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Psychosocial Predictors of Outcome in Acute and Subchronic Low Back Trouble
Abstract
STUDY DESIGN: A prospective survey of patients seeking primary care for low back pain. Clinical and psychosocial data, available at presentation, were explored for predictors of outcome at 1 year. OBJECTIVES: To determine the relative value of clinical and psychosocial variables for early identification of patients with a poor prognosis. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Current treatment strategies for low back pain have failed to stem the rising levels of disability. Psychosocial factors have been shown to be important determinants of response to therapy in chronic patients, but the contribution from similar data in acute or subchronic patients has not been comprehensively investigated. METHODS: Two hundred fifty-two patients with low back pain, presenting to primary care, underwent a structured clinical interview and completed a battery of psychosocial instruments. Follow-up was done by mail at 1 year; outcome was measured using a back pain disability questionnaire. Predictive relationships were sought between the data at presentation and disability at follow-up. RESULTS: Most patients showed improved disability and pain scores, although more than half had persisting symptoms. Eighteen percent showed significant psychological distress at presentation. Multiple regression analysis showed the level of persisting disability to depend principally on measures in the psychosocial domain; for acute cases outcome is also dependent on the absence or presence of a previous history of low back trouble. Discriminant models successfully allocated typically 76% of cases to recovered/not-recovered groups, largely on the basis of psychosocial factors evident at presentation. CONCLUSIONS: Early identification of psychosocial problems is important in understanding, and hopefully preventing, the progression to chronicity in low back trouble.
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“occupational disability [11-13]”
From Effectiveness of cognitive behaviour therapy for the treatment of catastrophisation in patients with fibromyalgia: A randomised controlled trial (2011) · cites this paper as [11]
In the citing paper
“Some of the consequences that have been associated with pain catastrophizing are more intense pain [6], heightened pain behaviour [7-9], greater analgesic consumption [10,11], reduced involvement in daily activities [3], occupational disability [12-14] and suicidal ideation [15].”
From Effectiveness of the psychological and pharmacological treatment of catastrophization in patients with fibromyalgia: a randomized controlled trial. (2009) · cites this paper as [12]
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BackgroundTrygg, T., Lundberg, G., Rosenlund, E., et al. (2002) · Journal of Musculoskeletal Pain · doi:10.1300/j094v10n03_03 · Cited by 22
Treatment of low back pain: monitoring clinical practice through audit
Sparkes, V. (2005) · Physiotherapy · doi:10.1016/j.physio.2004.10.007 · Cited by 22
The course and prognosis of hip complaints in general practice
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“Psychosocial variables have been shown to be related to a high risk of chronicity in musculoskeletal illness in general ( 15 ,16), and to a decrease in functional status in rheumatoid arthritis (17).”
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“Consistently across studies, PC is a primary predictor for the onset and worsening of CLBP, even among all surgical and clinical variables [4, 6, 7].”
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Are childhood adversities relevant in patients with chronic low back pain?
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Metadata
- Authors
- Burton, A. K., Tillotson, K. M., Main, C. J., & Hollis, S.
- Affiliations
- University of Huddersfield (GB)
- Salford Royal NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Tillotson, K. Malcolm
- ORCID
- Main, Chris J.
- Venue
- Spine
- Published
- 1995-03
- Volume
- 20
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- 722-728
- ISSN
- 0362-2436 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W1970664734
- Cited by
- 700
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 2 · 2024: 11 · 2023: 9 · 2022: 9 · 2021: 18 · 2020: 13 · 2019: 14 · 2018: 19 · 2017: 13 · 2016: 19 · 2015: 15 · 2014: 22 · 2013: 22 · 2012: 29
- FWCI
- 15.04
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Spine (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- University of Huddersfield Repository (University of Huddersfield) (submittedVersion)
- Lancaster EPrints (Lancaster University) (submittedVersion)
- Research Explorer (The University of Manchester) (submittedVersion)
- Huddersfield Research Portal (University of Huddersfield) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › Physical Therapy, Sports Therapy and Rehabilitation › Musculoskeletal pain and rehabilitation
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Orthopedics and Sports Medicine › Spine and Intervertebral Disc Pathology
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › Physical Therapy, Sports Therapy and Rehabilitation › Medical Practices and Rehabilitation
- Keywords
- low back pain, psychosocial factors, prognosis, disability, psychological distress, acute low back pain, outcome prediction, primary care
- MeSH terms
- Acute Disease, Adult, Chronic Disease, Disability Evaluation, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Male, Pain Measurement, Prospective Studies, Discriminant Analysis, Low Back Pain
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