000 implies that one naira equals about $0.00286.
Reported 350 · recomputed 0.002857
“(Prices in Naira-1Naira=$350: Prices not adjusted for inflation)”
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Nigeria's water crisis: Abundant water, polluted reality
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“These conflicts have increased in the last decade due to the use of assault rifles and other military-grade weaponry in cattle herding, as well as a new cattle ownership and management system known as neo-pastoralism1 (Ajala 2020; Ojo 2020; Nwozor et al. 2021).”
BackgroundInfluentialHerder-Farmer conflicts: the politicization of violence and evolving security measures in Nigeria
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“This contention is anchored on the estimated cost of AK47 on the black market in Nigeria, which was put at between US 1200 USD and 1500 USD (Ajala, 2020), and the open use of these firearms by the herders without consequences.”
BackgroundInfluential‘Fulanis are foreign terrorists’: the social construction of a suspect community in the Sahel
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“For his part, Ajala (2020) espouses what he calls “neopastoralism” to explain that modern pastoralism in Nigeria causes conflicts because it involves the”
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Connecting Disasters and Climate Change to the Humanitarian-Development-Peace Nexus
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“Empirical evidence has unpacked the multiple drivers of conflicts including weak institutions, land tenure system, and ownership of resources that create tensions (Ajala, 2020; Eberle & Rohner, 2020; Kugbega & Aboagye, 2021).”
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The Fear of Ethnic Domination: Explaining the Persistence of Natural Resource Conflicts in Nigeria
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“On the other hand, political ecologists do not subscribe to environmental scarcity arguments: they instead hold that a conjunction of political and ecological factors triggers the conflict in many contexts—and that the violent conflicts are caused by factors such as lack of integration between peasants and pastoralist…”
BackgroundThe Moral Economy of the Agatu “Massacre”: Reterritorializing Farmer-Herder Relations
Nwankwo, C. F. (2023) · Society · doi:10.1007/s12115-023-00860-x · Cited by 20 · see citing works
“Ajala provides examples of the increase in cattle prices over time, from ₦70,000 in 1997 to ₦170,000 in 2019 (Ajala, 2020, p. 2051).”
BackgroundInfluentialObi, K. C., & Iwuoha, V. C. (2023) · Third World Quarterly · doi:10.1080/01436597.2023.2192400 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
“The long history of armed banditry in various parts of Nigeria has been variously stressed in the extant literature (Anyadike 2018; Ajala 2020; Ademola 2021; husted and Blanchard 2020).”
BackgroundYassegoungbe, F. P., Oloukoi, D., Aoudji, A. K. N., Schlecht, E., & Dossa, L. H. (2022) · Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems · doi:10.3389/fsufs.2022.1001497 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
“…take decisions regarding the sale of animals, while for the owners of these herds, who often belong to wealthy urban elites (Robineau and Dugué, 2018), the cattle herd might rather serve as a means of capital accumulation or to convert income from dubious sources into legal assets (Ajala, 2020).”
Background‘We don’t have anything’: understanding the interaction between pastoralism and terrorism in Nigeria
Ejiofor, P. F. (2022) · Conflict Security and Development · doi:10.1080/14678802.2022.2122695 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
Civilian Protection Payment and the Escalation of Violence against Civilians in Northwestern Nigeria
Buba, I. A. (2023) · Global Studies Quarterly · doi:10.1093/isagsq/ksad033 · Cited by 12 · see citing works
Nwankwo, C. F., & Okafor, U. P. (2021) · GeoScape · doi:10.2478/geosc-2021-0010 · Cited by 12 · see citing works
Song, C., Petsakos, A., & Gotor, E. (2024) · Agricultural Systems · doi:10.1016/j.agsy.2024.103883 · Cited by 12 · see citing works
Insecurity and counter-banditry strategies of the affected communities in Oyo State, Nigeria
Ojedokun, U. A., Oyelade, O. K., Adenugba, A. A., et al. (2023) · Safer Communities · doi:10.1108/sc-06-2023-0025 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
Ojo, J. S. (2023) · Conflict Resolution Quarterly · doi:10.1002/crq.21390 · Cited by 15 · see citing works
“, 2022), and pastoralists-farmers conflict (Ajala, 2020).”
Security in Cameroon: a growing risk of persistent insurgency
Lekunze, M., & Page, B. (2022) · Canadian Journal of African Studies / Revue canadienne des études africaines · doi:10.1080/00083968.2022.2120507 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
“Moving south along the border with Nigeria, there is insecurity relating to pastoralists, secessionist conflicts and maritime piracy (Egbuta 2018; Ajala 2020).”
BackgroundOlumba, E. E. (2023) · Genealogy · doi:10.3390/genealogy7030045 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Food security in conflict and peacebuilding settings: beyond a humanitarian concern
Delgado, C., & Tschunkert, K. (2022) · Pathways to Peace and Security · doi:10.20542/2307-1494-2022-2-38-61 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
Tseer, T., Salifu, K., & Yiridomoh, G. Y. (2024) · Third World Quarterly · doi:10.1080/01436597.2024.2318474 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
“While Fulani herders are understood to be largely transhumant, climate variability over the years has prompted their rapid diffusion from Northern Nigeria, the Futa Toro and Futa Djallon regions of Senegal and Guinea and the Macina regions of Mali, Niger and Cameroon to many other states across the Sahel (Ajala 2020;…”
BackgroundResultInfluentialChitimira, H. T., & Animashaun, O. (2023) · Journal of Money Laundering Control · doi:10.1108/jmlc-12-2022-0171 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Aniche, E. T., Alumona, I. M., Iwuoha, V. C., Isike, C., & Nnamani, R. G. (2023) · Society · doi:10.1007/s12115-023-00857-6 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
“The competition for scarce resources occasioned by population pressure, climate change, and other environmental challenges has triggered mass migration, criminality, insecurity, banditry, and bloody conflicts in West Africa (Eke, 2019; Suleiman, 2019; Ajala, 2020; Mbih, 2020; Onwuzuruigbo, 2021).”
BackgroundPastoral conflicts and (dis)trust: Evidence from Nigeria using an instrumental variable approachPreprint
Tuki, D. (2023) · doi:10.31235/osf.io/tgw5f · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Koutchoro, A. M., Adéchian, S. A., Houessou, L. G., et al. (2025) · Pastoralism Research Policy and Practice · doi:10.3389/past.2025.15199 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
“Increasing land pressure, changes in land use, agricultural expansion, the fragmentation of livestock corridors, and recurrent con fl icts with farmers have severely undermined the viability of mobile pastoral systems (Basupi et al., 2017; Ajala, 2020; Ellison et al., 2022; Alokpaï et al., 2024).”
InfluentialUduji, J. I., Okolo-Obasi, N. E. V., Uduji, J. U., Odoh, L. C., Otei, D. C., Obi-Anike, H. O., Nwanmuoh, E. E., Okezie, K. O., Ngwoke, O. U., Ojiula, U. B., et al. (2024) · Local Environment · doi:10.1080/13549839.2024.2360722 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
“These conflicts have raged for decades in Nigeria’s Niger Delta, affecting the region’s security, agriculture, human security and mobility (Ajala 2020).”
Is there a religious dimension to concern about farmer-herder conflicts in Nigeria?Preprint
Tuki, D. (2023) · doi:10.31235/osf.io/e6bhk · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Pastoral conflicts and (dis)trust: evidence from Nigeria using an instrumental variable approach
Tuki, D. (2026) · Environment and Development Economics · doi:10.33774/apsa-2023-863p3 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
La coexistence contrariée entre pasteurs et agriculteurs en Afrique subsaharienne
Jacquemot, P. (2022) · Afrique contemporaine · doi:10.3917/afco1.274.0007 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Is There a Religious Dimension to Concern about Farmer–Herder Conflicts in Nigeria?
Tuki, D. (2025) · International Studies Quarterly · doi:10.1093/isq/sqaf061 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Accumulation by/for terrorism: the political economy of terrorism financing in Nigeria
Ejiofor, P. F. (2024) · Small Wars and Insurgencies · doi:10.1080/09592318.2024.2425181 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Onyeneke, R. U., Baffour‐Ata, F., Atta‐Aidoo, J., Onyeneke, C. J., & Nwosu, F. (2026) · Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems · doi:10.3389/fsufs.2026.1740395 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Ndimbo, G. K., & Sanga, F. (2026) · Cogent Social Sciences · doi:10.1080/23311886.2026.2646711 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Spatial and temporal modeling of conflict related fatality and public health implications in Nigeria
Egbon, O. A., Belachew, A. M., Bogoni, M. A., Gayawan, E., & Louzada, F. (2025) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-025-98422-0 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
“…Benue valley during the dry season to fend for their animals and return to the north during the rainy season, but many of them are now settling and competing for the scarce resources with the locals, resulting in violent conflict with potentials of spilling into ethnic and religious clashes 36 .”
Managing the proliferation of small arms and light weapons for Nigeria’s national security
Amali, S. E., & Buthelezi, M. W. (2025) · Discover Global Society · doi:10.1007/s44282-025-00166-9 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Choosing to Stay: A New Perspective on Immobility Amidst AdversityPreprint
Olumba, E. E. (2024) · Qeios · doi:10.32388/g14hl6.2 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Ojewale, O. S. (2023) · Violence An International Journal · doi:10.1177/26330024231188376 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
“Most of the herders are from the traditionally nomadic and Muslim Fulani who make up about 90% of Nigeria ’ s pastoralists, while most of the farmers are Christians of various ethnicities in parts of Benue and Plateau states (Ajala, 2020; Ojo, 2020; Olumba, 2022; Ojewale, 2022).”
BackgroundDemocracy Without Development: An Assessment of the Moderating Factors in Nigeria
Emegwa, T. J. (2023) · Journal of Asian and African Studies · doi:10.1177/00219096231153154 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
“Old and young vulnerable female farmers have fled their farms to avoid being raped 26 by the Ak-47-bearing killer Fulani Herdsmen (Ajala, 2020), who sometimes end up killing their victims while those who escape remain traumatized (see note 26).”
InfluentialEvolution and decline: transformation of social movements in Nigeria
Ajala, O. (2021) · Review of African Political Economy · doi:10.1080/03056244.2021.1996344 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
“Some sought the ‘assistance’ of militias (Ajala 2018, 2020) while others engaged the help of social movements (Okafor 2011).”
BackgroundSelf-citationEke, O. G., Moudrý, J., Eze, F. O., Obazi, S. A., Ifoh, I. P., Mukosha, C. E., Ntezimana, M. G., & Muhammad, A. (2025) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su172411316 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Okonkwo, G. K. (2025) · African Identities · doi:10.1080/14725843.2025.2563330 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Okafor, S. O., Ogbochie, A., Ugwu, C., et al. (2025) · Journal of Agriculture and Environment for International Development (JAEID) · doi:10.36253/jaeid-16639 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
“In the current historical epoch, Southeast Nigeria has been overrun by the ongoing global food security crises due to recent environmental resources-access crises (Tanyi et al, 2021; Ajala, 2020).”
Is there a religious dimension to concern about farmer-herder conflicts in Nigeria?Preprint
Tuki, D. (2024) · doi:10.33774/apsa-2023-0twpt-v2 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Is there a religious dimension to concern about farmer-herder conflicts in Nigeria?Preprint
Tuki, D. (2023) · doi:10.33774/apsa-2023-0twpt · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Bakare, N. A. (2021) · Przegląd Strategiczny · doi:10.14746/ps.2021.1.18 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
“Most recently, the increasing breakdown of law and order and the controversial herdsmen saga, has become a major internal security concern in Nigeria (Ajala, 2020; Olaniyan, Yahaya, 2016).”
BackgroundThe Politics of Eco-violence: Why Is Conflict Escalating in Nigeria’s Middle Belt?Preprint
Olumba, E. E. (2021) · doi:10.33774/apsa-2021-dn9j4 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Water and Communal Conflict: A Review of the Literature
Döring, S. (2026) · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Water · doi:10.1002/wat2.70056 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
“Marginalized pasto-ral communities, lacking political representation and economic capital, experience heightened vulnerability during drought periods as their water rights and access are disproportionately curtailed (Ajala 2020; Beyene 2009; Beyene and Korf 2012; Wennström 2024).”
Irabor, P. A. (2025) · Studia Historiae Oeconomicae · doi:10.14746/sho.2025.43.2.009 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
“…and engaged in armed insurrection through criminal enterprises such as kidnapping and cattle rustling, mainly in the northern region (ojo, 2020; olayinka, 2020). arising from the political and economic exclusion of the people of the south-east region from the mainstream of the country,…”
The Effect of Violence on Food Markets: Evidence from NigeriaPreprint
Olurotimi, O., & Liverpool‐Tasie, L. S. O. (2025) · doi:10.12688/verixiv.2402.1 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Bakare, N. A. (2025) · Contemporary Islam · doi:10.1007/s11562-025-00588-x · Cited by 1 · see citing works
“These clashes often involve Fulani Muslim herdsmen from the North , leading to accusations that certain Muslim elites are arming them (Ajala, 2020) While weapons may be intended for herd protection, their use in violent confrontations raises concern.”
The impact of democracy on peace in Africa: Empirical evidence
Iheonu, C. O., Okwoche, P. U., & Agbutun, S. A. (2024) · Politics & Policy · doi:10.1111/polp.12632 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Bakare, N. A. (2024) · Journal of Contemporary African Studies · doi:10.1080/02589001.2024.2390384 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
“’ Furthermore, corruption has signi fi cantly contributed to the rise of insurgency in the country (Ajala 2020, 4) and has exacerbated the disparity in wealth distribution and overall bad governance.”
Herder-farmer conflict in the Sahel needs a new description: why ‘eco-violence’ fits
Olumba, E. E., & Stubbs, T. (2022) · doi:10.64628/aaj.3pdcy6s9p · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Attah, N. E., & Bradley, M. T. (2026) · African Identities · doi:10.1080/14725843.2026.2726523
Balana, B., Omamo, S. W., Amare, M., Popoola, O., Nwagboso, C., Loum, S., Jawed, K., & Andam, K. S. (2026) · Global Food Security · doi:10.1016/j.gfs.2026.100940
Angalapu, D., & Aniche, E. T. (2026) · Africa Spectrum · doi:10.1177/00020397261475027
Wennström, P. (2026) · Journal of Peace Research · doi:10.1093/jopres/xjag045
The role of climate change in shaping resource conflicts among Somaliland’s pastoralists
Bashir, A., & Mohamed, M. A. (2026) · Local Environment · doi:10.1080/13549839.2026.2660917
Farmers and pastoralists conflicts among neighboring communities in Isiolo South Sub- County, Kenya
Maelo, F. (2026) · African Journal of Empirical Research · doi:10.51867/ajernet.7.1.59
“Further, there is increased access to small weapons in these regions, which sometimes leads to increased consequences of these conflicts (Ajala, 2020).”
Emerging Conflicts in Nigeria and Sahel Region, Professionalism and Challenges of Media Reportage
Oyeleye, S. A. (2025) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-82198-1_8
Olaniyi Oluwatosin, O. J. O. (2024) · International Journal of Advanced Multidisciplinary Research and Studies · doi:10.62225/2583049x.2024.4.3.2835
“Studies have been carried out on farmer-herder conflicts and food security but they concentrated their efforts on the northern part of Nigeria (Adelaja and George, 2019, Adeoye, 2017, Adisa and Adekunle, 2010, Yusuf, Audu, and Akuva, 2020, Ajala, 2020) [7, 8, 9, 23, 10] .”
BackgroundThe Politics of Eco-violence: Why Is Conflict Escalating in Nigeria’s Middle Belt?Preprint
Olumba, E. E. (2021) · doi:10.33774/apsa-2021-dn9j4-v2
- Authors
- Ajala, O.
- Affiliations
- Leeds Beckett University (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Ajala, Olayinka
- ORCID
- Ajala, Olayinka
- Venue
- Third World Quarterly
- Publisher
- Informa UK Limited
- Published
- 2020-09-09
- Volume
- 41
- Issue
- 12
- Pages
- 2048-2066
- ISSN
- 0143-6597 (ISSN-L)
- 1360-2241
- OpenAlex
- W3083811930
- Cited by
- 62
- References
- 36
- Citations by year
- 2026: 10 · 2025: 11 · 2024: 11 · 2023: 13 · 2022: 11 · 2021: 6
- FWCI
- 8.85
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- Licence
- other-oa
- Locations
- Third World Quarterly (publishedVersion)
- Leeds Beckett Repository (Leeds Beckett University) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law › Rangeland Management and Livestock Ecology
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Diverse Research Studies Overview
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Political Conflict and Governance
- Keywords
- cattle ownership, armed conflict, small arms and light weapons, pastoralism, Nigeria, livestock herding, conflict factors
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