Diverging sensemaking frames during the initial phases of the COVID-19 outbreak in Denmark
Open accessAbstract
The article draws on the Cynefin framework to illuminate how distinct sensemaking boundaries appeared to co-exist among the two main group of actors, health experts and political leaders, during the crucial early response phase of the COVID-19 outbreak in Denmark. The Danish government was in a chaotic sensemaking frame where major decisions needed to be made fast to avoid an impending disaster, and where scientific evidence was not pivotal to the decision-making process. The leading health authorities, on the other hand, appeared to be in a complicated sensemaking frame where evidence-based decision-making was still the modus operandum, and where policy recommendations were continuously reassessed in light of new scientific data. These two sensemaking frames clashed both publicly and internally, exposing a lack of understanding and communication across different sensemaking frames. Based on the analysis, we recommend two overarching initiatives to bridge contradictory sensemaking boundaries in times of major crises: (i) training in identifying and acknowledging different sensemaking frames; (ii) communication strategies that are sensitive to the sensemaking frames of other actors in the decision-making process.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
A proportional strategy is more likely to come about when decision-makers perceive that several solutions are available for the problem at hand, and that it is possible to gather the information necessary to design the optimal policy.
“a proportional strategy is more likely to come about when decision-makers perceive that several solutions are available for the problem at hand, and that it is possible to gather the information necessary to design the optimal policy for the given situation.”
From Precaution and proportionality in pandemic politics: democracy, state capacity, and COVID-19-related school closures around the world (2022) · cites this paper as Rubin and de Vries 2020
A precautionary strategy is more likely to come about when decision-makers perceive the situation as chaotic and turbulent.
“A precautionary strategy, by contrast, is more likely to come about when decision-makers perceive the situation as chaotic and turbulent.”
From Precaution and proportionality in pandemic politics: democracy, state capacity, and COVID-19-related school closures around the world (2022) · cites this paper as Rubin and de Vries 2020
Citizens generally expect politicians to step forward in a crisis situation and to do so promptly.
“research has suggested that citizens generally expect politicians to step forward in a crisis situation (e.g. Boin et al. 2008; Lazarev et al. 2014; Rubin 2020; Rubin and de Vries 2020) and to do so promptly (Butzek 2008).”
From Precaution and proportionality in pandemic politics: democracy, state capacity, and COVID-19-related school closures around the world (2022) · cites this paper as Rubin 2020
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
(1994) · Journal of the American Dietetic Association · doi:10.1016/0002-8223(94)92216-0 · Cited by 46,726 · see citing works
Gioia, D. A., Mehra, A., & Weick, K. E. (1996) · Academy of Management Review · doi:10.2307/259169 · Cited by 15,604 · see citing works
(2011) · Cited by 14,317 · see citing works
Five misunderstandings about case-study research
Flyvbjerg, B. (2006) · Qualitative Inquiry · doi:10.1177/1077800405284363 · Cited by 14,266 · see citing works
The Social Psychology of Organizations.
Hackman, J. R., Katz, D., & Kahn, R. L. (1979) · Administrative Science Quarterly · doi:10.2307/2989929 · Cited by 12,243 · see citing works
Agendas, Alternatives, and Public Policies
Perry, J. L., & Kingdon, J. W. (1985) · Journal of Policy Analysis and Management · doi:10.2307/3323801 · Cited by 11,318 · see citing works
(1969) · Virtual Defense Library (Ministerio de Defensa) · Cited by 10,735 · see citing works
Economy and Society: An Outline of Interpretive Sociology
Weber, M. (2002) · doi:10.1002/9780470755679.ch3 · Cited by 6,868 · see citing works
Economy and Society: An Outline of Interpretive Sociology
Poggi, G. (1969) · Sociology · doi:10.1177/003803856900300342 · Cited by 6,845 · see citing works
Theories of the Policy Process
Sabatier, P. (2019) · Routledge eBooks · doi:10.4324/9780367274689 · Cited by 3,502 · see citing works
ENACTED SENSEMAKING IN CRISIS SITUATIONS [1]
Weick, K. E. (1988) · Journal of Management Studies · doi:10.1111/j.1467-6486.1988.tb00039.x · Cited by 2,030 · see citing works
A leader's framework for decision making
Snowden, D. J., & Boone, M. E. (2007) · Harvard business review · Cited by 1,643 · see citing works
The new dynamics of strategy: Sense-making in a complex and complicated world
Kurtz, C., & Snowden, D. J. (2003) · IBM Systems Journal · doi:10.1147/sj.423.0462 · Cited by 1,232 · see citing works
Myopic Voters and Natural Disaster Policy
HEALY, A., & MALHOTRA, N. (2009) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.1017/s0003055409990104 · Cited by 931 · see citing works
Punctuated Equilibrium Theory: Explaining Stability and Change in Public Policymaking
Baumgartner, F. R., Jones, B. D., & Mortensen, P. B. (2018) · Routledge eBooks · doi:10.4324/9780429494284-3 · Cited by 624 · see citing works
The dos and don’ts of influencing policy: a systematic review of advice to academics
Oliver, K. A., & Cairney, P. (2019) · Humanities and Social Sciences Communications · doi:10.1057/s41599-019-0232-y · Cited by 378 · see citing works
(2008) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511756122 · Cited by 355 · see citing works
Communicating Science Effectively: A Research Agenda
Dc, W. (2018) · Cited by 320 · see citing works
Liverani, M., Hawkins, B., & Parkhurst, J. O. (2013) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0077404 · Cited by 292 · see citing works
Evidence-Based Policymaking: A Critique
Greenhalgh, T., & Russell, J. (2009) · Perspectives in biology and medicine · doi:10.1353/pbm.0.0085 · Cited by 275 · see citing works
van Beurden, E. K., Kia, A. M., Zask, A., Dietrich, U. C., & Rose, L. (2011) · Health Promotion International · doi:10.1093/heapro/dar089 · Cited by 176 · see citing works
MANAGING THE UNEXPECTED: SENSE‐MAKING IN THE CHINESE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT SYSTEM
Lu, X., & Xue, L. (2016) · Public Administration · doi:10.1111/padm.12261 · Cited by 96 · see citing works
Salajan, A., Tsolova, S., Ciotti, M., & Suk, J. E. (2020) · Evidence & Policy · doi:10.1332/174426420x15808913064302 · Cited by 86 · see citing works
Strategy in the context of uncertainty
Snowden, D. (2005) · Handbook of Business Strategy · doi:10.1108/08944310510556955 · Cited by 83 · see citing works
Khan, Y., Fazli, G. S., Henry, B., de Villa, E., Tsamis, C., Grant, M., & Schwartz, B. (2015) · BMC Public Health · doi:10.1186/s12889-015-1750-1 · Cited by 67 · see citing works
The Precautionary Principle (with Application to the Genetic Modification of Organisms)Preprint
Taleb, N. N., Read, R., Douady, R., Norman, J., & Bar‐Yam, Y. (2014) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1410.5787 · Cited by 64 · see citing works
Relational leadership, decision-making and the messiness of context in healthcare
Fulop, L., & Mark, A. L. (2013) · Leadership · doi:10.1177/1742715012468785 · Cited by 63 · see citing works
Bækkeskov, E. (2016) · Policy Sciences · doi:10.1007/s11077-016-9264-y · Cited by 48 · see citing works
Improving Pandemic Response: A Sensemaking Perspective on the Spring 2009 H1N1 Pandemic
Keller, A. C., Ansell, C., Reingold, A. L., Bourrier, M., Hunter, M. D., Burrowes, S., & MacPhail, T. (2012) · Risk Hazards & Crisis in Public Policy · doi:10.1515/1944-4079.1101 · Cited by 36 · see citing works
Improving decision making in crisis
Higgins, G., & Freedman, J. (2013) · Journal of Business Continuity & Emergency Planning · doi:10.69554/ayck9571 · Cited by 28 · see citing works
Making Data Talk: Communicating Public Health Data to the Public, Policy Makers, and the Press
Nelson, D. E., Hesse, B. W., & Croyle, R. T. (2009) · Cited by 24 · see citing works
Carbone, E. G., & Thomas, E. V. (2018) · American Journal of Public Health · doi:10.2105/ajph.2018.304702 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
The Political Dynamics of Voter Retrospection and Disaster Responses.
Rubin, O. (2019) · Disasters. The Journal of Disaster Studies, Policy and Management · doi:10.1111/disa.12376 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Self-citationBuddhistiske grupper 2010-2020
Borup, J. (2021) · Religion i Danmark · doi:10.7146/rid.v10i1.125190 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 1
- Seto, I., D. Johnstone, and J. Campbell-Meier. 2018. Experts' sensemaking during the 2003 SARS crisis. Proceedings of ISCRAM Asia Pacific. Accessed 20 July 2020. http://idl.iscram. org/files/ivaseto/2018/1649_IvaSeto_etal2018.pdf
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Boin, A., McConnell, A., & Hart, P. ‘. (2021) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-72680-5 · Cited by 269 · see citing works
Christensen, T., Jensen, M. D., Kluth, M. F., Kristinsson, G. H., Lynggaard, K., Lægreid, P., Niemikari, R., Pierre, J., Raunio, T., & Skúlason, G. A. (2022) · Regulation & Governance · doi:10.1111/rego.12497 · Cited by 67 · see citing works
Shopping in the scientific marketplace: COVID-19 through a policy learning lens
Zaki, B. L., & Wayenberg, E. (2020) · Policy Design and Practice · doi:10.1080/25741292.2020.1843249 · Cited by 55 · see citing works
Laage‐Thomsen, J., & Frandsen, S. L. (2022) · Globalization and Health · doi:10.1186/s12992-022-00799-4 · Cited by 36 · see citing works
Cronert, A. (2022) · Journal of Public Policy · doi:10.1017/s0143814x22000101 · Cited by 21 · see citing works
“…perspective, there are reasons to expect that leaders in democratic countries face stronger pressure to follow the precautionary decision-making logic discussed in the previous section, by acting rapidly and disruptively (Baekkeskov and Rubin 2014; Baekkeskov 2016; Rubin and de Vries 2020).”
BackgroundInfluentialChatzopoulou, S., & Exadaktylos, T. (2021) · Javnost - The Public · doi:10.1080/13183222.2021.1919381 · Cited by 15 · see citing works
Boin, A., & Lodge, M. C. (2021) · LSE Public Policy Review · doi:10.31389/lseppr.22 · Cited by 14 · see citing works
Coping with the unforeseen: bounded rationality and bureaucratic responses to the COVID-19 crisis
Christensen, J. G., & Mortensen, P. B. (2023) · Journal of Public Policy · doi:10.1017/s0143814x23000284 · Cited by 12 · see citing works
Assessing the effects of calculated inaction on national responses to the COVID‐19 crisis
Zahariadis, N., Ceccoli, S. J., & Petridou, E. (2021) · Risk Hazards & Crisis in Public Policy · doi:10.1002/rhc3.12230 · Cited by 12 · see citing works
Lane, P., Clay‐Williams, R., Johnson, A., Garde, V., & Barrett‐Beck, L. (2021) · Leadership in health services · doi:10.1108/lhs-03-2021-0013 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
A media visibility analysis of public leadership in Scandinavian responses to pandemics
Rubin, O., Bækkeskov, E., & Öberg, P. (2021) · Policy Design and Practice · doi:10.1080/25741292.2021.1943830 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Self-citationKurzer, P., & Ornston, D. (2023) · European Policy Analysis · doi:10.1002/epa2.1167 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Kelly, G., & Conroy, K. M. (2023) · The International Journal of Human Resource Management · doi:10.1080/09585192.2023.2252317 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Kelly, G., & McAdam, M. (2025) · International Small Business Journal Researching Entrepreneurship · doi:10.1177/02662426251320579 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Bordering: Australia’s Policy to Border During COVID-19
Maele, D. L. V. D., Kirk, J., Howard, C. W., Verroya, M., & Davies, S. E. (2024) · Political Studies · doi:10.1177/00323217241285575 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Towards a sustainable integrated management approach to uncertainty surrounding COVID‐19
Nguyen, T., Hallo, L., Chileshe, N., & Nguyen, N. H. (2023) · Systems Research and Behavioral Science · doi:10.1002/sres.2936 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
4. Kommunal kriseledelse under koronapandemien – en analyse av beslutningsstrategier
Hungnes, T., Larsen, A. S. A., Vik, E., & Nerland, S. M. (2025) · Universitetsforlaget eBooks · doi:10.18261/9788215070698-25-07 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Smart Development Principles of Knowledge Ecosystem in an Industrial Cluster
Grumadaitė, K., Jucevičius, G., & Staniulienė, S. (2022) · European Conference on Knowledge Management · doi:10.34190/eckm.23.1.761 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Garic, K., & Leifeld, P. (2025) · Policy Studies Journal · doi:10.1111/psj.70047 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Experts as crisis managers: The case of the Swedish response to the Covid‐19 pandemic
Olsson, E. (2024) · Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management · doi:10.1111/1468-5973.12540 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Miller, K., & Maykut, C. A. (2021) · Nurse Leader · doi:10.1016/j.mnl.2021.01.008 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Does governance matter to underprivileged communities? Qualitative evidence from the Ghanaian slums
Agyabeng, A. N. (2024) · Cities · doi:10.1016/j.cities.2024.105000 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Exploring Sensemaking: A View Through the COVID-19 Pandemic
Masys, A. J. (2021) · Advanced sciences and technologies for security applications · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-71998-2_2 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Nyqvist, F., & Lundgren-Henriksson, E.-L. (2022) · Journal of Organizational Change Management · doi:10.1108/jocm-06-2022-0166 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Chukwu, E. E., Woolaston, K., Kaufer, R., Bortolus, A., Hewitt, C. L., Schwindt, E., Sogbanmu, T. O., Schwenkenbecher, A., Rubin, H., Slanickova, H., et al. (2024) · BMJ Public Health · doi:10.1136/bmjph-2023-000694 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Designing effective central-local co-operation: lessons from Liverpool’s Covid-19 response
Atkinson, P., & Sheard, S. B. (2022) · Policy Design and Practice · doi:10.1080/25741292.2022.2074648 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Boin, A., McConnell, A., & Hart, P. ‘. (2021) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-72680-5_2 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
States and Experts: Assembling Expertise for Climate Change and Pandemics
Frandsen, S. L. (2023) · doi:10.22439/phd.03.2023 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Unmasking expert decisions: Clinicians decision making during a pandemic outbreak
Bitan, Y., Lilach-Gueta, S., & Parush, A. (2022) · International Journal of Healthcare Management · doi:10.1080/20479700.2022.2097763
Italy and the COVID-19 Emergency
Ravazzi, S. (2024) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-63863-3_5
Making sense of the state amid the uncertainty of the COVID-19 pandemic in Kampala, Uganda
Ahimbisibwe, K. F., Kontinen, T., & Aganyira, K. (2025) · International Development Planning Review · doi:10.3828/idpr.2025.9
Laage‐Thomsen, J., & Frandsen, S. L. (2022) · Figshare · doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.18864961
Hejzlarová, E. M., Mouralová, M., & Volfová, Š. (2025) · ORBIS SCHOLAE · doi:10.14712/23363177.2025.9
Inaction and the Proportionality Principle
Holzer, F., Alcántara, I. M. O., Eichinger, T., Biller‐Andorno, N., & März, J. W. (2026) · doi:10.1093/9780197759370.003.0007
Aligning with the state’s COVID-19 narrative in Tanzania: insights from the tourism sector in Arusha
Kahamba, J., & Mollel, V. (2026) · International Development Planning Review · doi:10.3828/idpr.2025.33
The politics of transitional chronic crises
Rubin, O. (2026) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/9780197786475.003.0009
Self-citationAviacijos paslaugas teikiančių organizacijų pokyčių valdymo sprendimai
Leonavičiūtė, V. (2026) · doi:10.20334/2026-025-m
- Authors
- Rubin, O., & de Vries, D. H.
- Affiliations
- Roskilde University (DK)
- Department of Anthropology, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
- Corresponding author
- Rubin, Olivier
- Venue
- Policy Design and Practice
- Publisher
- Informa UK Limited
- Published
- 2020-07-02
- Volume
- 3
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 277-296
- ISSN
- 2574-1292 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W3080623567
- Cited by
- 37
- References
- 34
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 5 · 2023: 5 · 2022: 8 · 2021: 9 · 2020: 1
- FWCI
- 19.85
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- diamond
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Policy Design and Practice (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- RUCforsk (Roskilde University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- UvA-DARE (University of Amsterdam) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Public Administration and Political Analysis
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Complex Systems and Decision Making
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Disaster Management and Resilience
- Keywords
- COVID-19 outbreak, Cynefin framework, health experts, political leaders, crisis decision-making, evidence-based policy, scientific evidence in policymaking, inter-organizational communication, Denmark, pandemic response
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review