The DOI matches its Crossref record; 3 of the 3 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns
Open accessAbstract
We analyze time-series of investor expectations of future stock market returns from six data sources between 1963 and 2011.The six measures of expectations are highly positively correlated with each other, as well as with past stock returns and with the level of the stock market.However, investor expectations are strongly negatively correlated with model-based expected returns.We reconcile the evidence by calibrating a simple behavioral model, in which fundamental traders require a premium to accommodate expectations shocks from extrapolative traders, but markets are not efficient.
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Cites
By Force of Habit: A Consumption‐Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior
Campbell, J. Y., & Cochrane, J. H. (1999) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/250059 · Cited by 5,210
Predicting excess stock returns out of sample: Can anything beat the historical average?
Campbell, J. Y., & Thompson, S. B. (2008) · Review of Financial Studies · doi:10.1093/rfs/hhm055 · Cited by 2,919
The Dog That Did Not Bark: A Defense of Return Predictability
Cochrane, J. H. (2008) · Review of Financial Studies · doi:10.1093/rfs/hhm046 · Cited by 1,227
Cited by
Diagnostic Expectations and Credit Cycles
BORDALO, P., GENNAIOLI, N., & SHLEIFER, A. (2018) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/jofi.12586 · Cited by 608
Self-citationOverreaction in Macroeconomic Expectations
Bordalo, P., Gennaioli, N., Ma, Y., & Shleifer, A. (2020) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.20181219 · Cited by 608
Self-citationGENNAIOLI, N., SHLEIFER, A., & VISHNY, R. (2015) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/jofi.12188 · Cited by 537
Self-citationGomes, F., Haliassos, M., & Ramadorai, T. (2021) · Journal of Economic Literature · doi:10.1257/jel.20201461 · Cited by 396
Diagnostic Expectations and Stock Returns
BORDALO, P., GENNAIOLI, N., PORTA, R. L., & SHLEIFER, A. (2019) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/jofi.12833 · Cited by 396
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Metadata
- Authors
- Greenwood, R., & Shleifer, A.
- Venue
- Review of Financial Studies
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2014-01-11
- Volume
- 27
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 714-746
- ISSN
- 0893-9454 (ISSN-L)
- 1465-7368
- OpenAlex
- W2099227715
- Cited by
- 1,130
- References
- 3
- FWCI
- 103.43
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
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