Cited by 86Climate Change, Adaptation, MigrationFlood Risk Assessment and ManagementHousing Market and Economics

Repetitive floods intensify outmigration and climate gentrification in coastal cities

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de Koning, Koen, Filatova, Tatiana·2020·Environmental Research Letters

Abstract

Recent floods in America, Europe, Asia and Africa reminded societies across the world of the need to revisit their climate adaptation strategies. Rapid urbanization coinciding with a growing frequency and intensity of floods requires transformative actions in cities worldwide. While abandoning flood prone areas is sometimes discussed as a public climate adaptation option, little attention is paid to studying cumulative impacts of outmigration as an individual choice. To explore the aggregated consequences of households’ outmigration decisions in response to increasing flood hazards, we employ a computational agent-based model grounded in empirical heuristics of buyers’ and sellers’ behaviour in a flood-prone housing market. Our results suggest that pure market-driven processes can cause shifts in demographics in climate-sensitive hotspots placing low-income households further at risk. They get trapped in hazard zones, even when individual risk perceptions and behavioural location preferences are independent of income, suggesting increasing climate gentrification as an outcome of market sorting.

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Crossref · 10.1088/1748-9326/ab6668

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Authors
de Koning, K., & Filatova, T.
Affiliations
University of Twente (NL)
Venue
Environmental Research Letters
Published
2020-02-18
Volume
15
Issue
3
Pages
034008
ISSN
1748-9326 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2998101371
Cited by
86
References
47
Citations by year
2026: 15 · 2025: 12 · 2024: 13 · 2023: 16 · 2022: 20 · 2021: 9 · 2020: 1
FWCI
15.09
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Environmental Research Letters (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • University of Twente Research Information (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion)
  • UTS ePRESS (University of Technology Sydney) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
  • University of Twente Research Information (submittedVersion, cc-by)
Funders
H2020 European Research Council (758014 SCALAR)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Climate Change, Adaptation, Migration
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Flood Risk Assessment and Management
  • Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Housing Market and Economics
Keywords
emigration, climate gentrification, coastal cities, climate change adaptation, low-income households, demographic change, risk perception, agent-based modeling, urbanization

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