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Instrumental Variables: Application and Limitations
Abstract
To correct for confounding, the method of instrumental variables (IV) has been proposed. Its use in medical literature is still rather limited because of unfamiliarity or inapplicability. By introducing the method in a nontechnical way, we show that IV in a linear model is quite easy to understand and easy to apply once an appropriate instrumental variable has been identified. We also point out some limitations of the IV estimator when the instrumental variable is only weakly correlated with the exposure. The IV estimator will be imprecise (large standard error), biased when sample size is small, and biased in large samples when one of the assumptions is only slightly violated. For these reasons, it is advised to use an IV that is strongly correlated with exposure. However, we further show that under the assumptions required for the validity of the method, this correlation between IV and exposure is limited. Its maximum is low when confounding is strong, such as in case of confounding by indication. Finally, we show that in a study in which strong confounding is to be expected and an IV has been used that is moderately or strongly related to exposure, it is likely that the assumptions of IV are violated, resulting in a biased effect estimate. We conclude that instrumental variables can be useful in case of moderate confounding but are less useful when strong confounding exists, because strong instruments cannot be found and assumptions will be easily violated.
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“IV analyses are an alternative estimation method that can be used to derive an estimate of the causal effect of the treatment (here, CRP) on the outcome (SBP) by accounting for the size of the association between randomization and CRP.3,4,12–15”
From Mendelian randomization (2022) · cites this paper as [13]
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“However, it has been argued that the application of this method is limited because of its strong assumptions, making it difficult in practice to find a suitable instrumental variable.(16) The objectives of this article are first to introduce the application of the method of IV in epidemiology in a nontechnical way and…”
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Gill, D., Dib, M., Cronjé, H. T., Karhunen, V., Woolf, B. A. R., Gagnon, É., Daghlas, I., Nyberg, M., Drakeman, D. L., & Burgess, S. (2024) · BMC Medicine · doi:10.1186/s12916-024-03700-9 · Cited by 51
“Instruments in Mendelian randomization analyses should associate with the exposure and only associate with the outcome through the exposure and not some alternative pleiotropic pathway [35, 36].”
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Body mass index and depressive symptoms: instrumental‐variables regression with genetic risk score
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Use of Propensity Score Methodology in Contemporary High-Impact Surgical Literature
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The European Network of Centres for Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacovigilance (ENCePP)
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“Instrumental variable (IV) analysis attempts to mimic the process of randomisation in an RCT by exploiting the existence of another variable (the instrument) which can be measured in the available data, which is highly correlated with the probability of exposure but unrelated to the outcome of interest except through…”
BackgroundMartin, A., Ogilvie, D., & Suhrcke, M. (2014) · International Journal of Behavioral Nutrition and Physical Activity · doi:10.1186/s12966-014-0142-8 · Cited by 41
“This could indicate the relative infrequency with which these techniques are used amongst public health researchers or are familiar to peer reviewers who are not economists [60].”
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Human Genomics and Drug DevelopmentPreprint
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“…with linear and non-linear Structural Equation Models (SEM:s) in order to make causal inferences in the presence of unmeasured confounders (Pearl, 2000; Hernan and Robins, 2006; Martens et al., 2006), a fact which even further warrants future studies utilizing Structural Equation Modeling (SEM).”
ResultLaborde‐Castérot, H., Agrinier, N., & Thilly, N. (2015) · Journal of Clinical Epidemiology · doi:10.1016/j.jclinepi.2015.04.003 · Cited by 38
Optimal Individualized Decision Rules Using Instrumental Variable Methods
Qiu, H., Carone, M., Sadikova, E., Petukhova, M. V., Kessler, R. C., & Luedtke, A. R. (2020) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.1080/01621459.2020.1745814 · Cited by 38
“Our implementation incorporated the sample splitting described in Remark 11 and Supplementary Appendix S2. For the estimands ATE and RC-ATE, we compare our results with those based on the more naïve method in Luedtke and van der Laan (2016a). This method assumes no unmeasured confounding and does not use the IV to ass…”
ResultInfluentialCurtis, J. R., Chen, L., Harrold, L. R., Narongroeknawin, P., Reed, G. W., & Solomon, D. H. (2009) · Arthritis Care & Research · doi:10.1002/acr.20020 · Cited by 38
Pratt, N. L., Roughead, E. E., Ryan, P., & Salter, A. B. (2010) · Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety · doi:10.1002/pds.1942 · Cited by 38
“We tested the strength and performance of each of the instruments by investigating the following assumptions: (1) the instrument should be associated with treatment; (2) be unrelated to patient characteristics and (3) be related to the outcome only through its association with treatment.(22) To measure the strength of…”
MethodFang, G., Brooks, J. M., & Chrischilles, E. A. (2012) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwr448 · Cited by 37
Wallis, C. J. D., Herschorn, S., Saskin, R., Su, J., Klotz, L. H., Chang, M., Kulkarni, G. S., Lee, Y., Kodama, R. T., Narod, S. A., et al. (2015) · Urology · doi:10.1016/j.urology.2014.11.037 · Cited by 39
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“A valid IV should (1) be associated with the exposure of interest; (2) not be associated with any confounders of the exposure– outcome association; and (3) affect the outcome only through its impact on the exposure of interest (Figure 1A; Martens et al., 2006).”
BackgroundSeparated at Birth: Statisticians, Social Scientists, and Causality in Health Services Research
Dowd, B. E. (2010) · Health Services Research · doi:10.1111/j.1475-6773.2010.01203.x · Cited by 35
“Sander Greenland (2000) introduced IV to epidemiologists where it appears to have found a receptive audience (see, e.g., Hernan and Robins 2006; Martens et al. 2006; Rassen et al. 2009a, b).”
BackgroundFang, G., Brooks, J. M., & Chrischilles, E. A. (2010) · Medical Care · doi:10.1097/mlr.0b013e3181e41bb2 · Cited by 35
“Critics of IV methods have often stressed the difficulty in identifying suitable empirical instruments.(21,23,24) In this study, we introduce a novel framework for instrument development that is straightforward to implement, efficiently exploits geographic prescribing variation, and yields an even distribution of meas…”
BackgroundBai, Z. (2021) · Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance · doi:10.1016/j.jbef.2021.100461 · Cited by 35
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The Decision‐Theoretic Approach to Causal Inference
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Clay, K. B., Portnykh, M., & Severnini, E. (2019) · Economics & Human Biology · doi:10.1016/j.ehb.2019.03.001 · Cited by 36
“To estimate the causal effect of exposure to lead through contaminated soil on cognitive difficulty, we use instrumental variable (IV) methods (e.g., Bowden and Turkington 1984, Angrist et al. 1996, Greenland 2000, Angrist and Krueger 2001, Hernan and Robins 2006, Martens et al. 2006).”
InfluentialAchoki, T., Alam, U., Were, L. P. O., Gebremedhin, T. A., Senkubuge, F., Lesego, A., Liu, S., Wamai, R. G., & Kinfu, Y. (2020) · medRxiv · doi:10.1101/2020.04.09.20059154 · Cited by 33
“The basic model consists of two equations which can be expressed as follows (15-17):”
BackgroundLi, J., Li, C., Huang, Y., Guan, P., Huang, D., Yu, H., Yang, X., & Liu, L. (2022) · Journal of Translational Medicine · doi:10.1186/s12967-022-03822-9 · Cited by 33
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“A series of statistical tests were conducted to investigate potential violation of the MR assumptions (13, 14), and to assess the possible influence of horizontal pleiotropy on the causal estimates, includingMR-Egger regression (15) and the estimator from the weighted median approach (16).”
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“Briefly, an instrumental variable should be associated with what treatment was received and is only associated with the outcome indirectly via its association with the treatment administered (Martens et al., 2006).”
Binder, A. M., & Michels, K. B. (2013) · BMC Bioinformatics · doi:10.1186/1471-2105-14-353 · Cited by 25
“The magnitude of this bias depends on the strength of the association between the instrument and the exposure [19,24].”
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Catts, S. V., O’Toole, B. I., Carr, V. J., Lewin, T. J., Neil, A. L., Harris, M., Frost, A. D. J., Crissman, B., Eadie, K., & Evans, R. W. (2010) · Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry · doi:10.3109/00048670903487167 · Cited by 23
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Longitudinal structural mixed models for the analysis of surgical trials with noncompliance
Sitlani, C. M., Heagerty, P. J., Blood, E., & Tosteson, T. D. (2012) · Statistics in Medicine · doi:10.1002/sim.4510 · Cited by 23
Estimating Burdens of Neglected Tropical Zoonotic Diseases on Islands with Introduced Mammals
de Wit, L. A., Croll, D. A., Tershy, B. R., Newton, K., Spatz, D. R., Holmes, N. D., & Kilpatrick, A. M. (2017) · American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene · doi:10.4269/ajtmh.16-0573 · Cited by 23
“causation between disease data and the socioeconomic variables, which would indicate a need to add instrumental variables to our models.(54) For all models, we did not find any correlation between residuals and the socioeconomic”
MethodMichalek, J. E., Kepa, A., Vincent, J. B., Frissa, S., Goodwin, L., Hotopf, M. H., Hatch, S. L., Breen, G. D., & Powell, T. R. (2017) · Journal of Affective Disorders · doi:10.1016/j.jad.2017.01.017 · Cited by 25
“Nonetheless, it was previously argued that the second and third assumptions are not possible to describe empirically (Martens et al., 2006).”
Kino, S., Sato, K., & Kawachi, I. I. (2018) · International Journal for Equity in Health · doi:10.1186/s12939-018-0877-y · Cited by 23
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“The IV approach is also known as estimation of simultaneous regression equations and two-stage least squares regression (2).”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialThe antidepressant standoff: Why it continues and how to resolve it
Ormel, J., Spinhoven, P., de Vries, Y. A., Cramer, A. O. J., Siegle, G. J., Bockting, C. L. H., & Hollon, S. D. (2020) · Psychological Medicine · doi:10.1017/s0033291719003295 · Cited by 22
“The methods are instrumental variable analysis (Martens, Pestman, de Boer, Belitser, & Klungel, 2006) and propensity score analysis (Austin, 2011).”
Cigarette Smoking and Endometrial Cancer Risk: Observational and Mendelian Randomization Analyses
Dimou, N. L., Omiyale, W., Biessy, C., Viallon, V., Kaaks, R., O’Mara, T. A., Aglago, E. K., Ardanáz, E., Bergmann, M. M., Bondonno, N. P., et al. (2022) · Cancer Epidemiology Biomarkers & Prevention · doi:10.1158/1055-9965.epi-21-1176 · Cited by 23
“The MR-Egger regression (27) and the estimator from the weighted median approach (28) were used to investigate the potential violation of the MR assumptions (29, 30) and to account for potential horizontal pleiotropic effects on the causal estimates.”
MethodThe nature and ethics of natural experiments
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Might extended education decrease inequalities in health?—a meta-analysis
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“11 Hence, associations between genetic predictors of BMI and mortality provide insights into the causal effect of BMI on mortality.”
BackgroundLi, L., KLEINMAN, K. P., & Gillman, M. W. (2014) · Journal of Developmental Origins of Health and Disease · doi:10.1017/s2040174414000415 · Cited by 21
Garbe, E., & Suissa, S. (2013) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-0-387-09834-0_31 · Cited by 22
Correction of confounding bias in non‐randomized studies by appropriate weighting
Schmoor, C., Gall, C., Stampf, S., & Graf, E. (2011) · Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift · doi:10.1002/bimj.201000154 · Cited by 23
“They concentrate on PS approaches (D’Agostino, 1998; Imbens, 2004), on IV approaches (Martens et al., 2006; Hernan and Robins, 2006; Rassen et al., 2009; Brookhart et al., 2010), or comprise both approaches (Klungel et al., 2004).”
BackgroundCawley, J. (2015) · Journal of Medical Economics · doi:10.3111/13696998.2015.1043917 · Cited by 19
“This section provides the basic intuition to the model of IV; readers seeking additional information are referred to detailed guides such as Wooldridge(6), Angrist and Pischke(4), and Martens et al.(7).”
BackgroundTonne, C. C., Beevers, S. D., Kelly, F., Järup, L., Wilkinson, P., & Armstrong, B. (2009) · Occupational and Environmental Medicine · doi:10.1136/oem.2009.048702 · Cited by 20
Angerås, O., Haraldsson, I., Redfors, B., Fröbert, O., Pétursson, P., Albertsson, P., Ioanes, D., Odenstedt, J., Olsson, H., Witt, N., et al. (2018) · Journal of the American Heart Association · doi:10.1161/jaha.117.007680 · Cited by 20
Use of instrumental variables for endogenous treatment at the provider level
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An Introduction to Instrumental Variables Analysis: Part 1
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van den Broek, T. (2020) · Aging & Mental Health · doi:10.1080/13607863.2020.1774739 · Cited by 20
Sufficient dimension reduction for average causal effect estimation
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Nonparametric binary instrumental variable analysis of competing risks data
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Institutional misalignment and escape-based FDI: A prospect theory lens
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Lack of Identification in Semiparametric Instrumental Variable Models With Binary Outcomes
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Robinson, B. M., & Port, F. K. (2010) · Seminars in Dialysis · doi:10.1111/j.1525-139x.2009.00674.x · Cited by 18
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“There is an upper bound on how strong an IV can be that depends on the strength of unmeasured confounding [31].”
BackgroundA Natural Robustification of the Ordinary Instrumental Variables Estimator
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“…studies based on observational data often use instrumental variables estimators to address endogeneity problems (see the surveys of Greenland, 2000, Martens et al., 2006, Grootendorst, 2007, and the article of McClellan and Newhouse, 2000 which introduces a special issue of Health Services…”
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Groenwold, R. H. H., Hak, E., Klungel, O. H., & Hoes, A. W. (2009) · Value in Health · doi:10.1111/j.1524-4733.2009.00584.x · Cited by 18
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Uddin, M. J., Groenwold, R. H. H., de Boer, A., Belitser, S. V., Roes, K. C. B., Hoes, A. W., & Klungel, O. H. (2013) · Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety · doi:10.1002/pds.3555 · Cited by 17
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A genetic instrument for Mendelian randomization of fibrinogen
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“The F statistic is considered as a metric for the strength of the instrument, with higher values signifying a better instrument [10, 11, 37, 41].”
Metadata
- Authors
- Martens, E. P., Pestman, W. R., de Boer, A., Belitser, S. V., & Klungel, O. H.
- Affiliations
- Utrecht University (NL)
- Corresponding author
- Martens, Edwin P.
- Belitser, Svetlana V.
- Klungel, Olaf H.
- Venue
- Epidemiology
- Published
- 2006-05
- Volume
- 17
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 260-267
- ISSN
- 1044-3983 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2127065386
- Cited by
- 464
- References
- 37
- Citations by year
- 2026: 19 · 2025: 35 · 2024: 31 · 2023: 29 · 2022: 35 · 2021: 29 · 2020: 26 · 2019: 26 · 2018: 21 · 2017: 22 · 2016: 18 · 2015: 28 · 2014: 24 · 2013: 22 · 2012: 27
- FWCI
- 10.31
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Epidemiology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Utrecht University Repository (Utrecht University) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Epidemiology
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty › Meta-analysis and systematic reviews
- Keywords
- instrumental variables, confounding, confounding by indication, weak instruments, linear regression, exposure measurement error
- MeSH terms
- United States, Models, Statistical, Bias, Confounding Factors, Epidemiologic, Epidemiologic Studies
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