Cited by 65Rangeland Management and Livestock EcologyDiverse Research Studies OverviewPolitical Conflict and Governance

New drivers of conflict in Nigeria: an analysis of the clashes between farmers and pastoralists

Open access
Ajala, Olayinka·2020·Third World Quarterly

Abstract

In the last few years, several African countries have witnessed an increase in conflict between pastoralists and sedentary farmers and among pastoralist groups. While issues such as climate change, desertification, regional conflicts, population expansion, trafficking and terrorism have been highlighted as the reasons for the surge in violence, none of these issues fully explain the increased use of small and light weapons by several pastoralist groups and sedentary farmers. This article explores the changes in the dynamics of cattle ownership, termed neo-pastoralism, as a possible explanation for the increase in armed clashes between the groups. The article explains how traditional pastoralism is gradually giving way to neo-pastoralism, a form of pastoralism which involves larger herds and increased use of arms and ammunitions. Nigeria is used as a case study to explore these new patterns of conflict due to having the largest number of cattle in the sub-Saharan Africa region and the scale of the conflict in the country. This article is based on field research and interviews carried out in Nigeria between 2013 and 2019.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1080/01436597.2020.1811662

Cites

46 of 46 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

1 of 67 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured

  • Findingreasoning
    § From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism

    In instances where political office holders own cattle, members of their communities or ethnic groups are often employed to tend the cattle in return for wages in a manner which is painted as local empowerment.

    “In instances where political office holders own the cattle, members of their communities or ethnic groups are often employed to tend the cattle in return for wages in a manner which is painted as local empowerment.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingown data
    § Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria

    Some pastoralists interviewed stated that they bear arms to protect themselves from rustlers who attack them with the intention of stealing their cattle.

    “Some of the pastoralists interviewed stated that they bear arms to protect themselves from rustlers who attack them with the intention of stealing their cattle.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingreasoning
    § Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria

    This study observed a direct link between neo-pastoralism and increased cattle rustling in Nigeria.

    “This study observed a direct link between neo-pastoralism and increased cattle rustling in Nigeria.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingcitation
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    A key finding of this research is that the weapons purchased by neo-pastoralists to protect their cattle are also used to attack farmers whenever there are disagreements over grazing routes or destruction of farmlands by travelling pastoralists.

    “A key finding of this research is that the weapons purchased by the neo-pastoralists to protect their cattle are also used to attack farmers whenever there are disagreements over grazing routes or destruction of farmlands by travelling pastoralists.65”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [65] 65. Matthew Luizza. "African herders have been pushed into destitution and crime" The Economist, 9 November 2017. https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and- africa/2017/11/09/african-herders-have-been-pushed-into-destitution-and-crime (Accessed 17 July 2018)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Findingnone given
    § Conclusion

    Empirical research in Nigeria shows that the need of some individuals to conceal illicit wealth, coupled with an upward trend in cattle prices, has redefined the century-long established system of pastoralism.

    “Empirical research carried out in Nigeria reveals that the need to conceal illicit wealth by some individuals coupled with an upward trend in cattle prices has redefined the century-long established system of pastoralism.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 49
  • May combine two claims. 66
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingown data
    § From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism

    Interview data revealed that the BVN has made it difficult for political office holders to hide illicit wealth, and several accounts linked to politicians and their cronies with allegedly stolen funds have been frozen since its introduction.

    “Interview data revealed that the BVN has made it difficult for political office holders to hide illicit wealth 29 and several accounts linked to politicians and their cronies with allegedly stolen funds have been frozen since its introduction.30”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [29] 29. Arriola, Leonardo. "Patronage and Political Stability in Africa" Comparative Political Studies 42, no. 10 (2009): 1339-1362 BBC. "Nigeria's Benue clashes: Mass burial after farmer-Fulani clashes" 11 January 2018. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-42648492 (Accessed 12 December 2018) source

      Split into 2 atoms — 0 confirmed, 0 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 2 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [30] 30. Berman, Bruce. "Ethnicity, Patronage and the African State: The Politics of Uncivil Nationalism" African Affairs 97, no. 388 (1998): 305-341 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given
    § Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria

    There has been a significant increase in the numbers of cattle rustled in the last decade, resulting in the death of not only traditional pastoralists but also farmers, security agents and other citizens.

    “There has been a significant increase in the numbers of cattle rustled in the last decade resulting in the death of not only traditional pastoralists but also farmers, security agents and other citizens.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation
    § Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria

    While many traditional pastoralists in Nigeria still herd cattle with sticks, several pastoralists have been seen with SALW and some have been accused of being involved in cattle rustling.

    “While many traditional pastoralists could still be seen in Nigeria herding cattle with sticks, several pastoralists have been seen with SALW and some of them have been accused of being involved in cattle rustling.52”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [52] 52. Joseph, Richard. "Class, State, and Prebendal Politics in Nigeria." The Journal of Commonwealth & Comparative Politics 21, no. 3 (1983): 21-38. source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingcitation
    § From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism

    Over 30 million dormant accounts have been identified since the introduction of BVN in Nigeria.

    “Over 30 million dormant accounts have been identified since the introduction of BVN in Nigeria. 32”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [32] 32. Charlene, Cabot. "Climate change and Farmer-Herder conflicts in West Africa". In, Climate change, Security risks and conflict reduction in Africa: A study of Farmer-Herder conflicts over natural resources in Cote d Ivoire, Ghana and Burkina Faso 1960-2000. Springer- Berlin, 2017

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation
    § From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism

    An adult cow in Nigeria could cost as much as N350,000 ($1000), making cattle lucrative for potential investors.

    “An adult cow in Nigeria could cost as much as N350,000 ($1000) and this makes it lucrative for potential investors.23”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [23] 23. Adetoro Adenrele. "Boko Haram Insurgency in Nigeria as a symptom of poverty and political alienation" IOSR Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences 3, no. 5 (2012): 20-26.

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Findingown data
    § From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism

    A security analyst explained that many politicians in Nigeria have resorted to the use of cash to avoid being monitored since the introduction of the BVN, and illegally acquired funds have been channelled into agriculture with a substantive amount used to purchase cattle.

    “In another interview with a security analyst in Northern Nigeria, he explained that many politicians in Nigeria have resorted to the use of cash in order to avoid being monitored since the introduction of the BVN.He explained further that illegally acquired funds have been channelled into agriculture with a 'substantive amount' used to purchase cattle.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data
    § From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism

    Expert interviews revealed that many people who had hidden huge sums of money in Nigerian banks prior to the introduction of BVN hurriedly withdrew these monies to avoid being detected.

    “Expert interviews revealed that many people who had hidden huge sums of money in Nigerian banks prior to the introduction of BVN hurriedly withdrew these monies to avoid being detected.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation
    § From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism

    A senior banking officer reported a surge in cash withdrawn from branches before the BVN deadline, with some people preferring to withdraw money rather than apply for a BVN.

    “Some weeks before the expiration of the deadline for people to get their BVN, we observed a surge in the amount of cash withdrawn from many of our branches across the country.Rather than apply for a BVN, some people preferred to withdraw their money but I cannot ascertain if these were stolen or illegally acquired money'.33”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted). May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning
    § From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism

    A security expert stated that since the introduction of BVN, there has been an increase in the number of people using stolen wealth to purchase cattle, and that the lack of a mechanism for identifying cattle ownership makes it easy to buy hundreds of cows, leading to an artificial increase in cattle prices and a security risk because herders are often armed.

    “Since the introduction of BVN, we have seen an increase in the number of people using stolen wealth to purchase cattle.When you consider the fact that an adult cow sells for between 200,000-400,000 naira ($600-$1100: 2019 prices), and there is no mechanism for identifying cattle ownership, it is easy for people to buy hundreds of cows which translates into millions of naira.This has even led to an”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted), S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation
    § Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria

    The national secretary of Miyetti Allah cattle breeders association of Nigeria stated that if you see a Fulani man handling an AK-47, it is because cattle rustling has become so much that one wonders if there is security in the country.

    “The national secretary of Miyetti Allah cattle breeders association of Nigeria (One of the largest pastoralist groups in the country) stated 'If you see a Fulani man handling AK-47, that is because cattle rustling has become so much that one wonders if there is security in the country'.54”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [54] 54. King, Norman. "Conflict Management among the Farmers and Pastoralists in Tanzania"; International SAMANM Journal of Business and Social Science 1, no 2 (2013)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation
    § From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism

    Traditional average herd size ranges from 16 to 69, while herds linked to neo-pastoralism typically range between 50 and 1000 and often involve the use of weapons by hired herdsmen.

    “While traditional average herd size ranges from 16-69, 19 herds linked to neo-patrimonialism typically range between 50 and 1000 20 and often involves the use of weapons by the hired herdsmen.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [19] 19. Akpeji, Wantu and Ande Emmanuel, "Fulani leaders ask herdsmen to boycott anti-grazing bill hearing" 87 Erunke, "Why Nigerian Fulani won't accept ranching-Miyetti Allah" 88 Vanguard Newspaper, "Plateau Massacre, retaliation for lost 300 cows-Miyetti Allah" 89 Punch Newspaper, "Miyetti Allah is like Afenifere, Ohanaeze, Presidency says" Bibliography A Carl LeVan. "Reciprocal retaliation and local linkage: Federalism as an instrument of opposition organizing in Nigeria." African Affairs 117, no. 466 (2018): 1-20 source
    • cites [20] 20. Abbass Isah mohammed. "No retreat no surrender conflict for survival between Fulani pastoralists and farmers in northern Nigeria." European Scientific Journal 8, no 1 (2012): 331-346

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning
    § From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism

    Other interviewees agree that the steady increase in the value of cattle has opened up the industry to non-traditional pastoralists, with many using it for money laundering.

    “Other interviewees agree that the steady increase in the value of cattle has opened up the industry to non-traditional pastoralists with many using it for money laundering.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    More recently, there have been complaints that the sizes of the herds are larger, the pastoralists are unknown to the farmers, and they are armed with dangerous weapons.

    “More recently, there have been complaints that the sizes of the herds are larger, the pastoralists are unknown to the farmers and armed with dangerous weapons.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    There is strong evidence that sections of the pastoralist communities are fully armed and now operate like militias.

    “There is strong evidence that sections of the pastoralist communities are fully armed and now operate like militias, for instance, a leader of the pastoralist community in an interview boasted that his group has successfully carried out attacks in several farming communities in Northern Nigeria.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
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    Findingcitation
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    The commissioner for police in Kano state explained in an interview that many of the armed pastoralists arrested were from countries such as Senegal, Mali and Chad.

    “The commissioner for police in Kano state explained in an interview that many of the armed pastoralists arrested were from countries such as Senegal, Mali and Chad.73”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [73] 73. Olusola Fabiyi, Olaleye Aluko and Charles John. "Benue: Killer herdsmen are sponsored, says military. The Punch Newspaper, 27 April 2019, https://punchng.com/benue-killer- herdsmen-are-sponsored-says-military/ (Accessed 5 July 2020)

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    The Berom ethnic group in Plateau state have never hidden their disdain for the pastoralists and have sometimes resorted to killing pastoralists' cattle to prevent them from grazing on their lands; this has led to reprisals by the pastoralists resulting in the killing of hundreds of people in Berom communities.

    “For instance, the Berom ethnic group in Plateau state (One of the largest ethnic groups in the region) have never hidden their disdain for the pastoralists and have sometimes resorted to killing pastoralists' cattle to prevent them from grazing on their lands.This has led to reprisals by the pastoralists resulting in the killing of hundreds of people in Berom communities.74”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [74] 74. Onwughalu, Vincent and Obiorah, Collins. "Voluntary policing and the containment of Herders-Farmers conflicts in Nigeria". 5th Annual Conference of Nigerian Political Science Association (NPSA) South East Zone, on State, Security and Economy in Nigeria, April 2018.

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Findingnone given
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    Recent developments show that many traditional pastoralists now bear weapons too.

    “Recent developments show that many traditional pastoralists now bear weapons too.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation
    § Conclusion

    Data from the Centre for Democracy and Development indicates that the North Central region of Nigeria witnessed the highest number of clashes (140 clashes and 1,098 fatalities in 2018), while the South West region witnessed the highest number of clashes recorded in the Southern part of the country.

    “For instance, data obtained from the Centre for Democracy and Development (CDD) indicates that the North Central region of Nigeria witnessed the highest number of clashes (140 clashes and 1,098 fatalities in 2018) while the South West region witnessed the highest number of clashes recorded in the Southern part of the country.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted).

    Findingreasoning
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    A military officer argued that poor pastoralists with little herds cannot afford automatic rifles and the type of arms used by the assailants.

    “In an interview with a military officer, he argued that poor pastoralists with little herds cannot afford automatic rifles and the type of arms used by the assailants.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    The Nigerian military stated that the pastoralists involved in violent attacks on farmers are 'sponsored' and are not traditional pastoralists.

    “This claim was corroborated by the Nigerian military stating that the pastoralists involved in violent attacks on farmers are 'sponsored' and are not traditional pastoralists.72”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [72] 72. Okoli, Al Chukwuma and Atelhe, George. "Nomads against Natives: A Political Ecology of Herder/Farmer Conflicts in Nasarawa State, Nigeria" American International Journal of Contemporary Research 4, no. 2 (2014): 76-88

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    After protracted attacks by pastoralists in Taraba state, the federal government deployed soldiers to affected communities to prevent further attacks; despite the deployment, several attacks were still carried out with sophisticated weapons including machine guns.

    “After protracted attacks by pastoralists in the state, the federal government deployed soldiers to the affected communities to prevent further attacks.Despite the deployment of troops in the affected communities, several attacks were still carried out with sophisticated weapons including machine guns.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    Although many mainstream media in Nigeria assert that pastoralists are the aggressors in most of the conflicts, research interviews reveal that some of the attacks are revenge for the killings of pastoralists' cattle.

    “Although many mainstream media in Nigeria assert that pastoralists are the aggressors in most of the conflicts, research interviews reveal that some of the attacks are revenge for the killings of pastoralists' cattle.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning
    § Conclusion

    Traditional pastoralism is gradually giving way to more sophisticated, arms-fuelled cattle ownership, labelled neo-pastoralism, which is prevalent in semi-urban areas of Northern Nigeria.

    “Traditional pastoralism is gradually giving way to more sophisticated (arms fuelled) cattle ownership which has been labelled neo-pastoralism and is prevalent in semi-urban areas of Northern Nigeria.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    In response to increasing attacks on farmers, several farming communities have either formed vigilantes to prevent attacks on their communities or launched counter-attacks on pastoralist communities, further increasing animosity between the groups.

    “In response to increasing attacks on farmers, several farming communities have either formed vigilantes to prevent attacks on their communities or launched counter-attacks on pastoralist communities' further increasing animosity between the groups.75”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [75] 75. Ousman, Tall. "Herders vs Farmers: Resolving deadly conflict in the Sahel and West Africa". Sahel and West Africa Club (SWAC/OECD), 2018 Oxfam Research Reports. "The Human cost of uncontrolled arms in Africa: Cross-national research on seven African countries" March 2017.

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Findingown data
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    Another respondent stated that traditional pastoralists cannot afford the price of an AK47 which is sold for N400,000-N500,000 ($1,200-$1,500) in the black market in Nigeria.

    “Another respondent stated that traditional pastoralists cannot afford the price of an AK47 which is sold for N400,000 -N500,000 ($1,200-$1,500) in the black market in Nigeria.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    The Chairman of Ussa Local Government Council of Taraba state, Mr. Rimamsikwe Karma, stated that the pastoralists involved in the attacks on farmers are not the regular pastoralists they had known, and that they are 'strange'.

    “The Chairman of Ussa Local Government Council of Taraba state, Mr. Rimamsikwe Karma, stated that the pastoralists involved in the attacks on farmers are not the regular pastoralists they had known, stating that they are 'strange'.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Introduction

    There has been an increase in the intensity and frequency of conflicts among pastoral groups and between farmers and pastoralists, resulting in a change in the dynamics of the conflicts.

    “Although conflicts among pastoral groups 2 and between farmers and pastoralists are not new and have occurred for centuries 3 with the former being more pronounced 4 , there has been an increase in the intensity and frequency resulting in a change in the dynamics of the conflicts.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [2] 2. IIED, "Farmer-Herder Conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa"; FAOSTAT, Livestock and Livelihood Spotlight: Nigeria-Cattle and Poultry Sectors 10 Although several issues have been identified by many scholars as being responsible for a surge in the violence, issues relating to climate change and desertification top the list. See Medugu et al, " Assessing the vulnerability of farmers, fishermen and herdsmen to climate change"; Reuveny, "Climate change-induced migration and violent conflict"; Podesta and Ogden, "The Security Implications of Climate Change"; Mohammed, "No retreat no surrender"; Adekola,

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites [3] 3. De Bruijn M. & van Dijk H. "Changing population mobility in West Africa." 19 Kubkomawa, "Indigenous Breeds of Cattle" 20 FAO. "Livestock and Environment Spotlight Cattle and Poultry Sectors in Nigeria". 21 Luizza, " African herders have been pushed into destitution and crime" 22 Interview with pastoral expert at International Institute for Environment and Development 23

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites [4] 4. Ajala, "Why clashes are on the rise between farmers and herdsmen in the Sahel."; Nigerian price, "Prices of cows in Nigeria" 24 The main reason for the higher prices in the south is because of the transportation cost as well as the profit derived by middlemen. Cattle are often purchased directly from pastoralists in Northern Nigeria.

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Introduction

    Conflicts among pastoral groups and between farmers and pastoralists are not new and have occurred for centuries, with conflicts among pastoral groups being more pronounced.

    “Although conflicts among pastoral groups 2 and between farmers and pastoralists are not new and have occurred for centuries 3 with the former being more pronounced 4 , there has been an increase in the intensity and frequency resulting in a change in the dynamics of the conflicts.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [2] 2. IIED, "Farmer-Herder Conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa"; FAOSTAT, Livestock and Livelihood Spotlight: Nigeria-Cattle and Poultry Sectors 10 Although several issues have been identified by many scholars as being responsible for a surge in the violence, issues relating to climate change and desertification top the list. See Medugu et al, " Assessing the vulnerability of farmers, fishermen and herdsmen to climate change"; Reuveny, "Climate change-induced migration and violent conflict"; Podesta and Ogden, "The Security Implications of Climate Change"; Mohammed, "No retreat no surrender"; Adekola,

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites [3] 3. De Bruijn M. & van Dijk H. "Changing population mobility in West Africa." 19 Kubkomawa, "Indigenous Breeds of Cattle" 20 FAO. "Livestock and Environment Spotlight Cattle and Poultry Sectors in Nigeria". 21 Luizza, " African herders have been pushed into destitution and crime" 22 Interview with pastoral expert at International Institute for Environment and Development 23

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites [4] 4. Ajala, "Why clashes are on the rise between farmers and herdsmen in the Sahel."; Nigerian price, "Prices of cows in Nigeria" 24 The main reason for the higher prices in the south is because of the transportation cost as well as the profit derived by middlemen. Cattle are often purchased directly from pastoralists in Northern Nigeria.

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § Introduction

    Cattle rustling was often organised by community leaders who managed the whole process, including compensation to communities where raids had taken place.

    “Furthermore, cattle rustling was often organised by community leaders who managed the whole process (often with strict laws of engagement), including compensation to communities where the raids have taken place.6”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [6] 6. Catley and Aklilu, "Moving up or moving out?" 36 Little, " Absentee herd owners and part-time pastoralists" 37 Field interviews carried out in 2017 in Nigeria 38 Triche, "Pastoral Conflict in Kenya" 39 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Introduction

    Conflicts between pastoral groups sometimes arise from cattle rustling or raiding and were previously used for specific purposes such as replenishing family herds after prolonged droughts or disease outbreaks, for marriage rites, or to settle scores between pastoral communities.

    “Conflicts between pastoral groups sometimes arise as a result of cattle rustling or raiding and were previously used for specific purposes such as replenishing family herds after prolonged droughts or disease outbreaks, for marriage rites or to settle scores between pastoral communities.5”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [5] 5. Pulse Nigeria, "This is why Governor stormed banks with thugs": See also; The Nation Nigeria, "Revealed: How $22.3m hit Jonathan's wife's accounts." 31 Nigeria Communications Week, "Fear of BVN" 32 Ibid ; See also Premium times Nigeria, 'Amidst anti-corruption war, BVN, bank customers reduce across Nigeria' 33 Interview with senior banking officer, Lagos state 34 Interview with security expert in Maiduguri, December 2017; Thousands of cattle in Nigeria are owned by non-pastoralists who arm the herders. See Niyi Akinnaso, 'Who are the cattle owners in Nigeria?' ; See also PM News, 'Most Nige

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given
    § Introduction

    The use of arms by pastoralists has increased, and this increase can be attributed to three main factors: increased conflicts between pastoral groups, increased conflict between pastoralists and sedentary farmers, and increased cattle rustling and the resulting need for protection against rustlers.

    “The increase in the use of arms by pastoralists can be attributed to three main factors: First, an increase in conflicts between pastoral groups, second is an increase in conflict between pastoralists and sedentary farmers and third, an increase in cattle rustling and the resultant need for protection against rustlers.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria

    As at March 2017, an estimated 100 million SALW were present in crisis zones around the world with Africa hosting a large percentage of these weapons.

    “As at March 2017, an estimated 100 million SALW were present in crisis zones around the world with Africa hosting a large percentage of these weapons.50”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [50] 50. International Crises Group. "Herders against Farmers: Nigeria's expanding deadly conflict" Africa/Report No 252, 19 September 2017 International Crises Group. "Herders against farmers: Nigeria's expanding deadly conflict". Report No 252/Africa, 19 September 2017, https://www.crisisgroup.org/africa/west- africa/nigeria/252-herders-against-farmers-nigerias-expanding-deadly-conflict (Accessed 12 December 2018)

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism

    The Central Bank of Nigeria stated that some billions of Naira and millions of other foreign currencies are trapped in some banks' accounts which owners suddenly stopped operating.

    “The Central Bank of Nigeria stated that 'some billions of Naira and millions of other foreign currencies are trapped in some banks' accounts which owners suddenly stopped operating' 31 .”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [31] 31. Catley, Andy and Aklilu, Yacob "Moving up or moving out? Commercialization, growth and destitution in pastoralists areas. eds, in Andy Catley, Jeremy Lind and Ian Scoones, Pastoralism and Development in Africa: Dynamic Change at the Margins, 2013, Routledge: source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria

    Arms are trafficked to Nigeria and other countries via the Central African Republic (CAR) corridor through a highly diversified range of trafficking dynamics.

    “Arms are trafficked to Nigeria and other countries via the Central African Republic (CAR) corridor through a 'highly diversified range of trafficking dynamics'.47”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [47] 47. Hutchinson, R.A. "Stock and Methods of Animal Husbandry." In Agriculture and Land Use in Ghana, edited by B. Wills. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1962.

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism

    In 2014, the Nigerian government introduced a Bank Verification Number (BVN) as a measure to curb corruption, especially money laundering.

    “In 2014, one of the measures introduced by the government to curb corruption especially money laundering was the introduction of a Bank Verification Number (BVN).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [27] 27. Akinyemi, Temitope and Olaniyan, Azeez. "Nigeria: Climate War and farmer-herder conflicts" Conflict Studies Quarterly, no. 21 (2017): 3-21

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria

    A key conclusion of the panel is that trafficking from Libya was fuelling conflict, insecurity and terrorism in several countries in Africa.

    “A key conclusion of the panel is that trafficking from Libya was fuelling conflict, insecurity and terrorism in several countries in Africa.48”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [48] 48. Ibekwe, Nicholas. "How Nigerian govt. is fuelling conflict between Nigeria's Fulani herdsmen, host communities -Report" Premium Times Nigeria, 21 October 2015

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Introduction

    In addition to climate change, armed conflicts, trafficking and terrorism have led to increased arms proliferation, increased cattle rustling and decreased grazing areas respectively.

    “In addition to climate change, other factors such as armed conflicts, trafficking and terrorism have also led to increased arms proliferations, increased cattle rustling and decreased grazing areas respectively.12”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [12] 12. See King, " Conflict Management among the Farmers and Pastoralists in Tanzania"; Makinta, Hamisu, and Bello, "Influence of Traditional Institutions in Farmer-herder Conflicts Management in Borno State, Nigeria"; These claims were corroborated when I interviewed farmers and pastoralists in the case study areas with one of the farmers stating that some herdsmen even offer payment for grazing on his harvested stocks. 59 Davidheiser and Luna, "From Complementarity to Conflict" 60 Ibid 61 Ibid, 79

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § Introduction

    According to the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED), the clashes in Nigeria and the resultant fatalities surpass those of the other countries.

    “According to the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED), the clashes in Nigeria and the resultant fatalities surpass those of the other countries.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites ACLED

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation
    § Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria

    A United Nations Security Council panel of experts on the Libyan conflict stated that the uprising in Libya has led to unprecedented arms proliferation not only in neighbouring countries but throughout the continent.

    “A panel of experts formed by the United Nations Security Council on the Libyan conflict stated that the uprising in Libya has led to unprecedented arms proliferation not only in neighbouring countries but throughout the continent.46”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [46] 46. Homer-Dixton, T.F. Environment, scarcity, and violence. Princeton: University Press, 1999.

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given
    § Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria

    The illicit arms trade industry has blossomed in Africa, where porous borders are common around most countries, with weapons moving freely across the borders.

    “The illicit arms trade industry has blossomed in Africa, where porous borders are common around most countries, with weapons moving freely across the borders.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation
    § From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism

    While the increase in absentee herd owners is not a new development due to the economic importance of cattle in Africa, what is new is the dynamics of ownership and the resulting neo-patrimonial relationship.

    “While the increase in 'absentee herd owners' is not a new development due to the economic importance of cattle in Africa, 36 what is new is the dynamics of ownership and the resulting neo-patrimonial relationship.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [36] 36. Channels TV. "Big Story: Focus on Cattle Rustling in Nigeria Part 1." 1 March 2016. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hYuIfqLJJ4I (Accessed 1 August 2018)

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning
    § Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria

    The shift to economically motivated cattle rustling could be partly attributed to the price of cattle, increased demand for meat due to population increase, and the ease of acquiring weapons.

    “This could be partly attributed to issues such as the price of cattle, increased demand for meat due to population increase and the ease of acquiring weapons.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria

    Azeez and Aliyu argued that for decades, cattle rustling was localised, seasonal, and pursued with mostly traditional weapons with a low level of violence.

    “Azeez and Aliyu argued that for decades, cattle rustling was 'localised, seasonal, and pursued with mostly traditional weapons' with low level of violence.39”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [39] 39. Emmanuel Terkimbi Akov. "The resource-conflict debate revisited: Untangling the case of farmer-herdsman clashes in the North Central region of Nigeria." African Security Review 26, no.3 (2017), 288-307

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning
    § Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria

    While most trafficked weapons fall into the hands of insurgent and terrorist groups, pastoralists have also increasingly used SALW.

    “While most of the trafficked weapons fall into the hands of insurgent and terrorist groups, pastoralists have also increasingly used SALW.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning
    § Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria

    Most cattle rustling activities witnessed in the last decade have been motivated by economic profiteering and are market oriented.

    “On the contrary, most of the cattle rustling activities witnessed in the last decade have been motivated by economic profiteering and are market oriented.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Introduction

    Nigeria houses the largest number of cattle (about 20 million) and pastoralists in West Africa.

    “This is partly because Nigeria houses the largest number of cattle (about 20 million) and pastoralists in West Africa.9”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [9] 9. Kuna and Ibrahim, "Rural Banditory and Conflicts in Northern Nigeria" 53 Kuna and Ibrahim, "Rural Banditory and Conflicts in Northern Nigeria" 54 Ngelzarma, "Fulani National leader" 55 Interview data from Benue, Nassarawa and Kwara (North Central Nigeria)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Introduction

    Owing to an increase in the value of cattle, traditional pastoralism is gradually giving way to more sophisticated cattle ownership labelled neo-pastoralism, which is prevalent in semi-urban areas.

    “Owing to an increase in the value of cattle, traditional pastoralism is gradually giving way to more sophisticated cattle ownership which has been labelled neo-pastoralism and is prevalent in semi-urban areas.14”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [14] 14. Adeseun, "How Unidentified Helicopter Delivers Supplies To Fulani Herdsmen In Delta Desert' - House Of Assembly Member" 71 Ugwuanyi "Herdsmen now attack us with machine guns-Taraba residence" 72

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given
    § Introduction

    The issues identified by the IIED do not sufficiently explain the increase in conflict in the last decade, nor do they explain the increased use of small and light weapons (SALW) by pastoralist groups and farming communities.

    “Although convincing, the issues identified do not sufficiently explain the increase in conflict in the last decade, neither does it explain the increased use of small and light weapons (SALW) by pastoralist groups and farming communities.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria

    Pastoralists in Sudan and South Sudan have openly displayed SALW for over 10 years.

    “For instance, pastoralists in Sudan and South Sudan have openly displayed SALW for over 10 years.51”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [51] 51. Jonah, Leff. "Pastoralists at War: Violence and Security in the Kenya-Sudan-Uganda Border Region," International Journal of Conflict and Violence 3, no. 2 (2009) 188-203

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria

    Previously, the motive behind cattle rustling was either to replenish lost family stock, pay bride prices for young men, or to settle differences, so it was not market oriented or primarily done for economic purposes.

    “Previously, the motive behind cattle rustling was either to replenish lost family stock, pay for bride prices for young men or to settle differences, so, it was not market oriented or primarily done for economic purposes.44”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [44] 44. Halliru Salisu Lawal. "Security Implication of Climate Change Between Farmers and Cattle Rearers in Northern Nigeria: A Case Study of Three Communities in Kura Local Government of Kano State". In: Leal Filho W. (eds) Handbook of Climate Change Adaptation. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg, 2015.

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation
    § From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism

    Traditional pastoralists strive to maintain good relationships with farmers to maintain their symbiotic relationship, while hired herders do not have any incentive to invest in social relations with farmers since they possess weapons which could be used to intimidate farmers.

    “In addition, while traditional pastoralists strive to maintain good relationships with farmers to maintain their symbiotic relationship, hired herders do not have any incentive to invest in social relations with farmers since they possess weapons which could be used to intimidate the farmers 22 .”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [22] 22. Adeseun, Anuoluwapo. "How Unidentified Helicopter Delivers Supplies to Fulani Herdsmen in Delta Desert -House Of Assembly Member" Nigerian Monitor, 9 March 2017. http://www.nigerianmonitor.com/lawmaker-says-helicopter-delives-supplies-to-fulani- herdsmen-in-delta-desert/ (Accessed 9 August 2018)

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria

    Apart from hired herders who use weapons to engage in rustling, there are also professional bandits who primarily engage in cattle rustling in several parts of Nigeria.

    “Apart from the hired herders who use the weapons available to them to engage in rustling, there are also 'professional bandits' who primarily engage in cattle rustling in several parts of Nigeria. 53”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [53] 53. Kazeem, Yomi. "Nigeria now has a bigger internal security threat than Boko Haram" Quartz Africa, 19 January 2017. https://qz.com/africa/886949/fulani-herdsmen-are-now-a-bigger- security-threat-for-nigeria-than-boko-haram/ (Accessed on 1 August 2018)

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Introduction

    The International Institute for Environment and Development (IIED) identified several causes of the conflict: institutional failure in the management of land and natural resources, lack of infrastructural investment, changes in livestock and cropping system, increasing wealth differentials among pastoralist groups, poor policy structures, and the non-involvement of pastoralists and farmers in决策.

    “These include institutional failure in the management of land and natural resources, lack of infrastructural investment, changes in livestock and cropping system, increasing wealth differentials among pastoralist groups, poor policy structures and the non-involvement of pastoralists and farmers in decision making processes.13”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [13] 13. Halliru, " Security Implication of Climate Change Between Farmers and Cattle Rearers in Northern Nigeria" 63 Fasona and Omojola, "Climate Change, Human Security and Communal Clashes in Nigeria" 64 Akinyemi and Olaniyan, "Nigeria: Climate War and farmer-herder conflicts" 65 This was affirmed by several interviewees including farmers, herdsmen and government officials. 66 Ugwuanyi "Herdsmen now attack us with machine guns-Taraba residence" 67 Salkida "Exclusive on Fulani herdsmen" 68 Most interviewees agreed with this argument. 69 Interview with a military officer in Nigeria, September 2016 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning
    § Introduction

    The changing nature of pastoralism throughout Africa, resulting in new patterns of cattle ownership and management, is a significant causal factor in the increase in conflict.

    “This article argues that the changing nature of pastoralism throughout Africa resulting in new patterns of cattle ownership and management is a significant causal factor worth exploring in greater detail.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism

    Several studies have identified corruption, especially in the polity, as a key reason for insurgency in Nigeria.

    “Several studies 26 have identified corruption especially in the polity as a key reason for insurgency in the country.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [26] 26. Akinnaso, Niyi. "Who are the cattle owners in Nigeria?" Punch Newspaper, 13 March 2018. https://punchng.com/who-are-the-cattle-owners-in-nigeria/ (Accessed 11 December 2018)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism

    The aim of the BVN was to monitor banking transactions and reduce or eliminate money laundering.

    “The aim of the BVN was to monitor banking transactions and reduce or eliminate money laundering.27”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [27] 27. Akinyemi, Temitope and Olaniyan, Azeez. "Nigeria: Climate War and farmer-herder conflicts" Conflict Studies Quarterly, no. 21 (2017): 3-21

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria

    The panel gathered information from 14 countries in Africa and concluded that Nigeria is one of the countries affected by arms proliferations from Libya.

    “The panel gathered information from 14 countries in Africa and concluded that Nigeria is one of the countries affected by arms proliferations from Libya.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [46] 46. Homer-Dixton, T.F. Environment, scarcity, and violence. Princeton: University Press, 1999.

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § Introduction

    Konczacki stated that rapid population growth and vagaries of the climate have negatively impacted pastoralism and agricultural productivity in Sub-Saharan Africa since the early 1970s.

    “Konczacki while exploring the economics of pastoralism in the late 1970s stated that 'rapid population growth' and 'vagaries of the climate' have negatively impacted on pastoralism and agricultural productivity in Sub-Saharan Africa since early 1970s.11”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [11] 11. Ajala, "Why clashes are on the rise between farmers and herdsmen in the Sahel."

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria

    Although the Libyan conflict is a major source of arms proliferation in Africa, live conflicts in other countries including South Sudan, Somalia, Mali, Central African Republic, Burundi and the Democratic Republic of Congo have also provided arms to various groups including neo-pastoralists.

    “Although the Libyan conflict is a major source of arms proliferation in Africa, there are 'live' conflicts in other countries which have also provided arms to various groups including neopastoralists.These include South Sudan, Somalia, Mali, Central African Republic, Burundi and the Democratic republic of Congo.49”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [49] 49. Idowu Opeyemi Aluko. "Urban Violence Dimension in Nigeria: Farmers and Herders Onslaught" Agathos-An International review of humanities and Social Sciences 8, no. 1 (2017): 187-206 International Institute for Environment and Development. "Farmer-Herder Conflict in Sub- Saharan Africa: An Overview of the issue" International Institute for Environment and Development, January 2018.

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning
    § From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism

    Neo-pastoralism differs from traditional pastoralism in terms of cattle ownership, average herd sizes and the use of weapons.

    “Neo-pastoralism differs from this in terms of cattle ownership, average herd sizes and the use of weapons.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Introduction

    Pastoralist conflicts previously occurred predominantly in the Horn of Africa due to the high number of pastoralists and the traditional occupational structure, but have now spread to countries in other regions such as Nigeria, Ghana, Mali, Niger, Mauritania, Ivory Coast and Senegal.

    “Previously, pastoralist conflicts occurred predominantly in the horn of Africa due to the high number of pastoralists and the traditional occupational structure, 8 however, the conflicts have now spread to countries in other regions such as Nigeria, Ghana, Mali, Niger, Mauritania, Ivory Coast and Senegal.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [8] 8. Toulmin, " Tracking through Drought: Options for Destocking and Restocking" 43 Markakis, "Conflict and the Decline of pastoralism in the horn of Africa". 44 Fleisher, "War is Good for Thieving!" 45 This trend is common in the North Central region of Nigeria based on the accounts of several interviewees. 46 UNSC, "Report of the Panel of Experts reports, 2017" 47 Ibid; See also: Strazzari "Libyan arms and regional instability" 48 Ibid 49 Global Conflict Tracker-1 August 2018 50 Oxfam Research Reports, "The Human cost of uncontrolled arms in Africao" 51 Ibid

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation
    § Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria

    Events in several African countries have increased arms proliferation in the region, providing weapons to neo-pastoralists for 'herd protection' which are also used for rustling.

    “Events in several African countries have increased arms proliferation in the region providing weapons to neo-pastoralists for 'herd protection' which are also used for rustling.45”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [45] 45. Hill, P. "The Occupation of Migrants in Ghana." Anthropological Papers No. 42, Ann Arbor: 1970. The University of Michigan.

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § From pastoralism to neo-pastoralism

    Catley and Aklilu found that pastoralist poverty has not decreased despite the increase in cattle prices, and that in the last 30-40 years the number of poor pastoralists has increased sharply.

    “Despite the increase in cattle prices in the last few decades especially with an expansion in the export market, Catley and Aklilu found that pastoralist poverty has not decreased.They argued that in the last 30-40 years, the number of poor pastoralists has increased sharply.35”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [35] 35. Clemens, Greiner. "Guns, land, and votes: Cattle rustling and the politics of boundary (re)making in Northern Kenya." African Affairs 112, no. 447 (2013): 216-237

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    Although the ruling elite mostly understand the dynamics of this conflict, politics often play a significant role in the reporting or lack of reporting of the conflict, potential solutions, as well as the response of the Nigerian state.

    “Although the ruling elite mostly understand the dynamics of this conflict, politics often play a significant role in the reporting/ lack of reporting of the conflict, potential solutions as well as the response of the Nigerian state.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductnone given
    § Conclusion

    Comprehensive data were obtained from the ACLED, the Institute of Governance and Social Research (IGSR) and the Centre for Democracy and Development (CDD) West Africa.

    “In addition, comprehensive data were obtained from the ACLED, Institute of Governance and Social Research (IGSR) and Centre for Democracy and Development (CDD) West Africa.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    While potential solutions such as expansion of grazing lands, disarming of armed pastoralists, compensation for farmers, securitization of farming communities, addressing issues related to climate change and combating cattle rustling have all been discussed, the conflict has been fraught with political calculations which makes it difficult to resolve.

    “While potential solutions such as expansion of grazing lands, 76 disarming of armed pastoralists, 77 compensation for farmers, 78 securitization of farming communities, 79 addressing issues related to climate change 80 and combating cattle rustling 81 have all been discussed, the conflict has been fraught with political calculations which makes it difficult to resolve.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [76] 76. PM News. "Most Nigerian cattle not owned by Fulani Herdsmen-Shawulu". 29 April 2016. https://www.pmnewsnigeria.com/2016/04/29/most-nigerian-cattle-not-owned-by-fulani- herdsmen-shawulu/ (Accessed 11 December 2018)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites [77] 77. Podesta, John and Peter, Ogden. "The Security Implications of Climate Change." The Washington Quarterly 31, no. 1 (2008): 115-138 source
    • cites [78] 78. Popoola, Nike. "Herdsmen: No Insurance compensation for farmers." Punch Nigeria, 28 January 2018. https://punchng.com/herdsmen-no-insurance-compensation-for-farmers/ (Accessed 12 December 2018) Premium times Nigeria. "Amidst anti-corruption war, BVN, bank customers reduce across Nigeria". Premium times, Nigeria. 18 March 2018, https://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/headlines/262227-amidst-anti-corruption-war-bvn- bank-customers-reduce-across-nigeria.html (Accessed 11 December 2018)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    Linking the farmer-pastoralist conflict in Nigeria to ethnicity and religion diverts attention from the core issues and creates division between previously integrated communities.

    “First, linking this conflict to ethnicity and religion often diverts attention from the core issues and creates division between previously integrated communities.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: Almost all pastoralists in the conflict are of Fulani descent, yet most of the attacks are directed against other ethnic groups.
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Farmer/ Pastoralist conflicts: New dynamics

    Occasionally, when grazing activities destroyed farm produce and conflicts arose, there was a conflict resolution mechanism in place between farmers and pastoralists and differences were usually resolved without recourse to violent conflicts.

    “Occasionally, when grazing activities destroyed farm produce and conflicts arose, there was a conflict resolution mechanism in place between the farmers and the pastoralists and differences were usually resolved without recourse to violent conflicts.58”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [58] 58. Kuna, Mohammed and Ibrahim, Jibrin. "Rural Banditry and Conflicts in Northern Nigeria" Centre for democracy and development, 2015

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given
    § Conclusion

    A total of 70 interviews were carried out between 2013 and 2019, with interviewees selected under four categories: farmers, representatives of pastoral groups, government officials and experts on the topic.

    “A total of 70 interviews were carried out between 2013 and 2019 with the interviewees selected under four categories: Farmers, representatives of pastoral groups, government officials and experts on the topic.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationnone given
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    The debate on grazing and the provision of ranches in Nigeria is often politicised and painted as either the marginalisation of the Fulanis or the preferential treatment of the Fulanis, depending on who is involved.

    “Second, the debate on grazing and the provision of ranches are often politicised and painted in a manner akin to either the marginalisation of the Fulanis or the preferential treatment of the Fulanis, depending on who is involved in the debate.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).

    Interpretationreasoning
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    The inability of the Nigerian ruling elite to address the impact of the neo-pastoralist dimension of the conflict is problematic.

    “In addition, the inability of the ruling elite in Nigeria to address the impact of the neopastoralist dimension of the conflict is problematic.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    Despite Miyetti Allah justifying the killing of scores of people in Plateau state in 2018 as retaliation for the killing of 300 cows by farming communities, the government refused to act against the group, claiming it is a socio-cultural group representing Fulani interests.

    “Despite Miyetti Allah justifying the killing of scores of people in Plateau state in 2018 as a retaliation for the killing of 300 cows by the farming communities, 88 the government refused to take any action on the group claiming that it is a socio-cultural group representing the interests of Fulanis.89”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [88] 88. Tonah, Steve. "Migration and Farmer-Herder Conflicts in Ghana's Volta Basin." Canadian Journal of African Studies 40, No. 1 (2006), pp. 152-178 source
    • cites [89] 89. Toulmin, Camilla. "Tracking through Drought: Options for Destocking and Restocking" in Ian Scoones (eds) Living with Uncertainty, new directions in Pastoral Development in Africa.

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    The types of arms and ammunitions involved in these attacks are beyond the reach of traditional pastoralists and point towards neo-pastoralists.

    “The types of arms and ammunitions involved in these attacks are beyond the reach of traditional pastoralists and point towards neo-pastoralists.68”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [68] 68. Mkutu, Kennedy Agade. Guns and Governance in the Rift Vally: Pastoralist Conflict and Small arms. Oxford: James Currey, 2008
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given
    § Conclusion

    The dynamics of the farmer-pastoralist conflict in Nigeria are more complicated than has been reported and crucial aspects of the conflict have not been addressed.

    “The article argues that the dynamics of the conflict are more complicated than has been reported and crucial aspects of the conflict have not been”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § Farmer/ Pastoralist conflicts: New dynamics

    Davidheiser and Luna identified the combination of colonialization and the introduction of capitalism to Africa as one of the principal causes of the conflict between pastoralists and farmers on the continent.

    “Davidheiser and Luna identified the combination of colonialization and the introduction of capitalism to Africa as one of the principal causes of the conflict between pastoralists and farmers on the continent.59”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [59] 59. Lamphear, J. "The traditional history of the Jie of Uganda". Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1976.

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    Many Nigerians believe that Miyetti Allah has been deliberately shielded by the government because the sitting president, President Buhari, is from the Fulani ethnic group.

    “This has led many Nigerians to think that the group has been deliberately shielded by the government as the sitting president (President Buhari) is from the Fulani ethnic group.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The sitting Nigerian president, President Buhari, is from the Fulani ethnic group.
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning
    § Conclusion

    The failure of the Nigerian state to deal with the conflict stems from a combination of inability to address the neo-pastoral aspect of the conflict and unwillingness to alter the neo-patrimonial balance of the state.

    “The article also argues that the failure of the Nigerian state to deal with the issue stems from a combination of inability to address the neo-pastoral aspect of the conflict as well as the unwillingness to alter the neo-patrimonial balance of the state.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisenone given
    § Farmer/ Pastoralist conflicts: New dynamics

    In the pre-colonial symbiotic relationship, cattle grazed on foliage after harvest in the dry season, and in return for grazing and right of way, cattle droppings were used as manure; this was a period of small holding farms and family owned cattle and both farmers and herdsmen benefitted.

    “The cattle grazed on the foliage provided by the farmers after their harvest usually in the dry season when the pastoralists move their cattle further southwards to graze.In return for the grazing and right of way provided by the farmers, the cattle's droppings were used by the farmers as manure to fertilize their farmlands.This was a period of small holding farms and family owned sizes of cattle”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    Influential religious, ethnic and political leaders often engage in political and ethnic manipulations while purportedly addressing the conflict, which often stokes rather than douses tensions.

    “Furthermore, influential religious, ethnic and political leaders often engage in political and ethnic manipulations while purportedly addressing the issue which often stokes rather than douse tensions.83”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [83] 83. Sahara Reporters. "APC is a Miyetti Allah Party that values cows over humans, says ex- Benue chieftain" Sahara Reporters, 15 June 2018

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Farmer/ Pastoralist conflicts: New dynamics

    The integration of capitalism and modern modes of production resulted in a shift from exchange-based relations between farmers and pastoralists to marketisation and commodification, which increased pressure and demand for natural resources and destabilised the previous symbiotic relationship.

    “The analysis offered is that the integration of capitalism and modern modes of production resulted in a shift from 'exchange-based relations' between the farmers and the pastoralists to 'marketisation and commodification' which increased the pressure and demand for natural resources between the pair and destabilised the previous symbiotic relationship.61”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [61] 61. Lewis, Peter. "Endgame in Nigeria? The Politics of failed democratic transition." African Affairs, 93, no. 372 (1994): 323-340 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Farmer/ Pastoralist conflicts: New dynamics

    Davidheiser and Luna argued that changes in land tenure laws during the colonial era coupled with changes in farming techniques following the adoption of modern farming methods such as irrigation agriculture and sedentarisation schemes for transhumant pastoralists disrupted the symbiotic relationship between farmers and pastoralists, increasing the likelihood of conflict.

    “They argued that changes in land tenure laws during the colonial era coupled with changes in farming techniques following the adoption of modern farming methods such as irrigation agriculture and 'sedentarisation schemes for transhumant pastoralists' disrupted the symbiotic relationship between the farmers and the pastoralists increasing the likelihood of conflict between the groups.60”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [60] 60. Lewis, Peter. "From Prebendalism to Predation: The Political Economy of decline in Nigeria." The Journal of Modern African Studies 34, no. 1 (1996): 79-103 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § Farmer/ Pastoralist conflicts: New dynamics

    In a quantitative research carried out in Kano state, Nigeria in 2010, Halliru identifies desert encroachment as a major source of resource struggle leading to conflicts between pastoralists and farmers in Northern Nigeria.

    “In a quantitative research carried out in Kano state, Nigeria in 2010, Halliru identifies desert encroachment as a major source of resource struggle leading to conflicts between pastoralists and farmers in Northern Nigeria.62”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [62] 62. Little, Peter. "Absentee herd owners and part-time pastoralists: The political economy of resource use in northern Kenya." Human Ecology 13, (1985) 131-151 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    In June 2018, after several affected states individually established anti-grazing laws, the federal government of Nigeria announced plans to spend N179 billion (about $600 million) to build ranches in 10 states.

    “In June 2018, after several states affected by the conflict decided to individually establish anti-grazing laws on their lands, the federal government of Nigeria in an attempt to end the conflict and offer a coherent solution announced plans to spend N179 billion (about $600 million) to build ranches in 10 states.84”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [84] 84. Salkilda, Ahmad. "Exclusive on Fulani herdsmen: "We have machine guns, bombs and military uniforms-Jauro Buba" Salkida, 9 July 2018. http://salkida.com/exclusive-on-fulani- herdsmen-we-have-machine-guns-bombs-and-military-uniforms-ready-for-war-jauro-buba/ (Accessed 9 August 2018)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    Rather than address the issues responsible for the conflict, Nigerian politicians often accentuate the ethnic motivations for the conflict in order to increase their own popularity and create patronage, as with other conflicts in Nigeria.

    “Rather than address the issues identified as responsible for the conflict, politicians often accentuate the ethnic motivations for the conflict in order to increase their own popularity and to create patronage as with other conflicts in Nigeria.82”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [82] 82. Reuveny, Rafael. "Climate change-induced migration and violent conflict". Political Geography 26, no. 6 (2007): 656-673 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation
    § Changing dynamics of pastoralism and the new wave of violence in Nigeria

    Conflicting interests in the pastoralist industry are leading to an arms race and creating a warlike environment as increasing numbers of traditional pastoralists have also resorted to bearing weapons to protect themselves and their cattle.

    “These conflicting interests in the pastoralist industry is leading to an arms race and creating a warlike environment as increasing numbers of traditional pastoralists have also resorted to bearing weapons to protect themselves and their cattle.55”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [55] 55. Konczacki, Zbigniew. "The Economics of Pastoralism: A Case study of Sub-Saharan Africa". London: Frank Class and Company, 1978

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation
    § Farmer/ Pastoralist conflicts: New dynamics

    This new pattern of migration increases the pressure on land and land resources, resulting in conflicts between farmers and herdsmen.

    “This new pattern of migration increases the pressure on land and land resources resulting in conflicts between farmers and herdsmen.64”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [64] 64. Markakis, John. "Conflict and the Decline of Pastoralism in the Horn of Africa." Palgrave: Macmillan, 1993

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    These changes make traditional conflict management between farmers and pastoralists more difficult and sometimes impossible.

    “These changes make traditional conflict management between farmers and pastoralists more difficult and sometimes impossible.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    These assertions further indicate that the ownership of these cattle is questionable.

    “These assertions further indicate that the ownership of these cattle is questionable.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    Many owners of large cattle herds are influential elites with considerable influence, which makes prosecution of crimes difficult.

    “Furthermore, many owners of large cattle herds are influential elites with considerable influence which makes prosecution of crimes difficult.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given
    § Conclusion

    A combination of purposive and snowball sampling was used to identify and select the most suitable people to be interviewed.

    “A combination of purposive and snowball sampling was used to identify and select the most suitable people to be interviewed.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning
    § Number of attacks fatalities

    The politicisation of the grazing and ranching issue, coupled with the government's lackadaisical approach, makes every move towards resolving the conflict unattractive to the parties involved.

    “The politicisation of the issue coupled with the lackadaisical approach of the government makes every move towards resolving the conflict unattractive to the parties involved.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
91 of 91
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The three regions selected for the research (North Central, North West and South West) are representative of the farmer-pastoralist conflict in Nigeria.

    “The three regions selected for the purpose of the research were based on their exposure to the conflict.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Almost all pastoralists in the conflict are of Fulani descent, yet most of the attacks are directed against other ethnic groups.

    “While almost all the pastoralists are of Fulani descent, most of the attacks are directed against other ethnic groups.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The sitting Nigerian president, President Buhari, is from the Fulani ethnic group.

    “the sitting president (President Buhari) is from the Fulani ethnic group”
3 of 3

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

  • Exchange rate is reversed in the cattle-price table

    Minor

    The table says one naira equals $350, but the paper's example of N350,000 equaling $1,000 implies that one naira equals about $0.00286.

    Reported 350 · recomputed 0.002857

1 of 1

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 8

  1. Abbass Isah Mohammed., 2012, European Scientific Journal, 8, 331
  2. Mark Davidheiser, 2008, Africa Journal on Conflict Resolution, 8, 77
  3. Fasona Mayowa, 2005, Paper presented at the Human Security and Climate Change International Workshop, Holmer Fjord Hotel
  4. Idowu Aluko Opeyemi., 2017, Agathos – An International Review of Humanities and Social Sciences, 8, 187
  5. King Norman., 2013, International SAMANM Journal of Business and Social Science, 1, 40
  6. Kubkomawa H. I., 2017, International Journal of Research Studies in Agricultural Sciences (IJRSAS), 3, 27
  7. Leff Jonah., 2009, International Journal of Conflict and Violence, 3, 188
  8. Onwughalu, Vincent, and CollinsObiorah. “Voluntary Policing and the Containment of Herders–Farmers Conflicts in Nigeria.” Paper presented at the 5th Annual Conference of Nigerian Political Science Association (NPSA) South East Zone, on State, Security and Economy in Nigeria, Abia state University, Abia, Nigeria, April 2018.

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Ajala, O.
Affiliations
Leeds Beckett University (GB)
Corresponding author
Ajala, Olayinka
Venue
Third World Quarterly
Published
2020-09-09
Volume
41
Issue
12
Pages
2048-2066
ISSN
  • 0143-6597 (ISSN-L)
  • 1360-2241
OpenAlex
W3083811930
Cited by
62
References
36
Citations by year
2026: 10 · 2025: 11 · 2024: 11 · 2023: 13 · 2022: 11 · 2021: 6
FWCI
8.85
Type
journal article
Language
en
Licence
other-oa
Locations
  • Third World Quarterly (publishedVersion)
  • Leeds Beckett Repository (Leeds Beckett University) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law › Rangeland Management and Livestock Ecology
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Diverse Research Studies Overview
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Political Conflict and Governance
Keywords
cattle ownership, armed conflict, small arms and light weapons, pastoralism, Nigeria, livestock herding, conflict factors

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-11.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-11.

Cited sources are checked by gpt-6-sol.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

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