Depression Babies: Do Macroeconomic Experiences Affect Risk-Taking?
Open accessAbstract
We investigate whether individual experiences of macroeconomic shocks affect financial risk taking, as often suggested for the generation that experienced the Great Depression. Using data from the Survey of Consumer Finances from 1960 to 2007, we find that individuals who have experienced low stock market returns throughout their lives so far report lower willingness to take financial risk, are less likely to participate in the stock market, invest a lower fraction of their liquid assets in stocks if they participate, and are more pessimistic about future stock returns. Those who have experienced low bond returns are less likely to own bonds. Results are estimated controlling for age, year effects, and household characteristics. More recent return experiences have stronger effects, particularly on younger people.
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Cites
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23and Me Research Team, Karlsson Linnér, R., eQTLgen Consortium, International Cannabis Consortium, Social Science Genetic Association Consortium, Biroli, P., Kong, E., Meddens, S. F. W., Wedow, R., Fontana, M. A., et al. (2019) · Nature Genetics · doi:10.1038/s41588-018-0309-3 · Cited by 756 · see citing works
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FinPerMA: A Theory-Informed, Event-Grounded Personalized-Memory Benchmark for LLM Agents
Wang, B., Zhou, K., Guo, L., Chen, F., & Zhang, C. (2026) · arXiv · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2608.04095
- Authors
- Malmendier, U., & Nagel, S.
- Affiliations
- University of Southern California (US)
- Venue
- The Quarterly Journal of Economics
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2011-02
- Volume
- 126
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 373-416
- ISSN
- 0033-5533 (ISSN-L)
- 1531-4650
- OpenAlex
- W2156667558
- Cited by
- 2,480
- References
- 2
- Citations by year
- 2026: 154 · 2025: 239 · 2024: 241 · 2023: 218 · 2022: 200 · 2021: 263 · 2020: 188 · 2019: 160 · 2018: 148 · 2017: 131 · 2016: 101 · 2015: 124 · 2014: 99 · 2013: 74 · 2012: 67
- FWCI
- 319.96
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- The Quarterly Journal of Economics (publishedVersion)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (acceptedVersion, other-oa)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- HighWire Press Open Archive (submittedVersion)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Accounting › Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › General Decision Sciences › Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Finance › Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
- Keywords
- financial risk-taking, macroeconomic shocks, Great Depression, stock market participation, stock ownership, life-cycle effects, household portfolio choice, Survey of Consumer Finances
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