The DOI matches its Crossref record; 22 of the 22 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Climate change impacts on crop productivity in Africa and South Asia
Open accessAbstract
Climate change is a serious threat to crop productivity in regions that are already food insecure. We assessed the projected impacts of climate change on the yield of eight major crops in Africa and South Asia using a systematic review and meta-analysis of data in 52 original publications from an initial screen of 1144 studies. Here we show that the projected mean change in yield of all crops is − 8% by the 2050s in both regions. Across Africa, mean yield changes of − 17% (wheat), − 5% (maize), − 15% (sorghum) and − 10% (millet) and across South Asia of − 16% (maize) and − 11% (sorghum) were estimated. No mean change in yield was detected for rice. The limited number of studies identified for cassava, sugarcane and yams precluded any opportunity to conduct a meta-analysis for these crops. Variation about the projected mean yield change for all crops was smaller in studies that used an ensemble of > 3 climate (GCM) models. Conversely, complex simulation studies that used biophysical crop models showed the greatest variation in mean yield changes. Evidence of crop yield impact in Africa and South Asia is robust for wheat, maize, sorghum and millet, and either inconclusive, absent or contradictory for rice, cassava and sugarcane.
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MORE EFFICIENT PLANTS: A Consequence of Rising Atmospheric CO2?
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The physics of wind-blown sand and dust
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“Recent research (White et al 2011) stressed that the widely varying protocols used by such assessments could also be a potential source of bias that would constrain cross-study syntheses.”
Background
Cited by
Climate Change Impacts on Global Food Security
Wheeler, T., & von Braun, J. (2013) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1239402 · Cited by 3,487
Self-citationA meta-analysis of crop yield under climate change and adaptation
Challinor, A. J., Watson, J., Lobell, D. B., Howden, S. M., Smith, D. R., & Chhetri, N. (2014) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2153 · Cited by 2,333
Agrivoltaics provide mutual benefits across the food–energy–water nexus in drylands
Barron-Gafford, G. A., Pavao-Zuckerman, M. A., Minor, R. L., Sutter, L. F., Barnett-Moreno, I., Blackett, D. T., Thompson, M., Dimond, K., Gerlak, A. K., Nabhan, G. P., et al. (2019) · Nature Sustainability · doi:10.1038/s41893-019-0364-5 · Cited by 1,004
Food Security and Food Production Systems
(2015) · Climate Change 2014 Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability · doi:10.1017/cbo9781107415379.012 · Cited by 818
Psychological research and global climate change
Clayton, S., Devine-Wright, P., Stern, P. C., Whitmarsh, L., Carrico, A., Steg, L., Swim, J., & Bonnes, M. (2015) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2622 · Cited by 601
Metadata
- Authors
- Knox, J., Hess, T., Daccache, A., & Wheeler, T.
- Venue
- Environmental Research Letters
- Publisher
- IOP Publishing
- Published
- 2012-09-01
- Volume
- 7
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 034032
- ISSN
- 1748-9326 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2148252758
- Cited by
- 817
- References
- 22
- FWCI
- 34.44
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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