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Beyond a complete failure: the impact of partial capacity degradation on public transport network vulnerability
Open accessAbstract
Disruptions in public transport networks (PTNs) often lead to partial capacity reductions rather than complete closures. This study aims to move beyond the vulnerability analysis of complete failures by investigating the impacts of a range of capacity reductions on PTN performance. The relation between network performance and the degradation of line or link capacities is investigated by establishing a vulnerability curve and related metrics. The analysis framework is applied to a full-scan analysis of planned temporary line-level capacity reductions and an analysis of unplanned link-level capacity reductions on the most central segments in the multi-modal rapid PTN of Stockholm, Sweden. The impacts of capacity reductions are assessed using a non-equilibrium dynamic public transport operations and assignment model. The nonlinear properties of on-board crowding, denied boarding, network effects and route choice result in non-trivial, generally convex, relations which carry implications on disruption planning and real-time management.
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BusMezzo assumes an explicit, disaggregate representation of PT system, which enables in-depth analysis of PT overcrowding and PT capacity reductions' effects on passengers' travel experience and network performance.
“The BusMezzo model assumes an explicit, disaggregate representation of PT system, which enables in-depth analysis of the PT overcrowding (Cats et al. 2016) and PT capacity reductions’ (Cats and Jenelius 2018) effects on passengers’ travel experience and network performance.”
From Mitigating bus bunching with real-time crowding information (2023) · cites this paper as Cats and Jenelius 2018
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Cited by
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Mitigating bus bunching with real-time crowding information
Drabicki, A., Kucharski, R., & Cats, O. (2023) · Transportation · doi:10.1007/s11116-022-10270-3 · Cited by 30
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Metadata
- Authors
- Cats, O., & Jenelius, E.
- Affiliations
- KTH Royal Institute of Technology (SE)
- Corresponding author
- Cats, Oded
- Venue
- Transportmetrica B: Transport Dynamics
- Publisher
- Informa UK Limited
- Published
- 2016-12-15
- Volume
- 6
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 77-96
- ISSN
- 2168-0566 (ISSN-L)
- 2168-0582
- OpenAlex
- W2562576779
- Cited by
- 88
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 15 · 2024: 11 · 2023: 7 · 2022: 10 · 2021: 12 · 2020: 12 · 2019: 9 · 2018: 3 · 2017: 4 · 2016: 1
- FWCI
- 8.58
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Transportmetrica B Transport Dynamics (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Research Repository (Delft University of Technology) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Transportation › Transportation Planning and Optimization
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Civil and Structural Engineering › Infrastructure Resilience and Vulnerability Analysis
- Social Sciences › Transportation › Railway Systems and Energy Efficiency
- Keywords
- capacity reduction, vulnerability curves, network performance, denied boarding, route choice, rapid transit, Stockholm
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