A Reformulation of the Cost Plus Net Value Change (C+NVC) Model of Wildfire Economics
Open accessAbstract
The Cost plus Net Value Change (C+NVC) model provides the theoretical foundation for wildland fire economics and provides the basis for the National Fire Management Analysis System (NFMAS). The C+NVC model is based on the earlier least Cost plus Loss model (LC+L) expressed by Sparhawk (1925). Mathematical and graphical analysis of the LC+L model illustrates two errors in model formulation. First, suppression is incorrectly modeled as a model output. Second, suppression and primary protection are incorrectly modeled as negatively correlated. These errors are shown to be perpetuated by the contemporary C+NVC model and to have serious implications for the model's capacity to correctly identify the most efficient level of fire management expenditure. A corrected graphical representation of the C+NVC model is presented, which allows the most efficient level of fire management expenditure to be correctly identified. FOR. SCI. 49(2):318–323.
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Estimates for civilian rates of PTSD and other anxiety disorders after a disaster range from 30% to 60%.
“Estimates for civilian rates of PTSD and other anxiety disorders after a disaster range from 30 % 76 to 60 %.77”
From The costs and losses of wildfires: a literature survey (2017) · cites this paper as [77]
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- Authors
- Donovan, G. H., & Rideout, D. B.
- Affiliations
- US Forest Service (US)
- Colorado State University (US)
- ORCID
- Donovan, Geoffrey H.
- Venue
- Forest Science
- Published
- 2003-04-01
- Volume
- 49
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 318-323
- ISSN
- 0015-749X (ISSN-L)
- 1938-3738
- OpenAlex
- W2308997070
- Cited by
- 68
- References
- 9
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 1 · 2023: 2 · 2022: 1 · 2021: 3 · 2020: 1 · 2019: 3 · 2018: 3 · 2017: 3 · 2016: 2 · 2015: 6 · 2014: 5 · 2013: 2 · 2012: 7
- FWCI
- 1.42
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Forest Science (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Forest Management and Policy
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Fire effects on ecosystems
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Economic and Environmental Valuation
- Keywords
- fire suppression, primary protection, model reformulation, graphical method
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