The DOI matches its Crossref record; 18 of the 18 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Job Loss, Job Finding, and Unemployment in the U.S. Economy over the Past Fifty Years
Open accessAbstract
New data compel a new view of events in the labor market during a recession. Unemployment rises almost entirely because jobs become harder to find. Recessions involve little increase in the flow of workers out of jobs. Another important finding from new data is that a large fraction of workers departing jobs move to new jobs without intervening unemployment. I develop estimates of separation rates and job-finding rates for the past fifty years, using historical data informed by detailed recent data. The separation rate is nearly constant, while the job-finding rate shows high volatility at business-cycle and lower frequencies. I review modern theories of fluctuations in the job-finding rate. The challenge to these theories is to identify mechanisms in the labor market that amplify small changes in driving forces into fluctuations in the job-finding rate of the high magnitude actually observed. In the standard theory developed over the past two decades, the wage moves to offset driving forces, and the predicted magnitude of changes in the job-finding rate is tiny. New models overcome this property by invoking a new form of sticky wages or by introducing information and other frictions into the employment relationship.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Migration unemployment and development: a two-sector analysis.
Harris, & Todaro, M. P. (1970) · American Economic Review · Cited by 6,359
The Cyclical Behavior of Equilibrium Unemployment and Vacancies
Shimer, R. (2005) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/0002828053828572 · Cited by 2,731
Aggregate Demand Management in Search Equilibrium
Diamond, P. A. (1982) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/261099 · Cited by 1,932
Wage Differentials, Employer Size, and Unemployment
Burdett, K., & Mortensen, D. T. (1998) · International Economic Review · doi:10.2307/2527292 · Cited by 1,809
Gross Job Creation, Gross Job Destruction, and Employment Reallocation
Davis, S. J., & Haltiwanger, J. (1992) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.2307/2118365 · Cited by 1,754
Migration, Unemployment and Development: A Two-Sector Analysis
Harris, J. R., & Todaro, M. P. (1995) · REFLECTIONS ON ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT · doi:10.4337/9781035362813.00010 · Cited by 1,602
Employment Fluctuations with Equilibrium Wage Stickiness
Hall, R. E. (2005) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/0002828053828482 · Cited by 1,439
Self-citationReassessing the ins and outs of unemployment
Shimer, R. (2012) · Review of Economic Dynamics · doi:10.1016/j.red.2012.02.001 · Cited by 1,200
Short-run equilibrium dynamics of unemployment vacancies, and real wages
Pissarides, C. A. (1985) · Rare & Special e-Zone (The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology) · Cited by 953
Property Rights and Efficiency in Mating, Racing, and Related Games
Mortensen, D. T. (1982) · American Economic Review · Cited by 534
Cited by
Reassessing the ins and outs of unemployment
Shimer, R. (2012) · Review of Economic Dynamics · doi:10.1016/j.red.2012.02.001 · Cited by 1,200
Really Uncertain Business Cycles
Bloom, N., Floetotto, M., Jaimovich, N., Saporta-Eksten, I., & Terry, S. J. (2018) · Econometrica · doi:10.3982/ecta10927 · Cited by 1,120
The Cyclical Behavior of Equilibrium Unemployment and Vacancies Revisited
Hagedorn, M., & Manovskii, I. (2008) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.98.4.1692 · Cited by 1,046
Recessions and the Costs of Job Loss
Davis, S. J., & von Wachter, T. (2011) · Brookings Papers on Economic Activity · doi:10.1353/eca.2011.0016 · Cited by 533
An Estimated Monetary DSGE Model with Unemployment and Staggered Nominal Wage Bargaining
GERTLER, M., SALA, L., & TRIGARI, A. (2008) · Journal of Money, Credit and Banking · doi:10.1111/j.1538-4616.2008.00180.x · Cited by 454
Metadata
- Authors
- Hall, R. E.
- Venue
- NBER Macroeconomics Annual
- Publisher
- University of Chicago Press
- Published
- 2005-01
- Volume
- 20
- Pages
- 101-137
- ISSN
- 0889-3365 (ISSN-L)
- 1537-2642
- OpenAlex
- W3124593884
- Cited by
- 293
- References
- 18
- FWCI
- 54.12
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Job Loss, Job Finding, and Unemployment in the U.S. Economy over the Past Fifty Years. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1086/ma.20.3585415
- The paper
- Hall, R. E. (2005). Job Loss, Job Finding, and Unemployment in the U.S. Economy over the Past Fifty Years. NBER Macroeconomics Annual. https://doi.org/10.1086/ma.20.3585415
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.