Sometimes You Just Have to Leave: Domestic Threats and Forced Migration, 1964-1989
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In this study we explore why persons flee their homes to become refugees and internally displaced persons. We contend that individuals will tend to flee when the integrity of their person is threatened. Further, we argue that they will flee toward countries where they expect conditions to be better. We conduct statistical analyses using fixed effects least squares, on a pooled cross-sectional time-series data set, consisting of data from 129 countries for the years 1964-1989. Our findings support the conclusion that threats to personal integrity are of primary importance in leading people to abandon their homes. Measures of state threats to personal integrity, dissident threats to personal integrity, and joint state-dissident threats each have statistically significant and substantively important effects on migrant production. We also find that countries making moves toward democracy tend to have greater number of forced migrants, once other factors are considered. We conclude the analysis by identifying several lucrative areas for further investigation.
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Armed conflict commonly causes widespread forced migration, especially conflicts that generate high casualty figures.
“A common denominator of most conflicts, especially those that generate high casualty figures, is widespread forced migration (154-157).”
From Vicious Circles: Violence, Vulnerability, and Climate Change (2021) · cites this paper as [154]
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- Authors
- Davenport, C., Moore, W., & Poe, S.
- Affiliations
- University of Maryland, College Park (US)
- Florida State University (US)
- University of North Texas (US)
- ORCID
- Moore, Will
- Venue
- International Interactions
- Publisher
- Informa UK Limited
- Published
- 2003-01
- Volume
- 29
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 27-55
- ISSN
- 0305-0629 (ISSN-L)
- 1547-7444
- OpenAlex
- W2056037267
- Cited by
- 373
- References
- 93
- Citations by year
- 2026: 14 · 2025: 25 · 2024: 24 · 2023: 30 · 2022: 28 · 2021: 31 · 2020: 47 · 2019: 21 · 2018: 19 · 2017: 13 · 2016: 16 · 2015: 8 · 2014: 11 · 2013: 14 · 2012: 9
- FWCI
- 15.62
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- doi.org
- Locations
- International Interactions (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- ICPSR Data Holdings
- Funders
- Florida State University
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Political Conflict and Governance
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Migration, Refugees, and Integration
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Migration and Exile Studies
- Keywords
- forced migration, refugees, internally displaced persons, personal integrity, political violence, democratization, migration determinants
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