Commentary: Advent of sibling designs
Open accessAbstract
The rapidly increasing use of sibling comparisons is a welcome development in epidemiology. Although sibling designs have been used by epidemiologists since the mid-20th century, contemporary researchers are extending the range of applications, clarifying appropriate methods1 and introducing novel strategies. The proliferation of sibling studies has not been matched, however, by comparable progress towards a conceptual framework that gives coherence to the new array of approaches. We propose that, as a starting point for a conceptual framework, a fundamental distinction be made between designs that assume a ‘stable’ vs ‘dynamic’ family context. Designs that assume a stable family context exploit the fact that siblings share stable aspects of family context as well as half their genome. In ‘sibling discordance’ studies, for example, we compare outcomes among siblings who are discordant for an exposure of interest, and we want the siblings to be as similar as possible in family context and genetic predisposition. Differences between siblings in family context are potential confounders, and, when measured (e.g. birth order), are controlled in the analyses. Influences of family members upon one another are generally disregarded. In contrast, designs that assume a dynamic family context exploit the fact that siblings and other family members influence each other in a variety of ways. In birth-order studies, for example, we compare outcomes among siblings who encounter different family contexts and may play a role in creating these contexts. Influences of family members upon one another, and the resulting changes in family context, are the topic of investigation. We hope to show that this distinction between sibling designs based on stable vs dynamic family context is readily understood, broadly applicable to traditional as well as novel approaches, and useful as a starting point. To this end, we portray a range of recent sibling studies, and consider them within this framework. Our overarching goal is to stimulate others to further elaborate the conceptual underpinnings of sibling designs. Since the sibling discordance study is probably the most widely used sibling design, we use it to characterize designs based on stable family context. The power of this approach resides in its ability to vary one aspect of the environment while keeping so much else similar. Although sibling discordance studies can be traced to the 19th century,2 rigorous use of the design began after World War II. In the 1960s, Record et al.3,4 applied it to control familial confounding in their studies of the relation of birthweight to offspring verbal reasoning scores on school examinations. This remarkable work set an early precedent for subsequent studies5 (as did other work by these authors).6 Sibling discordance studies are particularly suitable for examining the relation of prenatal exposures to offspring outcomes. We use discordance in maternal exposures or conditions across pregnancies to indicate variation in the in utero experience of same-sex siblings. Same-sex siblings share enough stable aspects of family environment and genetic predisposition that the strategy substantially reduces the potential for confounding. This provides a major advantage over population studies of unrelated individuals. The approach also offers a major advantage over the twin design. Twins are, by definition, products of the same pregnancy, and, while their in utero experience can be very different, we resort to proxies such as birth outcomes to gauge this difference. The elegant paper by Obel et al.7 in this issue of the IJE offers an example of a study examining a prenatal exposure that compared results from a full population to results from discordant siblings within that population. It was a registry study of a national cohort in Finland. The authors first found a strong association between maternal smoking during pregnancy and offspring ICD-10 (International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision) Hyperkinetic Disorder in the full cohort. Next, they identified mothers who smoked during one pregnancy, but not during another, and compared hyperkinetic disorder outcomes in the relevant siblings. This second analysis found only a minimal association. They concluded that the first result was confounded by family factors (genes and/or family context) and that there was little or no causal relationship between prenatal smoking and hyperkinetic disorder. The authors noted, however, that the validity of their conclusion rested upon a crucial assumption that family factors relevant to hyperkinetic disorder were stable and therefore similar across siblings. Notwithstanding this caveat, the most plausible interpretation is that the sibling analysis revealed that the population result was confounded. Numerous other sibling discordance studies8–10 (as well as other approaches11) have also suggested that associations between prenatal smoking and offspring outcome
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The strength of sibling analyses is based on constant environmental factors and genetic background.
“These adjustments are essential since the strength of the sibling analyses is based on constant environmental factors and genetic background [46], [47].”
From The effect of swedish snuff (snus) on offspring birthweight: a sibling analysis (2013) · cites this paper as [46]
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Sibling Comparison Designs: Addressing Confounding Bias with Inclusion of Measured Confounders
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Ren, T., Zhang, J., Yu, Y., Pedersen, L. H., Wang, H., Li, F. R., Henriksen, T. B., & Li, J. (2021) · British Journal of Anaesthesia · doi:10.1016/j.bja.2021.10.042 · Cited by 34 · see citing works
Associations of prenatal maternal smoking with offspring hyperactivity: causal or confounded?
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Self-citationAdvancing paternal age and offspring violent offending: A sibling-comparison study
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Maternal Prenatal Nutrition and Health in Grandchildren and Subsequent Generations
Susser, E., Kirkbride, J. B., Heijmans, B. T., Kresovich, J. K., Lumey, L. H., & Stein, A. D. (2010) · Annual Review of Anthropology · doi:10.1146/annurev-anthro-081309-145645 · Cited by 31 · see citing works
Self-citationMaternal Symptoms of Anxiety and Depression and Child Nocturnal Awakenings at 6 and 18 Months
Ystrøm, E., Hysing, M., Torgersen, L., Ystrom, H., Reichborn‐Kjennerud, T., & Sivertsen, B. (2017) · Journal of Pediatric Psychology · doi:10.1093/jpepsy/jsx066 · Cited by 31 · see citing works
Association of Wealth With Longevity in US Adults at Midlife
Finegood, E. D., Briley, D. A., Turiano, N. A., Freedman, A. A., South, S. C., Krueger, R. F., Chen, E., Mroczek, D. K., & Miller, G. E. (2021) · JAMA Health Forum · doi:10.1001/jamahealthforum.2021.1652 · Cited by 29 · see citing works
The Early Determinants of Adult Health Study
Susser, E., Buka, S. L., Schaefer, C. A., Andrews, H., Cirillo, P. M., Factor-Litvak, P. R., Gillman, M. W., Goldstein, J. M., Henry, P. I., Lumey, L. H., et al. (2011) · Journal of Developmental Origins of Health and Disease · doi:10.1017/s2040174411000663 · Cited by 29 · see citing works
Self-citationLuque-Fernández, M. Á., Ananth, C. V., Jaddoe, V. W. V., Gaillard, R., Albert, P. S., Schomaker, M., McElduff, P., Enquobahrie, D. A., Gelaye, B., & Williams, M. A. (2015) · European Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1007/s10654-015-9993-9 · Cited by 28 · see citing works
Coyne, C. A., Långström, N., Rickert, M. E., Lichtenstein, P., & D'Onofrio, B. M. (2013) · Development and Psychopathology · doi:10.1017/s0954579412000879 · Cited by 28 · see citing works
Keyes, K. M., Smith, G. D., & Susser, E. (2014) · International Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/ije/dyu166 · Cited by 28 · see citing works
Self-citationWu, Q., Dalman, C., Karlsson, H., Lewis, G., Osborn, D., Gardner, R. M., & Hayes, J. (2018) · Schizophrenia Bulletin · doi:10.1093/schbul/sby023 · Cited by 27 · see citing works
Parental Age and Birth Defects: a Sibling Study
Hvide, H. K., Johnsen, J. V., & Salvanes, K. G. (2020) · European Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1007/s10654-021-00734-8 · Cited by 25 · see citing works
Antenatal Acetaminophen Use and Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder
Cooper, M., Langley, K., & Thapar, A. (2014) · Archives of Pediatrics and Adolescent Medicine · doi:10.1001/jamapediatrics.2013.5292 · Cited by 25 · see citing works
Cryptorchidism and increased risk of neurodevelopmental disorders
Chen, J., Sørensen, H. T., Miao, M., Liang, H., Ehrenstein, V., Wang, Z., Yuan, W., & Li, J. (2017) · Journal of Psychiatric Research · doi:10.1016/j.jpsychires.2017.10.006 · Cited by 24 · see citing works
Lewis, S. J., Relton, C. L., Zammit, S., & Smith, G. D. (2013) · Journal of Child Psychology and Psychiatry · doi:10.1111/jcpp.12127 · Cited by 24 · see citing works
Walle, K. M., Askeland, R. B., Gustavson, K., Mjaaland, S., Ystrøm, E., Lipkin, W. I., Magnus, P. M., Stoltenberg, C., Susser, E., Bresnahan, M. A., et al. (2022) · JCPP Advances · doi:10.1002/jcv2.12070 · Cited by 23 · see citing works
Self-citationThe effect of swedish snuff (snus) on offspring birthweight: a sibling analysis
Juárez, S. P., & Merlo, J. (2013) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0065611 · Cited by 22 · see citing works
The Impact of Childhood Obesity on Health and Health Service Use
Kinge, J. M., & Stephen Morris, A. (2017) · Health Services Research · doi:10.1111/1475-6773.12708 · Cited by 22 · see citing works
Gilman, S. E., & Loucks, E. B. (2012) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kws228 · Cited by 22 · see citing works
Kristensen, P., Susser, E., Irgens, L. M., Mehlum, I. S., Corbett, K., & Bjérkedal, T. (2014) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwu241 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
Self-citationPrenatal Maternal Distress: A Risk Factor for Child Anxiety?
McLean, M. A., Cobham, V. E., & Simcock, G. P. (2018) · Clinical Child and Family Psychology Review · doi:10.1007/s10567-017-0251-4 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
Chen, M., Lin, Y., Yu, C., Fu, R., Shentu, H., Yao, J., Huang, J., He, Y., & Yu, M. (2023) · Archives of Gynecology and Obstetrics · doi:10.1007/s00404-023-07059-9 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Gilman, S. E., & Loucks, E. B. (2014) · Social Science & Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.socscimed.2014.06.029 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Sex differences in coeliac disease risk: A Swedish sibling design study
Wingren, C. J., Agardh, D., & Merlo, J. (2012) · Digestive and Liver Disease · doi:10.1016/j.dld.2012.06.016 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Wang, Z., Ho, P. W. H., Choy, M. T. H., Wong, I. C. K., Brauer, R., & Man, K. K. C. (2018) · Drug Safety · doi:10.1007/s40264-018-0755-y · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Factors Influencing Pediatric Cochlear Implant Outcomes: Carolina Sibling Study
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Albers, L. E., von Kries, R., Sobotzki, C., Gao, H., Buka, S. L., Clifton, V. L., Grzeskowiak, L. E., Oken, E., Paus, T., Pausová, Z., et al. (2018) · Obesity Reviews · doi:10.1111/obr.12698 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
Revisiting the association between maternal and offspring preterm birth using a sibling design
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Record linkage and big data—enhancing information and improving design
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The impact of education on dental health — Ways to measure causal effects
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Prenatal Exposure to Fever and Infections and Academic Performance: A Multilevel Analysis
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- Authors
- Donovan, S. J., & Susser, E.
- Affiliations
- New York State Psychiatric Institute (US)
- Corresponding author
- Susser, E.
- ORCID
- Susser, E.
- Venue
- International Journal of Epidemiology
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2011-03-29
- Volume
- 40
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 345-349
- ISSN
- 0300-5771 (ISSN-L)
- 1464-3685
- PMC
- PMC3066430
- OpenAlex
- W2144367795
- Cited by
- 161
- References
- 30
- Citations by year
- 2026: 3 · 2025: 2 · 2024: 4 · 2023: 12 · 2022: 8 · 2021: 11 · 2020: 6 · 2019: 12 · 2018: 11 · 2017: 16 · 2016: 6 · 2015: 10 · 2014: 19 · 2013: 18 · 2012: 14
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- International Journal of Epidemiology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- HighWire Press Open Archive (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health
- National Institute on Aging (P01 AG 02302)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic Associations and Epidemiology
- Social Sciences › Demography › Family Dynamics and Relationships
- Keywords
- sibling discordance, birth order, familial confounding, birth weight, prenatal exposure, maternal alcohol consumption, maternal depression, maternal employment
- MeSH terms
- Epidemiologic Methods, Family, Humans, Research Design, Siblings
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