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Psychosocial Predictors of Outcome in Acute and Subchronic Low Back Trouble
Abstract
STUDY DESIGN: A prospective survey of patients seeking primary care for low back pain. Clinical and psychosocial data, available at presentation, were explored for predictors of outcome at 1 year. OBJECTIVES: To determine the relative value of clinical and psychosocial variables for early identification of patients with a poor prognosis. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Current treatment strategies for low back pain have failed to stem the rising levels of disability. Psychosocial factors have been shown to be important determinants of response to therapy in chronic patients, but the contribution from similar data in acute or subchronic patients has not been comprehensively investigated. METHODS: Two hundred fifty-two patients with low back pain, presenting to primary care, underwent a structured clinical interview and completed a battery of psychosocial instruments. Follow-up was done by mail at 1 year; outcome was measured using a back pain disability questionnaire. Predictive relationships were sought between the data at presentation and disability at follow-up. RESULTS: Most patients showed improved disability and pain scores, although more than half had persisting symptoms. Eighteen percent showed significant psychological distress at presentation. Multiple regression analysis showed the level of persisting disability to depend principally on measures in the psychosocial domain; for acute cases outcome is also dependent on the absence or presence of a previous history of low back trouble. Discriminant models successfully allocated typically 76% of cases to recovered/not-recovered groups, largely on the basis of psychosocial factors evident at presentation. CONCLUSIONS: Early identification of psychosocial problems is important in understanding, and hopefully preventing, the progression to chronicity in low back trouble.
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“occupational disability [11-13]”
From Effectiveness of cognitive behaviour therapy for the treatment of catastrophisation in patients with fibromyalgia: A randomised controlled trial (2011) · cites this paper as [11]
In the citing paper
“Some of the consequences that have been associated with pain catastrophizing are more intense pain [6], heightened pain behaviour [7-9], greater analgesic consumption [10,11], reduced involvement in daily activities [3], occupational disability [12-14] and suicidal ideation [15].”
From Effectiveness of the psychological and pharmacological treatment of catastrophization in patients with fibromyalgia: a randomized controlled trial. (2009) · cites this paper as [12]
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InfluentialOverlapping Chronic Pain Conditions: Implications for Diagnosis and Classification
Maixner, W., Fillingim, R. B., Williams, D. A., Smith, S. B., & Slade, G. D. (2016) · The Journal of Pain · doi:10.1016/j.jpain.2016.06.002 · Cited by 558
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BackgroundPredictors of opioid misuse in patients with chronic pain: a prospective cohort study
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BackgroundThe Rates of False-Positive Lumbar Discography in Select Patients Without Low Back Symptoms
Carragee, E. J., Tanner, C. M., Khurana, S. K., Hayward, C., Welsh, J., Date, E., Truong, T., Rossi, M. J., & Hagle, C. (2000) · Spine · doi:10.1097/00007632-200006010-00009 · Cited by 339
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BackgroundPsychological determinants of problematic outcomes following Total Knee Arthroplasty
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BackgroundResultModels of Return to Work for Musculoskeletal Disorders
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Vlaeyen, J. W. S., & Crombez, G. (1999) · Manual Therapy · doi:10.1054/math.1999.0199 · Cited by 257
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“Identification of persons at high risk is always challenging, particularly in the case of low back pain because predictive models are not yet able to identify with confidence those at risk for disability,(10,12,21) and according to the findings, information interventions are more effective before injury or disability.…”
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BackgroundFear-avoidance beliefs and distress in relation to disability in acute and chronic low back pain
Grotle, M., Vøllestad, N. K., Veierød, M. B., & Brox, J. I. (2004) · Pain · doi:10.1016/j.pain.2004.09.020 · Cited by 230
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Comorbid Subjective Health Complaints in Low Back Pain
Hagen, E. M., Svensen, E., Eriksen, H. R., Ihlebæk, C., & Ursin, H. (2006) · Spine · doi:10.1097/01.brs.0000219947.71168.08 · Cited by 210
Centralization Phenomenon as a Prognostic Factor for Chronic Low Back Pain and Disability
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Are fear-avoidance beliefs related to the inception of an episode of back pain? A prospective study
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Clinical Course and Prognostic Factors in Acute Low Back Pain
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Bot, S. D. M., van der Waal, J. M., Terwee, C. B., van der Windt, D., Scholten, R. J. P. M., Bouter, L. M., & Dekker, J. (2005) · Spine · doi:10.1097/01.brs.0000174279.44855.02 · Cited by 197
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“Strong evidence has been obtained that psychosocial factors may have a significant influence on pain perception in low-back pain and the development of chronicity (Weiser and Cedraschi, 1992; Burton et al., 1995; Ferguson and Marras, 1997).”
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Kent, P. M., & Keating, J. L. (2007) · Manual Therapy · doi:10.1016/j.math.2007.05.009 · Cited by 185
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“The present research is consistent with the findings of previous investigations showing that psychosocial factors are significant determinants of work disability (5,13,14,19).”
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Does anticipation of back pain predispose to back trouble?
Moseley, G. L. (2004) · Brain · doi:10.1093/brain/awh248 · Cited by 182
“Expected pain and injury are thought to be potent predictors of chronic unremittent back pain (Burton et al., 1995), but it is not known why some people develop chronic recurrent trouble.”
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Main, C. J., & Watson, P. (1999) · Manual Therapy · doi:10.1054/math.1999.0208 · Cited by 180
Self-citationInfluence of kinesiophobia and catastrophizing on pain and disability in anterior knee pain patients
Doménech, J., Sanchis‐Alfonso, V., López, L., & Espejo, B. (2012) · Knee Surgery Sports Traumatology Arthroscopy · doi:10.1007/s00167-012-2238-5 · Cited by 188
“It has been suggested that an excessively negative orientation towards pain (catastrophization) and fear of movement and reinjury (kinesiophobia) are related to pain chronification and disability in patients with lumbar pain [3, 36].”
BackgroundThe mediation of disability by self efficacy in different samples of chronic pain patients
Arnstein, P. (2000) · Disability and Rehabilitation · doi:10.1080/09638280050200296 · Cited by 191
Disease and psychological status in ankylosing spondylitis
Martindale, J. H., Smith, J. R., Sutton, C., Grennan, D. M., Goodacre, L., & GOODACRE, J. A. (2006) · Lara D. Veeken · doi:10.1093/rheumatology/kel115 · Cited by 174
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“Pain report usually increases with the progression from the acute to the chronic pain state (Sedlak, 1985; Burton et al., 1995; van der Kloot et al., 1996) and patients with persisting pain were shown to have suffered from more severe pain in the acute phase than patients whose pain resolved…”
InfluentialThe centralization phenomenon of spinal symptoms—a systematic review
Aina, A., May, S., & Clare, H. A. (2004) · Manual Therapy · doi:10.1016/j.math.2004.03.004 · Cited by 172
“…of psychosocial variables as prognostic factors (Chavannes et al., 1986; Lanier and Stockton, 1988; Goertz, 1990; Hasenbring et al., 1994; Burton et al., 1995; Gatchel et al., 1995; ARTICLE IN PRESS A. Aina et al. / Manual Therapy 9 (2004) 134–143140 Hazard et al., 1996; Smedley et al.,…”
BackgroundThe relation between catastrophizing and the communication of pain experience
Sullivan, M. J. L., Martel, M. O., Tripp, D. A., Savard, A., & Crombez, G. (2006) · Pain · doi:10.1016/j.pain.2006.02.001 · Cited by 183
“E-mail address: michael.jl.sullivan@umontreal.ca (M.J.L. Sullivan). et al., 1997), reduced involvement in daily activities (Keefe et al., 1989), and occupational disability (Burton et al., 1995; Sullivan et al., 1998; Sullivan and Stanish, 2003).”
BackgroundAre first-time episodes of serious LBP associated with new MRI findings?
Carragee, E. J., Alamin, T. F., Cheng, I., Franklin, T., van den Haak, E., & Hurwitz, E. L. (2006) · The Spine Journal · doi:10.1016/j.spinee.2006.03.005 · Cited by 169
Skargren, E. I., Carlsson, P. G., & Öberg, B. E. (1998) · Spine · doi:10.1097/00007632-199809010-00016 · Cited by 169
A Prospective Follow-Up Study of Low Back Pain in the Community
Waxman, R., Tennant, A. H., & Helliwell, P. (2000) · Spine · doi:10.1097/00007632-200008150-00013 · Cited by 166
“5,4) 181, 100 1997 110, 61 (54,68) 58, 32 (25,39) 12, 7 (3,10) 180, 100 Intermittent LBP 1994 316, 79 (75,79) 71, 18 (14,22) 12, 3 (1,5) 399, 100 1997 279, 70 (65,74) 105, 26 (22,31) 17, 4 (2,6) 400, 100 Total 1994 1115, 77 (75,79) 217, 15 (13,17) 123, 9 (7,9) 1455, 100 1997 932, 64 (62,67) 396, 27 (25,30) 125, 9 (7,1…”
Meints, S. M., Mawla, I., Napadow, V., Kong, J., Gerber, J. A., Chan, S., Wasan, A. D., Kaptchuk, T. J., McDonnell, C., Carrière, J. S., et al. (2018) · Pain · doi:10.1097/j.pain.0000000000001461 · Cited by 179
A prospective sequential analysis of the fear-avoidance model of pain
Wideman, T. H., Adams, H., & Sullivan, M. J. L. (2009) · Pain · doi:10.1016/j.pain.2009.04.022 · Cited by 171
Holroyd, K. A., Drew, J., Cottrell, C., Romanek, K., & Heh, V. (2007) · Cephalalgia · doi:10.1111/j.1468-2982.2007.01420.x · Cited by 163
A Systematic Review of the Predictive Ability of the Orebro Musculoskeletal Pain Questionnaire
Hockings, R. L., McAuley, J. H., & Maher, C. G. (2008) · Spine · doi:10.1097/brs.0b013e31817ba3bb · Cited by 161
Clinical Course and Impact of Fear-Avoidance Beliefs in Low Back Pain
Grotle, M., Vøllestad, N. K., & Brox, J. I. (2006) · Spine · doi:10.1097/01.brs.0000214878.01709.0e · Cited by 161
Long-term Outcomes of Lumbar Fusion Among Workers’ Compensation Subjects
Nguyen, T. H., Randolph, D. C., Talmage, J. B., Succop, P. S., & Travis, R. L. (2010) · Spine · doi:10.1097/brs.0b013e3181ccc220 · Cited by 157
Artus, M., van der Windt, D., Jordan, K. P., & Hay, E. M. (2010) · Rheumatology · doi:10.1093/rheumatology/keq245 · Cited by 162
Pain catastrophizing and general health status in a large Dutch community sample
Severeijns, R., van den Hout, M. A., Vlaeyen, J. W. S., & Picavet, S. J. H. (2002) · Pain · doi:10.1016/s0304-3959(02)00219-1 · Cited by 156
“Furthermore, the study design does not permit a judgement on the direction of this association although some prospective studies suggest that catastrophizing is a precursor of pain-related variables such as disability rather than a consequence (Burton et al., 1995; Linton et al., 2000).”
1999 Young Investigator Research Award Winner
McIntosh, G., Frank, J. W., Hogg‐Johnson, S., Bombardier, C., & Hall, H. (2000) · Spine · doi:10.1097/00007632-200001150-00003 · Cited by 153
George, S. Z., Fritz, J. M., & McNeil, D. W. (2006) · Clinical Journal of Pain · doi:10.1097/01.ajp.0000148627.92498.54 · Cited by 154
“This finding converges with previous longitudinal studies suggesting that elevated psychosocial factors relevant to chronic disability from low back pain are present during acute stages of injury.(5,6,35,36) This study expands on the previous studies by demonstrating the sensitivity of changes in fear-avoidance belief…”
ResultAnálise das propriedades psicométricas da versão brasileira da escala tampa de cinesiofobia
Siqueira, F. B., Teixeira‐Salmela, L. F., & Magalhães, L. D. C. (2007) · Acta Ortopédica Brasileira · doi:10.1590/s1413-78522007000100004 · Cited by 162
Frost, H., Lamb, S. E., Moffett, K. A. J., Fairbank, T. J. C., & Moser, S. J. (1998) · Pain · doi:10.1016/s0304-3959(98)00005-0 · Cited by 152
Behavioral Responses to Examination
Main, C. J., & Waddell, G. (1998) · Spine · doi:10.1097/00007632-199811010-00025 · Cited by 155
Self-citationEnthoven, P., Skargren, E. I., & Öberg, B. E. (2004) · Spine · doi:10.1097/01.brs.0000143025.84471.79 · Cited by 151
“1) 1–4 wk 81 20 22 (16;25) 23 26 (17;29) 2.”
BackgroundInfluentialKoleck, M., Mazaux, J., Rascle, N., & Bruchon‐Schweitzer, M. (2005) · European Journal of Pain · doi:10.1016/j.ejpain.2005.01.003 · Cited by 150
“In the context of prospective studies, catastrophizing and fear-avoidance beliefs were found to be the most powerful predictors of pain and disability (Burton et al., 1995; Hasenbring et al., 1994; Klenerman et al., 1995; Linton and Hallden, 1998; Picavet et al., 2002).”
BackgroundResultInfluentialFrench, D. J., Noël, M., Vigneau, F., French, J. A., Cyr, C. P., & Evans, R. T. (2005) · Canadian Journal of Behavioural Science/Revue canadienne des sciences du comportement · doi:10.1037/h0087255 · Cited by 168
Metadata
- Authors
- Burton, A. K., Tillotson, K. M., Main, C. J., & Hollis, S.
- Affiliations
- University of Huddersfield (GB)
- Salford Royal NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Tillotson, K. Malcolm
- ORCID
- Main, Chris J.
- Venue
- Spine
- Published
- 1995-03
- Volume
- 20
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- 722-728
- ISSN
- 0362-2436 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W1970664734
- Cited by
- 700
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 2 · 2024: 11 · 2023: 9 · 2022: 9 · 2021: 18 · 2020: 13 · 2019: 14 · 2018: 19 · 2017: 13 · 2016: 19 · 2015: 15 · 2014: 22 · 2013: 22 · 2012: 29
- FWCI
- 15.04
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Spine (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- University of Huddersfield Repository (University of Huddersfield) (submittedVersion)
- Lancaster EPrints (Lancaster University) (submittedVersion)
- Research Explorer (The University of Manchester) (submittedVersion)
- Huddersfield Research Portal (University of Huddersfield) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › Physical Therapy, Sports Therapy and Rehabilitation › Musculoskeletal pain and rehabilitation
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Orthopedics and Sports Medicine › Spine and Intervertebral Disc Pathology
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › Physical Therapy, Sports Therapy and Rehabilitation › Medical Practices and Rehabilitation
- Keywords
- low back pain, psychosocial factors, prognosis, disability, psychological distress, acute low back pain, outcome prediction, primary care
- MeSH terms
- Acute Disease, Adult, Chronic Disease, Disability Evaluation, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Male, Pain Measurement, Prospective Studies, Discriminant Analysis, Low Back Pain
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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