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Opportunity Organizations and Threat‐Induced Contention: Protest Waves in Authoritarian Settings
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The article combines two strands of political process theory (opportunity and threat) in a changing authoritarian context. Through the use of protest event, archival, and secondary sources on El Salvador between 1962 and 1981, the study examines the outbreak and forms of two protest waves that are generated by the temporal sequencing of political opportunity and threat environments. The specific opportunities of institutional access and competitive elections motivate regime challengers to form durable civic organizations. This newly available organizational infrastructure can be used to sustain reformist contention in the near term as well as be radicalized to launch more disruptive and violent protest campaigns when opportunities recede and the political environment transitions to one characterized by mounting threats (state‐attributed economic problems, erosion of rights, and state repression).
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From Coordinated Dis-Coordination (2024) · cites this paper as Almeida 2003
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Metadata
- Authors
- Almeida, P. D.
- Affiliations
- Texas A&M University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Almeida, Paul D.
- ORCID
- Almeida, Paul D.
- Venue
- American Journal of Sociology
- Publisher
- University of Chicago Press
- Published
- 2003-09
- Volume
- 109
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 345-400
- ISSN
- 0002-9602 (ISSN-L)
- 1537-5390
- OpenAlex
- W2122614432
- Cited by
- 395
- References
- 125
- Citations by year
- 2026: 7 · 2025: 22 · 2024: 7 · 2023: 10 · 2022: 40 · 2021: 36 · 2020: 19 · 2019: 27 · 2018: 52 · 2017: 26 · 2016: 17 · 2015: 24 · 2014: 25 · 2013: 13 · 2012: 10
- FWCI
- 11.73
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- American Journal of Sociology (publishedVersion)
- OakTrust (Texas A&M University Libraries) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Political Conflict and Governance
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Politics and Society in Latin America
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Latin American socio-political dynamics
- Keywords
- political opportunity structure, threat environment, protest waves, authoritarian regimes, civic organizations, regime change, electoral competition, institutional access, state repression, El Salvador, political process theory
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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