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Evaluation of risk stratification schemes for ischaemic stroke and bleeding in 182 678 patients with atrial fibrillation: the Swedish Atrial Fibrillation cohort study
Abstract
Aims The impact of some risk factors for stroke and bleeding, and the value of stroke and bleeding risk scores, in atrial fibrillation (AF), has been debated, as clinical trial cohorts have not adequately tested these. Our objective was to investigate risk factors for stroke and bleeding in AF, and application of the new CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc and HAS-BLED schemes for stroke and bleeding risk assessments, respectively. Methods and results We used the Swedish Atrial Fibrillation cohort study, a nationwide cohort study of 182 678 subjects with a diagnosis of AF at any Swedish hospital between 1 July 2005 and 31 December 2008, who were prospectively followed for an average of 1.5 years (260 000 years at risk). With the use of the National Swedish Drug Registry, all patients who used an oral anticoagulant anytime during follow-up were identified. Most of the analyses were made on a subset of 90 490 patients who never used anticoagulants. Risk factors for stroke, the composite thromboembolism endpoint (stroke, TIA, or systemic embolism), and bleeding, and the performance of published stroke and bleeding risk stratification schemes were investigated. On multivariable analysis, significant associations were found between the following 'new' risk factors and thromboembolic events; peripheral artery disease [hazard ratio (HR) 1.22 (95% CI 1.12-1.32)], 'vascular disease' [HR 1.14 (1.06-1.23)], prior myocardial infarction [HR 1.09 (1.03-1.15)], and female gender [HR 1.17 (1.11-1.22)]. Previou…
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“For example, older age is one of the most important predictors of both ischaemic stroke and bleeding in AF patients.386,387”
From 2016 ESC Guidelines for the management of atrial fibrillation developed in collaboration with EACTS (2016) · cites this paper as [386]
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Self-citationDzeshka, M. S., Lane, D. A., & Lip, G. Y. H. (2014) · Clinical Cardiology · doi:10.1002/clc.22294 · Cited by 57
Self-citationHess, P. L., Mirro, M. J., Diener, H., Eikelboom, J. W., Al‐Khatib, S. M., Hylek, E. M., Bosworth, H. B., Gersh, B. J., Singer, D. E., Flaker, G., et al. (2014) · American Heart Journal · doi:10.1016/j.ahj.2014.04.007 · Cited by 58
Sulzgruber, P., Waßmann, S., Semb, A. G., Doehner, W., Widimský, P., Gremmel, T., Kaski, J. C., Savarese, G., Rosano, G. M. C., Borghi, C., et al. (2019) · European Heart Journal - Cardiovascular Pharmacotherapy · doi:10.1093/ehjcvp/pvz016 · Cited by 58
Net Clinical Benefit of Warfarin Therapy in Elderly Chinese Patients With Atrial Fibrillation
Siu, C., & Tse, H. (2014) · Circulation Arrhythmia and Electrophysiology · doi:10.1161/circep.113.000858 · Cited by 56
Chan, P., Huang, D., Yip, P.-S., Hai, J. J., Tse, H., Chan, T. M., Lip, G. Y. H., Lo, W.-K., & Siu, C. (2015) · EP Europace · doi:10.1093/europace/euv289 · Cited by 55
Self-citationImpact of an Atrial Fibrillation Decision Support Tool on thromboprophylaxis for atrial fibrillation
Eckman, M. H., Lip, G. Y. H., Wise, R. E., Speer, B. B., Sullivan, M., Walker, N., D, B. M. K. M., Flaherty, M. L., Kleindorfer, D., Baker, P., et al. (2016) · American Heart Journal · doi:10.1016/j.ahj.2016.02.009 · Cited by 56
Self-citationTarantini, G., D’Amico, G., Latib, A., Montorfano, M., Mazzone, P., Fassini, G. M., Maltagliati, A. C., Ronco, F., Saccà, S., Cruz‐González, I., et al. (2018) · EuroIntervention · doi:10.4244/eij-d-17-00777 · Cited by 56
Lawal, O. D., Aronow, H. D., Shobayo, F. O., Hume, A. L., Taveira, T. H., Matson, K. L., Zhang, Y., & Wen, X. (2023) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/circulationaha.122.060687 · Cited by 54
Potential Cost-Effectiveness of Ambulatory Cardiac Rhythm Monitoring After Cryptogenic Stroke
Yong, J. H. E., Thavorn, K., Hoch, J. S., Mamdani, M., Thorpe, K. E., Dorian, P., Sharma, M., Laupacis, A., & Gladstone, D. J. (2016) · Stroke · doi:10.1161/strokeaha.115.011979 · Cited by 54
Performance of bleeding risk scores in dialysis patients
Ocak, G., Ramspek, C. L., Rookmaaker, M. B., Blankestijn, P. J., Verhaar, M. C., Bos, W. J. W., Dekker, F. W., & van Diepen, M. (2018) · Nephrology Dialysis Transplantation · doi:10.1093/ndt/gfy387 · Cited by 53
Proietti, M., Senoo, K., Lane, D. A., & Lip, G. Y. H. (2016) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/srep24376 · Cited by 53
Self-citationArrhythmias in Female Patients: Incidence, Presentation and Management
Zeitler, E. P., Poole, J. E., Albert, C. M., Al-Khatib, S. M., Ali-Ahmed, F., Birgersdotter-Green, U., Cha, Y.-M., Chung, M. K., Curtis, A. B., Hurwitz, J. L., et al. (2022) · Circulation Research · doi:10.1161/circresaha.121.319893 · Cited by 57
Landmesser, U., Skurk, C., Tzikas, A., Falk, V., Reddy, V. Y., & Windecker, S. (2024) · European Heart Journal · doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehae398 · Cited by 56
Intracranial Hemorrhage and Subsequent Ischemic Stroke in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation
Nielsen, P. B., Larsen, T. B., Gorst‐Rasmussen, A., Skjøth, F., Rasmussen, L. H., & Lip, G. Y. H. (2014) · CHEST Journal · doi:10.1378/chest.14-2099 · Cited by 53
Self-citationCherian, T. S., Shrader, P. J., Fonarow, G. C., Allen, L. A., Piccini, J. P., Peterson, E. D., Thomas, L. E., Kowey, P. R., Gersh, B. J., & Mahaffey, K. W. (2017) · The American Journal of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.amjcard.2017.02.050 · Cited by 53
Ishii, M., Ogawa, H., Unoki, T., An, Y., Iguchi, M., Masunaga, N., Esato, M., Chun, Y., Tsuji, H., Wada, H., et al. (2017) · American Journal of Hypertension · doi:10.1093/ajh/hpx094 · Cited by 53
Age Threshold for Ischemic Stroke Risk in Atrial Fibrillation
Kim, T., Yang, P., Yu, H. T., Jang, E., Uhm, J., Kim, J., Pak, H., Lee, M., Joung, B., & Lip, G. Y. H. (2018) · Stroke · doi:10.1161/strokeaha.118.021047 · Cited by 53
Self-citationAgnelli, G., & Paciaroni, M. (2014) · Thrombosis and Haemostasis · doi:10.1160/th13-08-0667 · Cited by 52
A Simple and Portable Algorithm for Identifying Atrial Fibrillation in the Electronic Medical Record
Khurshid, S. S., Keaney, J., Ellinor, P. T., & Lubitz, S. A. (2015) · The American Journal of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.amjcard.2015.10.031 · Cited by 52
Imberti, J. F., Mei, D. A., Vitolo, M., Bonini, N., Proietti, M., Potpara, T., Lip, G. Y. H., & Boriani, G. (2022) · European Journal of Internal Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.ejim.2022.04.023 · Cited by 51
Self-citationMetabolic syndrome, atrial fibrillation, and stroke: Tackling an emerging epidemic
Hajhosseiny, R., Matthews, G. D. K., & Lip, G. Y. H. (2015) · Heart Rhythm · doi:10.1016/j.hrthm.2015.06.038 · Cited by 53
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Panikker, S., Lord, J. L., Jarman, J. W. E., Armstrong, S. O., Jones, D. G., Haldar, S., Butcher, C., Khan, H. R., Mantziari, L., Nicol, E., et al. (2016) · European Heart Journal · doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehw048 · Cited by 51
Metadata
- Authors
- Friberg, L., Rosenqvist, M., & Lip, G. Y. H.
- Affiliations
- Danderyds sjukhus (SE)
- Karolinska Institutet (SE)
- Birmingham City Hospital (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Lip, Gregory Y.H.
- Venue
- European Heart Journal
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2012-01-13
- Volume
- 33
- Issue
- 12
- Pages
- 1500-1510
- ISSN
- 0195-668X (ISSN-L)
- 1522-9645
- OpenAlex
- W2124601103
- Cited by
- 1,192
- References
- 48
- Citations by year
- 2026: 37 · 2025: 60 · 2024: 74 · 2023: 81 · 2022: 112 · 2021: 99 · 2020: 100 · 2019: 99 · 2018: 78 · 2017: 99 · 2016: 75 · 2015: 99 · 2014: 72 · 2013: 68 · 2012: 35
- FWCI
- 56.38
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- European Heart Journal (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- University of Birmingham Research Portal (University of Birmingham) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Stockholms Läns Landsting
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Atrial Fibrillation Management and Outcomes
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Clinical Neurology › Acute Ischemic Stroke Management
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Internal Medicine › Venous Thromboembolism Diagnosis and Management
- Keywords
- atrial fibrillation, stroke risk stratification, bleeding risk stratification, CHA2DS2-VASc score, HAS-BLED score, thromboembolism, intracranial hemorrhage, risk factors, peripheral arterial disease, oral anticoagulants, thyroid dysfunction, hyperthyroidism, concordance index
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Aged, Anticoagulants, Atrial Fibrillation, Female, Hemorrhage, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Risk Factors, Sweden, Thromboembolism, Cohort Studies, Risk Assessment, Stroke
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